Ayr 5–2 Falkirk
Full time · half time 3–2 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
4.33
fair 2.56
Draw
3.50
fair 3.72
Away
1.70
fair 2.94
Under 2.5
1.83
fair 1.85
Over 2.5 ✓
2.03
fair 2.18
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Falkirk
12
Shots
2
6
Shots on target
2
9
Corners
3
10
Fouls
7
1
Yellow cards
1
0
Red cards
1
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✗ Goals missed
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (78 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Under 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.96
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
39%
27%
34%
AyrDrawFalkirk
Under / Over 2.5 goals
54%
46%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
49%
51%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
8%
0
20%
1
26%
2
21%
3
13%
4
11%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8%
1–0 10.6%
0–1 9.8%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
1.75points / match
1.44scored / match
0.94conceded / match
8
4
4
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 23:15
Falkirk
before this match, all matches
2.38points / match
1.94scored / match
0.56conceded / match
12
2
2
WonDrawnLost
16 played · 31:9
Ayr all matches
all matches Falkirk
Per match
1.44
Goals scored
1.94
0.94
Goals conceded
0.56
2.38
Total goals
2.50
11.13
Shots
14.13
5.19
Shots on target
5.69
7.00
Shots faced
6.63
4.94
Corners
8.88
4.69
Corners against
3.38
11.94
Fouls
10.88
2.31
Yellow cards
1.88
0.63
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.63
1st-half goals conceded
0.25
How often Full Time
50%
Wins
75%
25%
Draws
13%
25%
Losses
13%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
94%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
19%
Over 3.5 goals
19%
19%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
6%
44%
Both teams scored
38%
38%
Clean sheets
50%
19%
Failed to score
19%
How often Half Time
31%
Wins
56%
31%
Draws
31%
38%
Losses
13%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
38%
Over 1.5 goals
19%
13%
Over 2.5 goals
13%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
1
1
D
1
W
2
L
1
2
L
1
W
2
L
1
1
D
3
2
W
1
W
1
L
Falkirk all matches
2
W
D
1
1
D
3
1
W
2
1
W
6
W
2
W
1
L
1
W
3
W
Ayr
before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.13scored / match
0.88conceded / match
6
1
1
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 17:7
Falkirk
before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
5
1
2
WonDrawnLost
8 played · 12:6
Ayr at home
away Falkirk
Per match
2.13
Goals scored
1.50
0.88
Goals conceded
0.75
3.00
Total goals
2.25
13.88
Shots
13.13
6.13
Shots on target
4.75
5.50
Shots faced
7.50
4.38
Corners
7.63
5.00
Corners against
2.63
11.75
Fouls
11.25
2.25
Yellow cards
2.38
1.00
1st-half goals scored
0.88
0.50
1st-half goals conceded
0.50
How often Full Time
75%
Wins
63%
13%
Draws
13%
13%
Losses
25%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
100%
75%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
38%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
38%
Over 4.5 goals
13%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
50%
Both teams scored
38%
50%
Clean sheets
38%
0%
Failed to score
25%
How often Half Time
50%
Wins
38%
25%
Draws
38%
25%
Losses
25%
75%
Over 0.5 goals
75%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
25%
25%
Over 2.5 goals
25%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
5
W
3
3
D
5
W
3
2
W
2
W
1
1
D
1
W
1
2
L
3
2
W
1
W
Falkirk away
2
W
3
3
D
2
W
3
2
W
2
W
1
L
1
1
D
3
1
W
1
L
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.12.24 | Partick – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 23.11.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 16.11.24 | Ayr – Queens Park | 3–2 (2–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 08.11.24 | Morton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 01.11.24 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 2–0 (2–0) | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.35 | 2.25 | 1.62 |
| 26.10.24 | Airdrie Utd – Ayr | 0–1 (0–0) | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 19.10.24 | Ayr – Livingston | 1–2 (1–2) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 05.10.24 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 28.09.24 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 21.09.24 | Queens Park – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
Falkirk all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.12.24 | Falkirk – Raith Rvs | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.57 | 3.90 | 5.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 22.11.24 | Queens Park – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 16.11.24 | Livingston – Falkirk | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 09.11.24 | Falkirk – Airdrie Utd | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| 02.11.24 | Falkirk – Morton | 6–0 (2–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 7.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 26.10.24 | Falkirk – Dunfermline | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.42 | 4.10 | 6.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 18.10.24 | Hamilton – Falkirk | 1–3 (0–3) | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 12.10.24 | Partick – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 08.10.24 | Falkirk – Livingston | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.57 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 05.10.24 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.11.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 16.11.24 | Ayr – Queens Park | 3–2 (2–0) | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 19.10.24 | Ayr – Livingston | 1–2 (1–2) | 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 28.09.24 | Ayr – Morton | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 14.09.24 | Ayr – Partick | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 24.08.24 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.10 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 17.08.24 | Ayr – Hamilton | 3–2 (1–2) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 09.08.24 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 5–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.05.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–3 (1–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.04.24 | Ayr – Arbroath | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Falkirk away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.11.24 | Queens Park – Falkirk | 0–1 (0–1) | 4.33 | 4.20 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 16.11.24 | Livingston – Falkirk | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.90 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 18.10.24 | Hamilton – Falkirk | 1–3 (0–3) | 5.75 | 3.90 | 1.55 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 12.10.24 | Partick – Falkirk | 1–1 (0–0) | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 28.09.24 | Raith Rvs – Falkirk | 1–0 (1–0) | 4.10 | 3.40 | 1.73 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 14.09.24 | Airdrie Utd – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.94 | 1.79 |
| 31.08.24 | Morton – Falkirk | 2–3 (2–2) | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 10.08.24 | Dunfermline – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–1) | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| 27.04.24SC2 | Annan Athletic – Falkirk | 3–3 (1–1) | 4.75 | 4.75 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| 13.04.24SC2 | Hamilton – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
1
Ayr winsDrawsFalkirk wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.10.24SC1 | Falkirk – Ayr | 2–0 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | +22 | 38 |
| 2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | +11 | 33 |
| 3 | Ayr | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 4 | Partick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 26 |
| 5 | Queens Park | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 25 |
| 6 | Dunfermline | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 15 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 15 |
| 9 | Morton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | -23 | 5 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 22 |
| 2 | Livingston | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Ayr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Partick | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +10 | 19 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 | Raith Rvs | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | Hamilton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Morton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 4 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Falkirk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 16 |
| 2 | Livingston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 13 |
| 3 | Queens Park | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
| 4 | Ayr | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Partick | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 |
| 6 | Morton | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 6 |
| 7 | Hamilton | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 5 |
| 8 | Dunfermline | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 9 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 1 |
Ayr Falkirk
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Hamilton | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | 15 |
| 2 | 1 | Falkirk | 16 | 9 | 7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 38 |
| 3 | 2 | Livingston | 16 | 10 | 6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 | 5 | Queens Park | 16 | 11 | 5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | 6 | Dunfermline | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 6 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 15 | 10 | 5 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 29 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | Ayr | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 28 |
| 8 | 4 | Partick | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 26 |
| 9 | 8 | Raith Rvs | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 15 |
| 10 | 9 | Morton | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 15 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Falkirk | 8 | 3 | 5 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 3 | 22 |
| 2 | 3 | Ayr | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | 7 | Hamilton | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 | Livingston | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | 4 | Partick | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 19 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunfermline | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | 8 | Raith Rvs | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | 5 | Queens Park | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 9 | 9 | Morton | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 4 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Hamilton | 8 | 2 | 6 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | Queens Park | 8 | 4 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | Airdrie Utd | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | Livingston | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | 9 | Morton | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | Falkirk | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | 6 | Dunfermline | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raith Rvs | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | Partick | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | Ayr | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06
