Luton 0–1 Burnley – England Championship, 18 Feb 2023

Match facts

Luton Burnley

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

14 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (376 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.20 – 1.44

Home / Draw / Away

31% 26% 43%

LutonDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

51% 49%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

13% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.3% 0–1 10.3% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches

1.61points / match

1.26scored / match

1.00conceded / match

13 11 7

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 39:31

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.23points / match

2.00scored / match

0.87conceded / match

20 9 2

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 62:27

Luton all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 2.00

1.00 Goals conceded 0.87

2.26 Total goals 2.87

11.87 Shots 12.71

3.77 Shots on target 4.68

11.61 Shots faced 8.84

6.06 Corners 5.81

5.23 Corners against 4.13

12.39 Fouls 9.65

1.94 Yellow cards 1.94

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.81

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.45

How often Full Time

42% Wins 65%

35% Draws 29%

23% Losses 6%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

74% Over 1.5 goals 81%

35% Over 2.5 goals 52%

16% Over 3.5 goals 23%

6% Over 4.5 goals 16%

3% Over 5.5 goals 13%

48% Both teams scored 58%

39% Clean sheets 39%

23% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 39%

42% Draws 45%

16% Losses 16%

68% Over 0.5 goals 68%

32% Over 1.5 goals 39%

10% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

W

2

1

W

2

3

L

2

W

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

D

Burnley all matches

3

W

3

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

3

W

1

D

Luton before this match, at home

1.47points / match

1.33scored / match

1.07conceded / match

5 7 3

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:16

Burnley before this match, away

2.00points / match

1.86scored / match

1.00conceded / match

8 4 2

WonDrawnLost 14 played · 26:14

Luton at home away Burnley

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.86

1.07 Goals conceded 1.00

2.40 Total goals 2.86

14.13 Shots 10.57

4.20 Shots on target 4.14

11.33 Shots faced 11.21

7.60 Corners 4.36

5.07 Corners against 4.86

11.20 Fouls 10.36

1.40 Yellow cards 2.29

0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.93

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 57%

47% Draws 29%

20% Losses 14%

87% Over 0.5 goals 100%

67% Over 1.5 goals 71%

40% Over 2.5 goals 43%

27% Over 3.5 goals 21%

13% Over 4.5 goals 21%

7% Over 5.5 goals 21%

60% Both teams scored 57%

33% Clean sheets 36%

20% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

53% Wins 57%

33% Draws 29%

13% Losses 14%

67% Over 0.5 goals 79%

20% Over 1.5 goals 43%

20% Over 2.5 goals 21%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home

2

W

3

D

3

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

3

L

1

W

1

W

Burnley away

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

D

4

2

W

2

5

L

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.23	Preston – Luton	1–1 (0–0)	2.88	3.00	2.70	2.38	1.57
11.02.23	Coventry – Luton	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
21.01.23	Wigan – Luton	0–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.20	2.55	2.20	1.67
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Huddersfield – Luton	1–2 (1–1)	2.88	3.40	2.45	2.20	1.67
29.12.22	QPR – Luton	0–3 (0–1)	2.25	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
10.12.22	Middlesbrough – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.02	1.83

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.23	Burnley – Watford	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.95	1.90
11.02.23	Burnley – Preston	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Norwich – Burnley	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
20.01.23	Burnley – West Brom	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Burnley – Coventry	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.93	1.93
02.01.23	Swansea – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.05	1.80
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
27.12.22	Burnley – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88
11.12.22	QPR – Burnley	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.00	1.85

Luton at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Luton – West Brom	2–3 (2–1)	3.00	3.20	2.45	2.20	1.67
26.12.22	Luton – Norwich	2–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Luton – Rotherham	1–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.75	5.25	1.95	1.90
01.11.22	Luton – Reading	0–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.66
29.10.22	Luton – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.72
15.10.22	Luton – QPR	3–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.72
04.10.22	Luton – Huddersfield	3–3 (3–2)	1.75	3.40	5.25	2.20	1.66
17.09.22	Luton – Blackburn	2–0 (0–0)	2.30	3.25	3.30	2.10	1.72

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.02.23	Norwich – Burnley	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
02.01.23	Swansea – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.05	1.80
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
11.12.22	QPR – Burnley	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.00	1.85
05.11.22	Sheffield United – Burnley	5–2 (1–2)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.00	1.85
22.10.22	Sunderland – Burnley	2–4 (2–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.02	1.83
19.10.22	Birmingham – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.72
08.10.22	Coventry – Burnley	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.00	1.85
01.10.22	Cardiff – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.72
13.09.22	Preston – Burnley	1–1 (1–1)	3.00	3.25	2.40	2.20	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Luton winsDrawsBurnley wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.08.22E1	Burnley – Luton	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.75	4.60	2.00	1.85

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	31	20	9	2	62	27	+35	69
2	Sheffield United	32	18	7	7	54	30	+24	61
3	Middlesbrough	32	16	6	10	53	37	+16	54
4	Luton	31	13	11	7	39	31	+8	50
5	Millwall	31	14	7	10	39	32	+7	49
6	Sunderland	31	13	9	9	46	33	+13	48
7	Watford	32	12	11	9	38	35	+3	47
8	Blackburn	31	14	4	13	33	37	-4	46
9	Norwich	31	13	6	12	43	36	+7	45
10	West Brom	31	12	9	10	40	33	+7	45
11	Coventry	31	11	9	11	33	33	0	42
12	Swansea	31	11	9	11	45	46	-1	42
13	Hull	32	11	8	13	38	47	-9	41
14	Preston	31	11	8	12	28	37	-9	41
15	Reading	32	12	5	15	35	47	-12	41
16	Bristol City	31	10	10	11	41	40	+1	40
17	QPR	32	10	9	13	33	43	-10	39
18	Birmingham	31	10	8	13	36	40	-4	38
19	Stoke	31	10	7	14	36	38	-2	37
20	Cardiff	33	9	8	16	25	36	-11	35
21	Rotherham	31	7	12	12	34	42	-8	33
22	Wigan	31	7	9	15	29	50	-21	30
23	Huddersfield	31	7	7	17	28	42	-14	28
24	Blackpool	31	6	10	15	31	47	-16	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	17	12	5	0	36	13	+23	41
2	Sheffield United	16	10	3	3	34	16	+18	33
3	Millwall	15	9	4	2	24	11	+13	31
4	Reading	15	9	3	3	24	17	+7	30
5	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	23	12	+11	29
6	Coventry	17	8	5	4	21	15	+6	29
7	Blackburn	14	9	1	4	20	13	+7	28
8	West Brom	16	7	5	4	22	15	+7	26
9	Watford	15	7	4	4	21	14	+7	25
10	Swansea	15	7	2	6	25	21	+4	23
11	Bristol City	17	6	5	6	21	18	+3	23
12	Luton	15	5	7	3	20	16	+4	22
13	Sunderland	15	6	4	5	20	16	+4	22
14	Norwich	16	6	4	6	22	20	+2	22
15	Hull	16	6	3	7	18	23	-5	21
16	Rotherham	14	5	5	4	24	17	+7	20
17	Birmingham	17	5	5	7	20	20	0	20
18	Cardiff	17	5	5	7	13	16	-3	20
19	Stoke	16	5	4	7	20	18	+2	19
20	QPR	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19
21	Huddersfield	15	5	3	7	14	15	-1	18
22	Blackpool	15	3	5	7	16	21	-5	14
23	Preston	16	3	5	8	10	21	-11	14
24	Wigan	16	3	3	10	12	30	-18	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	14	8	4	2	26	14	+12	28
2	Sheffield United	16	8	4	4	20	14	+6	28
3	Luton	16	8	4	4	19	15	+4	28
4	Preston	15	8	3	4	18	16	+2	27
5	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	26	17	+9	26
6	Middlesbrough	17	8	1	8	30	25	+5	25
7	Norwich	15	7	2	6	21	16	+5	23
8	Watford	17	5	7	5	17	21	-4	22
9	Hull	16	5	5	6	20	24	-4	20
10	QPR	16	5	5	6	15	20	-5	20
11	West Brom	15	5	4	6	18	18	0	19
12	Swansea	16	4	7	5	20	25	-5	19
13	Wigan	15	4	6	5	17	20	-3	18
14	Birmingham	14	5	3	6	16	20	-4	18
15	Stoke	15	5	3	7	16	20	-4	18
16	Millwall	16	5	3	8	15	21	-6	18
17	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	13	24	-11	18
18	Bristol City	14	4	5	5	20	22	-2	17
19	Cardiff	16	4	3	9	12	20	-8	15
20	Blackpool	16	3	5	8	15	26	-11	14
21	Coventry	14	3	4	7	12	18	-6	13
22	Rotherham	17	2	7	8	10	25	-15	13
23	Reading	17	3	2	12	11	30	-19	11
24	Huddersfield	16	2	4	10	14	27	-13	10

Luton Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	32	12	20	1.7	1.2	16	6	10	53	37	54
2	12	Swansea	31	12	19	1.5	1.5	11	9	11	45	46	42
3	15	Reading	32	14	18	1.1	1.5	12	5	15	35	47	41
4	1	Burnley	31	15	16	2.0	0.9	20	9	2	62	27	69
5	6	Sunderland	31	15	16	1.5	1.1	13	9	9	46	33	48
6	9	Norwich	31	15	16	1.4	1.2	13	6	12	43	36	45
7	13	Hull	32	16	16	1.2	1.5	11	8	13	38	47	41
8	17	QPR	32	16	16	1.0	1.3	10	9	13	33	43	39
9	2	Sheffield United	32	17	15	1.7	0.9	18	7	7	54	30	61
10	21	Rotherham	31	16	15	1.1	1.4	7	12	12	34	42	33
11	24	Blackpool	31	16	15	1.0	1.5	6	10	15	31	47	28
12	8	Blackburn	31	17	14	1.1	1.2	14	4	13	33	37	46
13	16	Bristol City	31	17	14	1.3	1.3	10	10	11	41	40	40
14	18	Birmingham	31	17	14	1.2	1.3	10	8	13	36	40	38
15	19	Stoke	31	17	14	1.2	1.2	10	7	14	36	38	37
16	22	Wigan	31	17	14	0.9	1.6	7	9	15	29	50	30
17	23	Huddersfield	31	18	13	0.9	1.4	7	7	17	28	42	28
18	5	Millwall	31	19	12	1.3	1.0	14	7	10	39	32	49
19	7	Watford	32	20	12	1.2	1.1	12	11	9	38	35	47
20	14	Preston	31	19	12	0.9	1.2	11	8	12	28	37	41
21	4	Luton	31	20	11	1.3	1.0	13	11	7	39	31	50
22	10	West Brom	31	21	10	1.3	1.1	12	9	10	40	33	45
23	11	Coventry	31	22	9	1.1	1.1	11	9	11	33	33	42
24	20	Cardiff	33	24	9	0.8	1.1	9	8	16	25	36	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	17	7	10	2.1	0.8	12	5	0	36	13	41
2	2	Sheffield United	16	6	10	2.1	1.0	10	3	3	34	16	33
3	12	Swansea	15	5	10	1.7	1.4	7	2	6	25	21	23
4	15	Reading	15	5	10	1.6	1.1	9	3	3	24	17	30
5	17	QPR	16	6	10	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19
6	6	Sunderland	15	7	8	1.3	1.1	6	4	5	20	16	22
7	9	Norwich	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	6	4	6	22	20	22
8	13	Hull	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	6	3	7	18	23	21
9	18	Birmingham	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	5	5	7	20	20	20
10	21	Rotherham	14	6	8	1.7	1.2	5	5	4	24	17	20
11	3	Middlesbrough	15	8	7	1.5	0.8	8	5	2	23	12	29
12	8	Blackburn	14	7	7	1.4	0.9	9	1	4	20	13	28
13	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.2	1.1	5	4	7	20	18	19
14	22	Wigan	16	9	7	0.8	1.9	3	3	10	12	30	12
15	24	Blackpool	15	8	7	1.1	1.4	3	5	7	16	21	14
16	4	Luton	15	9	6	1.3	1.1	5	7	3	20	16	22
17	5	Millwall	15	9	6	1.6	0.7	9	4	2	24	11	31
18	7	Watford	15	9	6	1.4	0.9	7	4	4	21	14	25
19	16	Bristol City	17	11	6	1.2	1.1	6	5	6	21	18	23
20	14	Preston	16	11	5	0.6	1.3	3	5	8	10	21	14
21	10	West Brom	16	12	4	1.4	0.9	7	5	4	22	15	26
22	11	Coventry	17	13	4	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	15	29
23	20	Cardiff	17	13	4	0.8	0.9	5	5	7	13	16	20
24	23	Huddersfield	15	11	4	0.9	1.0	5	3	7	14	15	18

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	17	4	13	1.8	1.5	8	1	8	30	25	25
2	12	Swansea	16	7	9	1.2	1.6	4	7	5	20	25	19
3	23	Huddersfield	16	7	9	0.9	1.7	2	4	10	14	27	10
4	6	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.6	1.1	7	5	4	26	17	26
5	9	Norwich	15	7	8	1.4	1.1	7	2	6	21	16	23
6	13	Hull	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	20	24	20
7	15	Reading	17	9	8	0.6	1.8	3	2	12	11	30	11
8	16	Bristol City	14	6	8	1.4	1.6	4	5	5	20	22	17
9	24	Blackpool	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	8	15	26	14
10	8	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	24	18
11	14	Preston	15	8	7	1.2	1.1	8	3	4	18	16	27
12	19	Stoke	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	5	3	7	16	20	18
13	21	Rotherham	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	2	7	8	10	25	13
14	22	Wigan	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	4	6	5	17	20	18
15	1	Burnley	14	8	6	1.9	1.0	8	4	2	26	14	28
16	5	Millwall	16	10	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	8	15	21	18
17	7	Watford	17	11	6	1.0	1.2	5	7	5	17	21	22
18	10	West Brom	15	9	6	1.2	1.2	5	4	6	18	18	19
19	17	QPR	16	10	6	0.9	1.2	5	5	6	15	20	20
20	18	Birmingham	14	8	6	1.1	1.4	5	3	6	16	20	18
21	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	20	14	28
22	4	Luton	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	19	15	28
23	11	Coventry	14	9	5	0.9	1.3	3	4	7	12	18	13
24	20	Cardiff	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	3	9	12	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.