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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Vallecano 1–1 Ath Bilbao

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.40 fair 2.24
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.72
Away 3.20 fair 3.51
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.79
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.26

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Vallecano Ath Bilbao
15 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
5 Corners 4
8 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (250 league matches this season so far).
Result Vallecano to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.39 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
VallecanoDrawAth Bilbao
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 1–0 12.1% 0–1 9.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Vallecano before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
0.92scored / match
1.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 22:31
Ath Bilbao before this match, all matches
1.36points / match
1.16scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 29:35
Vallecano all matches all matches Ath Bilbao

Per match

0.92 Goals scored 1.16
1.29 Goals conceded 1.40
2.21 Total goals 2.56
13.25 Shots 14.48
4.50 Shots on target 4.64
12.13 Shots faced 9.44
5.75 Corners 5.44
5.13 Corners against 3.88
13.58 Fouls 13.84
2.75 Yellow cards 2.36
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

25% Wins 40%
33% Draws 16%
42% Losses 44%
88% Over 0.5 goals 96%
67% Over 1.5 goals 72%
42% Over 2.5 goals 48%
21% Over 3.5 goals 20%
4% Over 4.5 goals 16%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
42% Both teams scored 52%
29% Clean sheets 20%
42% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 20%
42% Draws 56%
33% Losses 24%
67% Over 0.5 goals 60%
25% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Vallecano all matches
Ath Bilbao all matches
Vallecano before this match, at home
1.36points / match
1.00scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:9
Ath Bilbao before this match, away
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:20
Vallecano at home away Ath Bilbao

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.82 Goals conceded 1.67
1.82 Total goals 2.67
15.09 Shots 13.58
5.45 Shots on target 4.33
11.36 Shots faced 11.75
6.64 Corners 5.17
4.91 Corners against 4.00
12.36 Fouls 13.58
2.18 Yellow cards 2.42
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

27% Wins 25%
55% Draws 17%
18% Losses 58%
82% Over 0.5 goals 92%
64% Over 1.5 goals 83%
27% Over 2.5 goals 50%
9% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 50%
36% Clean sheets 17%
27% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 8%
45% Draws 67%
18% Losses 25%
55% Over 0.5 goals 58%
18% Over 1.5 goals 42%
9% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Vallecano at home
Ath Bilbao away

Last 10 matches before this match

Vallecano all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Betis – Vallecano 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.404.33 1.93 1.93
15.02.26 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 4.203.301.83 2.10 1.73
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
24.01.26 Vallecano – Osasuna 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.253.60 2.30 1.62
18.01.26 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
11.01.26 Vallecano – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.913.304.33 2.50 1.53
02.01.26 Vallecano – Getafe 1–1 (1–0) 2.052.904.50 3.40 1.33
21.12.25 Elche – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 2.403.103.20 2.38 1.57
15.12.25 Vallecano – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.75 1.95 1.90
07.12.25 Espanol – Vallecano 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 2.20 1.67

Ath Bilbao all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.02.26 Ath Bilbao – Elche 2–1 (0–0) 1.673.805.25 1.80 2.00
15.02.26 Oviedo – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.102.15 2.30 1.62
08.02.26 Ath Bilbao – Levante 4–2 (2–0) 1.623.906.00 2.00 1.85
01.02.26 Ath Bilbao – Sociedad 1–1 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.20 1.67
24.01.26 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.002.63 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Mallorca – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (2–2) 3.802.902.25 2.50 1.53
03.01.26 Osasuna – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (1–0) 3.002.902.63 2.38 1.57
22.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Espanol 1–2 (1–1) 1.753.605.00 2.30 1.62
14.12.25 Celta – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.75 2.10 1.73
06.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Ath Madrid 1–0 (0–0) 3.253.252.25 2.20 1.67

Vallecano at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Vallecano – Ath Madrid 3–0 (2–0) 4.203.301.83 2.10 1.73
24.01.26 Vallecano – Osasuna 1–3 (0–1) 2.153.253.60 2.30 1.62
11.01.26 Vallecano – Mallorca 2–1 (2–1) 1.913.304.33 2.50 1.53
02.01.26 Vallecano – Getafe 1–1 (1–0) 2.052.904.50 3.40 1.33
15.12.25 Vallecano – Betis 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.12.25 Vallecano – Valencia 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.404.10 2.10 1.73
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
26.10.25 Vallecano – Alaves 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.103.90 2.63 1.50
28.09.25 Vallecano – Sevilla 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Vallecano – Celta 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.80

Ath Bilbao away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.26 Oviedo – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–0) 3.603.102.15 2.30 1.62
24.01.26 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 2–1 (1–1) 2.883.002.63 2.30 1.62
17.01.26 Mallorca – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (2–2) 3.802.902.25 2.50 1.53
03.01.26 Osasuna – Ath Bilbao 1–1 (1–0) 3.002.902.63 2.38 1.57
14.12.25 Celta – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.75 2.10 1.73
29.11.25 Levante – Ath Bilbao 0–2 (0–2) 3.503.302.15 2.10 1.73
22.11.25 Barcelona – Ath Bilbao 4–0 (2–0) 1.365.507.00 1.53 2.50
01.11.25 Sociedad – Ath Bilbao 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.002.80 2.50 1.53
19.10.25 Elche – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.252.10 2.30 1.62
27.09.25 Villarreal – Ath Bilbao 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.70 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Vallecano winsDrawsAth Bilbao wins
9matches
2.44goals / match
56%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.08.25SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.50 2.20 1.67
13.04.25SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 3–1 (0–1) 1.753.405.50 2.30 1.62
01.12.24SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 1–2 (1–0) 2.803.102.70 2.38 1.57
25.05.24SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–1 (0–0) 2.883.502.38 1.73 2.10
02.12.23SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 4–0 (1–0) 1.574.205.75 1.82 2.08
05.03.23SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.102.60 2.30 1.62
17.09.22SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 3–2 (3–1) 1.534.006.50 2.04 1.86
23.01.22SP1 Vallecano – Ath Bilbao 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.53
21.09.21SP1 Ath Bilbao – Vallecano 1–2 (1–1) 1.853.504.33 2.50 1.53

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 25 20 1 4 67 25 +42 61
2 Real Madrid 25 19 3 3 54 21 +33 60
3 Villarreal 25 16 3 6 47 27 +20 51
4 Ath Madrid 25 14 6 5 42 23 +19 48
5 Betis 25 11 9 5 40 30 +10 42
6 Celta 25 9 10 6 34 27 +7 37
7 Espanol 25 10 5 10 31 37 -6 35
8 Ath Bilbao 25 10 4 11 29 35 -6 34
9 Osasuna 25 9 6 10 30 29 +1 33
10 Sociedad 25 8 8 9 37 38 -1 32
11 Girona 25 7 9 9 26 40 -14 30
12 Sevilla 25 8 5 12 32 39 -7 29
13 Getafe 25 8 5 12 20 29 -9 29
14 Alaves 26 7 6 13 23 34 -11 27
15 Vallecano 24 6 8 10 22 31 -9 26
16 Valencia 25 6 8 11 26 39 -13 26
17 Elche 25 5 10 10 32 37 -5 25
18 Mallorca 25 6 6 13 29 41 -12 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 28 44 -16 21
20 Oviedo 24 3 8 13 16 39 -23 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 12 12 0 0 37 5 +32 36
2 Ath Madrid 13 11 1 1 30 10 +20 34
3 Real Madrid 12 11 0 1 29 8 +21 33
4 Villarreal 13 10 1 2 29 11 +18 31
5 Osasuna 12 7 3 2 22 14 +8 24
6 Betis 12 7 2 3 23 13 +10 23
7 Ath Bilbao 13 7 2 4 17 15 +2 23
8 Elche 13 5 6 2 20 13 +7 21
9 Sociedad 13 6 3 4 24 20 +4 21
10 Espanol 13 6 2 5 16 18 -2 20
11 Mallorca 12 5 4 3 19 16 +3 19
12 Alaves 13 5 4 4 16 15 +1 19
13 Celta 13 4 5 4 19 15 +4 17
14 Valencia 12 4 5 3 15 13 +2 17
15 Girona 12 4 4 4 12 19 -7 16
16 Vallecano 11 3 6 2 11 9 +2 15
17 Sevilla 13 4 3 6 18 19 -1 15
18 Getafe 13 4 3 6 10 11 -1 15
19 Oviedo 12 2 5 5 5 13 -8 11
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 8 3 2 25 13 +12 27
2 Barcelona 13 8 1 4 30 20 +10 25
3 Celta 12 5 5 2 15 12 +3 20
4 Villarreal 12 6 2 4 18 16 +2 20
5 Betis 13 4 7 2 17 17 0 19
6 Espanol 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
7 Ath Madrid 12 3 5 4 12 13 -1 14
8 Sevilla 12 4 2 6 14 20 -6 14
9 Girona 13 3 5 5 14 21 -7 14
10 Getafe 12 4 2 6 10 18 -8 14
11 Sociedad 12 2 5 5 13 18 -5 11
12 Levante 13 3 2 8 15 21 -6 11
13 Ath Bilbao 12 3 2 7 12 20 -8 11
14 Vallecano 13 3 2 8 11 22 -11 11
15 Osasuna 13 2 3 8 8 15 -7 9
16 Valencia 13 2 3 8 11 26 -15 9
17 Alaves 13 2 2 9 7 19 -12 8
18 Oviedo 12 1 3 8 11 26 -15 6
19 Mallorca 13 1 2 10 10 25 -15 5
20 Elche 12 0 4 8 12 24 -12 4

Vallecano   Ath Bilbao

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 25 4 21 2.7 1.0 20 1 4 67 25 61
2 18 Mallorca 25 9 16 1.2 1.6 6 6 13 29 41 24
3 2 Real Madrid 25 10 15 2.2 0.8 19 3 3 54 21 60
4 10 Sociedad 25 10 15 1.5 1.5 8 8 9 37 38 32
5 12 Sevilla 25 10 15 1.3 1.6 8 5 12 32 39 29
6 3 Villarreal 25 11 14 1.9 1.1 16 3 6 47 27 51
7 17 Elche 25 11 14 1.3 1.5 5 10 10 32 37 25
8 7 Espanol 25 12 13 1.2 1.5 10 5 10 31 37 35
9 11 Girona 25 12 13 1.0 1.6 7 9 9 26 40 30
10 5 Betis 25 13 12 1.6 1.2 11 9 5 40 30 42
11 8 Ath Bilbao 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 10 4 11 29 35 34
12 19 Levante 26 14 12 1.1 1.7 5 6 15 28 44 21
13 4 Ath Madrid 25 14 11 1.7 0.9 14 6 5 42 23 48
14 9 Osasuna 25 14 11 1.2 1.2 9 6 10 30 29 33
15 14 Alaves 26 15 11 0.9 1.3 7 6 13 23 34 27
16 16 Valencia 25 14 11 1.0 1.6 6 8 11 26 39 26
17 15 Vallecano 24 14 10 0.9 1.3 6 8 10 22 31 26
18 6 Celta 25 16 9 1.4 1.1 9 10 6 34 27 37
19 20 Oviedo 24 15 9 0.7 1.6 3 8 13 16 39 17
20 13 Getafe 25 17 8 0.8 1.2 8 5 12 20 29 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 12 1 11 3.1 0.4 12 0 0 37 5 36
2 10 Sociedad 13 3 10 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 24 20 21
3 3 Villarreal 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 10 1 2 29 11 31
4 12 Sevilla 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 19 15
5 2 Real Madrid 12 5 7 2.4 0.7 11 0 1 29 8 33
6 4 Ath Madrid 13 6 7 2.3 0.8 11 1 1 30 10 34
7 7 Espanol 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 6 2 5 16 18 20
8 9 Osasuna 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 7 3 2 22 14 24
9 14 Alaves 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 5 4 4 16 15 19
10 17 Elche 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 5 6 2 20 13 21
11 18 Mallorca 12 5 7 1.6 1.3 5 4 3 19 16 19
12 5 Betis 12 6 6 1.9 1.1 7 2 3 23 13 23
13 8 Ath Bilbao 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 7 2 4 17 15 23
14 11 Girona 12 6 6 1.0 1.6 4 4 4 12 19 16
15 19 Levante 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10
16 6 Celta 13 9 4 1.5 1.2 4 5 4 19 15 17
17 13 Getafe 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 3 6 10 11 15
18 15 Vallecano 11 8 3 1.0 0.8 3 6 2 11 9 15
19 16 Valencia 12 9 3 1.2 1.1 4 5 3 15 13 17
20 20 Oviedo 12 9 3 0.4 1.1 2 5 5 5 13 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 13 3 10 2.3 1.5 8 1 4 30 20 25
2 18 Mallorca 13 4 9 0.8 1.9 1 2 10 10 25 5
3 2 Real Madrid 13 5 8 1.9 1.0 8 3 2 25 13 27
4 16 Valencia 13 5 8 0.8 2.0 2 3 8 11 26 9
5 11 Girona 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 5 14 21 14
6 12 Sevilla 12 5 7 1.2 1.7 4 2 6 14 20 14
7 15 Vallecano 13 6 7 0.8 1.7 3 2 8 11 22 11
8 17 Elche 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 0 4 8 12 24 4
9 3 Villarreal 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 6 2 4 18 16 20
10 5 Betis 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 4 7 2 17 17 19
11 7 Espanol 12 6 6 1.2 1.6 4 3 5 15 19 15
12 8 Ath Bilbao 12 6 6 1.0 1.7 3 2 7 12 20 11
13 19 Levante 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 3 2 8 15 21 11
14 20 Oviedo 12 6 6 0.9 2.2 1 3 8 11 26 6
15 6 Celta 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 5 2 15 12 20
16 10 Sociedad 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 5 13 18 11
17 13 Getafe 12 7 5 0.8 1.5 4 2 6 10 18 14
18 4 Ath Madrid 12 8 4 1.0 1.1 3 5 4 12 13 14
19 9 Osasuna 13 9 4 0.6 1.2 2 3 8 8 15 9
20 14 Alaves 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 2 2 9 7 19 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38