Cardiff 2–3 Swansea – England Championship, 1 Apr 2023

Match facts

Cardiff Swansea

9 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

1 Corners 3

19 Fouls 11

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (456 league matches this season so far).

Result Cardiff to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.89

Expected goals 1.22 – 1.10

Home / Draw / Away

39% 28% 33%

CardiffDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

59% 41%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

53% 47%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

10% 0

23% 1

27% 2

20% 3

12% 4

9% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13.2% 1–0 12% 0–1 10.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Cardiff before this match, all matches

1.05points / match

0.76scored / match

1.11conceded / match

10 9 18

WonDrawnLost 37 played · 28:41

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.21points / match

1.34scored / match

1.50conceded / match

12 10 16

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 51:57

Cardiff all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

0.76 Goals scored 1.34

1.11 Goals conceded 1.50

1.86 Total goals 2.84

11.81 Shots 12.89

3.11 Shots on target 4.79

10.78 Shots faced 10.16

4.86 Corners 5.32

4.73 Corners against 4.53

9.30 Fouls 9.89

1.76 Yellow cards 2.26

0.27 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

27% Wins 32%

24% Draws 26%

49% Losses 42%

89% Over 0.5 goals 97%

54% Over 1.5 goals 79%

24% Over 2.5 goals 58%

14% Over 3.5 goals 32%

5% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

32% Both teams scored 58%

32% Clean sheets 18%

46% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 34%

59% Draws 21%

30% Losses 45%

46% Over 0.5 goals 82%

19% Over 1.5 goals 32%

8% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff all matches

1

L

1

L

1

L

1

3

L

2

W

1

W

2

L

2

W

2

L

1

D

Swansea all matches

3

4

L

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

2

W

Cardiff before this match, at home

1.26points / match

0.84scored / match

0.89conceded / match

6 6 7

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 16:17

Swansea before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.11scored / match

1.53conceded / match

4 7 8

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:29

Cardiff at home away Swansea

Per match

0.84 Goals scored 1.11

0.89 Goals conceded 1.53

1.74 Total goals 2.63

14.47 Shots 12.47

3.37 Shots on target 4.53

9.42 Shots faced 11.58

5.63 Corners 5.37

4.05 Corners against 5.16

8.79 Fouls 10.42

1.47 Yellow cards 2.32

0.21 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.84

How often Full Time

32% Wins 21%

32% Draws 37%

37% Losses 42%

89% Over 0.5 goals 95%

47% Over 1.5 goals 74%

21% Over 2.5 goals 53%

11% Over 3.5 goals 26%

5% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

42% Both teams scored 63%

42% Clean sheets 11%

26% Failed to score 32%

How often Half Time

11% Wins 16%

63% Draws 32%

26% Losses 53%

42% Over 0.5 goals 74%

11% Over 1.5 goals 26%

5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Cardiff at home

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

1

D

1

L

1

3

L

1

W

2

W

1

D

Swansea away

2

D

3

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

3

L

1

L

1

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Cardiff all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.23	Cardiff – West Brom	1–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.30	1.62
11.03.23	Preston – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.50	1.53
04.03.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.30	1.62
25.02.23	Norwich – Cardiff	2–0 (2–0)	1.70	3.75	5.00	2.05	1.80
17.02.23	Cardiff – Reading	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.25	4.20	2.30	1.62
14.02.23	Birmingham – Cardiff	0–2 (0–0)	2.25	3.20	3.40	2.30	1.62
11.02.23	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Hull – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67
31.01.23	Luton – Cardiff	1–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	4.20	2.30	1.62
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.03.23	Swansea – Bristol City	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.00	1.80
14.03.23	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.20	1.67
11.03.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.98	1.88
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
27.02.23	Swansea – Rotherham	1–1 (1–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	1.95	1.90
21.02.23	Swansea – Stoke	1–3 (1–2)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.73
18.02.23	Blackburn – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.63	2.00	1.85
15.02.23	Swansea – Blackpool	2–1 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.85	2.00
11.02.23	Sheffield United – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90
04.02.23	Swansea – Birmingham	3–4 (2–1)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73

Cardiff at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.23	Cardiff – West Brom	1–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.25	2.38	2.30	1.62
04.03.23	Cardiff – Bristol City	2–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.30	2.30	1.62
17.02.23	Cardiff – Reading	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.25	4.20	2.30	1.62
11.02.23	Cardiff – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–2)	3.60	3.40	2.10	2.10	1.73
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Cardiff – Wigan	1–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.30	1.62
26.12.22	Cardiff – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
17.12.22	Cardiff – Blackpool	1–1 (1–0)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
12.11.22	Cardiff – Sheffield United	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.02	1.83
08.11.22	Cardiff – Hull	2–3 (0–1)	2.05	3.25	3.80	2.20	1.66

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.23	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	3.80	2.20	1.67
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
18.02.23	Blackburn – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.63	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Sheffield United – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90
21.01.23	QPR – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Sunderland – Swansea	1–3 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
27.12.22	Reading – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.10	1.73
17.12.22	Coventry – Swansea	3–3 (1–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.05	1.80
12.11.22	Huddersfield – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.10	1.72
08.11.22	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.25	2.70	2.20	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3

Cardiff winsDrawsSwansea wins

3matches

3.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.10.22E1	Swansea – Cardiff	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	2.02	1.83
02.04.22E1	Cardiff – Swansea	0–4 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.30	2.30	1.61
17.10.21E1	Swansea – Cardiff	3–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	38	24	12	2	74	29	+45	84
2	Sheffield United	37	21	7	9	58	33	+25	70
3	Middlesbrough	38	20	7	11	69	42	+27	67
4	Luton	39	18	13	8	48	35	+13	67
5	Blackburn	37	19	4	14	43	42	+1	61
6	Millwall	38	17	9	12	48	40	+8	60
7	Norwich	38	16	9	13	52	41	+11	57
8	Coventry	38	15	12	11	47	37	+10	57
9	Preston	39	15	11	13	37	44	-7	56
10	West Brom	37	15	10	12	47	39	+8	55
11	Watford	39	14	13	12	45	42	+3	55
12	Sunderland	39	14	12	13	53	46	+7	54
13	Stoke	38	13	9	16	48	45	+3	48
14	Bristol City	38	12	12	14	45	46	-1	48
15	Hull	38	12	11	15	43	53	-10	47
16	Swansea	38	12	10	16	51	57	-6	46
17	Birmingham	38	12	9	17	42	50	-8	45
18	Reading	38	13	6	19	40	58	-18	45
19	QPR	38	11	9	18	38	59	-21	42
20	Rotherham	37	9	13	15	41	51	-10	40
21	Cardiff	37	10	9	18	28	41	-13	39
22	Huddersfield	38	9	9	20	32	53	-21	36
23	Blackpool	39	8	11	20	41	61	-20	35
24	Wigan	38	7	13	18	33	59	-26	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	20	14	6	0	43	13	+30	48
2	Blackburn	18	13	1	4	25	14	+11	40
3	Middlesbrough	19	11	6	2	36	14	+22	39
4	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	35	17	+18	36
5	Millwall	19	10	5	4	29	17	+12	35
6	West Brom	19	10	5	4	26	15	+11	35
7	Reading	19	10	4	5	28	21	+7	34
8	Watford	19	9	6	4	28	17	+11	33
9	Coventry	19	9	6	4	24	17	+7	33
10	Luton	20	8	8	4	26	19	+7	32
11	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	24	18	+6	29
12	Norwich	19	8	4	7	27	22	+5	28
13	Swansea	19	8	3	8	30	28	+2	27
14	Rotherham	18	7	5	6	30	23	+7	26
15	Hull	19	7	4	8	21	26	-5	25
16	Sunderland	19	6	6	7	24	25	-1	24
17	Cardiff	19	6	6	7	16	17	-1	24
18	Preston	20	6	6	8	17	23	-6	24
19	Stoke	19	6	5	8	23	21	+2	23
20	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	22	21	+1	23
21	Huddersfield	19	6	5	8	17	21	-4	23
22	QPR	19	6	4	9	20	27	-7	22
23	Blackpool	19	5	6	8	24	26	-2	21
24	Wigan	19	3	6	10	14	32	-18	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	18	10	6	2	31	16	+15	36
2	Luton	19	10	5	4	22	16	+6	35
3	Sheffield United	19	10	4	5	23	16	+7	34
4	Preston	19	9	5	5	20	21	-1	32
5	Sunderland	20	8	6	6	29	21	+8	30
6	Norwich	19	8	5	6	25	19	+6	29
7	Middlesbrough	19	9	1	9	33	28	+5	28
8	Stoke	19	7	4	8	25	24	+1	25
9	Millwall	19	7	4	8	19	23	-4	25
10	Coventry	19	6	6	7	23	20	+3	24
11	Hull	19	5	7	7	22	27	-5	22
12	Watford	20	5	7	8	17	25	-8	22
13	Birmingham	19	6	4	9	20	29	-9	22
14	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	18	28	-10	21
15	West Brom	18	5	5	8	21	24	-3	20
16	QPR	19	5	5	9	18	32	-14	20
17	Bristol City	19	4	7	8	21	28	-7	19
18	Swansea	19	4	7	8	21	29	-8	19
19	Wigan	19	4	7	8	19	27	-8	19
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	12	24	-12	15
21	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	11	28	-17	14
22	Blackpool	20	3	5	12	17	35	-18	14
23	Huddersfield	19	3	4	12	15	32	-17	13
24	Reading	19	3	2	14	12	37	-25	11

Cardiff Swansea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	38	14	24	1.8	1.1	20	7	11	69	42	67
2	16	Swansea	38	16	22	1.3	1.5	12	10	16	51	57	46
3	18	Reading	38	17	21	1.1	1.5	13	6	19	40	58	45
4	12	Sunderland	39	19	20	1.4	1.2	14	12	13	53	46	54
5	19	QPR	38	18	20	1.0	1.6	11	9	18	38	59	42
6	1	Burnley	38	19	19	1.9	0.8	24	12	2	74	29	84
7	23	Blackpool	39	20	19	1.1	1.6	8	11	20	41	61	35
8	7	Norwich	38	20	18	1.4	1.1	16	9	13	52	41	57
9	20	Rotherham	37	19	18	1.1	1.4	9	13	15	41	51	40
10	5	Blackburn	37	20	17	1.2	1.1	19	4	14	43	42	61
11	13	Stoke	38	21	17	1.3	1.2	13	9	16	48	45	48
12	15	Hull	38	21	17	1.1	1.4	12	11	15	43	53	47
13	17	Birmingham	38	21	17	1.1	1.3	12	9	17	42	50	45
14	2	Sheffield United	37	21	16	1.6	0.9	21	7	9	58	33	70
15	9	Preston	39	23	16	0.9	1.1	15	11	13	37	44	56
16	22	Huddersfield	38	22	16	0.8	1.4	9	9	20	32	53	36
17	24	Wigan	38	22	16	0.9	1.6	7	13	18	33	59	34
18	6	Millwall	38	23	15	1.3	1.1	17	9	12	48	40	60
19	11	Watford	39	25	14	1.2	1.1	14	13	12	45	42	55
20	14	Bristol City	38	24	14	1.2	1.2	12	12	14	45	46	48
21	4	Luton	39	27	12	1.2	0.9	18	13	8	48	35	67
22	8	Coventry	38	26	12	1.2	1.0	15	12	11	47	37	57
23	10	West Brom	37	26	11	1.3	1.1	15	10	12	47	39	55
24	21	Cardiff	37	28	9	0.8	1.1	10	9	18	28	41	39

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	20	8	12	2.1	0.7	14	6	0	43	13	48
2	16	Swansea	19	7	12	1.6	1.5	8	3	8	30	28	27
3	18	Reading	19	8	11	1.5	1.1	10	4	5	28	21	34
4	19	QPR	19	8	11	1.1	1.4	6	4	9	20	27	22
5	20	Rotherham	18	7	11	1.7	1.3	7	5	6	30	23	26
6	2	Sheffield United	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	11	3	4	35	17	36
7	3	Middlesbrough	19	9	10	1.9	0.7	11	6	2	36	14	39
8	12	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.3	1.3	6	6	7	24	25	24
9	7	Norwich	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	8	4	7	27	22	28
10	15	Hull	19	10	9	1.1	1.4	7	4	8	21	26	25
11	23	Blackpool	19	10	9	1.3	1.4	5	6	8	24	26	21
12	5	Blackburn	18	10	8	1.4	0.8	13	1	4	25	14	40
13	6	Millwall	19	11	8	1.5	0.9	10	5	4	29	17	35
14	11	Watford	19	11	8	1.5	0.9	9	6	4	28	17	33
15	13	Stoke	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	5	8	23	21	23
16	17	Birmingham	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	5	8	22	21	23
17	4	Luton	20	13	7	1.3	0.9	8	8	4	26	19	32
18	9	Preston	20	13	7	0.8	1.1	6	6	8	17	23	24
19	24	Wigan	19	12	7	0.7	1.7	3	6	10	14	32	15
20	14	Bristol City	19	13	6	1.3	0.9	8	5	6	24	18	29
21	22	Huddersfield	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	6	5	8	17	21	23
22	8	Coventry	19	14	5	1.3	0.9	9	6	4	24	17	33
23	10	West Brom	19	15	4	1.4	0.8	10	5	4	26	15	35
24	21	Cardiff	19	15	4	0.8	0.9	6	6	7	16	17	24

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.5	9	1	9	33	28	28
2	12	Sunderland	20	10	10	1.4	1.1	8	6	6	29	21	30
3	16	Swansea	19	9	10	1.1	1.5	4	7	8	21	29	19
4	18	Reading	19	9	10	0.6	1.9	3	2	14	12	37	11
5	22	Huddersfield	19	9	10	0.8	1.7	3	4	12	15	32	13
6	23	Blackpool	20	10	10	0.8	1.8	3	5	12	17	35	14
7	5	Blackburn	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	6	3	10	18	28	21
8	7	Norwich	19	10	9	1.3	1.0	8	5	6	25	19	29
9	9	Preston	19	10	9	1.1	1.1	9	5	5	20	21	32
10	13	Stoke	19	10	9	1.3	1.3	7	4	8	25	24	25
11	17	Birmingham	19	10	9	1.1	1.5	6	4	9	20	29	22
12	19	QPR	19	10	9	0.9	1.7	5	5	9	18	32	20
13	24	Wigan	19	10	9	1.0	1.4	4	7	8	19	27	19
14	14	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.1	1.5	4	7	8	21	28	19
15	15	Hull	19	11	8	1.2	1.4	5	7	7	22	27	22
16	1	Burnley	18	11	7	1.7	0.9	10	6	2	31	16	36
17	6	Millwall	19	12	7	1.0	1.2	7	4	8	19	23	25
18	8	Coventry	19	12	7	1.2	1.1	6	6	7	23	20	24
19	10	West Brom	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	24	20
20	20	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.6	1.5	2	8	9	11	28	14
21	2	Sheffield United	19	13	6	1.2	0.8	10	4	5	23	16	34
22	11	Watford	20	14	6	0.8	1.2	5	7	8	17	25	22
23	4	Luton	19	14	5	1.2	0.8	10	5	4	22	16	35
24	21	Cardiff	18	13	5	0.7	1.3	4	3	11	12	24	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.