Ayr 1–3 Kilmarnock
Full time · half time 1–3 · season 2021/2022
Home
3.25
fair 4.17
Draw
3.20
fair 3.62
Away ✓
2.10
fair 2.07
Under 2.5
1.53
fair 1.64
Over 2.5 ✓
2.40
fair 2.56
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Kilmarnock
6
Shots
11
2
Shots on target
6
5
Corners
8
12
Fouls
11
0
Yellow cards
2
1
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✗ BTTS missed
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (139 league matches this season so far).
Result
Kilmarnock to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
No
fair 1.77
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
24%
28%
48%
AyrDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
61%
39%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
57%
44%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
11%
0
24%
1
27%
2
20%
3
11%
4
8%
5+
Most likely scores
0–1 14.5%
1–1 12.7%
0–0 10.6%
Statistics 2021/2022, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.04scored / match
1.43conceded / match
8
8
12
WonDrawnLost
28 played · 29:40
Kilmarnock
before this match, all matches
1.79points / match
1.29scored / match
0.68conceded / match
15
5
8
WonDrawnLost
28 played · 36:19
Ayr all matches
all matches Kilmarnock
Per match
1.04
Goals scored
1.29
1.43
Goals conceded
0.68
2.46
Total goals
1.96
7.86
Shots
11.18
3.14
Shots on target
4.46
9.93
Shots faced
8.71
3.93
Corners
5.18
6.07
Corners against
4.21
11.43
Fouls
11.25
1.82
Yellow cards
1.39
0.39
1st-half goals scored
0.46
0.86
1st-half goals conceded
0.21
How often Full Time
29%
Wins
54%
29%
Draws
18%
43%
Losses
29%
96%
Over 0.5 goals
93%
79%
Over 1.5 goals
57%
46%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
25%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
4%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
29%
18%
Clean sheets
50%
43%
Failed to score
29%
How often Half Time
18%
Wins
29%
36%
Draws
61%
46%
Losses
11%
71%
Over 0.5 goals
46%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
18%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
4%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
2
W
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
1
1
D
2
1
W
2
1
W
1
L
4
W
Kilmarnock all matches
1
1
D
2
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
L
1
2
L
2
1
W
3
W
D
2
W
Ayr
before this match, at home
1.21points / match
1.00scored / match
1.29conceded / match
4
5
5
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 14:18
Kilmarnock
before this match, away
1.79points / match
1.14scored / match
0.57conceded / match
7
4
3
WonDrawnLost
14 played · 16:8
Ayr at home
away Kilmarnock
Per match
1.00
Goals scored
1.14
1.29
Goals conceded
0.57
2.29
Total goals
1.71
8.57
Shots
10.64
2.86
Shots on target
3.79
9.29
Shots faced
8.79
5.07
Corners
4.50
4.79
Corners against
4.00
12.00
Fouls
11.57
1.71
Yellow cards
1.29
0.43
1st-half goals scored
0.36
0.93
1st-half goals conceded
0.07
How often Full Time
29%
Wins
50%
36%
Draws
29%
36%
Losses
21%
93%
Over 0.5 goals
86%
71%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
36%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
29%
Over 3.5 goals
14%
0%
Over 4.5 goals
7%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
43%
Both teams scored
21%
21%
Clean sheets
57%
43%
Failed to score
36%
How often Half Time
21%
Wins
21%
29%
Draws
79%
50%
Losses
0%
79%
Over 0.5 goals
21%
43%
Over 1.5 goals
14%
14%
Over 2.5 goals
7%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
2
1
W
1
L
2
2
D
4
L
1
1
D
2
W
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
1
L
Kilmarnock away
2
2
D
1
W
2
W
1
L
1
L
3
2
W
2
W
1
1
D
1
L
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.03.22 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 0–4 (0–3) | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 26.02.22 | Ayr – Queen of Sth | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 19.02.22 | Inverness C – Ayr | 1–2 (0–1) | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 09.02.22 | Kilmarnock – Ayr | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 05.02.22 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.55 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 01.02.22 | Partick – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.61 | 3.75 | 5.00 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 29.01.22 | Hamilton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 15.01.22 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.01.22 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 26.12.21 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
Kilmarnock all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.03.22 | Kilmarnock – Hamilton | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 26.02.22 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 19.02.22 | Kilmarnock – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.85 | 3.30 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 12.02.22 | Kilmarnock – Dunfermline | 2–1 (0–0) | 1.61 | 3.60 | 4.50 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 09.02.22 | Kilmarnock – Ayr | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 04.02.22 | Arbroath – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 29.01.22 | Kilmarnock – Inverness C | 1–0 (1–0) | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 14.01.22 | Partick – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 08.01.22 | Queen of Sth – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 29.12.21 | Kilmarnock – Morton | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.75 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.02.22 | Ayr – Queen of Sth | 0–1 (0–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 05.02.22 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.55 | 2.90 | 2.80 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 15.01.22 | Ayr – Morton | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 08.01.22 | Ayr – Arbroath | 1–0 (1–0) | 3.80 | 3.30 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 26.12.21 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.25 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 10.12.21 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 13.11.21 | Ayr – Partick | 0–4 (0–2) | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.05 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 06.11.21 | Ayr – Inverness C | 2–2 (1–2) | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 26.10.21 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 16.10.21 | Ayr – Queen of Sth | 2–1 (0–0) | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.50 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Kilmarnock away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.02.22 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 0–0 (0–0) | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 04.02.22 | Arbroath – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.90 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 14.01.22 | Partick – Kilmarnock | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.87 | 3.10 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 08.01.22 | Queen of Sth – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–1) | 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.83 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 26.12.21 | Hamilton – Kilmarnock | 2–3 (1–2) | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 11.12.21 | Raith Rvs – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.62 | 3.20 | 2.40 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 03.12.21 | Inverness C – Kilmarnock | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 13.11.21 | Morton – Kilmarnock | 0–2 (0–2) | 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 2.25 | 1.61 |
| 26.10.21 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 16.10.21 | Dunfermline – Kilmarnock | 2–2 (0–0) | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.83 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1 2
Ayr winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.02.22SC1 | Kilmarnock – Ayr | 1–2 (1–1) | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 | 2.02 | 1.83 |
| 26.10.21SC1 | Ayr – Kilmarnock | 0–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| 02.08.21SC1 | Kilmarnock – Ayr | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.57 | 3.75 | 5.25 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
Scotland Championship table 2021/2022, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 40 | 19 | +21 | 51 | WDDDDW |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 19 | +17 | 50 | LLWWDW |
| 3 | Partick | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 24 | +16 | 45 | DLDDWW |
| 4 | Inverness C | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 27 | +8 | 40 | LLDLDL |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 39 | DDDLDL |
| 6 | Ayr | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 32 | LDWWLW |
| 7 | Morton | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 31 | WWLWDL |
| 8 | Hamilton | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 31 | DDDWDL |
| 9 | Queen of Sth | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 26 | DLDWWL |
| 10 | Dunfermline | 27 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 24 | DWDLDL |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Partick | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 27 | WDWLWW |
| 2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 25 | WDWDDW |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 25 | DWLWWW |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 | DLDDDL |
| 5 | Inverness C | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 21 | LDDLDL |
| 6 | Ayr | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 | DWWLDL |
| 7 | Hamilton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 | WLDDWD |
| 8 | Morton | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 | DLWDWD |
| 9 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 13 | WLLLDW |
| 10 | Dunfermline | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 13 | WDLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arbroath | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 26 | WWLWDD |
| 2 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 25 | LWWDLD |
| 3 | Inverness C | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 19 | WDDLDL |
| 4 | Partick | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 18 | WDDDDD |
| 5 | Morton | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 | DWWLWL |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | +1 | 17 | DLLDDL |
| 7 | Hamilton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 | WWLDDL |
| 8 | Ayr | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | LDLWWW |
| 9 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 13 | DDDLWL |
| 10 | Dunfermline | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 11 | DLWDLL |
Ayr Kilmarnock
Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match
| # | Streak | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Queen of Sth | 28 | 14 | 14 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29 | 41 | 26 | OOUUOU |
| 2 | 6 | Ayr | 28 | 15 | 13 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 40 | 32 | UUOOUO |
| 3 | 7 | Morton | 28 | 15 | 13 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 31 | UOUUUO |
| 4 | 10 | Dunfermline | 27 | 14 | 13 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 24 | 41 | 24 | UUUOUU |
| 5 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 28 | 16 | 12 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 34 | 39 | OOUOUO |
| 6 | 8 | Hamilton | 28 | 16 | 12 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 43 | 31 | UUOUUU |
| 7 | 1 | Arbroath | 28 | 17 | 11 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 51 | UOUUUU |
| 8 | 3 | Partick | 27 | 16 | 11 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 40 | 24 | 45 | OUUUUU |
| 9 | 4 | Inverness C | 28 | 17 | 11 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 35 | 27 | 40 | UUOOUU |
| 10 | 2 | Kilmarnock | 28 | 20 | 8 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 19 | 50 | UOOOUU |
| # | Streak | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 21 | 22 | UOOUUO |
| 2 | 7 | Morton | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 22 | 13 | OOOOOU |
| 3 | 4 | Inverness C | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 21 | OUOUOO |
| 4 | 10 | Dunfermline | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 13 | OOOUUU |
| 5 | 2 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 11 | 25 | UUOOOU |
| 6 | 1 | Arbroath | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 25 | OUUOUU |
| 7 | 6 | Ayr | 14 | 9 | 5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 17 | UUUUUU |
| 8 | 8 | Hamilton | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 16 | UOOUUU |
| 9 | 9 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 13 | OOUUUO |
| 10 | 3 | Partick | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 27 | UUUUUU |
| # | Streak | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | Queen of Sth | 14 | 5 | 9 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 13 | OOOOUU |
| 2 | 3 | Partick | 13 | 5 | 8 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 18 | OUOOUU |
| 3 | 6 | Ayr | 14 | 6 | 8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 22 | 15 | OUUOOO |
| 4 | 8 | Hamilton | 14 | 7 | 7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 15 | OOUUOU |
| 5 | 1 | Arbroath | 14 | 8 | 6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 26 | UOUOUU |
| 6 | 10 | Dunfermline | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 11 | UOUUOU |
| 7 | 7 | Morton | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 18 | UUUUUO |
| 8 | 4 | Inverness C | 14 | 10 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 19 | OUUUUU |
| 9 | 5 | Raith Rvs | 13 | 9 | 4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 17 | UUUUOO |
| 10 | 2 | Kilmarnock | 14 | 12 | 2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 25 | UOUUUU |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47
