Ayr 3–2 Hamilton
Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
1.60
fair 2.06
Draw
3.80
fair 4.03
Away
5.00
fair 3.77
Under 2.5
2.15
fair 2.05
Over 2.5 ✓
1.67
fair 1.95
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Ayr
Hamilton
14
Shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
2
Corners
4
14
Fouls
12
3
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (10 league matches this season so far).
Result
Ayr to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.86
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.12
Home / Draw / Away
49%
25%
27%
AyrDrawHamilton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
49%
51%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
46%
54%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
7%
0
18%
1
24%
2
22%
3
15%
4
14%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8%
1–0 10.5%
2–1 9.5%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Ayr
before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.50scored / match
0.00conceded / match
2
WonDrawnLost
2 played · 7:0
Hamilton
before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
1
1
WonDrawnLost
2 played · 0:2
Ayr all matches
all matches Hamilton
Per match
3.50
Goals scored
0.00
0.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
1.00
18.00
Shots
8.00
9.50
Shots on target
2.00
7.00
Shots faced
11.00
4.50
Corners
4.50
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.50
Fouls
14.00
1.00
Yellow cards
2.50
1.50
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.50
How often Full Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
50%
0%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
50%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
0%
Both teams scored
0%
100%
Clean sheets
50%
0%
Failed to score
100%
How often Half Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
50%
0%
Losses
50%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr all matches
1
2
L
2
1
W
1
2
L
1
1
D
5
W
1
L
D
3
3
D
2
W
5
W
Hamilton all matches
3
W
3
1
W
D
3
1
W
2
L
2
1
W
1
W
4
1
W
2
L
D
Ayr
before this match, at home
3.00points / match
5.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost
1 played · 5:0
Hamilton
before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
1
WonDrawnLost
1 played · 0:0
Ayr at home
away Hamilton
Per match
5.00
Goals scored
0.00
0.00
Goals conceded
0.00
5.00
Total goals
0.00
23.00
Shots
7.00
13.00
Shots on target
1.00
5.00
Shots faced
9.00
4.00
Corners
3.00
5.00
Corners against
4.00
12.00
Fouls
12.00
1.00
Yellow cards
3.00
2.00
1st-half goals scored
0.00
0.00
1st-half goals conceded
0.00
How often Full Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
100%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 3.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 4.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 5.5 goals
0%
0%
Both teams scored
0%
100%
Clean sheets
100%
0%
Failed to score
100%
How often Half Time
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Draws
100%
0%
Losses
0%
100%
Over 0.5 goals
0%
100%
Over 1.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Ayr at home
2
W
1
2
L
1
2
L
4
3
W
1
2
L
2
1
W
1
1
D
5
W
3
3
D
5
W
Hamilton away
5
2
W
2
W
2
3
L
D
5
W
3
1
W
3
1
W
2
1
W
1
W
D
Last 10 matches before this match
Ayr all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.08.24 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 5–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.08.24 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 03.05.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–3 (1–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 27.04.24 | Partick – Ayr | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.04.24 | Dundee United – Ayr | 1–0 (0–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 7.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 13.04.24 | Ayr – Arbroath | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 09.04.24 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 06.04.24 | Raith Rvs – Ayr | 2–1 (1–0) | 1.73 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 29.03.24 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 23.03.24 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Hamilton all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.08.24 | Morton – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 03.08.24 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 04.05.24SC2 | Hamilton – Kelty Hearts | 4–1 (2–1) | 1.60 | 3.80 | 4.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 |
| 27.04.24SC2 | Alloa – Hamilton | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 20.04.24SC2 | Montrose – Hamilton | 1–2 (1–1) | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 13.04.24SC2 | Hamilton – Falkirk | 0–2 (0–0) | 3.00 | 3.80 | 1.95 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 06.04.24SC2 | Annan Athletic – Hamilton | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 30.03.24SC2 | Hamilton – Queen of Sth | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.00 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 23.03.24SC2 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 1–3 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 16.03.24SC2 | Hamilton – Stirling | 3–0 (1–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
Ayr at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09.08.24 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 5–0 (2–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.05.24 | Ayr – Dunfermline | 3–3 (1–3) | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 13.04.24 | Ayr – Arbroath | 5–0 (3–0) | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 09.04.24 | Ayr – Morton | 1–1 (1–1) | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.38 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 29.03.24 | Ayr – Airdrie Utd | 2–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 23.03.24 | Ayr – Queens Park | 1–2 (0–1) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| 27.02.24 | Ayr – Partick | 4–3 (3–1) | 2.63 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 24.02.24 | Ayr – Raith Rvs | 1–2 (1–2) | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 03.02.24 | Ayr – Dundee United | 1–2 (1–0) | 4.33 | 3.80 | 1.67 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 23.01.24 | Ayr – Arbroath | 2–0 (0–0) | 1.62 | 3.80 | 5.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
Hamilton away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.08.24 | Morton – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 27.04.24SC2 | Alloa – Hamilton | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.30 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 20.04.24SC2 | Montrose – Hamilton | 1–2 (1–1) | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| 06.04.24SC2 | Annan Athletic – Hamilton | 1–3 (0–1) | 4.20 | 4.75 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| 23.03.24SC2 | Cove Rangers – Hamilton | 1–3 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 02.03.24SC2 | Kelty Hearts – Hamilton | 0–5 (0–3) | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 27.02.24SC2 | Stirling – Hamilton | 0–0 (0–0) | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 17.02.24SC2 | Falkirk – Hamilton | 3–2 (3–1) | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 03.02.24SC2 | Queen of Sth – Hamilton | 0–2 (0–0) | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 30.12.23SC2 | Edinburgh City – Hamilton | 2–5 (0–5) | – | – | – | – | – |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
5 4
Ayr winsDrawsHamilton wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
22%over 2.5
56%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03.08.24SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–1) | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 18.03.23SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–2) | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.00 | 1.88 | 1.98 |
| 07.01.23SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.25 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 11.11.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 2–3 (0–1) | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 13.08.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 2–2 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 01.04.22SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.80 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| 29.01.22SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 1–1 (1–0) | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| 10.12.21SC1 | Ayr – Hamilton | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.45 | 2.20 | 1.65 |
| 18.09.21SC1 | Hamilton – Ayr | 0–2 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.20 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
Scotland Championship table 2024/2025, before this match
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | +7 | 6 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 3 | Livingston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Raith Rvs | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Airdrie Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
| 6 | Morton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Queens Park | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 8 | Partick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hamilton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Dunfermline | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 2 | Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Falkirk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Airdrie Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Raith Rvs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Morton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Partick | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ayr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Falkirk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 | Livingston | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Hamilton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Morton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Queens Park | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 7 | Partick | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Raith Rvs | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 10 | Airdrie Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Ayr Hamilton
Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ayr | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | 2 | Falkirk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | Airdrie Utd | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | Queens Park | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | Livingston | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | Raith Rvs | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | Morton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | Partick | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dunfermline | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ayr | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | Falkirk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | Raith Rvs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | Airdrie Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | Morton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | Queens Park | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Partick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | 10 | Dunfermline | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| # | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Airdrie Utd | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2 | 7 | Queens Park | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 3 | 1 | Ayr | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | Falkirk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | Livingston | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | Raith Rvs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 | 6 | Morton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | Partick | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dunfermline | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51