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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Celta 1–2 Real Madrid

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 3.10 fair 2.91
Draw 3.30 fair 3.93
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.49
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Celta Real Madrid
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 6
4 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (260 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
CeltaDrawReal Madrid
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9.2% 1–2 8.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Celta before this match, all matches
1.54points / match
1.38scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 36:28
Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.31points / match
2.08scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 54:22
Celta all matches all matches Real Madrid

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.08
1.08 Goals conceded 0.85
2.46 Total goals 2.92
11.08 Shots 18.42
4.15 Shots on target 6.96
11.62 Shots faced 10.19
4.27 Corners 6.58
4.69 Corners against 3.62
11.50 Fouls 10.04
1.88 Yellow cards 1.85
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

38% Wins 73%
38% Draws 12%
23% Losses 15%
92% Over 0.5 goals 96%
81% Over 1.5 goals 85%
38% Over 2.5 goals 58%
19% Over 3.5 goals 27%
12% Over 4.5 goals 15%
4% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 42%
15% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 50%
46% Draws 38%
31% Losses 12%
58% Over 0.5 goals 65%
12% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Celta all matches
Real Madrid all matches
Celta before this match, at home
1.31points / match
1.46scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:15
Real Madrid before this match, away
2.08points / match
1.92scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 25:13
Celta at home away Real Madrid

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.92
1.15 Goals conceded 1.00
2.62 Total goals 2.92
12.31 Shots 17.46
4.23 Shots on target 6.38
11.08 Shots faced 10.85
5.00 Corners 6.31
4.31 Corners against 4.23
10.46 Fouls 9.69
1.77 Yellow cards 1.31
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

31% Wins 62%
38% Draws 23%
31% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
92% Over 1.5 goals 85%
31% Over 2.5 goals 62%
15% Over 3.5 goals 23%
15% Over 4.5 goals 15%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
62% Both teams scored 54%
23% Clean sheets 46%
15% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 38%
38% Draws 46%
38% Losses 15%
62% Over 0.5 goals 62%
8% Over 1.5 goals 31%
8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Celta at home
Real Madrid away

Last 10 matches before this match

Celta all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.03.26 Girona – Celta 1–2 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.00 1.85
22.02.26 Celta – Mallorca 2–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Espanol – Celta 2–2 (0–1) 2.353.203.00 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Celta – Osasuna 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.20 1.67
01.02.26 Getafe – Celta 0–0 (0–0) 2.802.902.80 3.00 1.40
25.01.26 Sociedad – Celta 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.403.90 2.05 1.80
18.01.26 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
12.01.26 Sevilla – Celta 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.03 1.83
03.01.26 Celta – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
20.12.25 Oviedo – Celta 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.402.05 2.20 1.67

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
21.02.26 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75
08.02.26 Valencia – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.751.55 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
24.01.26 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.902.00 1.50 2.63
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.29 3.75
04.01.26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.44 2.75
20.12.25 Real Madrid – Sevilla 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.36 3.20
14.12.25 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.60 1.73 2.10

Celta at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.02.26 Celta – Mallorca 2–0 (0–0) 1.833.504.50 2.20 1.67
06.02.26 Celta – Osasuna 1–2 (0–1) 1.953.304.10 2.20 1.67
18.01.26 Celta – Vallecano 3–0 (1–0) 2.053.204.00 2.20 1.67
03.01.26 Celta – Valencia 4–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.73
14.12.25 Celta – Ath Bilbao 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.75 2.10 1.73
30.11.25 Celta – Espanol 0–1 (0–0) 2.053.503.50 1.80 2.00
09.11.25 Celta – Barcelona 2–4 (2–3) 4.504.201.65 1.44 2.75
19.10.25 Celta – Sociedad 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 1.98 1.88
05.10.25 Celta – Ath Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 4.503.801.75 1.83 2.03
14.09.25 Celta – Girona 1–1 (0–1) 1.733.904.75 1.73 2.10

Real Madrid away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.26 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
08.02.26 Valencia – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.751.55 1.57 2.38
24.01.26 Villarreal – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.902.00 1.50 2.63
14.12.25 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.60 1.73 2.10
03.12.25 Ath Bilbao – Real Madrid 0–3 (0–2) 4.103.901.80 1.73 2.10
30.11.25 Girona – Real Madrid 1–1 (1–0) 6.505.251.40 1.40 3.00
23.11.25 Elche – Real Madrid 2–2 (0–0) 7.005.251.38 1.50 2.63
09.11.25 Vallecano – Real Madrid 0–0 (0–0) 5.255.001.50 1.57 2.38
19.10.25 Getafe – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.331.42 1.95 1.90
27.09.25 Ath Madrid – Real Madrid 5–2 (2–2) 3.003.602.30 1.67 2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Celta winsDrawsReal Madrid wins
9matches
3.56goals / match
67%over 2.5
56%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.25SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 0–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.36 3.20
04.05.25SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 3–2 (2–0) 1.335.757.00 1.36 3.20
19.10.24SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.754.501.60 1.62 2.30
10.03.24SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 4–0 (1–0) 1.306.008.00 1.50 2.50
25.08.23SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
22.04.23SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 2–0 (1–0) 1.365.009.00 1.57 2.38
20.08.22SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 1–4 (1–2) 4.504.201.66 1.66 2.20
02.04.22SP1 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 4.003.601.90 1.95 1.95
12.09.21SP1 Real Madrid – Celta 5–2 (1–2) 1.365.258.00 1.53 2.50

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 26 21 1 4 71 26 +45 64
2 Real Madrid 26 19 3 4 54 22 +32 60
3 Ath Madrid 26 15 6 5 43 23 +20 51
4 Villarreal 26 16 3 7 48 31 +17 51
5 Betis 26 11 10 5 42 32 +10 43
6 Celta 26 10 10 6 36 28 +8 40
7 Espanol 26 10 6 10 33 39 -6 36
8 Sociedad 26 9 8 9 38 38 0 35
9 Ath Bilbao 26 10 5 11 30 36 -6 35
10 Osasuna 26 9 6 11 30 30 0 33
11 Getafe 26 9 5 12 21 29 -8 32
12 Vallecano 26 7 9 10 26 32 -6 30
13 Sevilla 26 8 6 12 34 41 -7 30
14 Girona 26 7 9 10 27 42 -15 30
15 Valencia 26 7 8 11 27 39 -12 29
16 Alaves 26 7 6 13 23 34 -11 27
17 Elche 26 5 11 10 34 39 -5 26
18 Mallorca 26 6 6 14 29 42 -13 24
19 Levante 26 5 6 15 28 44 -16 21
20 Oviedo 26 3 8 15 16 43 -27 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 13 13 0 0 41 6 +35 39
2 Ath Madrid 13 11 1 1 30 10 +20 34
3 Real Madrid 13 11 0 2 29 9 +20 33
4 Villarreal 13 10 1 2 29 11 +18 31
5 Betis 13 7 3 3 25 15 +10 24
6 Osasuna 12 7 3 2 22 14 +8 24
7 Ath Bilbao 13 7 2 4 17 15 +2 23
8 Elche 14 5 7 2 22 15 +7 22
9 Sociedad 13 6 3 4 24 20 +4 21
10 Valencia 13 5 5 3 16 13 +3 20
11 Espanol 13 6 2 5 16 18 -2 20
12 Vallecano 13 4 7 2 15 10 +5 19
13 Mallorca 13 5 4 4 19 17 +2 19
14 Alaves 13 5 4 4 16 15 +1 19
15 Celta 13 4 5 4 19 15 +4 17
16 Girona 13 4 4 5 13 21 -8 16
17 Sevilla 13 4 3 6 18 19 -1 15
18 Getafe 13 4 3 6 10 11 -1 15
19 Oviedo 13 2 5 6 5 14 -9 11
20 Levante 13 2 4 7 13 23 -10 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 13 8 3 2 25 13 +12 27
2 Barcelona 13 8 1 4 30 20 +10 25
3 Celta 13 6 5 2 17 13 +4 23
4 Villarreal 13 6 2 5 19 20 -1 20
5 Betis 13 4 7 2 17 17 0 19
6 Ath Madrid 13 4 5 4 13 13 0 17
7 Getafe 13 5 2 6 11 18 -7 17
8 Espanol 13 4 4 5 17 21 -4 16
9 Sevilla 13 4 3 6 16 22 -6 15
10 Sociedad 13 3 5 5 14 18 -4 14
11 Girona 13 3 5 5 14 21 -7 14
12 Ath Bilbao 13 3 3 7 13 21 -8 12
13 Levante 13 3 2 8 15 21 -6 11
14 Vallecano 13 3 2 8 11 22 -11 11
15 Osasuna 14 2 3 9 8 16 -8 9
16 Valencia 13 2 3 8 11 26 -15 9
17 Alaves 13 2 2 9 7 19 -12 8
18 Oviedo 13 1 3 9 11 29 -18 6
19 Mallorca 13 1 2 10 10 25 -15 5
20 Elche 12 0 4 8 12 24 -12 4

Celta   Real Madrid

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 26 4 22 2.7 1.0 21 1 4 71 26 64
2 13 Sevilla 26 10 16 1.3 1.6 8 6 12 34 41 30
3 18 Mallorca 26 10 16 1.1 1.6 6 6 14 29 42 24
4 2 Real Madrid 26 11 15 2.1 0.8 19 3 4 54 22 60
5 4 Villarreal 26 11 15 1.8 1.2 16 3 7 48 31 51
6 8 Sociedad 26 11 15 1.5 1.5 9 8 9 38 38 35
7 17 Elche 26 11 15 1.3 1.5 5 11 10 34 39 26
8 7 Espanol 26 12 14 1.3 1.5 10 6 10 33 39 36
9 14 Girona 26 12 14 1.0 1.6 7 9 10 27 42 30
10 5 Betis 26 13 13 1.6 1.2 11 10 5 42 32 43
11 9 Ath Bilbao 26 14 12 1.2 1.4 10 5 11 30 36 35
12 19 Levante 26 14 12 1.1 1.7 5 6 15 28 44 21
13 3 Ath Madrid 26 15 11 1.7 0.9 15 6 5 43 23 51
14 10 Osasuna 26 15 11 1.2 1.2 9 6 11 30 30 33
15 12 Vallecano 26 15 11 1.0 1.2 7 9 10 26 32 30
16 15 Valencia 26 15 11 1.0 1.5 7 8 11 27 39 29
17 16 Alaves 26 15 11 0.9 1.3 7 6 13 23 34 27
18 6 Celta 26 16 10 1.4 1.1 10 10 6 36 28 40
19 20 Oviedo 26 16 10 0.6 1.7 3 8 15 16 43 17
20 11 Getafe 26 18 8 0.8 1.1 9 5 12 21 29 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 13 1 12 3.2 0.5 13 0 0 41 6 39
2 8 Sociedad 13 3 10 1.8 1.5 6 3 4 24 20 21
3 4 Villarreal 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 10 1 2 29 11 31
4 13 Sevilla 13 5 8 1.4 1.5 4 3 6 18 19 15
5 17 Elche 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 5 7 2 22 15 22
6 2 Real Madrid 13 6 7 2.2 0.7 11 0 2 29 9 33
7 3 Ath Madrid 13 6 7 2.3 0.8 11 1 1 30 10 34
8 5 Betis 13 6 7 1.9 1.2 7 3 3 25 15 24
9 7 Espanol 13 6 7 1.2 1.4 6 2 5 16 18 20
10 10 Osasuna 12 5 7 1.8 1.2 7 3 2 22 14 24
11 14 Girona 13 6 7 1.0 1.6 4 4 5 13 21 16
12 16 Alaves 13 6 7 1.2 1.2 5 4 4 16 15 19
13 18 Mallorca 13 6 7 1.5 1.3 5 4 4 19 17 19
14 9 Ath Bilbao 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 7 2 4 17 15 23
15 19 Levante 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 2 4 7 13 23 10
16 6 Celta 13 9 4 1.5 1.2 4 5 4 19 15 17
17 12 Vallecano 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 4 7 2 15 10 19
18 11 Getafe 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 3 6 10 11 15
19 15 Valencia 13 10 3 1.2 1.0 5 5 3 16 13 20
20 20 Oviedo 13 10 3 0.4 1.1 2 5 6 5 14 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 13 3 10 2.3 1.5 8 1 4 30 20 25
2 18 Mallorca 13 4 9 0.8 1.9 1 2 10 10 25 5
3 2 Real Madrid 13 5 8 1.9 1.0 8 3 2 25 13 27
4 13 Sevilla 13 5 8 1.2 1.7 4 3 6 16 22 15
5 15 Valencia 13 5 8 0.8 2.0 2 3 8 11 26 9
6 4 Villarreal 13 6 7 1.5 1.5 6 2 5 19 20 20
7 7 Espanol 13 6 7 1.3 1.6 4 4 5 17 21 16
8 12 Vallecano 13 6 7 0.8 1.7 3 2 8 11 22 11
9 14 Girona 13 6 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 5 14 21 14
10 17 Elche 12 5 7 1.0 2.0 0 4 8 12 24 4
11 20 Oviedo 13 6 7 0.8 2.2 1 3 9 11 29 6
12 5 Betis 13 7 6 1.3 1.3 4 7 2 17 17 19
13 6 Celta 13 7 6 1.3 1.0 6 5 2 17 13 23
14 9 Ath Bilbao 13 7 6 1.0 1.6 3 3 7 13 21 12
15 19 Levante 13 7 6 1.2 1.6 3 2 8 15 21 11
16 8 Sociedad 13 8 5 1.1 1.4 3 5 5 14 18 14
17 11 Getafe 13 8 5 0.8 1.4 5 2 6 11 18 17
18 3 Ath Madrid 13 9 4 1.0 1.0 4 5 4 13 13 17
19 10 Osasuna 14 10 4 0.6 1.1 2 3 9 8 16 9
20 16 Alaves 13 9 4 0.5 1.5 2 2 9 7 19 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40