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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: K Stroud

Stoke 0–1 Burnley

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 3.20 fair 3.46
Draw 3.25 fair 4.10
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.14
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 2.00 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Burnley
6 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 5
21 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (294 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.63
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawBurnley
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 28:32
Burnley before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
2.04scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 49:24
Stoke all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 2.04
1.33 Goals conceded 1.00
2.50 Total goals 3.04
13.17 Shots 13.00
4.25 Shots on target 4.83
11.79 Shots faced 9.38
5.46 Corners 5.75
5.79 Corners against 4.29
11.42 Fouls 9.33
1.83 Yellow cards 1.71
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

33% Wins 58%
25% Draws 33%
42% Losses 8%
96% Over 0.5 goals 100%
79% Over 1.5 goals 83%
46% Over 2.5 goals 50%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 21%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
46% Both teams scored 63%
29% Clean sheets 33%
29% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 38%
33% Draws 50%
42% Losses 13%
79% Over 0.5 goals 67%
29% Over 1.5 goals 46%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Burnley all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
1.09points / match
1.18scored / match
1.45conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 13:16
Burnley before this match, away
1.73points / match
1.82scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 20:13
Stoke at home away Burnley

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.82
1.45 Goals conceded 1.18
2.64 Total goals 3.00
14.64 Shots 10.91
4.64 Shots on target 4.27
10.36 Shots faced 12.09
6.55 Corners 4.36
5.27 Corners against 5.09
10.55 Fouls 9.55
1.73 Yellow cards 1.91
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.91
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.55

How often Full Time

27% Wins 45%
27% Draws 36%
45% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
82% Over 1.5 goals 73%
45% Over 2.5 goals 36%
36% Over 3.5 goals 27%
0% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 27%
45% Both teams scored 64%
18% Clean sheets 27%
36% Failed to score 9%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 55%
18% Draws 27%
45% Losses 18%
91% Over 0.5 goals 82%
36% Over 1.5 goals 45%
18% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Burnley away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.22 Rotherham – Stoke 2–2 (1–0) 3.203.302.30 2.10 1.73
17.12.22 Bristol City – Stoke 1–2 (1–1) 2.603.252.80 2.00 1.85
10.12.22 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
12.11.22 West Brom – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.85
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
02.11.22 Wigan – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.302.62 2.20 1.66
29.10.22 Norwich – Stoke 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 1.95 1.90
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.12.22 Burnley – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85
17.12.22 Burnley – Middlesbrough 3–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 1.98 1.88
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
13.11.22 Burnley – Blackburn 3–0 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.98 1.88
05.11.22 Sheffield United – Burnley 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
02.11.22 Burnley – Rotherham 3–2 (1–1) 1.454.338.00 1.83 2.02
29.10.22 Burnley – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.90 1.95
25.10.22 Burnley – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (2–1) 2.053.303.80 2.10 1.73
08.11.22 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
05.11.22 Stoke – Birmingham 1–2 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 2.20 1.66
22.10.22 Stoke – Coventry 0–2 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.00 1.85
18.10.22 Stoke – Rotherham 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.504.20 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Stoke – Sheffield United 3–1 (2–1) 2.903.402.40 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72
31.08.22 Stoke – Swansea 1–1 (0–1) 2.103.503.60 1.98 1.88
20.08.22 Stoke – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.50 2.02 1.83
17.08.22 Stoke – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–1) 2.703.202.75 2.20 1.66

Burnley away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.12.22 QPR – Burnley 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.402.30 2.00 1.85
05.11.22 Sheffield United – Burnley 5–2 (1–2) 2.403.303.00 2.00 1.85
22.10.22 Sunderland – Burnley 2–4 (2–0) 3.203.252.30 2.02 1.83
19.10.22 Birmingham – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.10 1.72
08.10.22 Coventry – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.302.37 2.00 1.85
01.10.22 Cardiff – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.10 1.72
13.09.22 Preston – Burnley 1–1 (1–1) 3.003.252.40 2.20 1.66
02.09.22 West Brom – Burnley 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.303.60 2.02 1.83
27.08.22 Wigan – Burnley 1–5 (1–2) 3.253.102.37 2.20 1.66
12.08.22 Watford – Burnley 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.10 1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsBurnley wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.22E1 Burnley – Stoke 1–1 (0–0) 1.723.605.25 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 24 14 8 2 49 24 +25 50
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 43 22 +21 50
3 Blackburn 25 13 0 12 29 30 -1 39
4 Sunderland 25 10 7 8 37 28 +9 37
5 Watford 24 10 7 7 30 24 +6 37
6 Middlesbrough 25 10 6 9 38 32 +6 36
7 Luton 24 9 9 6 29 25 +4 36
8 Millwall 24 10 6 8 29 26 +3 36
9 West Brom 25 9 8 8 33 26 +7 35
10 Norwich 24 10 5 9 31 27 +4 35
11 QPR 25 10 5 10 27 30 -3 35
12 Reading 24 11 2 11 28 34 -6 35
13 Coventry 24 9 7 8 26 25 +1 34
14 Preston 25 9 7 9 23 26 -3 34
15 Birmingham 24 8 8 8 26 25 +1 32
16 Swansea 24 8 8 8 31 34 -3 32
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 28 32 -4 30
18 Bristol City 25 7 7 11 31 34 -3 28
19 Cardiff 25 7 7 11 20 28 -8 28
20 Rotherham 25 6 9 10 28 36 -8 27
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 27 41 -14 27
22 Huddersfield 24 7 4 13 23 30 -7 25
23 Blackpool 25 6 7 12 27 37 -10 25
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 25 42 -17 24
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 13 9 4 0 29 11 +18 31
2 Reading 12 8 1 3 18 12 +6 25
3 Sheffield United 12 7 3 2 26 12 +14 24
4 Millwall 12 7 3 2 17 8 +9 24
5 Blackburn 12 8 0 4 19 13 +6 24
6 Coventry 12 6 3 3 14 9 +5 21
7 Middlesbrough 12 5 5 2 17 12 +5 20
8 Watford 12 6 2 4 17 12 +5 20
9 West Brom 13 5 4 4 19 14 +5 19
10 Norwich 12 5 3 4 18 14 +4 18
11 Birmingham 12 4 5 3 16 12 +4 17
12 Swansea 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17
13 Huddersfield 13 5 2 6 12 12 0 17
14 QPR 12 5 2 5 15 16 -1 17
15 Rotherham 12 4 4 4 20 17 +3 16
16 Luton 12 3 7 2 16 13 +3 16
17 Sunderland 12 4 4 4 16 13 +3 16
18 Cardiff 13 4 4 5 10 11 -1 16
19 Bristol City 13 4 3 6 14 14 0 15
20 Hull 13 4 2 7 13 22 -9 14
21 Preston 13 3 4 6 8 14 -6 13
22 Stoke 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
23 Blackpool 12 3 2 7 13 18 -5 11
24 Wigan 13 2 3 8 10 24 -14 9
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 13 8 2 3 17 10 +7 26
2 Sunderland 13 6 3 4 21 15 +6 21
3 Preston 12 6 3 3 15 12 +3 21
4 Luton 12 6 2 4 13 12 +1 20
5 Burnley 11 5 4 2 20 13 +7 19
6 Stoke 13 5 3 5 15 16 -1 18
7 QPR 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
8 Watford 12 4 5 3 13 12 +1 17
9 Norwich 12 5 2 5 13 13 0 17
10 West Brom 12 4 4 4 14 12 +2 16
11 Middlesbrough 13 5 1 7 21 20 +1 16
12 Wigan 12 4 3 5 15 18 -3 15
13 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 10 13 -3 15
14 Swansea 13 3 6 4 16 20 -4 15
15 Blackburn 13 5 0 8 10 17 -7 15
16 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 14 19 -5 14
17 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 17 20 -3 13
18 Coventry 12 3 4 5 12 16 -4 13
19 Hull 11 3 4 4 14 19 -5 13
20 Millwall 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
21 Cardiff 12 3 3 6 10 17 -7 12
22 Rotherham 13 2 5 6 8 19 -11 11
23 Reading 12 3 1 8 10 22 -12 10
24 Huddersfield 11 2 2 7 11 18 -7 8

Stoke   Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Middlesbrough 25 9 16 1.5 1.3 10 6 9 38 32 36
2 4 Sunderland 25 11 14 1.5 1.1 10 7 8 37 28 37
3 12 Reading 24 10 14 1.2 1.4 11 2 11 28 34 35
4 3 Blackburn 25 12 13 1.2 1.2 13 0 12 29 30 39
5 16 Swansea 24 11 13 1.3 1.4 8 8 8 31 34 32
6 21 Hull 24 11 13 1.1 1.7 7 6 11 27 41 27
7 24 Wigan 25 12 13 1.0 1.7 6 6 13 25 42 24
8 1 Burnley 24 12 12 2.0 1.0 14 8 2 49 24 50
9 10 Norwich 24 12 12 1.3 1.1 10 5 9 31 27 35
10 11 QPR 25 13 12 1.1 1.2 10 5 10 27 30 35
11 18 Bristol City 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 7 7 11 31 34 28
12 20 Rotherham 25 13 12 1.1 1.4 6 9 10 28 36 27
13 23 Blackpool 25 13 12 1.1 1.5 6 7 12 27 37 25
14 2 Sheffield United 25 14 11 1.7 0.9 15 5 5 43 22 50
15 17 Stoke 24 13 11 1.2 1.3 8 6 10 28 32 30
16 5 Watford 24 14 10 1.2 1.0 10 7 7 30 24 37
17 15 Birmingham 24 14 10 1.1 1.0 8 8 8 26 25 32
18 22 Huddersfield 24 14 10 1.0 1.2 7 4 13 23 30 25
19 7 Luton 24 15 9 1.2 1.0 9 9 6 29 25 36
20 8 Millwall 24 15 9 1.2 1.1 10 6 8 29 26 36
21 9 West Brom 25 17 8 1.3 1.0 9 8 8 33 26 35
22 13 Coventry 24 16 8 1.1 1.0 9 7 8 26 25 34
23 14 Preston 25 17 8 0.9 1.0 9 7 9 23 26 34
24 19 Cardiff 25 17 8 0.8 1.1 7 7 11 20 28 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Burnley 13 5 8 2.2 0.8 9 4 0 29 11 31
2 11 QPR 12 4 8 1.2 1.3 5 2 5 15 16 17
3 2 Sheffield United 12 5 7 2.2 1.0 7 3 2 26 12 24
4 3 Blackburn 12 5 7 1.6 1.1 8 0 4 19 13 24
5 4 Sunderland 12 5 7 1.3 1.1 4 4 4 16 13 16
6 12 Reading 12 5 7 1.5 1.0 8 1 3 18 12 25
7 20 Rotherham 12 5 7 1.7 1.4 4 4 4 20 17 16
8 21 Hull 13 6 7 1.0 1.7 4 2 7 13 22 14
9 5 Watford 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 6 2 4 17 12 20
10 6 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.4 1.0 5 5 2 17 12 20
11 10 Norwich 12 6 6 1.5 1.2 5 3 4 18 14 18
12 15 Birmingham 12 6 6 1.3 1.0 4 5 3 16 12 17
13 16 Swansea 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17
14 23 Blackpool 12 6 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 7 13 18 11
15 24 Wigan 13 7 6 0.8 1.8 2 3 8 10 24 9
16 7 Luton 12 7 5 1.3 1.1 3 7 2 16 13 16
17 17 Stoke 11 6 5 1.2 1.5 3 3 5 13 16 12
18 18 Bristol City 13 8 5 1.1 1.1 4 3 6 14 14 15
19 8 Millwall 12 8 4 1.4 0.7 7 3 2 17 8 24
20 9 West Brom 13 9 4 1.5 1.1 5 4 4 19 14 19
21 13 Coventry 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 3 3 14 9 21
22 14 Preston 13 10 3 0.6 1.1 3 4 6 8 14 13
23 19 Cardiff 13 10 3 0.8 0.8 4 4 5 10 11 16
24 22 Huddersfield 13 10 3 0.9 0.9 5 2 6 12 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Middlesbrough 13 3 10 1.6 1.5 5 1 7 21 20 16
2 4 Sunderland 13 6 7 1.6 1.2 6 3 4 21 15 21
3 12 Reading 12 5 7 0.8 1.8 3 1 8 10 22 10
4 16 Swansea 13 6 7 1.2 1.5 3 6 4 16 20 15
5 18 Bristol City 12 5 7 1.4 1.7 3 4 5 17 20 13
6 22 Huddersfield 11 4 7 1.0 1.6 2 2 7 11 18 8
7 24 Wigan 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 4 3 5 15 18 15
8 3 Blackburn 13 7 6 0.8 1.3 5 0 8 10 17 15
9 10 Norwich 12 6 6 1.1 1.1 5 2 5 13 13 17
10 17 Stoke 13 7 6 1.2 1.2 5 3 5 15 16 18
11 21 Hull 11 5 6 1.3 1.7 3 4 4 14 19 13
12 23 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 19 14
13 8 Millwall 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 3 6 12 18 12
14 13 Coventry 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 3 4 5 12 16 13
15 14 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 6 3 3 15 12 21
16 19 Cardiff 12 7 5 0.8 1.4 3 3 6 10 17 12
17 20 Rotherham 13 8 5 0.6 1.5 2 5 6 8 19 11
18 1 Burnley 11 7 4 1.8 1.2 5 4 2 20 13 19
19 2 Sheffield United 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 8 2 3 17 10 26
20 5 Watford 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 4 5 3 13 12 17
21 7 Luton 12 8 4 1.1 1.0 6 2 4 13 12 20
22 9 West Brom 12 8 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 4 14 12 16
23 11 QPR 13 9 4 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
24 15 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 4 3 5 10 13 15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51