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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.49
Draw 6.50 fair 5.32
Away 12.00 fair 7.11
Under 2.5 3.00 fair 2.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.65

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Alaves
24 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 6
14 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (312 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 2.22 – 0.91
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawAlaves
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.8% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
2.26points / match
2.10scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 65:29
Alaves before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.13scored / match
1.48conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 31 played · 35:46
Real Madrid all matches all matches Alaves

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.13
0.94 Goals conceded 1.48
3.03 Total goals 2.61
18.10 Shots 12.06
6.94 Shots on target 3.90
10.10 Shots faced 12.58
6.45 Corners 4.90
3.45 Corners against 4.81
9.94 Fouls 15.29
1.81 Yellow cards 2.48
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.35 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

71% Wins 26%
13% Draws 29%
16% Losses 45%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
87% Over 1.5 goals 71%
61% Over 2.5 goals 48%
29% Over 3.5 goals 26%
19% Over 4.5 goals 10%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
58% Both teams scored 61%
35% Clean sheets 10%
10% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 19%
39% Draws 58%
16% Losses 23%
68% Over 0.5 goals 61%
32% Over 1.5 goals 29%
16% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Alaves all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
2.50points / match
2.31scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 37:13
Alaves before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:28
Real Madrid at home away Alaves

Per match

2.31 Goals scored 1.00
0.81 Goals conceded 1.75
3.13 Total goals 2.75
19.06 Shots 11.19
7.69 Shots on target 3.63
9.88 Shots faced 13.69
6.75 Corners 4.00
2.81 Corners against 5.50
9.81 Fouls 15.25
2.19 Yellow cards 2.81
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.31 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

81% Wins 19%
6% Draws 19%
13% Losses 63%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
88% Over 1.5 goals 63%
56% Over 2.5 goals 44%
38% Over 3.5 goals 31%
25% Over 4.5 goals 19%
6% Over 5.5 goals 13%
56% Both teams scored 50%
31% Clean sheets 6%
13% Failed to score 44%

How often Half Time

56% Wins 6%
31% Draws 56%
13% Losses 38%
69% Over 0.5 goals 56%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Alaves away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
04.04.26 Mallorca – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–0) 5.504.331.57 1.67 2.20
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
06.03.26 Celta – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.00 1.80
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
21.02.26 Osasuna – Real Madrid 2–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.70 1.67 2.20
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75
08.02.26 Valencia – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 5.254.751.55 1.57 2.38
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75

Alaves all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Sociedad – Alaves 3–3 (2–2) 1.733.704.75 1.88 1.98
05.04.26 Alaves – Osasuna 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.62
22.03.26 Celta – Alaves 3–4 (3–1) 1.833.305.00 2.30 1.62
13.03.26 Alaves – Villarreal 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.402.20 1.91 1.91
08.03.26 Valencia – Alaves 3–2 (0–1) 2.053.104.10 2.50 1.53
27.02.26 Levante – Alaves 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.20 1.67
23.02.26 Alaves – Girona 2–2 (1–1) 2.303.003.50 2.50 1.53
14.02.26 Sevilla – Alaves 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.103.60 2.38 1.57
08.02.26 Alaves – Getafe 0–2 (0–0) 2.302.803.90 3.50 1.30
30.01.26 Espanol – Alaves 1–2 (1–1) 1.953.004.50 2.63 1.50

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75
17.01.26 Real Madrid – Levante 2–0 (0–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.29 3.75
04.01.26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 (1–0) 1.454.756.25 1.44 2.75
20.12.25 Real Madrid – Sevilla 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0012.00 1.36 3.20
07.12.25 Real Madrid – Celta 0–2 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.36 3.20

Alaves away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Sociedad – Alaves 3–3 (2–2) 1.733.704.75 1.88 1.98
22.03.26 Celta – Alaves 3–4 (3–1) 1.833.305.00 2.30 1.62
08.03.26 Valencia – Alaves 3–2 (0–1) 2.053.104.10 2.50 1.53
27.02.26 Levante – Alaves 2–0 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.20 1.67
14.02.26 Sevilla – Alaves 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.103.60 2.38 1.57
30.01.26 Espanol – Alaves 1–2 (1–1) 1.953.004.50 2.63 1.50
18.01.26 Ath Madrid – Alaves 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2510.00 1.88 1.98
10.01.26 Villarreal – Alaves 3–1 (0–0) 1.454.337.00 1.88 1.98
20.12.25 Osasuna – Alaves 3–0 (0–0) 2.203.003.70 2.63 1.50
29.11.25 Barcelona – Alaves 3–1 (2–1) 1.207.0013.00 1.36 3.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Real Madrid winsDrawsAlaves wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
71%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.12.25SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.001.60 1.73 2.10
13.04.25SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 5.254.101.62 1.73 2.10
24.09.24SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–2 (2–0) 1.206.5013.00 1.50 2.63
14.05.24SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 5–0 (3–0) 1.227.5011.00 1.50 2.63
21.12.23SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–0) 5.754.001.53 1.75 2.05
19.02.22SP1 Real Madrid – Alaves 3–0 (0–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.53 2.50
14.08.21SP1 Alaves – Real Madrid 1–4 (0–0) 7.004.751.44 1.80 2.00

Spain La Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 31 26 1 4 84 30 +54 79
2 Real Madrid 31 22 4 5 65 29 +36 70
3 Villarreal 31 19 4 8 56 36 +20 61
4 Ath Madrid 31 17 6 8 51 32 +19 57
5 Betis 31 11 13 7 45 38 +7 46
6 Celta 31 11 11 9 44 40 +4 44
7 Sociedad 31 11 9 11 49 48 +1 42
8 Getafe 31 12 5 14 27 32 -5 41
9 Ath Bilbao 32 12 5 15 34 45 -11 41
10 Osasuna 32 10 9 13 37 39 -2 39
11 Espanol 31 10 8 13 37 48 -11 38
12 Girona 31 9 11 11 33 45 -12 38
13 Valencia 32 9 9 14 35 47 -12 36
14 Mallorca 32 9 8 15 40 49 -9 35
15 Vallecano 31 8 11 12 29 38 -9 35
16 Sevilla 31 9 7 15 39 51 -12 34
17 Alaves 31 8 9 14 35 46 -11 33
18 Elche 31 7 11 13 39 47 -8 32
19 Levante 31 7 8 16 35 50 -15 29
20 Oviedo 31 6 9 16 24 48 -24 27
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 16 16 0 0 51 9 +42 48
2 Real Madrid 16 13 1 2 37 13 +24 40
3 Ath Madrid 16 13 1 2 35 14 +21 40
4 Villarreal 15 12 1 2 34 13 +21 37
5 Osasuna 15 8 5 2 26 17 +9 29
6 Mallorca 17 8 5 4 27 20 +7 29
7 Ath Bilbao 17 9 2 6 21 19 +2 29
8 Elche 16 7 7 2 25 16 +9 28
9 Sociedad 16 8 4 4 32 24 +8 28
10 Betis 15 7 5 3 26 16 +10 26
11 Vallecano 15 5 8 2 17 11 +6 23
12 Valencia 15 6 5 4 21 18 +3 23
13 Girona 15 6 4 5 17 21 -4 22
14 Getafe 15 6 3 6 14 11 +3 21
15 Alaves 15 5 6 4 19 18 +1 21
16 Espanol 15 6 3 6 18 21 -3 21
17 Sevilla 16 5 4 7 21 23 -2 19
18 Celta 16 4 5 7 23 24 -1 17
19 Levante 16 4 5 7 19 26 -7 17
20 Oviedo 15 4 5 6 7 14 -7 17
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 15 10 1 4 33 21 +12 31
2 Real Madrid 15 9 3 3 28 16 +12 30
3 Celta 15 7 6 2 21 16 +5 27
4 Villarreal 16 7 3 6 22 23 -1 24
5 Betis 16 4 8 4 19 22 -3 20
6 Getafe 16 6 2 8 13 21 -8 20
7 Ath Madrid 15 4 5 6 16 18 -2 17
8 Espanol 16 4 5 7 19 27 -8 17
9 Girona 16 3 7 6 16 24 -8 16
10 Sevilla 15 4 3 8 18 28 -10 15
11 Sociedad 15 3 5 7 17 24 -7 14
12 Valencia 17 3 4 10 14 29 -15 13
13 Levante 15 3 3 9 16 24 -8 12
14 Alaves 16 3 3 10 16 28 -12 12
15 Ath Bilbao 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
16 Vallecano 16 3 3 10 12 27 -15 12
17 Osasuna 17 2 4 11 11 22 -11 10
18 Oviedo 16 2 4 10 17 34 -17 10
19 Mallorca 15 1 3 11 13 29 -16 6
20 Elche 15 0 4 11 14 31 -17 4

Real Madrid   Alaves

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 31 6 25 2.7 1.0 26 1 4 84 30 79
2 14 Mallorca 32 11 21 1.2 1.5 9 8 15 40 49 35
3 2 Real Madrid 31 12 19 2.1 0.9 22 4 5 65 29 70
4 7 Sociedad 31 12 19 1.6 1.5 11 9 11 49 48 42
5 3 Villarreal 31 13 18 1.8 1.2 19 4 8 56 36 61
6 16 Sevilla 31 13 18 1.3 1.6 9 7 15 39 51 34
7 18 Elche 31 13 18 1.3 1.5 7 11 13 39 47 32
8 11 Espanol 31 14 17 1.2 1.5 10 8 13 37 48 38
9 4 Ath Madrid 31 16 15 1.6 1.0 17 6 8 51 32 57
10 9 Ath Bilbao 32 17 15 1.1 1.4 12 5 15 34 45 41
11 12 Girona 31 16 15 1.1 1.5 9 11 11 33 45 38
12 17 Alaves 31 16 15 1.1 1.5 8 9 14 35 46 33
13 5 Betis 31 17 14 1.5 1.2 11 13 7 45 38 46
14 6 Celta 31 17 14 1.4 1.3 11 11 9 44 40 44
15 10 Osasuna 32 18 14 1.2 1.2 10 9 13 37 39 39
16 13 Valencia 32 19 13 1.1 1.5 9 9 14 35 47 36
17 19 Levante 31 18 13 1.1 1.6 7 8 16 35 50 29
18 15 Vallecano 31 19 12 0.9 1.2 8 11 12 29 38 35
19 20 Oviedo 31 19 12 0.8 1.5 6 9 16 24 48 27
20 8 Getafe 31 22 9 0.9 1.0 12 5 14 27 32 41
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 16 2 14 3.2 0.6 16 0 0 51 9 48
2 7 Sociedad 16 4 12 2.0 1.5 8 4 4 32 24 28
3 3 Villarreal 15 5 10 2.3 0.9 12 1 2 34 13 37
4 14 Mallorca 17 7 10 1.6 1.2 8 5 4 27 20 29
5 2 Real Madrid 16 7 9 2.3 0.8 13 1 2 37 13 40
6 4 Ath Madrid 16 7 9 2.2 0.9 13 1 2 35 14 40
7 16 Sevilla 16 7 9 1.3 1.4 5 4 7 21 23 19
8 18 Elche 16 7 9 1.6 1.0 7 7 2 25 16 28
9 9 Ath Bilbao 17 9 8 1.2 1.1 9 2 6 21 19 29
10 10 Osasuna 15 7 8 1.7 1.1 8 5 2 26 17 29
11 11 Espanol 15 7 8 1.2 1.4 6 3 6 18 21 21
12 12 Girona 15 7 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 5 17 21 22
13 17 Alaves 15 7 8 1.3 1.2 5 6 4 19 18 21
14 5 Betis 15 8 7 1.7 1.1 7 5 3 26 16 26
15 6 Celta 16 9 7 1.4 1.5 4 5 7 23 24 17
16 19 Levante 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 4 5 7 19 26 17
17 13 Valencia 15 10 5 1.4 1.2 6 5 4 21 18 23
18 15 Vallecano 15 11 4 1.1 0.7 5 8 2 17 11 23
19 8 Getafe 15 12 3 0.9 0.7 6 3 6 14 11 21
20 20 Oviedo 15 12 3 0.5 0.9 4 5 6 7 14 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Barcelona 15 4 11 2.2 1.4 10 1 4 33 21 31
2 14 Mallorca 15 4 11 0.9 1.9 1 3 11 13 29 6
3 2 Real Madrid 15 5 10 1.9 1.1 9 3 3 28 16 30
4 11 Espanol 16 7 9 1.2 1.7 4 5 7 19 27 17
5 16 Sevilla 15 6 9 1.2 1.9 4 3 8 18 28 15
6 18 Elche 15 6 9 0.9 2.1 0 4 11 14 31 4
7 20 Oviedo 16 7 9 1.1 2.1 2 4 10 17 34 10
8 3 Villarreal 16 8 8 1.4 1.4 7 3 6 22 23 24
9 13 Valencia 17 9 8 0.8 1.7 3 4 10 14 29 13
10 15 Vallecano 16 8 8 0.8 1.7 3 3 10 12 27 12
11 5 Betis 16 9 7 1.2 1.4 4 8 4 19 22 20
12 6 Celta 15 8 7 1.4 1.1 7 6 2 21 16 27
13 7 Sociedad 15 8 7 1.1 1.6 3 5 7 17 24 14
14 9 Ath Bilbao 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 9 13 26 12
15 12 Girona 16 9 7 1.0 1.5 3 7 6 16 24 16
16 17 Alaves 16 9 7 1.0 1.8 3 3 10 16 28 12
17 4 Ath Madrid 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 16 18 17
18 8 Getafe 16 10 6 0.8 1.3 6 2 8 13 21 20
19 10 Osasuna 17 11 6 0.6 1.3 2 4 11 11 22 10
20 19 Levante 15 9 6 1.1 1.6 3 3 9 16 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44