Luton 2–2 Millwall – England Championship, 28 Feb 2023

Match facts

Luton Millwall

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 2

11 Fouls 12

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (404 league matches this season so far).

Result Luton to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.85

Expected goals 1.26 – 1.03

Home / Draw / Away

42% 28% 30%

LutonDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

60% 40%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

54% 46%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.1% 1–0 12.8% 0–1 10.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.61points / match

1.21scored / match

0.97conceded / match

14 11 8

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 40:32

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.61points / match

1.24scored / match

1.00conceded / match

15 8 10

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 41:33

Luton all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 1.24

0.97 Goals conceded 1.00

2.18 Total goals 2.24

11.70 Shots 13.09

3.76 Shots on target 4.09

11.42 Shots faced 11.21

6.12 Corners 4.64

5.12 Corners against 4.15

12.33 Fouls 11.61

1.88 Yellow cards 1.82

0.64 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

42% Wins 45%

33% Draws 24%

24% Losses 30%

91% Over 0.5 goals 91%

70% Over 1.5 goals 73%

33% Over 2.5 goals 36%

15% Over 3.5 goals 12%

6% Over 4.5 goals 9%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

45% Both teams scored 39%

39% Clean sheets 33%

24% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 27%

45% Draws 58%

15% Losses 15%

64% Over 0.5 goals 61%

30% Over 1.5 goals 30%

9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

3

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

W

Millwall all matches

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

Luton before this match, at home

1.38points / match

1.25scored / match

1.06conceded / match

5 7 4

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:17

Millwall before this match, away

1.24points / match

0.94scored / match

1.24conceded / match

6 3 8

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:21

Luton at home away Millwall

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.94

1.06 Goals conceded 1.24

2.31 Total goals 2.18

13.69 Shots 11.82

4.06 Shots on target 3.47

11.19 Shots faced 13.24

7.56 Corners 4.65

5.06 Corners against 4.41

11.38 Fouls 11.76

1.38 Yellow cards 2.29

0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

31% Wins 35%

44% Draws 18%

25% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

63% Over 1.5 goals 65%

38% Over 2.5 goals 35%

25% Over 3.5 goals 12%

13% Over 4.5 goals 6%

6% Over 5.5 goals 6%

56% Both teams scored 35%

31% Clean sheets 24%

25% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%

38% Draws 53%

13% Losses 18%

63% Over 0.5 goals 59%

19% Over 1.5 goals 24%

19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

3

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

W

1

L

Millwall away

1

L

D

4

2

W

3

L

2

W

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Birmingham – Luton	0–1 (0–0)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.30	1.62
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
15.02.23	Preston – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.38	1.57
11.02.23	Coventry – Luton	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
21.01.23	Wigan – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Huddersfield – Luton	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.45	2.20	1.67
29.12.22	QPR – Luton	0–3 (0–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57
21.02.23	Millwall – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.38	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
01.01.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Luton – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.95	1.90
01.11.22	Luton – Reading	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.66
29.10.22	Luton – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.72
15.10.22	Luton – QPR	3–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.72
04.10.22	Luton – Huddersfield	3–3 (3–2)	1.75	3.40	5.25	2.20	1.66

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
03.12.22	Sunderland – Millwall	3–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.87	2.20	1.66
12.11.22	Preston – Millwall	2–4 (2–2)	2.55	3.00	3.10	2.62	1.50
02.11.22	Birmingham – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.30	1.61
29.10.22	Huddersfield – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.25	2.40	2.20	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1

Luton winsDrawsMillwall wins

2matches

3.00goals / match

50%over 2.5

50%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.04.22E1	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.37	1.57
16.10.21E1	Millwall – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	2.37	3.20	3.25	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	34	22	10	2	68	28	+40	76
2	Sheffield United	33	19	7	7	55	30	+25	64
3	Middlesbrough	34	17	6	11	56	40	+16	57
4	Blackburn	34	17	4	13	38	38	0	55
5	Millwall	33	15	8	10	41	33	+8	53
6	Luton	33	14	11	8	40	32	+8	53
7	Norwich	34	15	7	12	48	37	+11	52
8	Watford	34	13	11	10	41	38	+3	50
9	Sunderland	34	13	10	11	49	38	+11	49
10	Coventry	34	13	10	11	37	34	+3	49
11	West Brom	33	13	9	11	44	36	+8	48
12	Preston	34	12	10	12	30	38	-8	46
13	Bristol City	33	11	11	11	43	41	+2	44
14	Reading	33	13	5	15	38	48	-10	44
15	Swansea	34	11	10	13	47	51	-4	43
16	Hull	34	11	9	14	38	48	-10	42
17	Stoke	34	11	7	16	39	41	-2	40
18	QPR	34	10	9	15	35	49	-14	39
19	Birmingham	34	10	8	16	38	46	-8	38
20	Rotherham	34	8	13	13	37	46	-9	37
21	Cardiff	34	9	8	17	25	38	-13	35
22	Huddersfield	33	8	7	18	30	47	-17	31
23	Blackpool	34	7	10	17	33	51	-18	31
24	Wigan	33	7	10	16	30	52	-22	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	18	13	5	0	40	13	+27	44
2	Sheffield United	17	11	3	3	35	16	+19	36
3	Blackburn	16	11	1	4	22	13	+9	34
4	Reading	16	10	3	3	27	18	+9	33
5	Middlesbrough	16	9	5	2	26	13	+13	32
6	Millwall	16	9	5	2	25	12	+13	32
7	Coventry	18	9	5	4	23	16	+7	32
8	West Brom	17	8	5	4	24	15	+9	29
9	Watford	16	8	4	4	24	16	+8	28
10	Norwich	18	8	4	6	27	21	+6	28
11	Bristol City	18	7	5	6	22	18	+4	26
12	Swansea	17	7	3	7	27	25	+2	24
13	Rotherham	16	6	5	5	26	20	+6	23
14	Sunderland	16	6	5	5	21	17	+4	23
15	Luton	16	5	7	4	20	17	+3	22
16	Hull	17	6	4	7	18	23	-5	22
17	Huddersfield	16	6	3	7	16	16	0	21
18	Birmingham	18	5	5	8	20	21	-1	20
19	Cardiff	17	5	5	7	13	16	-3	20
20	Stoke	17	5	4	8	20	19	+1	19
21	QPR	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7	19
22	Preston	18	4	6	8	12	22	-10	18
23	Blackpool	16	4	5	7	17	21	-4	17
24	Wigan	17	3	4	10	12	30	-18	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	16	9	5	2	28	15	+13	32
2	Luton	17	9	4	4	20	15	+5	31
3	Sheffield United	16	8	4	4	20	14	+6	28
4	Preston	16	8	4	4	18	16	+2	28
5	Sunderland	18	7	5	6	28	21	+7	26
6	Middlesbrough	18	8	1	9	30	27	+3	25
7	Norwich	16	7	3	6	21	16	+5	24
8	Watford	18	5	7	6	17	22	-5	22
9	Stoke	17	6	3	8	19	22	-3	21
10	Millwall	17	6	3	8	16	21	-5	21
11	Blackburn	18	6	3	9	16	25	-9	21
12	Hull	17	5	5	7	20	25	-5	20
13	QPR	17	5	5	7	16	23	-7	20
14	West Brom	16	5	4	7	20	21	-1	19
15	Swansea	17	4	7	6	20	26	-6	19
16	Bristol City	15	4	6	5	21	23	-2	18
17	Wigan	16	4	6	6	18	22	-4	18
18	Birmingham	16	5	3	8	18	25	-7	18
19	Coventry	16	4	5	7	14	18	-4	17
20	Cardiff	17	4	3	10	12	22	-10	15
21	Blackpool	18	3	5	10	16	30	-14	14
22	Rotherham	18	2	8	8	11	26	-15	14
23	Reading	17	3	2	12	11	30	-19	11
24	Huddersfield	17	2	4	11	14	31	-17	10

Luton Millwall

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	34	13	21	1.6	1.2	17	6	11	56	40	57
2	15	Swansea	34	14	20	1.4	1.5	11	10	13	47	51	43
3	14	Reading	33	14	19	1.2	1.5	13	5	15	38	48	44
4	9	Sunderland	34	16	18	1.4	1.1	13	10	11	49	38	49
5	18	QPR	34	16	18	1.0	1.4	10	9	15	35	49	39
6	1	Burnley	34	17	17	2.0	0.8	22	10	2	68	28	76
7	7	Norwich	34	17	17	1.4	1.1	15	7	12	48	37	52
8	16	Hull	34	18	16	1.1	1.4	11	9	14	38	48	42
9	19	Birmingham	34	18	16	1.1	1.4	10	8	16	38	46	38
10	20	Rotherham	34	18	16	1.1	1.4	8	13	13	37	46	37
11	23	Blackpool	34	18	16	1.0	1.5	7	10	17	33	51	31
12	2	Sheffield United	33	18	15	1.7	0.9	19	7	7	55	30	64
13	4	Blackburn	34	19	15	1.1	1.1	17	4	13	38	38	55
14	17	Stoke	34	19	15	1.1	1.2	11	7	16	39	41	40
15	22	Huddersfield	33	18	15	0.9	1.4	8	7	18	30	47	31
16	24	Wigan	33	18	15	0.9	1.6	7	10	16	30	52	31
17	13	Bristol City	33	19	14	1.3	1.2	11	11	11	43	41	44
18	8	Watford	34	21	13	1.2	1.1	13	11	10	41	38	50
19	12	Preston	34	21	13	0.9	1.1	12	10	12	30	38	46
20	5	Millwall	33	21	12	1.2	1.0	15	8	10	41	33	53
21	6	Luton	33	22	11	1.2	1.0	14	11	8	40	32	53
22	11	West Brom	33	22	11	1.3	1.1	13	9	11	44	36	48
23	10	Coventry	34	24	10	1.1	1.0	13	10	11	37	34	49
24	21	Cardiff	34	25	9	0.7	1.1	9	8	17	25	38	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	18	7	11	2.2	0.7	13	5	0	40	13	44
2	14	Reading	16	5	11	1.7	1.1	10	3	3	27	18	33
3	15	Swansea	17	6	11	1.6	1.5	7	3	7	27	25	24
4	18	QPR	17	6	11	1.1	1.5	5	4	8	19	26	19
5	2	Sheffield United	17	7	10	2.1	0.9	11	3	3	35	16	36
6	7	Norwich	18	9	9	1.5	1.2	8	4	6	27	21	28
7	20	Rotherham	16	7	9	1.6	1.2	6	5	5	26	20	23
8	3	Middlesbrough	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	9	5	2	26	13	32
9	9	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.3	1.1	6	5	5	21	17	23
10	16	Hull	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	23	22
11	19	Birmingham	18	10	8	1.1	1.2	5	5	8	20	21	20
12	4	Blackburn	16	9	7	1.4	0.8	11	1	4	22	13	34
13	8	Watford	16	9	7	1.5	1.0	8	4	4	24	16	28
14	17	Stoke	17	10	7	1.2	1.1	5	4	8	20	19	19
15	23	Blackpool	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	4	5	7	17	21	17
16	24	Wigan	17	10	7	0.7	1.8	3	4	10	12	30	13
17	5	Millwall	16	10	6	1.6	0.8	9	5	2	25	12	32
18	6	Luton	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	17	22
19	12	Preston	18	12	6	0.7	1.2	4	6	8	12	22	18
20	13	Bristol City	18	12	6	1.2	1.0	7	5	6	22	18	26
21	10	Coventry	18	13	5	1.3	0.9	9	5	4	23	16	32
22	22	Huddersfield	16	11	5	1.0	1.0	6	3	7	16	16	21
23	11	West Brom	17	13	4	1.4	0.9	8	5	4	24	15	29
24	21	Cardiff	17	13	4	0.8	0.9	5	5	7	13	16	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	18	5	13	1.7	1.5	8	1	9	30	27	25
2	9	Sunderland	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	7	5	6	28	21	26
3	22	Huddersfield	17	7	10	0.8	1.8	2	4	11	14	31	10
4	15	Swansea	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	4	7	6	20	26	19
5	23	Blackpool	18	9	9	0.9	1.7	3	5	10	16	30	14
6	4	Blackburn	18	10	8	0.9	1.4	6	3	9	16	25	21
7	7	Norwich	16	8	8	1.3	1.0	7	3	6	21	16	24
8	13	Bristol City	15	7	8	1.4	1.5	4	6	5	21	23	18
9	14	Reading	17	9	8	0.6	1.8	3	2	12	11	30	11
10	16	Hull	17	9	8	1.2	1.5	5	5	7	20	25	20
11	17	Stoke	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	6	3	8	19	22	21
12	19	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	5	3	8	18	25	18
13	24	Wigan	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	4	6	6	18	22	18
14	11	West Brom	16	9	7	1.2	1.3	5	4	7	20	21	19
15	12	Preston	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	8	4	4	18	16	28
16	18	QPR	17	10	7	0.9	1.4	5	5	7	16	23	20
17	20	Rotherham	18	11	7	0.6	1.4	2	8	8	11	26	14
18	1	Burnley	16	10	6	1.8	0.9	9	5	2	28	15	32
19	5	Millwall	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	3	8	16	21	21
20	8	Watford	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	5	7	6	17	22	22
21	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	20	14	28
22	6	Luton	17	12	5	1.2	0.9	9	4	4	20	15	31
23	10	Coventry	16	11	5	0.9	1.1	4	5	7	14	18	17
24	21	Cardiff	17	12	5	0.7	1.3	4	3	10	12	22	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.