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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Woolmer

Swansea 1–3 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.20 fair 2.28
Draw 3.25 fair 3.96
Away ✓ 3.50 fair 3.24
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 2.08
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Swansea Stoke
12 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
5 Corners 4
12 Fouls 17
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (386 league matches this season so far).
Result Swansea to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.52 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
SwanseaDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches
1.31points / match
1.41scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 45:47
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.16points / match
1.13scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 36:39
Swansea all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.13
1.47 Goals conceded 1.22
2.88 Total goals 2.34
12.84 Shots 12.97
4.63 Shots on target 4.22
9.75 Shots faced 10.75
5.59 Corners 5.59
4.38 Corners against 5.31
9.34 Fouls 11.81
2.22 Yellow cards 1.81
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

34% Wins 31%
28% Draws 22%
38% Losses 47%
97% Over 0.5 goals 94%
78% Over 1.5 goals 69%
59% Over 2.5 goals 44%
31% Over 3.5 goals 28%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 38%
19% Clean sheets 31%
28% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 25%
22% Draws 34%
47% Losses 41%
81% Over 0.5 goals 75%
34% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches
Stoke all matches
Swansea before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.67scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 25:21
Stoke before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.00scored / match
1.31conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 16:21
Swansea at home away Stoke

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
1.40 Goals conceded 1.31
3.07 Total goals 2.31
13.53 Shots 12.25
5.07 Shots on target 3.94
7.80 Shots faced 12.19
5.67 Corners 4.69
3.40 Corners against 5.81
8.33 Fouls 11.69
2.07 Yellow cards 1.94
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.69

How often Full Time

47% Wins 31%
13% Draws 19%
40% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
80% Over 1.5 goals 69%
67% Over 2.5 goals 44%
33% Over 3.5 goals 25%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
47% Both teams scored 44%
27% Clean sheets 31%
27% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

47% Wins 13%
13% Draws 38%
40% Losses 50%
87% Over 0.5 goals 75%
40% Over 1.5 goals 25%
27% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Blackburn – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.63 2.00 1.85
15.02.23 Swansea – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.85 2.00
11.02.23 Sheffield United – Swansea 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 1.95 1.90
04.02.23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
21.01.23 QPR – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 2.02 1.83
14.01.23 Sunderland – Swansea 1–3 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.00 1.85
02.01.23 Swansea – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.38 2.05 1.80
30.12.22 Swansea – Watford 4–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.73
27.12.22 Reading – Swansea 2–1 (1–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Coventry – Swansea 3–3 (1–0) 2.403.253.00 2.05 1.80

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Blackpool – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.73
15.02.23 Stoke – Huddersfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.30 1.62
11.02.23 Stoke – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.67
04.02.23 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67
21.01.23 Stoke – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Sheffield United – Stoke 3–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 Stoke – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.20 1.67
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85

Swansea at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.23 Swansea – Blackpool 2–1 (1–0) 1.674.005.00 1.85 2.00
04.02.23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
02.01.23 Swansea – Burnley 1–2 (1–2) 3.003.402.38 2.05 1.80
30.12.22 Swansea – Watford 4–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.25 2.10 1.73
10.12.22 Swansea – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.402.88 1.90 1.95
05.11.22 Swansea – Wigan 2–2 (1–2) 1.903.504.33 2.10 1.72
23.10.22 Swansea – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.02 1.83
18.10.22 Swansea – Reading 3–2 (1–2) 2.053.403.80 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Swansea – Sunderland 2–1 (2–0) 2.203.403.30 2.00 1.85
17.09.22 Swansea – Hull 3–0 (0–0) 1.803.604.75 1.93 1.93

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.23 Blackpool – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.302.38 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Sheffield United – Stoke 3–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.02 1.83
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Swansea winsDrawsStoke wins
3matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
08.02.22E1 Stoke – Swansea 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.40 2.37 1.57
17.08.21E1 Swansea – Stoke 1–3 (0–1) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 32 21 9 2 63 27 +36 72
2 Sheffield United 32 18 7 7 54 30 +24 61
3 Middlesbrough 33 17 6 10 56 38 +18 57
4 Luton 32 13 11 8 39 32 +7 50
5 Watford 33 13 11 9 41 37 +4 50
6 Sunderland 32 13 10 9 47 34 +13 49
7 Millwall 31 14 7 10 39 32 +7 49
8 Blackburn 32 15 4 13 34 37 -3 49
9 Norwich 32 13 7 12 43 36 +7 46
10 West Brom 32 12 9 11 42 36 +6 45
11 Coventry 32 12 9 11 35 33 +2 45
12 Swansea 32 11 9 12 45 47 -2 42
13 Hull 33 11 9 13 38 47 -9 42
14 Preston 32 11 9 12 28 37 -9 42
15 Bristol City 32 10 11 11 42 41 +1 41
16 Reading 32 12 5 15 35 47 -12 41
17 QPR 33 10 9 14 34 46 -12 39
18 Birmingham 32 10 8 14 37 42 -5 38
19 Stoke 32 10 7 15 36 39 -3 37
20 Cardiff 33 9 8 16 25 36 -11 35
21 Rotherham 32 7 12 13 34 44 -10 33
22 Huddersfield 32 8 7 17 30 43 -13 31
23 Blackpool 32 7 10 15 32 47 -15 31
24 Wigan 32 7 10 15 29 50 -21 31
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 17 12 5 0 36 13 +23 41
2 Sheffield United 16 10 3 3 34 16 +18 33
3 Middlesbrough 16 9 5 2 26 13 +13 32
4 Millwall 15 9 4 2 24 11 +13 31
5 Blackburn 15 10 1 4 21 13 +8 31
6 Reading 15 9 3 3 24 17 +7 30
7 Coventry 17 8 5 4 21 15 +6 29
8 Watford 16 8 4 4 24 16 +8 28
9 West Brom 16 7 5 4 22 15 +7 26
10 Swansea 15 7 2 6 25 21 +4 23
11 Sunderland 16 6 5 5 21 17 +4 23
12 Bristol City 17 6 5 6 21 18 +3 23
13 Luton 16 5 7 4 20 17 +3 22
14 Norwich 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
15 Hull 17 6 4 7 18 23 -5 22
16 Huddersfield 16 6 3 7 16 16 0 21
17 Rotherham 15 5 5 5 24 19 +5 20
18 Birmingham 17 5 5 7 20 20 0 20
19 Cardiff 17 5 5 7 13 16 -3 20
20 Stoke 16 5 4 7 20 18 +2 19
21 QPR 16 5 4 7 18 23 -5 19
22 Blackpool 16 4 5 7 17 21 -4 17
23 Preston 16 3 5 8 10 21 -11 14
24 Wigan 17 3 4 10 12 30 -18 13
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 15 9 4 2 27 14 +13 31
2 Sheffield United 16 8 4 4 20 14 +6 28
3 Luton 16 8 4 4 19 15 +4 28
4 Preston 16 8 4 4 18 16 +2 28
5 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 26 17 +9 26
6 Middlesbrough 17 8 1 8 30 25 +5 25
7 Norwich 16 7 3 6 21 16 +5 24
8 Watford 17 5 7 5 17 21 -4 22
9 Hull 16 5 5 6 20 24 -4 20
10 QPR 17 5 5 7 16 23 -7 20
11 West Brom 16 5 4 7 20 21 -1 19
12 Swansea 17 4 7 6 20 26 -6 19
13 Bristol City 15 4 6 5 21 23 -2 18
14 Wigan 15 4 6 5 17 20 -3 18
15 Birmingham 15 5 3 7 17 22 -5 18
16 Stoke 16 5 3 8 16 21 -5 18
17 Millwall 16 5 3 8 15 21 -6 18
18 Blackburn 17 5 3 9 13 24 -11 18
19 Coventry 15 4 4 7 14 18 -4 16
20 Cardiff 16 4 3 9 12 20 -8 15
21 Blackpool 16 3 5 8 15 26 -11 14
22 Rotherham 17 2 7 8 10 25 -15 13
23 Reading 17 3 2 12 11 30 -19 11
24 Huddersfield 16 2 4 10 14 27 -13 10

Swansea   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 33 12 21 1.7 1.2 17 6 10 56 38 57
2 12 Swansea 32 13 19 1.4 1.5 11 9 12 45 47 42
3 16 Reading 32 14 18 1.1 1.5 12 5 15 35 47 41
4 17 QPR 33 16 17 1.0 1.4 10 9 14 34 46 39
5 1 Burnley 32 16 16 2.0 0.8 21 9 2 63 27 72
6 6 Sunderland 32 16 16 1.5 1.1 13 10 9 47 34 49
7 9 Norwich 32 16 16 1.3 1.1 13 7 12 43 36 46
8 13 Hull 33 17 16 1.2 1.4 11 9 13 38 47 42
9 2 Sheffield United 32 17 15 1.7 0.9 18 7 7 54 30 61
10 18 Birmingham 32 17 15 1.2 1.3 10 8 14 37 42 38
11 21 Rotherham 32 17 15 1.1 1.4 7 12 13 34 44 33
12 23 Blackpool 32 17 15 1.0 1.5 7 10 15 32 47 31
13 8 Blackburn 32 18 14 1.1 1.2 15 4 13 34 37 49
14 15 Bristol City 32 18 14 1.3 1.3 10 11 11 42 41 41
15 19 Stoke 32 18 14 1.1 1.2 10 7 15 36 39 37
16 22 Huddersfield 32 18 14 0.9 1.3 8 7 17 30 43 31
17 24 Wigan 32 18 14 0.9 1.6 7 10 15 29 50 31
18 5 Watford 33 20 13 1.2 1.1 13 11 9 41 37 50
19 7 Millwall 31 19 12 1.3 1.0 14 7 10 39 32 49
20 14 Preston 32 20 12 0.9 1.2 11 9 12 28 37 42
21 4 Luton 32 21 11 1.2 1.0 13 11 8 39 32 50
22 10 West Brom 32 21 11 1.3 1.1 12 9 11 42 36 45
23 11 Coventry 32 23 9 1.1 1.0 12 9 11 35 33 45
24 20 Cardiff 33 24 9 0.8 1.1 9 8 16 25 36 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 17 7 10 2.1 0.8 12 5 0 36 13 41
2 2 Sheffield United 16 6 10 2.1 1.0 10 3 3 34 16 33
3 12 Swansea 15 5 10 1.7 1.4 7 2 6 25 21 23
4 16 Reading 15 5 10 1.6 1.1 9 3 3 24 17 30
5 17 QPR 16 6 10 1.1 1.4 5 4 7 18 23 19
6 3 Middlesbrough 16 8 8 1.6 0.8 9 5 2 26 13 32
7 6 Sunderland 16 8 8 1.3 1.1 6 5 5 21 17 23
8 9 Norwich 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
9 13 Hull 17 9 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 7 18 23 22
10 18 Birmingham 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 5 5 7 20 20 20
11 21 Rotherham 15 7 8 1.6 1.3 5 5 5 24 19 20
12 5 Watford 16 9 7 1.5 1.0 8 4 4 24 16 28
13 8 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.4 0.9 10 1 4 21 13 31
14 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.2 1.1 5 4 7 20 18 19
15 23 Blackpool 16 9 7 1.1 1.3 4 5 7 17 21 17
16 24 Wigan 17 10 7 0.7 1.8 3 4 10 12 30 13
17 4 Luton 16 10 6 1.2 1.1 5 7 4 20 17 22
18 7 Millwall 15 9 6 1.6 0.7 9 4 2 24 11 31
19 15 Bristol City 17 11 6 1.2 1.1 6 5 6 21 18 23
20 14 Preston 16 11 5 0.6 1.3 3 5 8 10 21 14
21 22 Huddersfield 16 11 5 1.0 1.0 6 3 7 16 16 21
22 10 West Brom 16 12 4 1.4 0.9 7 5 4 22 15 26
23 11 Coventry 17 13 4 1.2 0.9 8 5 4 21 15 29
24 20 Cardiff 17 13 4 0.8 0.9 5 5 7 13 16 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 17 4 13 1.8 1.5 8 1 8 30 25 25
2 12 Swansea 17 8 9 1.2 1.5 4 7 6 20 26 19
3 22 Huddersfield 16 7 9 0.9 1.7 2 4 10 14 27 10
4 6 Sunderland 16 8 8 1.6 1.1 7 5 4 26 17 26
5 9 Norwich 16 8 8 1.3 1.0 7 3 6 21 16 24
6 13 Hull 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 5 5 6 20 24 20
7 15 Bristol City 15 7 8 1.4 1.5 4 6 5 21 23 18
8 16 Reading 17 9 8 0.6 1.8 3 2 12 11 30 11
9 23 Blackpool 16 8 8 0.9 1.6 3 5 8 15 26 14
10 8 Blackburn 17 10 7 0.8 1.4 5 3 9 13 24 18
11 10 West Brom 16 9 7 1.2 1.3 5 4 7 20 21 19
12 14 Preston 16 9 7 1.1 1.0 8 4 4 18 16 28
13 17 QPR 17 10 7 0.9 1.4 5 5 7 16 23 20
14 18 Birmingham 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 5 3 7 17 22 18
15 19 Stoke 16 9 7 1.0 1.3 5 3 8 16 21 18
16 21 Rotherham 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 7 8 10 25 13
17 24 Wigan 15 8 7 1.1 1.3 4 6 5 17 20 18
18 1 Burnley 15 9 6 1.8 0.9 9 4 2 27 14 31
19 5 Watford 17 11 6 1.0 1.2 5 7 5 17 21 22
20 7 Millwall 16 10 6 0.9 1.3 5 3 8 15 21 18
21 2 Sheffield United 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 20 14 28
22 4 Luton 16 11 5 1.2 0.9 8 4 4 19 15 28
23 11 Coventry 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 4 7 14 18 16
24 20 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.8 1.2 4 3 9 12 20 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 1 Nov 2026, 19:06