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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Premier League · ·Referee: M Dean

Chelsea 2–1 Watford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 1.18 fair 1.47
Draw 7.50 fair 5.46
Away 15.00 fair 7.44
Under 2.5 2.75 fair 2.59
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.63

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Chelsea Watford
19 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 3
9 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (370 league matches this season so far).
Result Chelsea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 2.27 – 0.90
Home / Draw / Away
ChelseaDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 10.8% 2–1 9.7% 1–0 9.6%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
2.00scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 74:32
Watford before this match, all matches
0.62points / match
0.89scored / match
2.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 37 played · 33:75
Chelsea all matches all matches Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.89
0.86 Goals conceded 2.03
2.86 Total goals 2.92
15.49 Shots 10.49
5.49 Shots on target 3.35
9.00 Shots faced 14.65
6.46 Corners 4.30
4.03 Corners against 6.27
10.81 Fouls 11.65
1.70 Yellow cards 1.54
0.89 1st-half goals scored 0.46
0.27 1st-half goals conceded 0.97

How often Full Time

54% Wins 16%
30% Draws 14%
16% Losses 70%
97% Over 0.5 goals 92%
78% Over 1.5 goals 70%
51% Over 2.5 goals 54%
32% Over 3.5 goals 35%
16% Over 4.5 goals 27%
8% Over 5.5 goals 11%
49% Both teams scored 49%
43% Clean sheets 11%
11% Failed to score 49%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
62% Draws 35%
0% Losses 51%
57% Over 0.5 goals 73%
38% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea all matches
Watford all matches
Chelsea before this match, at home
1.72points / match
1.94scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 35:21
Watford before this match, away
0.83points / match
0.89scored / match
1.61conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:29
Chelsea at home away Watford

Per match

1.94 Goals scored 0.89
1.17 Goals conceded 1.61
3.11 Total goals 2.50
17.06 Shots 9.56
5.94 Shots on target 3.06
9.17 Shots faced 15.33
7.50 Corners 4.17
3.72 Corners against 6.72
11.33 Fouls 12.00
1.78 Yellow cards 1.33
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

44% Wins 22%
39% Draws 17%
17% Losses 61%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
83% Over 1.5 goals 56%
50% Over 2.5 goals 39%
39% Over 3.5 goals 28%
22% Over 4.5 goals 17%
11% Over 5.5 goals 17%
61% Both teams scored 39%
33% Clean sheets 17%
6% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 11%
67% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
56% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 39%
17% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Chelsea at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Chelsea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.22 Chelsea – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.758.00 1.61 2.30
11.05.22 Leeds – Chelsea 0–3 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.61 2.30
07.05.22 Chelsea – Wolves 2–2 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.93 1.97
01.05.22 Everton – Chelsea 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.601.75 2.02 1.88
28.04.22 Man United – Chelsea 1–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.25 1.86 2.04
24.04.22 Chelsea – West Ham 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.83 2.07
20.04.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–4 (2–2) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.80
09.04.22 Southampton – Chelsea 0–6 (0–4) 3.803.601.95 1.95 1.95
02.04.22 Chelsea – Brentford 1–4 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.91 1.99
13.03.22 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.05.22 Watford – Leicester 1–5 (1–2) 3.803.501.95 1.72 2.10
11.05.22 Watford – Everton 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.601.83 1.94 1.96
07.05.22 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
30.04.22 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.72
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
16.04.22 Watford – Brentford 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.302.55 2.10 1.72
09.04.22 Watford – Leeds 0–3 (0–1) 2.703.402.55 1.72 2.10
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61

Chelsea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.05.22 Chelsea – Leicester 1–1 (1–1) 1.404.758.00 1.61 2.30
07.05.22 Chelsea – Wolves 2–2 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.93 1.97
24.04.22 Chelsea – West Ham 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.83 2.07
20.04.22 Chelsea – Arsenal 2–4 (2–2) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.80
02.04.22 Chelsea – Brentford 1–4 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.91 1.99
13.03.22 Chelsea – Newcastle 1–0 (0–0) 1.305.2511.00 1.72 2.10
23.01.22 Chelsea – Tottenham 2–0 (0–0) 1.614.205.00 1.94 1.96
02.01.22 Chelsea – Liverpool 2–2 (2–2) 3.103.502.25 1.83 2.07
29.12.21 Chelsea – Brighton 1–1 (1–0) 1.404.507.50 1.93 1.97
16.12.21 Chelsea – Everton 1–1 (0–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.72 2.10

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.05.22 Crystal Palace – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.654.005.00 1.99 1.91
23.04.22 Man City – Watford 5–1 (3–1) 1.1010.0026.00 1.36 3.20
02.04.22 Liverpool – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 1.129.5017.00 1.36 3.20
13.03.22 Southampton – Watford 1–2 (1–2) 1.604.205.25 1.80 2.00
10.03.22 Wolves – Watford 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.604.50 2.30 1.61
26.02.22 Man United – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.305.509.50 1.61 2.30
19.02.22 Aston Villa – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.01 1.89
08.02.22 West Ham – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.75 1.72 2.10
05.02.22 Burnley – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.50 2.10 1.72
15.01.22 Newcastle – Watford 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.603.60 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Chelsea winsDrawsWatford wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.12.21E0 Watford – Chelsea 1–2 (1–1) 10.005.251.30 1.72 2.10

England Premier League table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 37 28 6 3 96 24 +72 90
2 Liverpool 37 27 8 2 91 25 +66 89
3 Chelsea 37 20 11 6 74 32 +42 71
4 Tottenham 37 21 5 11 64 40 +24 68
5 Arsenal 37 21 3 13 56 47 +9 66
6 Man United 37 16 10 11 57 56 +1 58
7 West Ham 37 16 8 13 59 48 +11 56
8 Wolves 37 15 6 16 37 40 -3 51
9 Leicester 37 13 10 14 58 58 0 49
10 Brighton 37 11 15 11 39 43 -4 48
11 Brentford 37 13 7 17 47 54 -7 46
12 Newcastle 37 12 10 15 42 61 -19 46
13 Crystal Palace 37 10 15 12 49 46 +3 45
14 Aston Villa 37 13 6 18 50 51 -1 45
15 Southampton 37 9 13 15 42 63 -21 40
16 Everton 37 11 6 20 42 61 -19 39
17 Burnley 37 7 14 16 33 51 -18 35
18 Leeds 37 8 11 18 40 78 -38 35
19 Watford 37 6 5 26 33 75 -42 23
20 Norwich 37 5 7 25 23 79 -56 22
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 18 14 4 0 46 8 +38 46
2 Man City 18 14 2 2 55 13 +42 44
3 Tottenham 19 13 1 5 38 19 +19 40
4 Arsenal 18 12 2 4 30 16 +14 38
5 Man United 19 10 5 4 32 22 +10 35
6 West Ham 19 9 5 5 33 26 +7 32
7 Chelsea 18 8 7 3 35 21 +14 31
8 Leicester 18 9 4 5 30 22 +8 31
9 Newcastle 19 8 6 5 26 27 -1 30
10 Everton 19 9 2 8 27 25 +2 29
11 Crystal Palace 18 6 8 4 26 17 +9 26
12 Southampton 19 6 7 6 23 24 -1 25
13 Brentford 18 7 3 8 21 19 +2 24
14 Wolves 19 7 3 9 20 25 -5 24
15 Aston Villa 19 6 5 8 29 29 0 23
16 Burnley 18 5 6 7 17 23 -6 21
17 Brighton 18 4 7 7 16 22 -6 19
18 Leeds 19 4 6 9 19 38 -19 18
19 Norwich 18 3 3 12 12 38 -26 12
20 Watford 19 2 2 15 17 46 -29 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Man City 19 14 4 1 41 11 +30 46
2 Liverpool 19 13 4 2 45 17 +28 43
3 Chelsea 19 12 4 3 39 11 +28 40
4 Brighton 19 7 8 4 23 21 +2 29
5 Tottenham 18 8 4 6 26 21 +5 28
6 Arsenal 19 9 1 9 26 31 -5 28
7 Wolves 18 8 3 7 17 15 +2 27
8 West Ham 18 7 3 8 26 22 +4 24
9 Man United 18 6 5 7 25 34 -9 23
10 Aston Villa 18 7 1 10 21 22 -1 22
11 Brentford 19 6 4 9 26 35 -9 22
12 Crystal Palace 19 4 7 8 23 29 -6 19
13 Leicester 19 4 6 9 28 36 -8 18
14 Leeds 18 4 5 9 21 40 -19 17
15 Newcastle 18 4 4 10 16 34 -18 16
16 Watford 18 4 3 11 16 29 -13 15
17 Southampton 18 3 6 9 19 39 -20 15
18 Burnley 19 2 8 9 16 28 -12 14
19 Everton 18 2 4 12 15 36 -21 10
20 Norwich 19 2 4 13 11 41 -30 10

Chelsea   Watford

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Leeds 37 13 24 1.1 2.1 8 11 18 40 78 35
2 2 Liverpool 37 14 23 2.5 0.7 27 8 2 91 25 89
3 9 Leicester 37 14 23 1.6 1.6 13 10 14 58 58 49
4 1 Man City 37 15 22 2.6 0.6 28 6 3 96 24 90
5 20 Norwich 37 15 22 0.6 2.1 5 7 25 23 79 22
6 4 Tottenham 37 16 21 1.7 1.1 21 5 11 64 40 68
7 5 Arsenal 37 16 21 1.5 1.3 21 3 13 56 47 66
8 7 West Ham 37 16 21 1.6 1.3 16 8 13 59 48 56
9 11 Brentford 37 16 21 1.3 1.5 13 7 17 47 54 46
10 14 Aston Villa 37 16 21 1.4 1.4 13 6 18 50 51 45
11 15 Southampton 37 16 21 1.1 1.7 9 13 15 42 63 40
12 16 Everton 37 17 20 1.1 1.6 11 6 20 42 61 39
13 19 Watford 37 17 20 0.9 2.0 6 5 26 33 75 23
14 3 Chelsea 37 18 19 2.0 0.9 20 11 6 74 32 71
15 6 Man United 37 18 19 1.5 1.5 16 10 11 57 56 58
16 13 Crystal Palace 37 18 19 1.3 1.2 10 15 12 49 46 45
17 12 Newcastle 37 20 17 1.1 1.6 12 10 15 42 61 46
18 8 Wolves 37 24 13 1.0 1.1 15 6 16 37 40 51
19 17 Burnley 37 24 13 0.9 1.4 7 14 16 33 51 35
20 10 Brighton 37 25 12 1.1 1.2 11 15 11 39 43 48
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Tottenham 19 6 13 2.0 1.0 13 1 5 38 19 40
2 19 Watford 19 6 13 0.9 2.4 2 2 15 17 46 8
3 1 Man City 18 6 12 3.1 0.7 14 2 2 55 13 44
4 7 West Ham 19 7 12 1.7 1.4 9 5 5 33 26 32
5 18 Leeds 19 7 12 1.0 2.0 4 6 9 19 38 18
6 20 Norwich 18 6 12 0.7 2.1 3 3 12 12 38 12
7 9 Leicester 18 7 11 1.7 1.2 9 4 5 30 22 31
8 14 Aston Villa 19 8 11 1.5 1.5 6 5 8 29 29 23
9 2 Liverpool 18 8 10 2.6 0.4 14 4 0 46 8 46
10 5 Arsenal 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 12 2 4 30 16 38
11 3 Chelsea 18 9 9 1.9 1.2 8 7 3 35 21 31
12 8 Wolves 19 10 9 1.1 1.3 7 3 9 20 25 24
13 12 Newcastle 19 10 9 1.4 1.4 8 6 5 26 27 30
14 13 Crystal Palace 18 9 9 1.4 0.9 6 8 4 26 17 26
15 16 Everton 19 10 9 1.4 1.3 9 2 8 27 25 29
16 6 Man United 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 10 5 4 32 22 35
17 11 Brentford 18 10 8 1.2 1.1 7 3 8 21 19 24
18 15 Southampton 19 11 8 1.2 1.3 6 7 6 23 24 25
19 17 Burnley 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 6 7 17 23 21
20 10 Brighton 18 13 5 0.9 1.2 4 7 7 16 22 19
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Liverpool 19 6 13 2.4 0.9 13 4 2 45 17 43
2 11 Brentford 19 6 13 1.4 1.8 6 4 9 26 35 22
3 15 Southampton 18 5 13 1.1 2.2 3 6 9 19 39 15
4 9 Leicester 19 7 12 1.5 1.9 4 6 9 28 36 18
5 18 Leeds 18 6 12 1.2 2.2 4 5 9 21 40 17
6 5 Arsenal 19 8 11 1.4 1.6 9 1 9 26 31 28
7 6 Man United 18 7 11 1.4 1.9 6 5 7 25 34 23
8 16 Everton 18 7 11 0.8 2.0 2 4 12 15 36 10
9 1 Man City 19 9 10 2.2 0.6 14 4 1 41 11 46
10 3 Chelsea 19 9 10 2.1 0.6 12 4 3 39 11 40
11 13 Crystal Palace 19 9 10 1.2 1.5 4 7 8 23 29 19
12 14 Aston Villa 18 8 10 1.2 1.2 7 1 10 21 22 22
13 20 Norwich 19 9 10 0.6 2.2 2 4 13 11 41 10
14 7 West Ham 18 9 9 1.4 1.2 7 3 8 26 22 24
15 4 Tottenham 18 10 8 1.4 1.2 8 4 6 26 21 28
16 12 Newcastle 18 10 8 0.9 1.9 4 4 10 16 34 16
17 10 Brighton 19 12 7 1.2 1.1 7 8 4 23 21 29
18 17 Burnley 19 12 7 0.8 1.5 2 8 9 16 28 14
19 19 Watford 18 11 7 0.9 1.6 4 3 11 16 29 15
20 8 Wolves 18 14 4 0.9 0.8 8 3 7 17 15 27

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44