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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 2–1 Vallecano

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.25 fair 1.52
Draw 6.00 fair 4.93
Away 12.00 fair 7.08
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.17
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Vallecano
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 4
6 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 8
0 Red cards 2

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (214 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.93
Expected goals 2.02 – 0.81
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawVallecano
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 12% 1–0 11.9% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.43points / match
2.14scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 45:17
Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.81scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 17:28
Real Madrid all matches all matches Vallecano

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 0.81
0.81 Goals conceded 1.33
2.95 Total goals 2.14
19.43 Shots 13.43
7.24 Shots on target 4.38
10.10 Shots faced 12.00
6.33 Corners 5.95
3.52 Corners against 4.90
10.05 Fouls 13.57
1.71 Yellow cards 2.57
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.48
0.24 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

76% Wins 24%
14% Draws 33%
10% Losses 43%
95% Over 0.5 goals 86%
86% Over 1.5 goals 62%
57% Over 2.5 goals 38%
29% Over 3.5 goals 24%
14% Over 4.5 goals 5%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 38%
48% Clean sheets 29%
10% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 24%
43% Draws 43%
5% Losses 33%
62% Over 0.5 goals 62%
33% Over 1.5 goals 19%
19% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Vallecano all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.70points / match
2.30scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 23:6
Vallecano before this match, away
0.91points / match
0.82scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:19
Real Madrid at home away Vallecano

Per match

2.30 Goals scored 0.82
0.60 Goals conceded 1.73
2.90 Total goals 2.55
20.70 Shots 11.73
8.00 Shots on target 3.73
9.10 Shots faced 12.36
6.60 Corners 5.09
2.70 Corners against 5.18
10.80 Fouls 14.45
2.40 Yellow cards 2.82
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.55
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

90% Wins 27%
0% Draws 9%
10% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
90% Over 1.5 goals 64%
50% Over 2.5 goals 55%
30% Over 3.5 goals 36%
10% Over 4.5 goals 9%
10% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 18%
50% Clean sheets 27%
10% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 18%
40% Draws 36%
0% Losses 45%
60% Over 0.5 goals 73%
30% Over 1.5 goals 27%
30% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Vallecano away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.902.00 1.50 2.63
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.29 3.75
04.01.26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.44 2.75
20.12.25 Real Madrid – Sevilla 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.25 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.60 1.73 2.10
07.12.25 Real Madrid – Celta 0–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.36 3.20
03.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Girona – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 6.505.251.40 1.40 3.00
23.11.25 Elche – Real Madrid 2–2 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Vallecano – Osasuna 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.253.60 2.30 1.62
18.01.26 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
11.01.26 Vallecano – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.913.304.33 2.50 1.53
02.01.26 Vallecano – Getafe 1–1 (1–0) 2.052.904.50 3.40 1.33
21.12.25 Elche – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 2.403.103.20 2.38 1.57
15.12.25 Vallecano – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.75 1.95 1.90
07.12.25 Espanol – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.67
01.12.25 Vallecano – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
23.11.25 Oviedo – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.62
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.29 3.75
04.01.26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.44 2.75
20.12.25 Real Madrid – Sevilla 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.36 3.20
07.12.25 Real Madrid – Celta 0–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.36 3.20
01.11.25 Real Madrid – Valencia 4–0 (3–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.36 3.20
26.10.25 Real Madrid – Barcelona 2–1 (2–1) 1.954.103.30 1.30 3.50
04.10.25 Real Madrid – Villarreal 3–1 (0–0) 1.455.006.00 1.40 3.00
20.09.25 Real Madrid – Espanol 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.40 3.00
30.08.25 Real Madrid – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.187.0015.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.25 Real Madrid – Osasuna 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.2513.00 1.50 2.63

Vallecano away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.26 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
21.12.25 Elche – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 2.403.103.20 2.38 1.57
07.12.25 Espanol – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.67
23.11.25 Oviedo – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.62
01.11.25 Villarreal – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 1.703.805.00 1.73 2.10
19.10.25 Levante – Vallecano 0–3 (0–2) 2.883.252.50 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Sociedad – Vallecano 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 2.10 1.73
24.09.25 Ath Madrid – Vallecano 3–2 (1–1) 1.504.506.00 1.88 1.98
14.09.25 Osasuna – Vallecano 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67
25.08.25 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsVallecano wins
9matches
2.56goals / match
56%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
09.03.25SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–1) 1.295.759.50 1.53 2.32
14.12.24SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–3 (2–2) 6.003.801.57 1.89 2.01
18.02.24SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–1) 6.003.751.62 1.88 2.02
05.11.23SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 0–0 (0–0) 1.295.5012.00 1.53 2.40
24.05.23SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.62 2.30
07.11.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 3–2 (2–2) 4.754.201.65 1.72 2.10
26.02.22SP1 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.66 1.86 2.04
06.11.21SP1 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.508.00 1.53 2.50

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 22 18 1 3 60 23 +37 55
2 Real Madrid 21 16 3 2 45 17 +28 51
3 Ath Madrid 22 13 6 3 38 17 +21 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 39 23 +16 42
5 Espanol 22 10 4 8 26 27 -1 34
6 Betis 21 8 8 5 34 27 +7 32
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 29 23 +6 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 29 29 0 27
9 Osasuna 22 7 5 10 26 27 -1 26
10 Alaves 22 7 4 11 20 27 -7 25
11 Girona 22 6 7 9 21 36 -15 25
12 Elche 22 5 9 8 30 32 -2 24
13 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 28 33 -5 24
14 Ath Bilbao 21 7 3 11 20 30 -10 24
15 Valencia 21 5 8 8 22 33 -11 23
16 Vallecano 21 5 7 9 17 28 -11 22
17 Getafe 21 6 4 11 16 27 -11 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 24 33 -9 21
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 24 34 -10 18
20 Oviedo 22 3 7 12 12 34 -22 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 11 10 1 0 26 7 +19 31
2 Barcelona 10 10 0 0 31 5 +26 30
3 Real Madrid 10 9 0 1 23 6 +17 27
4 Villarreal 11 8 1 2 23 9 +14 25
5 Osasuna 11 6 3 2 20 13 +7 21
6 Elche 12 5 5 2 20 13 +7 20
7 Betis 10 6 1 3 20 11 +9 19
8 Espanol 12 6 1 5 14 16 -2 19
9 Alaves 11 5 3 3 14 11 +3 18
10 Valencia 11 4 5 2 15 11 +4 17
11 Sociedad 11 5 2 4 18 16 +2 17
12 Mallorca 10 4 4 2 14 13 +1 16
13 Ath Bilbao 10 5 1 4 10 11 -1 16
14 Celta 11 3 5 3 16 13 +3 14
15 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 16 17 -1 13
16 Girona 11 3 4 4 10 18 -8 13
17 Vallecano 10 2 6 2 8 9 -1 12
18 Getafe 10 3 2 5 8 9 -1 11
19 Oviedo 11 2 5 4 4 11 -7 11
20 Levante 10 1 4 5 11 20 -9 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 12 8 1 3 29 18 +11 25
2 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 22 11 +11 24
3 Celta 10 5 3 2 13 10 +3 18
4 Villarreal 10 5 2 3 16 14 +2 17
5 Espanol 10 4 3 3 12 11 +1 15
6 Ath Madrid 11 3 5 3 12 10 +2 14
7 Betis 11 2 7 2 14 16 -2 13
8 Girona 11 3 3 5 11 18 -7 12
9 Levante 11 3 2 6 13 14 -1 11
10 Sevilla 10 3 2 5 12 16 -4 11
11 Getafe 11 3 2 6 8 18 -10 11
12 Sociedad 10 2 4 4 11 13 -2 10
13 Vallecano 11 3 1 7 9 19 -10 10
14 Ath Bilbao 11 2 2 7 10 19 -9 8
15 Alaves 11 2 1 8 6 16 -10 7
16 Valencia 10 1 3 6 7 22 -15 6
17 Osasuna 11 1 2 8 6 14 -8 5
18 Mallorca 11 1 2 8 10 20 -10 5
19 Oviedo 11 1 2 8 8 23 -15 5
20 Elche 10 0 4 6 10 19 -9 4

Real Madrid   Vallecano

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 22 4 18 2.7 1.0 18 1 3 60 23 55
2 13 Sevilla 21 7 14 1.3 1.6 7 3 11 28 33 24
3 18 Mallorca 21 8 13 1.1 1.6 5 6 10 24 33 21
4 2 Real Madrid 21 9 12 2.1 0.8 16 3 2 45 17 51
5 8 Sociedad 21 9 12 1.4 1.4 7 6 8 29 29 27
6 12 Elche 22 10 12 1.4 1.5 5 9 8 30 32 24
7 4 Villarreal 21 10 11 1.9 1.1 13 3 5 39 23 42
8 11 Girona 22 11 11 1.0 1.6 6 7 9 21 36 25
9 5 Espanol 22 12 10 1.2 1.2 10 4 8 26 27 34
10 6 Betis 21 11 10 1.6 1.3 8 8 5 34 27 32
11 10 Alaves 22 12 10 0.9 1.2 7 4 11 20 27 25
12 19 Levante 21 11 10 1.1 1.6 4 6 11 24 34 18
13 3 Ath Madrid 22 13 9 1.7 0.8 13 6 3 38 17 45
14 9 Osasuna 22 13 9 1.2 1.2 7 5 10 26 27 26
15 14 Ath Bilbao 21 12 9 1.0 1.4 7 3 11 20 30 24
16 15 Valencia 21 12 9 1.0 1.6 5 8 8 22 33 23
17 16 Vallecano 21 13 8 0.8 1.3 5 7 9 17 28 22
18 7 Celta 21 14 7 1.4 1.1 8 8 5 29 23 32
19 17 Getafe 21 14 7 0.8 1.3 6 4 11 16 27 22
20 20 Oviedo 22 15 7 0.5 1.5 3 7 12 12 34 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 10 1 9 3.1 0.5 10 0 0 31 5 30
2 8 Sociedad 11 3 8 1.6 1.5 5 2 4 18 16 17
3 13 Sevilla 11 3 8 1.5 1.5 4 1 6 16 17 13
4 12 Elche 12 5 7 1.7 1.1 5 5 2 20 13 20
5 3 Ath Madrid 11 5 6 2.4 0.6 10 1 0 26 7 31
6 4 Villarreal 11 5 6 2.1 0.8 8 1 2 23 9 25
7 5 Espanol 12 6 6 1.2 1.3 6 1 5 14 16 19
8 9 Osasuna 11 5 6 1.8 1.2 6 3 2 20 13 21
9 10 Alaves 11 5 6 1.3 1.0 5 3 3 14 11 18
10 19 Levante 10 4 6 1.1 2.0 1 4 5 11 20 7
11 2 Real Madrid 10 5 5 2.3 0.6 9 0 1 23 6 27
12 6 Betis 10 5 5 2.0 1.1 6 1 3 20 11 19
13 11 Girona 11 6 5 0.9 1.6 3 4 4 10 18 13
14 18 Mallorca 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 4 4 2 14 13 16
15 14 Ath Bilbao 10 6 4 1.0 1.1 5 1 4 10 11 16
16 7 Celta 11 8 3 1.5 1.2 3 5 3 16 13 14
17 15 Valencia 11 8 3 1.4 1.0 4 5 2 15 11 17
18 16 Vallecano 10 8 2 0.8 0.9 2 6 2 8 9 12
19 17 Getafe 10 8 2 0.8 0.9 3 2 5 8 9 11
20 20 Oviedo 11 9 2 0.4 1.0 2 5 4 4 11 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 12 3 9 2.4 1.5 8 1 3 29 18 25
2 18 Mallorca 11 3 8 0.9 1.8 1 2 8 10 20 5
3 2 Real Madrid 11 4 7 2.0 1.0 7 3 1 22 11 24
4 11 Girona 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 3 3 5 11 18 12
5 13 Sevilla 10 4 6 1.2 1.6 3 2 5 12 16 11
6 15 Valencia 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 1 3 6 7 22 6
7 16 Vallecano 11 5 6 0.8 1.7 3 1 7 9 19 10
8 4 Villarreal 10 5 5 1.6 1.4 5 2 3 16 14 17
9 6 Betis 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 2 7 2 14 16 13
10 12 Elche 10 5 5 1.0 1.9 0 4 6 10 19 4
11 14 Ath Bilbao 11 6 5 0.9 1.7 2 2 7 10 19 8
12 17 Getafe 11 6 5 0.7 1.6 3 2 6 8 18 11
13 20 Oviedo 11 6 5 0.7 2.1 1 2 8 8 23 5
14 5 Espanol 10 6 4 1.2 1.1 4 3 3 12 11 15
15 7 Celta 10 6 4 1.3 1.0 5 3 2 13 10 18
16 8 Sociedad 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 2 4 4 11 13 10
17 10 Alaves 11 7 4 0.5 1.5 2 1 8 6 16 7
18 19 Levante 11 7 4 1.2 1.3 3 2 6 13 14 11
19 3 Ath Madrid 11 8 3 1.1 0.9 3 5 3 12 10 14
20 9 Osasuna 11 8 3 0.5 1.3 1 2 8 6 14 5

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51