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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Almeria 1–2 Villarreal

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.40 fair 3.01
Draw 3.80 fair 4.35
Away ✓ 2.05 fair 2.28
Under 2.5 2.30 fair 2.73
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.58

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Almeria Villarreal
24 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 2
10 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (316 league matches this season so far).
Result Villarreal to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.55
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.76
Home / Draw / Away
AlmeriaDrawVillarreal
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.1% 1–2 8.9% 2–1 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Almeria before this match, all matches
0.45points / match
0.97scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 30:62
Villarreal before this match, all matches
1.26points / match
1.58scored / match
1.74conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 49:54
Almeria all matches all matches Villarreal

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.58
2.00 Goals conceded 1.74
2.97 Total goals 3.32
11.87 Shots 11.71
3.97 Shots on target 4.42
15.32 Shots faced 15.00
4.52 Corners 4.90
5.87 Corners against 5.45
13.03 Fouls 13.06
2.39 Yellow cards 2.90
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.61
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

3% Wins 32%
35% Draws 29%
61% Losses 39%
87% Over 0.5 goals 94%
74% Over 1.5 goals 87%
65% Over 2.5 goals 65%
39% Over 3.5 goals 42%
19% Over 4.5 goals 26%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
61% Both teams scored 81%
16% Clean sheets 13%
35% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 19%
42% Draws 45%
42% Losses 35%
74% Over 0.5 goals 71%
48% Over 1.5 goals 45%
13% Over 2.5 goals 23%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almeria all matches
Villarreal all matches
Almeria before this match, at home
0.53points / match
0.93scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:28
Villarreal before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.53scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:28
Almeria at home away Villarreal

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.53
1.87 Goals conceded 1.87
2.80 Total goals 3.40
14.47 Shots 8.73
5.00 Shots on target 3.73
13.27 Shots faced 16.47
4.73 Corners 3.53
4.67 Corners against 7.00
13.20 Fouls 13.27
2.07 Yellow cards 3.40
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

0% Wins 33%
53% Draws 33%
47% Losses 33%
73% Over 0.5 goals 93%
73% Over 1.5 goals 87%
67% Over 2.5 goals 60%
47% Over 3.5 goals 53%
13% Over 4.5 goals 27%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 80%
27% Clean sheets 13%
47% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 20%
47% Draws 47%
40% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
40% Over 1.5 goals 53%
7% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Almeria at home
Villarreal away

Last 10 matches before this match

Almeria all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Sociedad – Almeria 2–2 (1–1) 1.335.0010.00 1.75 2.05
30.03.24 Almeria – Osasuna 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73
17.03.24 Las Palmas – Almeria 0–1 (0–1) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.90
11.03.24 Almeria – Sevilla 2–2 (1–0) 3.103.302.38 1.98 1.92
01.03.24 Celta – Almeria 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.604.20 1.98 1.92
24.02.24 Almeria – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.08
18.02.24 Granada – Almeria 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.40 1.99 1.91
12.02.24 Almeria – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.84 2.06
03.02.24 Valencia – Almeria 2–1 (2–0) 1.653.755.50 2.00 1.90
26.01.24 Almeria – Alaves 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65

Villarreal all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10
01.04.24 Villarreal – Ath Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 2.903.752.25 1.57 2.35
17.03.24 Villarreal – Valencia 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.503.60 2.03 1.87
10.03.24 Betis – Villarreal 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.40 1.75 2.05
03.03.24 Villarreal – Granada 5–1 (3–0) 1.654.005.00 1.62 2.25
23.02.24 Sociedad – Villarreal 1–3 (0–1) 1.733.605.00 2.02 1.88
16.02.24 Villarreal – Getafe 1–1 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 1.99 1.91
10.02.24 Alaves – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.06 1.84
04.02.24 Villarreal – Cadiz 0–0 (0–0) 1.624.005.50 1.89 2.01
27.01.24 Barcelona – Villarreal 3–5 (0–1) 1.365.508.00 1.33 3.40

Almeria at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Almeria – Osasuna 0–3 (0–2) 2.633.202.80 2.08 1.73
11.03.24 Almeria – Sevilla 2–2 (1–0) 3.103.302.38 1.98 1.92
24.02.24 Almeria – Ath Madrid 2–2 (1–1) 4.754.001.70 1.73 2.08
12.02.24 Almeria – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 4.334.001.73 1.84 2.06
26.01.24 Almeria – Alaves 0–3 (0–1) 2.603.202.80 2.20 1.65
14.01.24 Almeria – Girona 0–0 (0–0) 4.504.001.70 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Almeria – Mallorca 0–0 (0–0) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.70
03.12.23 Almeria – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.602.20 1.70 2.10
11.11.23 Almeria – Sociedad 1–3 (0–0) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
28.10.23 Almeria – Las Palmas 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 1.97 1.93

Villarreal away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Ath Bilbao – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Betis – Villarreal 2–3 (2–1) 2.053.503.40 1.75 2.05
23.02.24 Sociedad – Villarreal 1–3 (0–1) 1.733.605.00 2.02 1.88
10.02.24 Alaves – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.06 1.84
27.01.24 Barcelona – Villarreal 3–5 (0–1) 1.365.508.00 1.33 3.40
13.01.24 Las Palmas – Villarreal 3–0 (1–0) 2.503.302.80 2.01 1.89
02.01.24 Valencia – Villarreal 3–1 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 2.04 1.86
17.12.23 Real Madrid – Villarreal 4–1 (2–0) 1.296.009.00 1.40 2.88
03.12.23 Sevilla – Villarreal 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.67 2.15
12.11.23 Ath Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (1–1) 1.365.507.50 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Almeria winsDrawsVillarreal wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.09.23SP1 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (1–1) 1.444.507.00 1.57 2.38
04.03.23SP1 Almeria – Villarreal 0–2 (0–0) 3.503.602.05 1.73 2.10
23.10.22SP1 Villarreal – Almeria 2–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 31 24 6 1 67 20 +47 78
2 Barcelona 31 21 7 3 62 34 +28 70
3 Girona 32 21 5 6 67 40 +27 68
4 Ath Madrid 31 19 4 8 59 36 +23 61
5 Ath Bilbao 32 16 10 6 52 30 +22 58
6 Sociedad 32 13 12 7 46 34 +12 51
7 Betis 32 12 12 8 40 38 +2 48
8 Valencia 32 13 8 11 35 34 +1 47
9 Getafe 32 9 13 10 38 44 -6 40
10 Villarreal 31 10 9 12 49 54 -5 39
11 Osasuna 32 11 6 15 37 46 -9 39
12 Las Palmas 32 10 7 15 30 39 -9 37
13 Sevilla 31 8 10 13 39 44 -5 34
14 Vallecano 32 7 13 12 27 39 -12 34
15 Alaves 31 8 8 15 26 38 -12 32
16 Celta 32 7 10 15 37 47 -10 31
17 Mallorca 31 6 13 12 25 36 -11 31
18 Cadiz 32 4 13 15 22 45 -23 25
19 Granada 32 3 9 20 33 61 -28 18
20 Almeria 31 1 11 19 30 62 -32 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 16 14 1 1 37 17 +20 43
2 Real Madrid 15 13 2 0 37 7 +30 41
3 Girona 16 13 2 1 42 17 +25 41
4 Ath Bilbao 17 11 5 1 38 16 +22 38
5 Barcelona 16 12 1 3 34 19 +15 37
6 Betis 16 8 6 2 23 14 +9 30
7 Valencia 16 8 5 3 19 10 +9 29
8 Getafe 16 8 5 3 19 15 +4 29
9 Sociedad 15 6 6 3 23 17 +6 24
10 Las Palmas 16 6 4 6 17 15 +2 22
11 Mallorca 16 5 7 4 14 13 +1 22
12 Alaves 15 6 3 6 15 17 -2 21
13 Osasuna 16 6 3 7 17 22 -5 21
14 Villarreal 16 5 4 7 26 26 0 19
15 Cadiz 16 4 7 5 14 18 -4 19
16 Sevilla 15 4 5 6 21 23 -2 17
17 Celta 16 4 5 7 14 18 -4 17
18 Vallecano 16 3 8 5 16 23 -7 17
19 Granada 16 3 6 7 20 26 -6 15
20 Almeria 15 0 8 7 14 28 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 16 11 4 1 30 13 +17 37
2 Barcelona 15 9 6 0 28 15 +13 33
3 Sociedad 17 7 6 4 23 17 +6 27
4 Girona 16 8 3 5 25 23 +2 27
5 Ath Bilbao 15 5 5 5 14 14 0 20
6 Villarreal 15 5 5 5 23 28 -5 20
7 Ath Madrid 15 5 3 7 22 19 +3 18
8 Osasuna 16 5 3 8 20 24 -4 18
9 Betis 16 4 6 6 17 24 -7 18
10 Valencia 16 5 3 8 16 24 -8 18
11 Sevilla 16 4 5 7 18 21 -3 17
12 Vallecano 16 4 5 7 11 16 -5 17
13 Las Palmas 16 4 3 9 13 24 -11 15
14 Celta 16 3 5 8 23 29 -6 14
15 Getafe 16 1 8 7 19 29 -10 11
16 Alaves 16 2 5 9 11 21 -10 11
17 Mallorca 15 1 6 8 11 23 -12 9
18 Almeria 16 1 3 12 16 34 -18 6
19 Cadiz 16 0 6 10 8 27 -19 6
20 Granada 16 0 3 13 13 35 -22 3

Almeria   Villarreal

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Girona 32 12 20 2.1 1.2 21 5 6 67 40 68
2 4 Ath Madrid 31 11 20 1.9 1.2 19 4 8 59 36 61
3 10 Villarreal 31 11 20 1.6 1.7 10 9 12 49 54 39
4 20 Almeria 31 11 20 1.0 2.0 1 11 19 30 62 14
5 2 Barcelona 31 13 18 2.0 1.1 21 7 3 62 34 70
6 1 Real Madrid 31 15 16 2.2 0.6 24 6 1 67 20 78
7 16 Celta 32 16 16 1.2 1.5 7 10 15 37 47 31
8 6 Sociedad 32 17 15 1.4 1.1 13 12 7 46 34 51
9 13 Sevilla 31 16 15 1.3 1.4 8 10 13 39 44 34
10 5 Ath Bilbao 32 19 13 1.6 0.9 16 10 6 52 30 58
11 7 Betis 32 19 13 1.2 1.2 12 12 8 40 38 48
12 8 Valencia 32 19 13 1.1 1.1 13 8 11 35 34 47
13 9 Getafe 32 19 13 1.2 1.4 9 13 10 38 44 40
14 11 Osasuna 32 19 13 1.2 1.4 11 6 15 37 46 39
15 19 Granada 32 20 12 1.0 1.9 3 9 20 33 61 18
16 14 Vallecano 32 21 11 0.8 1.2 7 13 12 27 39 34
17 12 Las Palmas 32 22 10 0.9 1.2 10 7 15 30 39 37
18 15 Alaves 31 23 8 0.8 1.2 8 8 15 26 38 32
19 17 Mallorca 31 23 8 0.8 1.2 6 13 12 25 36 31
20 18 Cadiz 32 24 8 0.7 1.4 4 13 15 22 45 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Ath Madrid 16 3 13 2.3 1.1 14 1 1 37 17 43
2 3 Girona 16 5 11 2.6 1.1 13 2 1 42 17 41
3 10 Villarreal 16 5 11 1.6 1.6 5 4 7 26 26 19
4 5 Ath Bilbao 17 7 10 2.2 0.9 11 5 1 38 16 38
5 20 Almeria 15 5 10 0.9 1.9 0 8 7 14 28 8
6 2 Barcelona 16 7 9 2.1 1.2 12 1 3 34 19 37
7 1 Real Madrid 15 7 8 2.5 0.5 13 2 0 37 7 41
8 13 Sevilla 15 7 8 1.4 1.5 4 5 6 21 23 17
9 6 Sociedad 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 6 6 3 23 17 24
10 7 Betis 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 8 6 2 23 14 30
11 8 Valencia 16 10 6 1.2 0.6 8 5 3 19 10 29
12 14 Vallecano 16 10 6 1.0 1.4 3 8 5 16 23 17
13 19 Granada 16 10 6 1.2 1.6 3 6 7 20 26 15
14 11 Osasuna 16 11 5 1.1 1.4 6 3 7 17 22 21
15 12 Las Palmas 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 6 4 6 17 15 22
16 16 Celta 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 4 5 7 14 18 17
17 18 Cadiz 16 11 5 0.9 1.1 4 7 5 14 18 19
18 9 Getafe 16 12 4 1.2 0.9 8 5 3 19 15 29
19 17 Mallorca 16 12 4 0.9 0.8 5 7 4 14 13 22
20 15 Alaves 15 12 3 1.0 1.1 6 3 6 15 17 21
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Celta 16 5 11 1.4 1.8 3 5 8 23 29 14
2 20 Almeria 16 6 10 1.0 2.1 1 3 12 16 34 6
3 2 Barcelona 15 6 9 1.9 1.0 9 6 0 28 15 33
4 3 Girona 16 7 9 1.6 1.4 8 3 5 25 23 27
5 6 Sociedad 17 8 9 1.4 1.0 7 6 4 23 17 27
6 9 Getafe 16 7 9 1.2 1.8 1 8 7 19 29 11
7 10 Villarreal 15 6 9 1.5 1.9 5 5 5 23 28 20
8 1 Real Madrid 16 8 8 1.9 0.8 11 4 1 30 13 37
9 11 Osasuna 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 3 8 20 24 18
10 4 Ath Madrid 15 8 7 1.5 1.3 5 3 7 22 19 18
11 7 Betis 16 9 7 1.1 1.5 4 6 6 17 24 18
12 8 Valencia 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 5 3 8 16 24 18
13 13 Sevilla 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 4 5 7 18 21 17
14 19 Granada 16 10 6 0.8 2.2 0 3 13 13 35 3
15 12 Las Palmas 16 11 5 0.8 1.5 4 3 9 13 24 15
16 14 Vallecano 16 11 5 0.7 1.0 4 5 7 11 16 17
17 15 Alaves 16 11 5 0.7 1.3 2 5 9 11 21 11
18 17 Mallorca 15 11 4 0.7 1.5 1 6 8 11 23 9
19 5 Ath Bilbao 15 12 3 0.9 0.9 5 5 5 14 14 20
20 18 Cadiz 16 13 3 0.5 1.7 0 6 10 8 27 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44