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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Scotland Premiership · ·Referee: C Steven

Livingston 3–1 Kilmarnock

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 1.87
Draw 3.30 fair 3.99
Away 3.30 fair 4.67
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.84
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.38 fair 2.19

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Livingston Kilmarnock
12 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 5
16 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (142 league matches this season so far).
Result Livingston to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.60 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
LivingstonDrawKilmarnock
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.1% 1–1 11.8% 2–0 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Livingston before this match, all matches
1.39points / match
1.04scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 24:33
Kilmarnock before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
0.83scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 20:41
Livingston all matches all matches Kilmarnock

Per match

1.04 Goals scored 0.83
1.43 Goals conceded 1.71
2.48 Total goals 2.54
9.39 Shots 11.67
3.39 Shots on target 2.96
14.83 Shots faced 12.50
3.48 Corners 4.33
6.52 Corners against 4.92
12.04 Fouls 12.46
2.00 Yellow cards 1.92
0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

39% Wins 25%
22% Draws 21%
39% Losses 54%
96% Over 0.5 goals 92%
70% Over 1.5 goals 63%
48% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
13% Over 4.5 goals 17%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 42%
26% Clean sheets 21%
30% Failed to score 46%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 21%
39% Draws 29%
26% Losses 50%
65% Over 0.5 goals 75%
30% Over 1.5 goals 29%
22% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Livingston all matches
Kilmarnock all matches
Livingston before this match, at home
1.64points / match
0.91scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:10
Kilmarnock before this match, away
0.17points / match
0.33scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 4:24
Livingston at home away Kilmarnock

Per match

0.91 Goals scored 0.33
0.91 Goals conceded 2.00
1.82 Total goals 2.33
10.00 Shots 9.08
3.64 Shots on target 1.92
13.45 Shots faced 13.92
4.09 Corners 4.25
5.36 Corners against 5.17
13.36 Fouls 12.25
2.00 Yellow cards 1.92
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.08
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

45% Wins 0%
27% Draws 17%
27% Losses 83%
91% Over 0.5 goals 92%
55% Over 1.5 goals 58%
36% Over 2.5 goals 42%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
45% Both teams scored 25%
36% Clean sheets 8%
27% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 0%
36% Draws 25%
9% Losses 75%
73% Over 0.5 goals 75%
18% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Livingston at home
Kilmarnock away

Last 10 matches before this match

Livingston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.23 Celtic – Livingston 3–0 (3–0) 1.1110.0021.00 1.30 3.50
29.01.23 Livingston – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.98 1.88
14.01.23 St Johnstone – Livingston 2–4 (0–3) 2.403.103.20 2.30 1.62
07.01.23 Ross County – Livingston 0–2 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.67
02.01.23 Livingston – Motherwell 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 2.10 1.73
28.12.22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 2.20 1.67
24.12.22 Hibernian – Livingston 4–0 (3–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.22 Celtic – Livingston 2–1 (2–1) 1.1110.0021.00 1.36 3.20
12.11.22 Hearts – Livingston 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.404.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 2.20 1.66

Kilmarnock all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.23 Kilmarnock – Dundee United 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.203.10 2.10 1.73
28.01.23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.67
18.01.23 Kilmarnock – Rangers 2–3 (1–1) 8.005.501.33 1.62 2.30
07.01.23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.0812.0023.00 1.29 3.75
02.01.23 Kilmarnock – St Mirren 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.402.63 2.20 1.67
28.12.22 Kilmarnock – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 3.003.502.30 2.10 1.73
23.12.22 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
12.11.22 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.302.30 2.10 1.72
09.11.22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0 (3–0) 2.453.253.00 2.20 1.66

Livingston at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.23 Livingston – Hearts 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.98 1.88
02.01.23 Livingston – Motherwell 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.402.63 2.10 1.73
28.12.22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 (0–0) 2.383.403.00 2.20 1.67
08.11.22 Livingston – Aberdeen 2–1 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 2.20 1.66
30.10.22 Livingston – Celtic 0–3 (0–1) 11.006.001.25 1.61 2.30
15.10.22 Livingston – St Johnstone 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.254.20 2.50 1.53
08.10.22 Livingston – Ross County 0–1 (0–0) 1.903.404.20 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Livingston – Hearts 1–0 (1–0) 3.403.252.20 2.10 1.72
13.08.22 Livingston – Hibernian 2–1 (1–0) 3.203.102.37 2.50 1.53

Kilmarnock away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23 Ross County – Kilmarnock 3–0 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.20 1.67
07.01.23 Celtic – Kilmarnock 2–0 (1–0) 1.0812.0023.00 1.29 3.75
23.12.22 Motherwell – Kilmarnock 2–2 (1–0) 1.953.503.80 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Hearts – Kilmarnock 3–1 (2–0) 1.803.604.75 1.98 1.88
09.11.22 Dundee United – Kilmarnock 4–0 (3–0) 2.453.253.00 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 St Johnstone – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.453.003.20 2.50 1.53
15.10.22 St Mirren – Kilmarnock 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.253.80 2.20 1.66
01.10.22 Aberdeen – Kilmarnock 4–1 (3–1) 1.663.605.75 2.00 1.80
17.09.22 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66
03.09.22 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Livingston winsDrawsKilmarnock wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.22SC0 Kilmarnock – Livingston 2–3 (2–1) 2.702.903.00 2.50 1.53
17.09.22SC0 Livingston – Kilmarnock 1–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.66

Scotland Premiership table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 24 22 1 1 74 17 +57 67
2 Rangers 24 18 4 2 56 22 +34 58
3 Hearts 24 11 6 7 42 34 +8 39
4 St Mirren 23 9 6 8 26 32 -6 33
5 Livingston 23 9 5 9 24 33 -9 32
6 Hibernian 24 9 4 11 36 38 -2 31
7 Aberdeen 24 9 2 13 36 46 -10 29
8 St Johnstone 24 8 3 13 28 38 -10 27
9 Kilmarnock 24 6 5 13 20 41 -21 23
10 Ross County 24 5 6 13 19 36 -17 21
11 Motherwell 23 5 5 13 26 35 -9 20
12 Dundee United 23 5 5 13 25 40 -15 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 12 12 0 0 37 7 +30 36
2 Rangers 12 10 2 0 32 7 +25 32
3 Hearts 12 8 1 3 28 19 +9 25
4 St Mirren 12 7 4 1 16 8 +8 25
5 Aberdeen 12 7 1 4 27 13 +14 22
6 Hibernian 12 6 3 3 24 14 +10 21
7 Kilmarnock 12 6 3 3 16 17 -1 21
8 Livingston 11 5 3 3 10 10 0 18
9 Dundee United 12 4 1 7 15 22 -7 13
10 Ross County 13 3 3 7 13 22 -9 12
11 St Johnstone 11 3 2 6 12 14 -2 11
12 Motherwell 11 1 3 7 10 19 -9 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Celtic 12 10 1 1 37 10 +27 31
2 Rangers 12 8 2 2 24 15 +9 26
3 St Johnstone 13 5 1 7 16 24 -8 16
4 Motherwell 12 4 2 6 16 16 0 14
5 Hearts 12 3 5 4 14 15 -1 14
6 Livingston 12 4 2 6 14 23 -9 14
7 Hibernian 12 3 1 8 12 24 -12 10
8 Ross County 11 2 3 6 6 14 -8 9
9 St Mirren 11 2 2 7 10 24 -14 8
10 Dundee United 11 1 4 6 10 18 -8 7
11 Aberdeen 12 2 1 9 9 33 -24 7
12 Kilmarnock 12 0 2 10 4 24 -20 2

Livingston   Kilmarnock

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 24 6 18 3.1 0.7 22 1 1 74 17 67
2 2 Rangers 24 7 17 2.3 0.9 18 4 2 56 22 58
3 7 Aberdeen 24 8 16 1.5 1.9 9 2 13 36 46 29
4 3 Hearts 24 9 15 1.8 1.4 11 6 7 42 34 39
5 6 Hibernian 24 10 14 1.5 1.6 9 4 11 36 38 31
6 8 St Johnstone 24 10 14 1.2 1.6 8 3 13 28 38 27
7 11 Motherwell 23 10 13 1.1 1.5 5 5 13 26 35 20
8 4 St Mirren 23 11 12 1.1 1.4 9 6 8 26 32 33
9 9 Kilmarnock 24 12 12 0.8 1.7 6 5 13 20 41 23
10 12 Dundee United 23 11 12 1.1 1.7 5 5 13 25 40 20
11 5 Livingston 23 12 11 1.0 1.4 9 5 9 24 33 32
12 10 Ross County 24 14 10 0.8 1.5 5 6 13 19 36 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Hearts 12 2 10 2.3 1.6 8 1 3 28 19 25
2 1 Celtic 12 3 9 3.1 0.6 12 0 0 37 7 36
3 2 Rangers 12 4 8 2.7 0.6 10 2 0 32 7 32
4 6 Hibernian 12 4 8 2.0 1.2 6 3 3 24 14 21
5 7 Aberdeen 12 5 7 2.2 1.1 7 1 4 27 13 22
6 9 Kilmarnock 12 5 7 1.3 1.4 6 3 3 16 17 21
7 11 Motherwell 11 4 7 0.9 1.7 1 3 7 10 19 6
8 12 Dundee United 12 5 7 1.2 1.8 4 1 7 15 22 13
9 10 Ross County 13 7 6 1.0 1.7 3 3 7 13 22 12
10 8 St Johnstone 11 6 5 1.1 1.3 3 2 6 12 14 11
11 4 St Mirren 12 8 4 1.3 0.7 7 4 1 16 8 25
12 5 Livingston 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 5 3 3 10 10 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Celtic 12 3 9 3.1 0.8 10 1 1 37 10 31
2 2 Rangers 12 3 9 2.0 1.2 8 2 2 24 15 26
3 7 Aberdeen 12 3 9 0.8 2.8 2 1 9 9 33 7
4 8 St Johnstone 13 4 9 1.2 1.8 5 1 7 16 24 16
5 4 St Mirren 11 3 8 0.9 2.2 2 2 7 10 24 8
6 5 Livingston 12 5 7 1.2 1.9 4 2 6 14 23 14
7 6 Hibernian 12 6 6 1.0 2.0 3 1 8 12 24 10
8 11 Motherwell 12 6 6 1.3 1.3 4 2 6 16 16 14
9 3 Hearts 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 3 5 4 14 15 14
10 9 Kilmarnock 12 7 5 0.3 2.0 0 2 10 4 24 2
11 12 Dundee United 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 1 4 6 10 18 7
12 10 Ross County 11 7 4 0.5 1.3 2 3 6 6 14 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51