Luton 1–0 Bristol City – England Championship, 15 Mar 2023

Match facts

Luton Bristol City

15 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 2

15 Fouls 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (438 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.06

Home / Draw / Away

45% 27% 29%

LutonDrawBristol City

Under / Over 2.5 goals

55% 45%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

21% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.7% 1–0 11.9% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.67points / match

1.22scored / match

0.94conceded / match

16 12 8

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 44:34

Bristol City before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.25scored / match

1.19conceded / match

12 12 12

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 45:43

Luton all matches all matches Bristol City

Per match

1.22 Goals scored 1.25

0.94 Goals conceded 1.19

2.17 Total goals 2.44

11.75 Shots 10.00

3.69 Shots on target 3.11

11.25 Shots faced 12.00

6.00 Corners 5.17

4.92 Corners against 5.39

12.33 Fouls 9.92

1.78 Yellow cards 1.78

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.69

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

44% Wins 33%

33% Draws 33%

22% Losses 33%

92% Over 0.5 goals 89%

67% Over 1.5 goals 81%

33% Over 2.5 goals 39%

17% Over 3.5 goals 17%

6% Over 4.5 goals 14%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

44% Both teams scored 56%

42% Clean sheets 31%

22% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 39%

44% Draws 47%

17% Losses 14%

64% Over 0.5 goals 67%

28% Over 1.5 goals 36%

8% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

2

W

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

W

2

D

1

W

1

W

Bristol City all matches

4

2

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

W

2

L

D

2

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.44points / match

1.28scored / match

1.06conceded / match

6 8 4

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 23:19

Bristol City before this match, away

1.12points / match

1.24scored / match

1.47conceded / match

4 7 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 21:25

Luton at home away Bristol City

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.24

1.06 Goals conceded 1.47

2.33 Total goals 2.71

13.89 Shots 8.76

4.06 Shots on target 2.94

11.00 Shots faced 13.65

7.28 Corners 4.47

4.78 Corners against 5.94

11.67 Fouls 9.65

1.33 Yellow cards 1.76

0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.82

0.39 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

33% Wins 24%

44% Draws 41%

22% Losses 35%

89% Over 0.5 goals 88%

61% Over 1.5 goals 88%

39% Over 2.5 goals 47%

28% Over 3.5 goals 24%

11% Over 4.5 goals 18%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 65%

33% Clean sheets 18%

22% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 41%

33% Draws 47%

17% Losses 12%

67% Over 0.5 goals 71%

17% Over 1.5 goals 47%

17% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

D

1

W

Bristol City away

2

W

2

L

1

D

3

1

W

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Sheffield United – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.20	1.67
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
28.02.23	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
25.02.23	Birmingham – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.30	1.62
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
15.02.23	Preston – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.38	1.57
11.02.23	Coventry – Luton	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
21.01.23	Wigan – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67

Bristol City all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Bristol City – Blackpool	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
07.03.23	Huddersfield – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.40	2.38	1.57
04.03.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.30	1.62
25.02.23	Bristol City – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
18.02.23	Sunderland – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
15.02.23	Bristol City – Wigan	1–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.73
11.02.23	Bristol City – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.90	3.40	2.40	1.90	1.95
04.02.23	Preston – Bristol City	1–2 (0–2)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Bristol City – Blackburn	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Bristol City – Birmingham	4–2 (2–1)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
28.02.23	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Luton – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.95	1.90
01.11.22	Luton – Reading	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.66
29.10.22	Luton – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.72

Bristol City away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.23	Huddersfield – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.20	2.40	2.38	1.57
04.03.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.30	1.62
18.02.23	Sunderland – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.75	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Preston – Bristol City	1–2 (0–2)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Coventry – Bristol City	1–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.50	4.00	1.98	1.88
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80
10.12.22	Rotherham – Bristol City	1–3 (1–2)	3.00	3.25	2.40	2.05	1.80
05.11.22	Middlesbrough – Bristol City	1–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.75	1.90	1.95
22.10.22	Reading – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.90	2.02	1.83
18.10.22	West Brom – Bristol City	0–2 (0–2)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.72	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Luton winsDrawsBristol City wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.08.22E1	Bristol City – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.62	3.40	2.55	2.02	1.83
25.01.22E1	Luton – Bristol City	2–1 (1–0)	1.75	3.40	4.75	1.95	1.90
15.09.21E1	Bristol City – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.20	3.00	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	36	23	11	2	71	28	+43	80
2	Sheffield United	36	20	7	9	56	32	+24	67
3	Middlesbrough	37	19	7	11	65	42	+23	64
4	Luton	36	16	12	8	44	34	+10	60
5	Millwall	37	17	9	11	48	39	+9	60
6	Blackburn	36	18	4	14	41	41	0	58
7	Norwich	36	16	7	13	51	40	+11	55
8	West Brom	36	15	9	12	46	38	+8	54
9	Coventry	37	14	12	11	43	36	+7	54
10	Watford	37	14	12	11	44	39	+5	54
11	Preston	37	14	11	12	34	39	-5	53
12	Sunderland	36	14	10	12	51	43	+8	52
13	Bristol City	36	12	12	12	45	43	+2	48
14	Stoke	37	13	8	16	48	45	+3	47
15	Hull	36	12	10	14	41	49	-8	46
16	Reading	36	13	5	18	38	55	-17	44
17	Swansea	37	11	10	16	49	57	-8	43
18	Birmingham	37	11	9	17	41	50	-9	42
19	QPR	37	11	9	17	38	58	-20	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	41	51	-10	40
21	Cardiff	36	10	8	18	27	40	-13	38
22	Blackpool	37	8	11	18	39	54	-15	35
23	Wigan	37	7	12	18	32	58	-26	33
24	Huddersfield	36	8	8	20	30	52	-22	32

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	19	14	5	0	43	13	+30	47
2	Blackburn	17	12	1	4	23	13	+10	37
3	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	35	17	+18	36
4	Middlesbrough	18	10	6	2	32	14	+18	36
5	Millwall	18	10	5	3	29	16	+13	35
6	West Brom	19	10	5	4	26	15	+11	35
7	Reading	18	10	3	5	27	20	+7	33
8	Coventry	19	9	6	4	24	17	+7	33
9	Watford	18	9	5	4	27	16	+11	32
10	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	24	18	+6	29
11	Norwich	19	8	4	7	27	22	+5	28
12	Rotherham	18	7	5	6	30	23	+7	26
13	Luton	18	6	8	4	23	19	+4	26
14	Hull	18	7	4	7	20	23	-3	25
15	Swansea	18	7	3	8	28	28	0	24
16	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	22	21	+1	23
17	Sunderland	17	6	5	6	22	22	0	23
18	Cardiff	18	6	5	7	15	16	-1	23
19	Stoke	18	6	4	8	23	21	+2	22
20	Huddersfield	18	6	4	8	16	20	-4	22
21	QPR	18	6	4	8	20	26	-6	22
22	Blackpool	18	5	6	7	23	22	+1	21
23	Preston	19	5	6	8	14	22	-8	21
24	Wigan	19	3	6	10	14	32	-18	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Luton	18	10	4	4	21	15	+6	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	28	15	+13	33
3	Preston	18	9	5	4	20	17	+3	32
4	Sheffield United	18	9	4	5	21	15	+6	31
5	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	29	21	+8	29
6	Middlesbrough	19	9	1	9	33	28	+5	28
7	Norwich	17	8	3	6	24	18	+6	27
8	Stoke	19	7	4	8	25	24	+1	25
9	Millwall	19	7	4	8	19	23	-4	25
10	Watford	19	5	7	7	17	23	-6	22
11	Coventry	18	5	6	7	19	19	0	21
12	Hull	18	5	6	7	21	26	-5	21
13	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	18	28	-10	21
14	QPR	19	5	5	9	18	32	-14	20
15	West Brom	17	5	4	8	20	23	-3	19
16	Bristol City	17	4	7	6	21	25	-4	19
17	Swansea	19	4	7	8	21	29	-8	19
18	Birmingham	18	5	4	9	19	29	-10	19
19	Wigan	18	4	6	8	18	26	-8	18
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	12	24	-12	15
21	Blackpool	19	3	5	11	16	32	-16	14
22	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	11	28	-17	14
23	Reading	18	3	2	13	11	35	-24	11
24	Huddersfield	18	2	4	12	14	32	-18	10

Luton Bristol City

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	37	14	23	1.8	1.1	19	7	11	65	42	64
2	17	Swansea	37	15	22	1.3	1.5	11	10	16	49	57	43
3	16	Reading	36	16	20	1.1	1.5	13	5	18	38	55	44
4	19	QPR	37	17	20	1.0	1.6	11	9	17	38	58	42
5	12	Sunderland	36	17	19	1.4	1.2	14	10	12	51	43	52
6	1	Burnley	36	18	18	2.0	0.8	23	11	2	71	28	80
7	7	Norwich	36	18	18	1.4	1.1	16	7	13	51	40	55
8	20	Rotherham	37	19	18	1.1	1.4	9	13	15	41	51	40
9	14	Stoke	37	20	17	1.3	1.2	13	8	16	48	45	47
10	18	Birmingham	37	20	17	1.1	1.4	11	9	17	41	50	42
11	22	Blackpool	37	20	17	1.1	1.5	8	11	18	39	54	35
12	6	Blackburn	36	20	16	1.1	1.1	18	4	14	41	41	58
13	15	Hull	36	20	16	1.1	1.4	12	10	14	41	49	46
14	23	Wigan	37	21	16	0.9	1.6	7	12	18	32	58	33
15	24	Huddersfield	36	20	16	0.8	1.4	8	8	20	30	52	32
16	2	Sheffield United	36	21	15	1.6	0.9	20	7	9	56	32	67
17	5	Millwall	37	22	15	1.3	1.1	17	9	11	48	39	60
18	10	Watford	37	23	14	1.2	1.1	14	12	11	44	39	54
19	11	Preston	37	23	14	0.9	1.1	14	11	12	34	39	53
20	13	Bristol City	36	22	14	1.2	1.2	12	12	12	45	43	48
21	4	Luton	36	24	12	1.2	0.9	16	12	8	44	34	60
22	8	West Brom	36	25	11	1.3	1.1	15	9	12	46	38	54
23	9	Coventry	37	26	11	1.2	1.0	14	12	11	43	36	54
24	21	Cardiff	36	27	9	0.8	1.1	10	8	18	27	40	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	19	7	12	2.3	0.7	14	5	0	43	13	47
2	17	Swansea	18	6	12	1.6	1.6	7	3	8	28	28	24
3	16	Reading	18	7	11	1.5	1.1	10	3	5	27	20	33
4	19	QPR	18	7	11	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	20	26	22
5	20	Rotherham	18	7	11	1.7	1.3	7	5	6	30	23	26
6	2	Sheffield United	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	11	3	4	35	17	36
7	3	Middlesbrough	18	9	9	1.8	0.8	10	6	2	32	14	36
8	7	Norwich	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	8	4	7	27	22	28
9	12	Sunderland	17	8	9	1.3	1.3	6	5	6	22	22	23
10	5	Millwall	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	10	5	3	29	16	35
11	10	Watford	18	10	8	1.5	0.9	9	5	4	27	16	32
12	14	Stoke	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	6	4	8	23	21	22
13	15	Hull	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	7	4	7	20	23	25
14	18	Birmingham	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	5	8	22	21	23
15	22	Blackpool	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	5	6	7	23	22	21
16	4	Luton	18	11	7	1.3	1.1	6	8	4	23	19	26
17	6	Blackburn	17	10	7	1.4	0.8	12	1	4	23	13	37
18	23	Wigan	19	12	7	0.7	1.7	3	6	10	14	32	15
19	11	Preston	19	13	6	0.7	1.2	5	6	8	14	22	21
20	13	Bristol City	19	13	6	1.3	0.9	8	5	6	24	18	29
21	24	Huddersfield	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	6	4	8	16	20	22
22	9	Coventry	19	14	5	1.3	0.9	9	6	4	24	17	33
23	8	West Brom	19	15	4	1.4	0.8	10	5	4	26	15	35
24	21	Cardiff	18	14	4	0.8	0.9	6	5	7	15	16	23

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.5	9	1	9	33	28	28
2	12	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.5	1.1	8	5	6	29	21	29
3	17	Swansea	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	4	7	8	21	29	19
4	24	Huddersfield	18	8	10	0.8	1.8	2	4	12	14	32	10
5	6	Blackburn	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	6	3	10	18	28	21
6	7	Norwich	17	8	9	1.4	1.1	8	3	6	24	18	27
7	14	Stoke	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	7	4	8	25	24	25
8	16	Reading	18	9	9	0.6	1.9	3	2	13	11	35	11
9	18	Birmingham	18	9	9	1.1	1.6	5	4	9	19	29	19
10	19	QPR	19	10	9	0.9	1.7	5	5	9	18	32	20
11	22	Blackpool	19	10	9	0.8	1.7	3	5	11	16	32	14
12	23	Wigan	18	9	9	1.0	1.4	4	6	8	18	26	18
13	11	Preston	18	10	8	1.1	0.9	9	5	4	20	17	32
14	13	Bristol City	17	9	8	1.2	1.5	4	7	6	21	25	19
15	15	Hull	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	7	21	26	21
16	5	Millwall	19	12	7	1.0	1.2	7	4	8	19	23	25
17	8	West Brom	17	10	7	1.2	1.4	5	4	8	20	23	19
18	20	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.6	1.5	2	8	9	11	28	14
19	1	Burnley	17	11	6	1.6	0.9	9	6	2	28	15	33
20	9	Coventry	18	12	6	1.1	1.1	5	6	7	19	19	21
21	10	Watford	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	5	7	7	17	23	22
22	2	Sheffield United	18	13	5	1.2	0.8	9	4	5	21	15	31
23	4	Luton	18	13	5	1.2	0.8	10	4	4	21	15	34
24	21	Cardiff	18	13	5	0.7	1.3	4	3	11	12	24	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.