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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 4–1 Alverca

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.28
Draw 3.25 fair 4.10
Away 3.25 fair 3.16
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Alverca
9 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 7
3 Corners 7
12 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (136 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.32
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawAlverca
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 9.1% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.53scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:25
Alverca before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.00scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:23
Estoril all matches all matches Alverca

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.00
1.67 Goals conceded 1.53
3.20 Total goals 2.53
12.87 Shots 9.07
4.33 Shots on target 3.53
11.73 Shots faced 13.53
4.73 Corners 3.07
4.53 Corners against 4.73
13.27 Fouls 12.93
2.93 Yellow cards 2.53
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

27% Wins 33%
33% Draws 13%
40% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 80%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
53% Over 3.5 goals 20%
20% Over 4.5 goals 0%
13% Over 5.5 goals 0%
53% Both teams scored 40%
13% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 20%
27% Draws 47%
40% Losses 33%
93% Over 0.5 goals 73%
47% Over 1.5 goals 47%
13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Alverca all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.63scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 13:11
Alverca before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.29scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:10
Estoril at home away Alverca

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.29
1.38 Goals conceded 1.43
3.00 Total goals 2.71
12.38 Shots 7.29
4.63 Shots on target 2.71
10.63 Shots faced 14.00
4.88 Corners 2.57
5.25 Corners against 6.14
12.88 Fouls 13.43
3.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

38% Wins 29%
38% Draws 14%
25% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 86%
38% Over 2.5 goals 57%
38% Over 3.5 goals 29%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
25% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 57%
13% Clean sheets 14%
25% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
38% Draws 86%
25% Losses 0%
88% Over 0.5 goals 57%
38% Over 1.5 goals 57%
13% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Alverca away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
14.12.25 Famalicao – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.763.604.33 1.88 1.98
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.30 1.60

Alverca all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
07.12.25 Alverca – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.203.60 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
08.11.25 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.20 2.15 1.67
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
24.10.25 Alverca – Gil Vicente 0–4 (0–2) 2.953.202.32 2.35 1.57
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57
28.09.25 Alverca – Guimaraes 2–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.15 2.15 1.67
20.09.25 Santa Clara – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.106.25 2.50 1.50

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
03.05.25 Estoril – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 11.008.001.18 1.37 2.87

Alverca away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25 Arouca – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.55 2.20 1.65
29.11.25 Casa Pia – Alverca 0–2 (0–0) 2.353.053.05 2.35 1.57
31.10.25 Sp Lisbon – Alverca 2–0 (0–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.36 3.10
04.10.25 AVS – Alverca 1–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.50 2.35 1.57
20.09.25 Santa Clara – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 1.663.106.25 2.50 1.50
25.08.25 Estrela – Alverca 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.404.10 2.25 1.62
10.08.25 Moreirense – Alverca 2–1 (1–1) 2.103.203.60 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 15 14 1 0 33 4 +29 43 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 12 2 1 42 8 +34 38 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 15 10 5 0 31 8 +23 35 WDWDWW
4 Gil Vicente 15 7 5 3 19 9 +10 26 WDLDDD
5 Sp Braga 15 7 4 4 26 13 +13 25 LWWWWL
6 Famalicao 16 6 5 5 20 13 +7 23 LDLWLL
7 Moreirense 15 6 3 6 21 24 -3 21 WLDDLD
8 Guimaraes 15 6 3 6 16 21 -5 21 LWWDWL
9 Estrela 16 4 6 6 20 24 -4 18 DLWLDW
10 Estoril 15 4 5 6 23 25 -2 17 WWLDLW
11 Rio Ave 15 3 8 4 19 24 -5 17 LDDWLD
12 Alverca 15 5 2 8 15 23 -8 17 LDWWLL
13 Nacional 15 4 4 7 17 21 -4 16 LDLLWD
14 Santa Clara 15 4 4 7 11 15 -4 16 LLDWLD
15 Casa Pia 15 3 4 8 16 29 -13 13 LDLLDW
16 Arouca 15 3 4 8 15 37 -22 13 LLLLWD
17 Tondela 15 2 3 10 9 27 -18 9 DLWLLL
18 AVS 15 0 4 11 11 39 -28 4 DDLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 7 6 1 0 14 2 +12 19 WWDWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 7 5 1 1 23 3 +20 16 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 4 0 16 6 +10 16 DWWDDW
4 Sp Braga 7 4 1 2 12 5 +7 13 DLLWWW
5 Gil Vicente 7 4 1 2 9 5 +4 13 WWWWLD
6 Moreirense 7 4 1 2 12 11 +1 13 WWWLDL
7 Estoril 8 3 3 2 13 11 +2 12 WLDWDW
8 Guimaraes 8 3 3 2 12 12 0 12 DWLWDL
9 Famalicao 9 3 2 4 13 8 +5 11 DWLLWL
10 Santa Clara 8 3 2 3 7 6 +1 11 WLWLWD
11 Alverca 8 3 1 4 6 13 -7 10 WWLDWL
12 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 9 +1 9 LWLDWD
13 Arouca 8 2 2 4 8 17 -9 8 LLDLLW
14 Nacional 7 2 0 5 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLW
15 Rio Ave 7 1 3 3 7 12 -5 6 DLWLDL
16 Casa Pia 7 0 3 4 7 15 -8 3 LDDLLD
17 AVS 8 0 3 5 7 16 -9 3 LLDDLD
18 Tondela 7 0 2 5 3 11 -8 2 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 19 2 +17 24 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 8 7 1 0 19 5 +14 22 WWWWDW
3 Benfica 7 6 1 0 15 2 +13 19 WWDWWW
4 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 10 4 +6 13 WLWDDD
5 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 14 8 +6 12 DDLWWL
6 Famalicao 7 3 3 1 7 5 +2 12 WDDWDL
7 Rio Ave 8 2 5 1 12 12 0 11 DDWDWD
8 Nacional 8 2 4 2 8 7 +1 10 LWDDLD
9 Casa Pia 8 3 1 4 9 14 -5 10 WLLDLW
10 Estrela 8 2 3 3 10 15 -5 9 DLWLLW
11 Guimaraes 7 3 0 4 4 9 -5 9 LWLLWW
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 9 13 -4 8 LLWLDD
13 Alverca 7 2 1 4 9 10 -1 7 DLWLWL
14 Tondela 8 2 1 5 6 16 -10 7 LWLDWL
15 Estoril 7 1 2 4 10 14 -4 5 DLDWLL
16 Santa Clara 7 1 2 4 4 9 -5 5 WDLLDL
17 Arouca 7 1 2 4 7 20 -13 5 DWLLLD
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 23 -19 1 DLLLLL

Estoril   Alverca

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 15 4 11 0.7 2.6 0 4 11 11 39 4 OUOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 15 5 10 2.8 0.5 12 2 1 42 8 38 UOOUOO
3 7 Moreirense 15 5 10 1.4 1.6 6 3 6 21 24 21 UOOOOU
4 1 Porto 15 6 9 2.2 0.3 14 1 0 33 4 43 OUUUOO
5 3 Benfica 15 6 9 2.1 0.5 10 5 0 31 8 35 OOOUOU
6 5 Sp Braga 15 6 9 1.7 0.9 7 4 4 26 13 25 OOOOUU
7 11 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.3 1.6 3 8 4 19 24 17 OUUOUO
8 16 Arouca 15 6 9 1.0 2.5 3 4 8 15 37 13 UOOOUU
9 17 Tondela 15 6 9 0.6 1.8 2 3 10 9 27 9 OUUUOO
10 9 Estrela 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 4 6 6 20 24 18 UOOOUO
11 10 Estoril 15 7 8 1.5 1.7 4 5 6 23 25 17 OOUOOU
12 12 Alverca 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 5 2 8 15 23 17 UUUUUO
13 15 Casa Pia 15 8 7 1.1 1.9 3 4 8 16 29 13 OOUUUO
14 6 Famalicao 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 6 5 5 20 13 23 UOOOUO
15 8 Guimaraes 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 6 3 6 16 21 21 OUOUUO
16 13 Nacional 15 9 6 1.1 1.4 4 4 7 17 21 16 UUOUOO
17 14 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.7 1.0 4 4 7 11 15 16 UOUUUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 15 12 3 1.3 0.6 7 5 3 19 9 26 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Moreirense 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 4 1 2 12 11 13 UOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 3.3 0.4 5 1 1 23 3 16 OOUUOO
3 6 Famalicao 9 4 5 1.4 0.9 3 2 4 13 8 11 UUUOOO
4 8 Guimaraes 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 3 3 2 12 12 12 UOOOUO
5 13 Nacional 7 2 5 1.3 2.0 2 0 5 9 14 6 OOOUOO
6 18 AVS 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 3 5 7 16 3 OOOUOO
7 1 Porto 7 3 4 2.0 0.3 6 1 0 14 2 19 OUUOUO
8 3 Benfica 8 4 4 2.0 0.8 4 4 0 16 6 16 UOOOUU
9 5 Sp Braga 7 3 4 1.7 0.7 4 1 2 12 5 13 OUUOOU
10 9 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.1 2 3 3 10 9 9 UOOUOU
11 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 3 7 12 6 OOOOUU
12 12 Alverca 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 3 1 4 6 13 10 UUOUUO
13 16 Arouca 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 2 2 4 8 17 8 UOUUOU
14 10 Estoril 8 5 3 1.6 1.4 3 3 2 13 11 12 OUUOOU
15 14 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0.9 0.8 3 2 3 7 6 11 OOUOUU
16 17 Tondela 7 4 3 0.4 1.6 0 2 5 3 11 2 OUOUUO
17 15 Casa Pia 7 5 2 1.0 2.1 0 3 4 7 15 3 UUOOUU
18 4 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 1.3 0.7 4 1 2 9 5 13 UUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 17 Tondela 8 2 6 0.8 2.0 2 1 5 6 16 7 UOOOUO
2 18 AVS 7 1 6 0.6 3.3 0 1 6 4 23 1 OOOUOO
3 1 Porto 8 3 5 2.4 0.2 8 0 0 19 2 24 OOOUUO
4 2 Sp Lisbon 8 3 5 2.4 0.6 7 1 0 19 5 22 OUOOUO
5 3 Benfica 7 2 5 2.1 0.3 6 1 0 15 2 19 OOUOOO
6 5 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 3 3 2 14 8 12 UUOOOU
7 10 Estoril 7 2 5 1.4 2.0 1 2 4 10 14 5 OUOOUO
8 11 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.5 1.5 2 5 1 12 12 11 UUOUOO
9 15 Casa Pia 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 3 1 4 9 14 10 UOOOUO
10 16 Arouca 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 1 2 4 7 20 5 UOOOOU
11 7 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 4 9 13 8 OOUOOU
12 9 Estrela 8 4 4 1.2 1.9 2 3 3 10 15 9 UUOOOO
13 12 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.4 2 1 4 9 10 7 OOOUUU
14 4 Gil Vicente 8 6 2 1.2 0.5 3 4 1 10 4 13 UOOUUU
15 14 Santa Clara 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 1 2 4 4 9 5 UUOUUU
16 6 Famalicao 7 6 1 1.0 0.7 3 3 1 7 5 12 UUUUOU
17 8 Guimaraes 7 6 1 0.6 1.3 3 0 4 4 9 9 UUUUUU
18 13 Nacional 8 7 1 1.0 0.9 2 4 2 8 7 10 UUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10