Millwall 2–1 Swansea – England Championship, 14 Mar 2023

Match facts

Millwall Swansea

9 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 11

5 Corners 5

8 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.88

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.08

Home / Draw / Away

51% 25% 25%

MillwallDrawSwansea

Under / Over 2.5 goals

49% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.6% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.58points / match

1.28scored / match

1.06conceded / match

16 9 11

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 46:38

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.19points / match

1.33scored / match

1.53conceded / match

11 10 15

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 48:55

Millwall all matches all matches Swansea

Per match

1.28 Goals scored 1.33

1.06 Goals conceded 1.53

2.33 Total goals 2.86

13.06 Shots 12.61

4.08 Shots on target 4.61

11.00 Shots faced 10.31

4.47 Corners 5.39

4.14 Corners against 4.44

11.56 Fouls 9.69

1.75 Yellow cards 2.28

0.61 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.44 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

44% Wins 31%

25% Draws 28%

31% Losses 42%

92% Over 0.5 goals 97%

72% Over 1.5 goals 78%

39% Over 2.5 goals 58%

17% Over 3.5 goals 33%

11% Over 4.5 goals 11%

3% Over 5.5 goals 6%

42% Both teams scored 58%

33% Clean sheets 17%

33% Failed to score 28%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 33%

56% Draws 19%

14% Losses 47%

64% Over 0.5 goals 83%

31% Over 1.5 goals 33%

8% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

2

D

2

3

L

1

W

Swansea all matches

3

1

W

1

D

3

4

L

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

1

D

1

L

1

3

L

Millwall before this match, at home

1.88points / match

1.59scored / match

0.88conceded / match

9 5 3

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 27:15

Swansea before this match, away

1.06points / match

1.11scored / match

1.50conceded / match

4 7 7

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 20:27

Millwall at home away Swansea

Per match

1.59 Goals scored 1.11

0.88 Goals conceded 1.50

2.47 Total goals 2.61

14.82 Shots 12.11

4.94 Shots on target 4.17

9.06 Shots faced 11.72

4.59 Corners 5.39

3.88 Corners against 5.17

11.18 Fouls 10.28

1.35 Yellow cards 2.33

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.28

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.89

How often Full Time

53% Wins 22%

29% Draws 39%

18% Losses 39%

88% Over 0.5 goals 94%

82% Over 1.5 goals 72%

41% Over 2.5 goals 50%

18% Over 3.5 goals 28%

18% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

47% Both teams scored 61%

41% Clean sheets 11%

24% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 17%

65% Draws 28%

12% Losses 56%

65% Over 0.5 goals 78%

41% Over 1.5 goals 28%

12% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

3

W

2

1

W

D

1

D

3

W

1

D

3

2

W

1

D

2

3

L

Swansea away

1

L

2

D

3

D

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

D

3

L

1

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Reading – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.50	3.50	2.10	2.30	1.62
04.03.23	Millwall – Norwich	2–3 (1–1)	2.60	3.10	2.88	2.20	1.67
28.02.23	Luton – Millwall	2–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.63	1.50
25.02.23	Stoke – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57
21.02.23	Millwall – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.38	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.23	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.98	1.88
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
27.02.23	Swansea – Rotherham	1–1 (1–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	1.95	1.90
21.02.23	Swansea – Stoke	1–3 (1–2)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.73
18.02.23	Blackburn – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.63	2.00	1.85
15.02.23	Swansea – Blackpool	2–1 (1–0)	1.67	4.00	5.00	1.85	2.00
11.02.23	Sheffield United – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90
04.02.23	Swansea – Birmingham	3–4 (2–1)	1.83	3.50	4.50	2.10	1.73
21.01.23	QPR – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Sunderland – Swansea	1–3 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Millwall – Norwich	2–3 (1–1)	2.60	3.10	2.88	2.20	1.67
21.02.23	Millwall – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.38	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80
10.12.22	Millwall – Wigan	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.67
05.11.22	Millwall – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.60	4.50	2.20	1.66
22.10.22	Millwall – West Brom	2–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.20	1.66
19.10.22	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66

Swansea away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.23	Luton – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
18.02.23	Blackburn – Swansea	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.63	2.00	1.85
11.02.23	Sheffield United – Swansea	3–0 (2–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90
21.01.23	QPR – Swansea	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	2.02	1.83
14.01.23	Sunderland – Swansea	1–3 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
27.12.22	Reading – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.10	1.73
17.12.22	Coventry – Swansea	3–3 (1–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.05	1.80
12.11.22	Huddersfield – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.10	1.72
08.11.22	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–2)	2.70	3.25	2.70	2.20	1.66
01.11.22	Preston – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.40	3.25	3.00	2.20	1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Millwall winsDrawsSwansea wins

3matches

1.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.08.22E1	Swansea – Millwall	2–2 (2–0)	2.50	3.20	3.00	2.30	1.61
05.04.22E1	Millwall – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.25	3.75	2.30	1.61
15.09.21E1	Swansea – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.60	3.10	2.90	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	36	23	11	2	71	28	+43	80
2	Sheffield United	36	20	7	9	56	32	+24	67
3	Middlesbrough	36	19	6	11	64	41	+23	63
4	Luton	36	16	12	8	44	34	+10	60
5	Blackburn	36	18	4	14	41	41	0	58
6	Millwall	36	16	9	11	46	38	+8	57
7	Norwich	36	16	7	13	51	40	+11	55
8	West Brom	36	15	9	12	46	38	+8	54
9	Coventry	36	14	11	11	42	35	+7	53
10	Sunderland	36	14	10	12	51	43	+8	52
11	Watford	36	13	12	11	41	39	+2	51
12	Preston	36	13	11	12	32	38	-6	50
13	Bristol City	36	12	12	12	45	43	+2	48
14	Stoke	36	13	7	16	47	44	+3	46
15	Hull	36	12	10	14	41	49	-8	46
16	Reading	36	13	5	18	38	55	-17	44
17	Swansea	36	11	10	15	48	55	-7	43
18	Birmingham	36	11	9	16	41	47	-6	42
19	QPR	36	11	9	16	37	52	-15	42
20	Rotherham	36	9	13	14	40	49	-9	40
21	Cardiff	36	10	8	18	27	40	-13	38
22	Blackpool	36	7	11	18	33	53	-20	32
23	Huddersfield	36	8	8	20	30	52	-22	32
24	Wigan	36	7	11	18	31	57	-26	32

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	19	14	5	0	43	13	+30	47
2	Blackburn	17	12	1	4	23	13	+10	37
3	Sheffield United	18	11	3	4	35	17	+18	36
4	Middlesbrough	17	10	5	2	31	13	+18	35
5	West Brom	19	10	5	4	26	15	+11	35
6	Reading	18	10	3	5	27	20	+7	33
7	Coventry	19	9	6	4	24	17	+7	33
8	Millwall	17	9	5	3	27	15	+12	32
9	Watford	17	8	5	4	24	16	+8	29
10	Bristol City	19	8	5	6	24	18	+6	29
11	Norwich	19	8	4	7	27	22	+5	28
12	Rotherham	17	7	5	5	29	21	+8	26
13	Luton	18	6	8	4	23	19	+4	26
14	Hull	18	7	4	7	20	23	-3	25
15	Swansea	18	7	3	8	28	28	0	24
16	Birmingham	19	6	5	8	22	21	+1	23
17	Sunderland	17	6	5	6	22	22	0	23
18	Cardiff	18	6	5	7	15	16	-1	23
19	Stoke	18	6	4	8	23	21	+2	22
20	Huddersfield	18	6	4	8	16	20	-4	22
21	QPR	18	6	4	8	20	26	-6	22
22	Preston	19	5	6	8	14	22	-8	21
23	Blackpool	17	4	6	7	17	21	-4	18
24	Wigan	18	3	5	10	13	31	-18	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Luton	18	10	4	4	21	15	+6	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	28	15	+13	33
3	Sheffield United	18	9	4	5	21	15	+6	31
4	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	29	21	+8	29
5	Preston	17	8	5	4	18	16	+2	29
6	Middlesbrough	19	9	1	9	33	28	+5	28
7	Norwich	17	8	3	6	24	18	+6	27
8	Millwall	19	7	4	8	19	23	-4	25
9	Stoke	18	7	3	8	24	23	+1	24
10	Watford	19	5	7	7	17	23	-6	22
11	Hull	18	5	6	7	21	26	-5	21
12	Blackburn	19	6	3	10	18	28	-10	21
13	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	18	0	20
14	QPR	18	5	5	8	17	26	-9	20
15	West Brom	17	5	4	8	20	23	-3	19
16	Bristol City	17	4	7	6	21	25	-4	19
17	Swansea	18	4	7	7	20	27	-7	19
18	Birmingham	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7	19
19	Wigan	18	4	6	8	18	26	-8	18
20	Cardiff	18	4	3	11	12	24	-12	15
21	Blackpool	19	3	5	11	16	32	-16	14
22	Rotherham	19	2	8	9	11	28	-17	14
23	Reading	18	3	2	13	11	35	-24	11
24	Huddersfield	18	2	4	12	14	32	-18	10

Millwall Swansea

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	36	13	23	1.8	1.1	19	6	11	64	41	63
2	17	Swansea	36	15	21	1.3	1.5	11	10	15	48	55	43
3	16	Reading	36	16	20	1.1	1.5	13	5	18	38	55	44
4	10	Sunderland	36	17	19	1.4	1.2	14	10	12	51	43	52
5	19	QPR	36	17	19	1.0	1.4	11	9	16	37	52	42
6	1	Burnley	36	18	18	2.0	0.8	23	11	2	71	28	80
7	7	Norwich	36	18	18	1.4	1.1	16	7	13	51	40	55
8	14	Stoke	36	19	17	1.3	1.2	13	7	16	47	44	46
9	20	Rotherham	36	19	17	1.1	1.4	9	13	14	40	49	40
10	5	Blackburn	36	20	16	1.1	1.1	18	4	14	41	41	58
11	15	Hull	36	20	16	1.1	1.4	12	10	14	41	49	46
12	18	Birmingham	36	20	16	1.1	1.3	11	9	16	41	47	42
13	22	Blackpool	36	20	16	0.9	1.5	7	11	18	33	53	32
14	23	Huddersfield	36	20	16	0.8	1.4	8	8	20	30	52	32
15	24	Wigan	36	20	16	0.9	1.6	7	11	18	31	57	32
16	2	Sheffield United	36	21	15	1.6	0.9	20	7	9	56	32	67
17	6	Millwall	36	22	14	1.3	1.1	16	9	11	46	38	57
18	13	Bristol City	36	22	14	1.2	1.2	12	12	12	45	43	48
19	11	Watford	36	23	13	1.1	1.1	13	12	11	41	39	51
20	12	Preston	36	23	13	0.9	1.1	13	11	12	32	38	50
21	4	Luton	36	24	12	1.2	0.9	16	12	8	44	34	60
22	8	West Brom	36	25	11	1.3	1.1	15	9	12	46	38	54
23	9	Coventry	36	25	11	1.2	1.0	14	11	11	42	35	53
24	21	Cardiff	36	27	9	0.8	1.1	10	8	18	27	40	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	19	7	12	2.3	0.7	14	5	0	43	13	47
2	17	Swansea	18	6	12	1.6	1.6	7	3	8	28	28	24
3	16	Reading	18	7	11	1.5	1.1	10	3	5	27	20	33
4	19	QPR	18	7	11	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	20	26	22
5	2	Sheffield United	18	8	10	1.9	0.9	11	3	4	35	17	36
6	20	Rotherham	17	7	10	1.7	1.2	7	5	5	29	21	26
7	3	Middlesbrough	17	8	9	1.8	0.8	10	5	2	31	13	35
8	7	Norwich	19	10	9	1.4	1.2	8	4	7	27	22	28
9	10	Sunderland	17	8	9	1.3	1.3	6	5	6	22	22	23
10	14	Stoke	18	10	8	1.3	1.2	6	4	8	23	21	22
11	15	Hull	18	10	8	1.1	1.3	7	4	7	20	23	25
12	18	Birmingham	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	5	8	22	21	23
13	4	Luton	18	11	7	1.3	1.1	6	8	4	23	19	26
14	5	Blackburn	17	10	7	1.4	0.8	12	1	4	23	13	37
15	6	Millwall	17	10	7	1.6	0.9	9	5	3	27	15	32
16	11	Watford	17	10	7	1.4	0.9	8	5	4	24	16	29
17	22	Blackpool	17	10	7	1.0	1.2	4	6	7	17	21	18
18	24	Wigan	18	11	7	0.7	1.7	3	5	10	13	31	14
19	12	Preston	19	13	6	0.7	1.2	5	6	8	14	22	21
20	13	Bristol City	19	13	6	1.3	0.9	8	5	6	24	18	29
21	23	Huddersfield	18	12	6	0.9	1.1	6	4	8	16	20	22
22	9	Coventry	19	14	5	1.3	0.9	9	6	4	24	17	33
23	8	West Brom	19	15	4	1.4	0.8	10	5	4	26	15	35
24	21	Cardiff	18	14	4	0.8	0.9	6	5	7	15	16	23

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	19	5	14	1.7	1.5	9	1	9	33	28	28
2	10	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.5	1.1	8	5	6	29	21	29
3	23	Huddersfield	18	8	10	0.8	1.8	2	4	12	14	32	10
4	5	Blackburn	19	10	9	0.9	1.5	6	3	10	18	28	21
5	7	Norwich	17	8	9	1.4	1.1	8	3	6	24	18	27
6	14	Stoke	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	7	3	8	24	23	24
7	16	Reading	18	9	9	0.6	1.9	3	2	13	11	35	11
8	17	Swansea	18	9	9	1.1	1.5	4	7	7	20	27	19
9	22	Blackpool	19	10	9	0.8	1.7	3	5	11	16	32	14
10	24	Wigan	18	9	9	1.0	1.4	4	6	8	18	26	18
11	13	Bristol City	17	9	8	1.2	1.5	4	7	6	21	25	19
12	15	Hull	18	10	8	1.2	1.4	5	6	7	21	26	21
13	18	Birmingham	17	9	8	1.1	1.5	5	4	8	19	26	19
14	19	QPR	18	10	8	0.9	1.4	5	5	8	17	26	20
15	6	Millwall	19	12	7	1.0	1.2	7	4	8	19	23	25
16	8	West Brom	17	10	7	1.2	1.4	5	4	8	20	23	19
17	12	Preston	17	10	7	1.1	0.9	8	5	4	18	16	29
18	20	Rotherham	19	12	7	0.6	1.5	2	8	9	11	28	14
19	1	Burnley	17	11	6	1.6	0.9	9	6	2	28	15	33
20	9	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.1	5	5	7	18	18	20
21	11	Watford	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	5	7	7	17	23	22
22	2	Sheffield United	18	13	5	1.2	0.8	9	4	5	21	15	31
23	4	Luton	18	13	5	1.2	0.8	10	4	4	21	15	34
24	21	Cardiff	18	13	5	0.7	1.3	4	3	11	12	24	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.