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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Spain La Liga ·

Real Madrid 4–0 Malaga

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.11 fair 1.85
Draw 9.00 fair 4.35
Away 21.00 fair 4.35
Under 2.5 3.40 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.33 fair 1.79

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Real Madrid Malaga
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 1
2.40 Expected goals (xG) 0.72
9 Corners 6
6 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (25 league matches this season so far).
Result Real Madrid to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.82 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
Real MadridDrawMalaga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.8% 2–1 9.8% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Real Madrid before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:2
Malaga before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
0.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 1:3
Real Madrid all matches all matches Malaga

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded 1.50
4.00 Total goals 2.00
2.92 xG created 1.06
0.81 xG allowed 1.02
20.50 Shots 9.00
9.50 Shots on target 1.50
9.00 Shots faced 10.50
6.00 Corners 4.00
3.50 Corners against 5.00
8.50 Fouls 11.50
2.00 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
50% Over 3.5 goals 0%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid all matches
Malaga all matches
Real Madrid before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 4:1
Malaga before this match, away
0.00points / match
0.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 0:2
Real Madrid at home away Malaga

Per match

4.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
5.00 Total goals 2.00
3.14 xG created 0.15
0.56 xG allowed 0.93
20.00 Shots 5.00
11.00 Shots on target 1.00
10.00 Shots faced 15.00
4.00 Corners 1.00
7.00 Corners against 6.00
10.00 Fouls 11.00
3.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
100% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
100% Draws 100%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 0%
100% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Real Madrid at home
Malaga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Real Madrid all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
22.08.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 1–2 (1–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.10
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
17.05.26 Sevilla – Real Madrid 0–1 (0–1) 3.003.502.15 1.73 2.10
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
10.05.26 Barcelona – Real Madrid 2–0 (2–0) 1.625.004.33 1.25 4.00
03.05.26 Espanol – Real Madrid 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.901.73 1.57 2.38
24.04.26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 (0–1) 3.704.201.85 1.50 2.63
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75

Malaga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.26 Malaga – La Coruna 1–1 (1–1) 2.503.103.10 2.63 1.50
19.08.26 Ath Madrid – Malaga 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.73 2.10
31.05.26SP2 Zaragoza – Malaga 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.601.71 1.98 1.83
24.05.26SP2 Malaga – Santander 1–1 (1–0) 1.614.504.20 1.40 2.88
16.05.26SP2 Ceuta – Malaga 1–4 (0–3) 3.753.751.86 1.67 2.15
09.05.26SP2 Malaga – Sp Gijon 2–1 (0–1) 1.514.335.25 1.73 2.08
02.05.26SP2 Eibar – Malaga 2–4 (2–1) 2.013.303.75 2.08 1.73
25.04.26SP2 Malaga – Castellon 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.102.57 1.65 2.20
19.04.26SP2 Almeria – Malaga 3–2 (0–0) 1.863.703.70 1.62 2.25
11.04.26SP2 Malaga – Las Palmas 2–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.00 1.80

Real Madrid at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (1–1) 1.306.258.00 1.44 2.75
23.05.26 Real Madrid – Ath Bilbao 4–2 (2–1) 1.504.755.75 1.50 2.63
14.05.26 Real Madrid – Oviedo 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.40 3.00
21.04.26 Real Madrid – Alaves 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.5012.00 1.40 3.00
10.04.26 Real Madrid – Girona 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
22.03.26 Real Madrid – Ath Madrid 3–2 (0–1) 1.954.003.50 1.62 2.30
14.03.26 Real Madrid – Elche 4–1 (2–0) 1.335.507.50 1.44 2.75
02.03.26 Real Madrid – Getafe 0–1 (0–1) 1.305.5010.00 1.83 2.03
14.02.26 Real Madrid – Sociedad 4–1 (3–1) 1.335.258.00 1.44 2.75
01.02.26 Real Madrid – Vallecano 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.0012.00 1.44 2.75

Malaga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.26 Ath Madrid – Malaga 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.50 1.73 2.10
31.05.26SP2 Zaragoza – Malaga 0–2 (0–1) 4.753.601.71 1.98 1.83
16.05.26SP2 Ceuta – Malaga 1–4 (0–3) 3.753.751.86 1.67 2.15
02.05.26SP2 Eibar – Malaga 2–4 (2–1) 2.013.303.75 2.08 1.73
19.04.26SP2 Almeria – Malaga 3–2 (0–0) 1.863.703.70 1.62 2.25
04.04.26SP2 La Coruna – Malaga 1–1 (0–0) 1.863.603.70 2.08 1.73
01.04.26SP2 Andorra – Malaga 3–3 (0–2) 2.253.403.00 1.90 1.90
21.03.26SP2 Cadiz – Malaga 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.102.55 2.05 1.75
28.02.26SP2 Granada – Malaga 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.30 2.25 1.62
16.02.26SP2 Sociedad B – Malaga 2–1 (1–1) 2.853.302.35 2.00 1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Spain La Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ath Madrid 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
2 Alaves 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Barcelona 2 2 0 0 7 0 +7 6
4 Real Madrid 2 2 0 0 6 2 +4 6
5 Sevilla 3 2 0 1 6 5 +1 6
6 Betis 3 2 0 1 4 5 -1 6
7 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
8 Levante 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
9 Santander 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
10 Espanol 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
11 Getafe 2 1 0 1 1 3 -2 3
12 Sociedad 3 1 0 2 3 6 -3 3
13 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
14 Villarreal 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
15 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Celta 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Valencia 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
18 Malaga 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
19 Elche 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
20 Ath Bilbao 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Europa League – league phase
  • Conference League – play-off round
  • Relegation to Segunda División

Copa del Rey winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Alaves 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
2 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
3 Santander 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
4 Levante 1 1 0 0 5 2 +3 3
5 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
6 Espanol 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
7 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
8 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Betis 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Getafe 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Sevilla 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3
12 La Coruna 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Malaga 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Vallecano 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
16 Valencia 2 0 1 1 0 1 -1 1
17 Villarreal 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 Celta 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
20 Elche 1 0 0 1 0 5 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 5 0 +5 3
2 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
3 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 3 1 +2 3
4 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
5 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Betis 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
7 Villarreal 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
8 Alaves 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 La Coruna 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Celta 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
11 Elche 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
12 Levante 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
13 Valencia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Espanol 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
15 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Santander 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
18 Malaga 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
19 Getafe 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
20 Sociedad 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0

Real Madrid   Malaga

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Sevilla 3 0 3 2.0 1.7 2 0 1 6 5 6
2 10 Espanol 3 0 3 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
3 1 Ath Madrid 3 1 2 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
4 4 Real Madrid 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 2 0 0 6 2 6
5 8 Levante 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
6 9 Santander 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
7 12 Sociedad 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 0 2 3 6 3
8 14 Villarreal 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 19 Elche 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
10 2 Alaves 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
11 3 Barcelona 2 1 1 3.5 0.0 2 0 0 7 0 6
12 6 Betis 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 2 0 1 4 5 6
13 7 Osasuna 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
14 11 Getafe 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 1 1 3 3
15 15 Vallecano 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
16 16 Celta 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
17 20 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
18 13 La Coruna 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
19 17 Valencia 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 18 Malaga 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Sevilla 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 1 0 1 3 4 3
2 9 Santander 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
3 10 Espanol 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
4 1 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
5 2 Alaves 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
6 4 Real Madrid 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
7 8 Levante 1 0 1 5.0 2.0 1 0 0 5 2 3
8 12 Sociedad 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
9 16 Celta 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
10 19 Elche 1 0 1 0.0 5.0 0 0 1 0 5 0
11 20 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
12 3 Barcelona 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
13 6 Betis 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
14 7 Osasuna 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
15 11 Getafe 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 13 La Coruna 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 14 Villarreal 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 15 Vallecano 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 17 Valencia 2 2 0 0.0 0.5 0 1 1 0 1 1
20 18 Malaga 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Villarreal 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
2 1 Ath Madrid 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
3 3 Barcelona 1 0 1 5.0 0.0 1 0 0 5 0 3
4 4 Real Madrid 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 5 Sevilla 1 0 1 3.0 1.0 1 0 0 3 1 3
6 6 Betis 2 1 1 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
7 7 Osasuna 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
8 8 Levante 2 1 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 1 0 3 1
9 10 Espanol 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
10 11 Getafe 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
11 12 Sociedad 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
12 15 Vallecano 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 19 Elche 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
14 2 Alaves 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
15 9 Santander 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
16 13 La Coruna 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 16 Celta 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
18 17 Valencia 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 18 Malaga 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
20 20 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40