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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Valencia 1–2 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 7.00 fair 3.39
Draw 4.50 fair 4.13
Away ✓ 1.42 fair 2.16
Under 2.5 2.20 fair 2.26
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.80

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Valencia Real Madrid
8 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 5
16 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (181 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.27 – 1.64
Home / Draw / Away
ValenciaDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 1–2 9.3% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Valencia before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
0.94scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:26
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.22points / match
2.28scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 41:18
Valencia all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 2.28
1.53 Goals conceded 1.00
2.47 Total goals 3.28
9.65 Shots 15.00
3.00 Shots on target 6.33
9.88 Shots faced 9.94
5.88 Corners 5.39
4.29 Corners against 4.44
11.82 Fouls 9.00
2.29 Yellow cards 1.56
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.89
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.22

How often Full Time

12% Wins 67%
35% Draws 22%
53% Losses 11%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 100%
47% Over 2.5 goals 61%
24% Over 3.5 goals 33%
12% Over 4.5 goals 22%
6% Over 5.5 goals 11%
53% Both teams scored 50%
18% Clean sheets 44%
41% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

6% Wins 50%
47% Draws 44%
47% Losses 6%
82% Over 0.5 goals 61%
35% Over 1.5 goals 28%
6% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Valencia before this match, at home
1.13points / match
1.50scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:11
Real Madrid before this match, away
1.78points / match
1.89scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 17:9
Valencia at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.89
1.38 Goals conceded 1.00
2.88 Total goals 2.89
11.50 Shots 13.89
4.00 Shots on target 5.89
9.88 Shots faced 10.22
7.38 Corners 4.22
4.25 Corners against 4.89
11.50 Fouls 9.67
2.75 Yellow cards 1.33
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

25% Wins 44%
38% Draws 44%
38% Losses 11%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 56%
38% Over 3.5 goals 11%
25% Over 4.5 goals 11%
13% Over 5.5 goals 11%
63% Both teams scored 67%
25% Clean sheets 33%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 44%
75% Draws 44%
25% Losses 11%
75% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 11%
0% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Valencia at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Valencia all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Valencia – Alaves 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.63 1.50
18.12.24 Espanol – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
13.12.24 Valladolid – Valencia 1–0 (1–0) 3.103.102.38 2.50 1.53
07.12.24 Valencia – Vallecano 0–1 (0–1) 2.252.903.75 2.75 1.44
29.11.24 Mallorca – Valencia 2–1 (1–1) 2.003.004.50 3.20 1.36
23.11.24 Valencia – Betis 4–2 (1–1) 3.003.002.60 2.50 1.53
27.10.24 Getafe – Valencia 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.103.80 3.20 1.36
21.10.24 Valencia – Las Palmas 2–3 (1–1) 1.623.805.50 2.20 1.67
04.10.24 Leganes – Valencia 0–0 (0–0) 2.902.882.80 3.20 1.36
28.09.24 Sociedad – Valencia 3–0 (1–0) 1.853.254.75 2.63 1.50

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Real Madrid – Sevilla 4–2 (3–1) 1.335.509.00 1.53 2.50
14.12.24 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–3 (2–2) 6.003.801.57 1.89 2.01
07.12.24 Girona – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.901.73 1.62 2.30
04.12.24 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.25 1.86 2.04
01.12.24 Real Madrid – Getafe 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.5010.00 2.03 1.87
24.11.24 Leganes – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 7.504.501.42 1.86 2.04
09.11.24 Real Madrid – Osasuna 4–0 (2–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.48 2.60
26.10.24 Real Madrid – Barcelona 0–4 (0–0) 2.004.103.25 1.40 3.00
19.10.24 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.62 2.30
05.10.24 Real Madrid – Villarreal 2–0 (1–0) 1.276.258.50 1.33 3.40

Valencia at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.12.24 Valencia – Alaves 2–2 (0–1) 2.253.103.50 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Valencia – Vallecano 0–1 (0–1) 2.252.903.75 2.75 1.44
23.11.24 Valencia – Betis 4–2 (1–1) 3.003.002.60 2.50 1.53
21.10.24 Valencia – Las Palmas 2–3 (1–1) 1.623.805.50 2.20 1.67
24.09.24 Valencia – Osasuna 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.104.00 2.63 1.50
21.09.24 Valencia – Girona 2–0 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.07 1.83
31.08.24 Valencia – Villarreal 1–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.45 1.84 2.06
17.08.24 Valencia – Barcelona 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.801.73 1.85 2.05
19.05.24 Valencia – Girona 1–3 (0–1) 3.003.502.30 1.73 2.10
12.05.24 Valencia – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.50 2.50 1.53

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.24 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–3 (2–2) 6.003.801.57 1.89 2.01
07.12.24 Girona – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.901.73 1.62 2.30
04.12.24 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 2–1 (0–0) 3.203.302.25 1.86 2.04
24.11.24 Leganes – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–1) 7.504.501.42 1.86 2.04
19.10.24 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.62 2.30
29.09.24 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Sociedad – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.753.901.67 2.00 1.90
29.08.24 Las Palmas – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 8.005.001.38 1.57 2.38
18.08.24 Mallorca – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 8.004.201.45 1.95 1.95
19.05.24 Villarreal – Real Madrid 4–4 (1–4) 3.203.752.05 1.44 2.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Valencia winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
6matches
3.50goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 2–2 (2–1) 5.253.801.67 2.02 1.88
11.11.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 5–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.50 1.60 2.30
21.05.23SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.502.20 1.73 2.10
02.02.23SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 2–0 (0–0) 1.444.756.50 1.62 2.30
08.01.22SP1 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 1.375.008.00 1.57 2.37
19.09.21SP1 Valencia – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–0) 3.803.801.90 1.72 2.10

Spain La Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 18 12 5 1 33 12 +21 41
2 Real Madrid 18 12 4 2 41 18 +23 40
3 Barcelona 19 12 2 5 51 22 +29 38
4 Ath Bilbao 19 10 6 3 29 17 +12 36
5 Villarreal 18 8 6 4 34 30 +4 30
6 Mallorca 19 9 3 7 19 21 -2 30
7 Sociedad 18 7 4 7 16 13 +3 25
8 Girona 18 7 4 7 26 25 +1 25
9 Betis 18 6 7 5 21 22 -1 25
10 Osasuna 18 6 7 5 23 27 -4 25
11 Celta 18 7 3 8 27 28 -1 24
12 Vallecano 18 5 7 6 20 21 -1 22
13 Las Palmas 18 6 4 8 23 27 -4 22
14 Sevilla 18 6 4 8 20 27 -7 22
15 Leganes 18 4 6 8 17 28 -11 18
16 Alaves 18 4 5 9 21 30 -9 17
17 Getafe 18 3 7 8 11 15 -4 16
18 Espanol 18 4 3 11 16 30 -14 15
19 Valencia 17 2 6 9 16 26 -10 12
20 Valladolid 18 3 3 12 12 37 -25 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 9 8 0 1 24 9 +15 24
2 Ath Madrid 9 7 2 0 19 6 +13 23
3 Ath Bilbao 10 6 3 1 16 7 +9 21
4 Celta 10 6 2 2 17 9 +8 20
5 Osasuna 10 5 3 2 18 14 +4 18
6 Girona 9 5 1 3 18 13 +5 16
7 Betis 9 4 4 1 13 9 +4 16
8 Sevilla 9 5 1 3 8 8 0 16
9 Barcelona 8 5 0 3 20 8 +12 15
10 Mallorca 10 4 3 3 9 11 -2 15
11 Getafe 10 3 5 2 8 5 +3 14
12 Espanol 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14
13 Villarreal 9 3 4 2 18 17 +1 13
14 Las Palmas 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
15 Alaves 8 3 3 2 9 9 0 12
16 Sociedad 9 3 2 4 9 9 0 11
17 Leganes 9 3 1 5 8 15 -7 10
18 Valencia 8 2 3 3 12 11 +1 9
19 Vallecano 8 2 3 3 12 13 -1 9
20 Valladolid 9 2 3 4 6 12 -6 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 11 7 2 2 31 14 +17 23
2 Ath Madrid 9 5 3 1 14 6 +8 18
3 Villarreal 9 5 2 2 16 13 +3 17
4 Real Madrid 9 4 4 1 17 9 +8 16
5 Ath Bilbao 9 4 3 2 13 10 +3 15
6 Mallorca 9 5 0 4 10 10 0 15
7 Sociedad 9 4 2 3 7 4 +3 14
8 Vallecano 10 3 4 3 8 8 0 13
9 Las Palmas 9 3 1 5 11 15 -4 10
10 Girona 9 2 3 4 8 12 -4 9
11 Betis 9 2 3 4 8 13 -5 9
12 Leganes 9 1 5 3 9 13 -4 8
13 Osasuna 8 1 4 3 5 13 -8 7
14 Sevilla 9 1 3 5 12 19 -7 6
15 Alaves 10 1 2 7 12 21 -9 5
16 Celta 8 1 1 6 10 19 -9 4
17 Valencia 9 0 3 6 4 15 -11 3
18 Valladolid 9 1 0 8 6 25 -19 3
19 Getafe 8 0 2 6 3 10 -7 2
20 Espanol 9 0 1 8 4 19 -15 1

Valencia   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Barcelona 19 3 16 2.7 1.2 12 2 5 51 22 38
2 5 Villarreal 18 5 13 1.9 1.7 8 6 4 34 30 30
3 2 Real Madrid 18 7 11 2.3 1.0 12 4 2 41 18 40
4 11 Celta 18 7 11 1.5 1.6 7 3 8 27 28 24
5 16 Alaves 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 4 5 9 21 30 17
6 20 Valladolid 18 7 11 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 37 12
7 8 Girona 18 8 10 1.4 1.4 7 4 7 26 25 25
8 10 Osasuna 18 8 10 1.3 1.5 6 7 5 23 27 25
9 13 Las Palmas 18 8 10 1.3 1.5 6 4 8 23 27 22
10 18 Espanol 18 9 9 0.9 1.7 4 3 11 16 30 15
11 1 Ath Madrid 18 10 8 1.8 0.7 12 5 1 33 12 41
12 4 Ath Bilbao 19 11 8 1.5 0.9 10 6 3 29 17 36
13 6 Mallorca 19 11 8 1.0 1.1 9 3 7 19 21 30
14 12 Vallecano 18 10 8 1.1 1.2 5 7 6 20 21 22
15 19 Valencia 17 9 8 0.9 1.5 2 6 9 16 26 12
16 9 Betis 18 11 7 1.2 1.2 6 7 5 21 22 25
17 14 Sevilla 18 11 7 1.1 1.5 6 4 8 20 27 22
18 15 Leganes 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 8 17 28 18
19 7 Sociedad 18 14 4 0.9 0.7 7 4 7 16 13 25
20 17 Getafe 18 17 1 0.6 0.8 3 7 8 11 15 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Villarreal 9 2 7 2.0 1.9 3 4 2 18 17 13
2 8 Girona 9 2 7 2.0 1.4 5 1 3 18 13 16
3 10 Osasuna 10 3 7 1.8 1.4 5 3 2 18 14 18
4 2 Real Madrid 9 3 6 2.7 1.0 8 0 1 24 9 24
5 3 Barcelona 8 2 6 2.5 1.0 5 0 3 20 8 15
6 1 Ath Madrid 9 4 5 2.1 0.7 7 2 0 19 6 23
7 11 Celta 10 5 5 1.7 0.9 6 2 2 17 9 20
8 12 Vallecano 8 3 5 1.5 1.6 2 3 3 12 13 9
9 15 Leganes 9 4 5 0.9 1.7 3 1 5 8 15 10
10 18 Espanol 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14
11 6 Mallorca 10 6 4 0.9 1.1 4 3 3 9 11 15
12 9 Betis 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 4 1 13 9 16
13 13 Las Palmas 9 5 4 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
14 19 Valencia 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 2 3 3 12 11 9
15 20 Valladolid 9 5 4 0.7 1.3 2 3 4 6 12 9
16 4 Ath Bilbao 10 7 3 1.6 0.7 6 3 1 16 7 21
17 7 Sociedad 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 2 4 9 9 11
18 16 Alaves 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 3 3 2 9 9 12
19 14 Sevilla 9 7 2 0.9 0.9 5 1 3 8 8 16
20 17 Getafe 10 10 0 0.8 0.5 3 5 2 8 5 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Barcelona 11 1 10 2.8 1.3 7 2 2 31 14 23
2 16 Alaves 10 2 8 1.2 2.1 1 2 7 12 21 5
3 20 Valladolid 9 2 7 0.7 2.8 1 0 8 6 25 3
4 5 Villarreal 9 3 6 1.8 1.4 5 2 2 16 13 17
5 11 Celta 8 2 6 1.2 2.4 1 1 6 10 19 4
6 13 Las Palmas 9 3 6 1.2 1.7 3 1 5 11 15 10
7 2 Real Madrid 9 4 5 1.9 1.0 4 4 1 17 9 16
8 4 Ath Bilbao 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 4 3 2 13 10 15
9 14 Sevilla 9 4 5 1.3 2.1 1 3 5 12 19 6
10 6 Mallorca 9 5 4 1.1 1.1 5 0 4 10 10 15
11 18 Espanol 9 5 4 0.4 2.1 0 1 8 4 19 1
12 19 Valencia 9 5 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 6 4 15 3
13 1 Ath Madrid 9 6 3 1.6 0.7 5 3 1 14 6 18
14 8 Girona 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 2 3 4 8 12 9
15 9 Betis 9 6 3 0.9 1.4 2 3 4 8 13 9
16 10 Osasuna 8 5 3 0.6 1.6 1 4 3 5 13 7
17 12 Vallecano 10 7 3 0.8 0.8 3 4 3 8 8 13
18 15 Leganes 9 7 2 1.0 1.4 1 5 3 9 13 8
19 7 Sociedad 9 8 1 0.8 0.4 4 2 3 7 4 14
20 17 Getafe 8 7 1 0.4 1.2 0 2 6 3 10 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51