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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Bramall

Watford 1–0 Burnley

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.30 fair 2.27
Draw 3.30 fair 3.59
Away 3.10 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.72 fair 1.68
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.47

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Burnley
5 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 4
3 Corners 6
13 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (23 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.31 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.2% 1–1 13% 0–0 10%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Burnley before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Watford all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 0.50
1.50 Total goals 1.50
7.50 Shots 14.50
3.50 Shots on target 4.00
12.50 Shots faced 7.50
2.50 Corners 8.00
8.00 Corners against 1.50
13.00 Fouls 10.00
2.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Burnley all matches
Watford before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Burnley before this match, away
3.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 1:0
Watford at home away Burnley

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded 0.00
1.00 Total goals 1.00
10.00 Shots 16.00
4.00 Shots on target 7.00
6.00 Shots faced 2.00
5.00 Corners 5.00
4.00 Corners against 1.00
13.00 Fouls 10.00
4.00 Yellow cards 2.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

100% Wins 100%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 100%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 100%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 0%
0% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.08.22 West Brom – Watford 1–1 (1–1) 2.373.103.20 2.20 1.66
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
22.05.22E0 Chelsea – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.187.5015.00 1.44 2.75
15.05.22E0 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22E0 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
07.05.22E0 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
23.04.22E0 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.22E0 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E0 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.08.22 Burnley – Luton 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.754.60 2.00 1.85
29.07.22 Huddersfield – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
22.05.22E0 Burnley – Newcastle 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 1.94 1.96
19.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22E0 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.37
07.05.22E0 Burnley – Aston Villa 1–3 (0–2) 3.003.302.40 2.07 1.83
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
24.04.22E0 Burnley – Wolves 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.002.87 2.37 1.57
21.04.22E0 Burnley – Southampton 2–0 (2–0) 2.753.252.62 1.98 1.92
17.04.22E0 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.08.22 Watford – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.25 2.10 1.72
15.05.22E0 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22E0 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
16.04.22E0 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22E0 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
06.03.22E0 Watford – Arsenal 2–3 (1–2) 6.004.001.57 2.05 1.85
23.02.22E0 Watford – Crystal Palace 1–4 (1–2) 3.103.302.30 2.20 1.66
12.02.22E0 Watford – Brighton 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.302.05 2.30 1.61
21.01.22E0 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.07.22 Huddersfield – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.20 1.66
19.05.22E0 Aston Villa – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.99 1.91
15.05.22E0 Tottenham – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 1.335.259.00 1.57 2.37
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
17.04.22E0 West Ham – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.805.00 1.95 1.95
10.04.22E0 Norwich – Burnley 2–0 (1–0) 2.873.202.55 2.30 1.61
12.03.22E0 Brentford – Burnley 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.203.60 2.30 1.61
26.02.22E0 Crystal Palace – Burnley 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
19.02.22E0 Brighton – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 1.663.506.00 2.20 1.66
23.01.22E0 Arsenal – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsBurnley wins
2matches
1.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.04.22E0 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
05.02.22E0 Burnley – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 2 2 0 0 4 0 +4 6
2 Sunderland 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
3 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
4 Burnley 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
5 Hull 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
6 Watford 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
7 Sheffield United 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
8 QPR 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
9 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
10 Millwall 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
11 Reading 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
12 Stoke 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
13 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
14 West Brom 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Luton 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
16 Wigan 2 0 2 0 1 1 0 2
17 Preston 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
18 Coventry 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
19 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
20 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
21 Norwich 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
22 Swansea 2 0 1 1 1 4 -3 1
23 Bristol City 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Millwall 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
2 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
3 Stoke 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
4 QPR 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
5 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
6 Hull 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
7 Reading 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
8 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
9 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
10 Cardiff 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
11 Watford 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
12 Burnley 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
13 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
14 Norwich 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
15 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
16 Sunderland 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 West Brom 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 Luton 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
19 Preston 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
20 Wigan 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
21 Coventry 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
23 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
24 Swansea 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
2 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
3 Burnley 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
4 Coventry 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
5 Luton 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
6 Swansea 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
7 Watford 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
8 West Brom 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
9 Wigan 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
11 Hull 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
12 Preston 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
13 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
14 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
15 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
16 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Norwich 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
19 QPR 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Reading 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
21 Sheffield United 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
22 Blackpool 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Millwall 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
24 Stoke 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0

Watford   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Bristol City 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
2 1 Blackburn 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 2 0 0 4 0 6
3 2 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
4 3 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
5 5 Hull 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
6 8 QPR 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
7 9 Cardiff 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
8 11 Reading 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
9 20 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
10 22 Swansea 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 1 1 1 4 1
11 24 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
12 4 Burnley 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
13 6 Watford 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
14 7 Sheffield United 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
15 10 Millwall 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
16 12 Stoke 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
17 13 Blackpool 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
18 14 West Brom 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
19 15 Luton 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
20 16 Wigan 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 0 2 0 1 1 2
21 17 Preston 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2
22 18 Coventry 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 19 Rotherham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
24 21 Norwich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Birmingham 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
2 5 Hull 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
3 8 QPR 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
4 11 Reading 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
5 22 Swansea 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
6 23 Bristol City 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
7 1 Blackburn 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
8 2 Sunderland 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
9 4 Burnley 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
10 6 Watford 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
11 7 Sheffield United 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
12 9 Cardiff 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
13 10 Millwall 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
14 12 Stoke 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
15 13 Blackpool 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
16 14 West Brom 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
17 15 Luton 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
18 16 Wigan 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
19 17 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
20 18 Coventry 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 19 Rotherham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
22 20 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 21 Norwich 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
24 24 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Blackburn 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
2 2 Sunderland 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
3 9 Cardiff 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
4 20 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
5 23 Bristol City 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
6 24 Huddersfield 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
7 3 Birmingham 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
8 4 Burnley 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
9 5 Hull 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
10 6 Watford 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
11 7 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
12 8 QPR 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
13 10 Millwall 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
14 11 Reading 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
15 12 Stoke 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
16 13 Blackpool 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
17 14 West Brom 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
18 15 Luton 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
19 16 Wigan 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 17 Preston 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
21 18 Coventry 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
22 19 Rotherham 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
23 21 Norwich 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
24 22 Swansea 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51