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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Luton 1–0 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.21
Draw 3.30 fair 3.82
Away 3.30 fair 3.51
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Stoke
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 5
11 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (340 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 1–0 11.4% 2–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.61points / match
1.29scored / match
1.04conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 36:29
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.18scored / match
1.32conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 33:37
Luton all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 1.18
1.04 Goals conceded 1.32
2.32 Total goals 2.50
11.82 Shots 12.93
3.71 Shots on target 4.29
11.93 Shots faced 11.21
5.93 Corners 5.36
5.36 Corners against 5.54
12.29 Fouls 11.89
1.86 Yellow cards 1.86
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.54
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

43% Wins 32%
32% Draws 21%
25% Losses 46%
89% Over 0.5 goals 96%
75% Over 1.5 goals 75%
39% Over 2.5 goals 46%
18% Over 3.5 goals 32%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
4% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 43%
39% Clean sheets 29%
25% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 25%
39% Draws 36%
18% Losses 39%
68% Over 0.5 goals 75%
32% Over 1.5 goals 29%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Stoke all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.36points / match
1.36scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 19:16
Stoke before this match, away
1.29points / match
1.14scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 16:19
Luton at home away Stoke

Per match

1.36 Goals scored 1.14
1.14 Goals conceded 1.36
2.50 Total goals 2.50
14.36 Shots 11.71
4.21 Shots on target 4.00
11.64 Shots faced 12.64
7.64 Corners 4.64
5.07 Corners against 5.93
11.21 Fouls 12.21
1.36 Yellow cards 1.93
0.79 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

29% Wins 36%
50% Draws 21%
21% Losses 43%
86% Over 0.5 goals 93%
71% Over 1.5 goals 79%
43% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
14% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 50%
29% Clean sheets 36%
21% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 14%
36% Draws 43%
14% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
21% Over 1.5 goals 29%
21% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.23 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.20 2.30 1.62
21.01.23 Wigan – Luton 0–2 (0–1) 2.903.202.55 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Luton – West Brom 2–3 (2–1) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.67
01.01.23 Huddersfield – Luton 1–2 (1–1) 2.883.402.45 2.20 1.67
29.12.22 QPR – Luton 0–3 (0–1) 2.253.253.30 2.10 1.73
26.12.22 Luton – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
10.12.22 Middlesbrough – Luton 2–1 (1–1) 1.833.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Luton – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.95 1.90
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Blackpool – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.00 1.85

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.01.23 Stoke – Reading 4–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.20 1.67
14.01.23 Sheffield United – Stoke 3–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.02 1.83
02.01.23 Stoke – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 2.20 1.67
30.12.22 Stoke – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.00 1.80
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
10.12.22 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.23 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.20 2.30 1.62
14.01.23 Luton – West Brom 2–3 (2–1) 3.003.202.45 2.20 1.67
26.12.22 Luton – Norwich 2–1 (0–0) 2.603.302.75 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 Luton – Rotherham 1–1 (0–1) 1.703.755.25 1.95 1.90
01.11.22 Luton – Reading 0–0 (0–0) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Luton – Sunderland 1–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.72
15.10.22 Luton – QPR 3–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.72
04.10.22 Luton – Huddersfield 3–3 (3–2) 1.753.405.25 2.20 1.66
17.09.22 Luton – Blackburn 2–0 (0–0) 2.303.253.30 2.10 1.72
14.09.22 Luton – Coventry 2–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.50 2.05 1.80

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23 Sheffield United – Stoke 3–1 (2–1) 1.733.755.00 2.02 1.83
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Preston – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.373.203.10 2.30 1.61
05.10.22 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93
17.09.22 QPR – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
13.09.22 Hull – Stoke 0–3 (0–2) 2.753.252.62 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsStoke wins
3matches
2.00goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.22E1 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
23.02.22E1 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
06.11.21E1 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 29 19 8 2 58 26 +32 65
2 Sheffield United 29 17 7 5 48 24 +24 58
3 Middlesbrough 29 13 6 10 44 35 +9 45
4 Luton 28 12 9 7 36 29 +7 45
5 West Brom 29 12 8 9 39 30 +9 44
6 Watford 29 12 8 9 34 31 +3 44
7 Blackburn 28 14 1 13 31 35 -4 43
8 Norwich 29 12 6 11 40 34 +6 42
9 Millwall 27 12 6 9 33 27 +6 42
10 Sunderland 28 11 8 9 41 32 +9 41
11 Preston 28 11 7 10 26 31 -5 40
12 Swansea 28 10 9 9 40 38 +2 39
13 Coventry 29 10 8 11 31 32 -1 38
14 QPR 29 10 8 11 31 37 -6 38
15 Hull 29 10 7 12 36 44 -8 37
16 Reading 28 11 4 13 31 42 -11 37
17 Bristol City 28 8 9 11 37 38 -1 33
18 Stoke 28 9 6 13 33 37 -4 33
19 Birmingham 28 8 8 12 30 35 -5 32
20 Rotherham 29 7 11 11 33 40 -7 32
21 Cardiff 29 7 8 14 21 32 -11 29
22 Huddersfield 27 7 5 15 25 35 -10 26
23 Blackpool 27 6 8 13 28 40 -12 26
24 Wigan 28 6 7 15 27 49 -22 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 15 11 4 0 32 12 +20 37
2 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 30 13 +17 30
3 Millwall 13 8 3 2 20 8 +12 27
4 Blackburn 13 9 0 4 20 13 +7 27
5 Middlesbrough 14 7 5 2 20 12 +8 26
6 Reading 13 8 2 3 20 14 +6 26
7 West Brom 15 7 4 4 21 14 +7 25
8 Coventry 15 7 4 4 19 14 +5 25
9 Watford 14 7 3 4 20 13 +7 24
10 Rotherham 14 5 5 4 24 17 +7 20
11 Swansea 13 6 2 5 20 16 +4 20
12 Luton 14 4 7 3 19 16 +3 19
13 Sunderland 14 5 4 5 19 16 +3 19
14 Bristol City 15 5 4 6 19 17 +2 19
15 Norwich 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
16 QPR 14 5 4 5 17 18 -1 19
17 Hull 15 5 3 7 17 23 -6 18
18 Birmingham 15 4 5 6 18 18 0 17
19 Huddersfield 14 5 2 7 13 14 -1 17
20 Cardiff 15 4 5 6 11 13 -2 17
21 Stoke 14 4 3 7 17 18 -1 15
22 Preston 14 3 4 7 8 18 -10 13
23 Blackpool 13 3 3 7 14 19 -5 12
24 Wigan 15 2 3 10 11 30 -19 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 26 14 +12 28
2 Sheffield United 15 8 4 3 18 11 +7 28
3 Preston 14 8 3 3 18 13 +5 27
4 Luton 14 8 2 4 17 13 +4 26
5 Norwich 14 7 2 5 21 15 +6 23
6 Sunderland 14 6 4 4 22 16 +6 22
7 Watford 15 5 5 5 14 18 -4 20
8 West Brom 14 5 4 5 18 16 +2 19
9 Middlesbrough 15 6 1 8 24 23 +1 19
10 Swansea 15 4 7 4 20 22 -2 19
11 Hull 14 5 4 5 19 21 -2 19
12 QPR 15 5 4 6 14 19 -5 19
13 Stoke 14 5 3 6 16 19 -3 18
14 Wigan 13 4 4 5 16 19 -3 16
15 Blackburn 15 5 1 9 11 22 -11 16
16 Birmingham 13 4 3 6 12 17 -5 15
17 Millwall 14 4 3 7 13 19 -6 15
18 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 18 21 -3 14
19 Blackpool 14 3 5 6 14 21 -7 14
20 Coventry 14 3 4 7 12 18 -6 13
21 Cardiff 14 3 3 8 10 19 -9 12
22 Rotherham 15 2 6 7 9 23 -14 12
23 Reading 15 3 2 10 11 28 -17 11
24 Huddersfield 13 2 3 8 12 21 -9 9

Luton   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 29 12 17 1.5 1.2 13 6 10 44 35 45
2 12 Swansea 28 12 16 1.4 1.4 10 9 9 40 38 39
3 16 Reading 28 12 16 1.1 1.5 11 4 13 31 42 37
4 1 Burnley 29 14 15 2.0 0.9 19 8 2 58 26 65
5 8 Norwich 29 14 15 1.4 1.2 12 6 11 40 34 42
6 10 Sunderland 28 13 15 1.5 1.1 11 8 9 41 32 41
7 15 Hull 29 14 15 1.2 1.5 10 7 12 36 44 37
8 7 Blackburn 28 14 14 1.1 1.2 14 1 13 31 35 43
9 14 QPR 29 15 14 1.1 1.3 10 8 11 31 37 38
10 20 Rotherham 29 15 14 1.1 1.4 7 11 11 33 40 32
11 24 Wigan 28 14 14 1.0 1.8 6 7 15 27 49 25
12 17 Bristol City 28 15 13 1.3 1.4 8 9 11 37 38 33
13 18 Stoke 28 15 13 1.2 1.3 9 6 13 33 37 33
14 19 Birmingham 28 15 13 1.1 1.2 8 8 12 30 35 32
15 2 Sheffield United 29 17 12 1.7 0.8 17 7 5 48 24 58
16 23 Blackpool 27 15 12 1.0 1.5 6 8 13 28 40 26
17 4 Luton 28 17 11 1.3 1.0 12 9 7 36 29 45
18 6 Watford 29 18 11 1.2 1.1 12 8 9 34 31 44
19 22 Huddersfield 27 16 11 0.9 1.3 7 5 15 25 35 26
20 5 West Brom 29 19 10 1.3 1.0 12 8 9 39 30 44
21 9 Millwall 27 17 10 1.2 1.0 12 6 9 33 27 42
22 11 Preston 28 18 10 0.9 1.1 11 7 10 26 31 40
23 13 Coventry 29 20 9 1.1 1.1 10 8 11 31 32 38
24 21 Cardiff 29 21 8 0.7 1.1 7 8 14 21 32 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 15 6 9 2.1 0.8 11 4 0 32 12 37
2 2 Sheffield United 14 6 8 2.1 0.9 9 3 2 30 13 30
3 10 Sunderland 14 6 8 1.4 1.1 5 4 5 19 16 19
4 12 Swansea 13 5 8 1.5 1.2 6 2 5 20 16 20
5 14 QPR 14 6 8 1.2 1.3 5 4 5 17 18 19
6 15 Hull 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 5 3 7 17 23 18
7 16 Reading 13 5 8 1.5 1.1 8 2 3 20 14 26
8 19 Birmingham 15 7 8 1.2 1.2 4 5 6 18 18 17
9 20 Rotherham 14 6 8 1.7 1.2 5 5 4 24 17 20
10 7 Blackburn 13 6 7 1.5 1.0 9 0 4 20 13 27
11 8 Norwich 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
12 24 Wigan 15 8 7 0.7 2.0 2 3 10 11 30 9
13 3 Middlesbrough 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 7 5 2 20 12 26
14 4 Luton 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 16 19
15 6 Watford 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 7 3 4 20 13 24
16 17 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 6 19 17 19
17 18 Stoke 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 4 3 7 17 18 15
18 23 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 3 7 14 19 12
19 9 Millwall 13 8 5 1.5 0.6 8 3 2 20 8 27
20 5 West Brom 15 11 4 1.4 0.9 7 4 4 21 14 25
21 11 Preston 14 10 4 0.6 1.3 3 4 7 8 18 13
22 13 Coventry 15 11 4 1.3 0.9 7 4 4 19 14 25
23 22 Huddersfield 14 10 4 0.9 1.0 5 2 7 13 14 17
24 21 Cardiff 15 12 3 0.7 0.9 4 5 6 11 13 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Middlesbrough 15 4 11 1.6 1.5 6 1 8 24 23 19
2 8 Norwich 14 6 8 1.5 1.1 7 2 5 21 15 23
3 12 Swansea 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 7 4 20 22 19
4 16 Reading 15 7 8 0.7 1.9 3 2 10 11 28 11
5 7 Blackburn 15 8 7 0.7 1.5 5 1 9 11 22 16
6 10 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.6 1.1 6 4 4 22 16 22
7 15 Hull 14 7 7 1.4 1.5 5 4 5 19 21 19
8 17 Bristol City 13 6 7 1.4 1.6 3 5 5 18 21 14
9 18 Stoke 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 16 19 18
10 22 Huddersfield 13 6 7 0.9 1.6 2 3 8 12 21 9
11 24 Wigan 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 4 4 5 16 19 16
12 1 Burnley 14 8 6 1.9 1.0 8 4 2 26 14 28
13 5 West Brom 14 8 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 5 18 16 19
14 11 Preston 14 8 6 1.3 0.9 8 3 3 18 13 27
15 14 QPR 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 4 6 14 19 19
16 20 Rotherham 15 9 6 0.6 1.5 2 6 7 9 23 12
17 23 Blackpool 14 8 6 1.0 1.5 3 5 6 14 21 14
18 4 Luton 14 9 5 1.2 0.9 8 2 4 17 13 26
19 6 Watford 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 5 5 5 14 18 20
20 9 Millwall 14 9 5 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 19 15
21 13 Coventry 14 9 5 0.9 1.3 3 4 7 12 18 13
22 19 Birmingham 13 8 5 0.9 1.3 4 3 6 12 17 15
23 21 Cardiff 14 9 5 0.7 1.4 3 3 8 10 19 12
24 2 Sheffield United 15 11 4 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 11 28

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51