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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Stoke 1–0 Watford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.26
Draw 3.30 fair 3.98
Away 3.25 fair 3.27
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 2.03 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Stoke Watford
13 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 2
21 Fouls 10
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (26 league matches this season so far).
Result Stoke to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.80
Expected goals 1.53 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
StokeDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.9% 1–0 9.7% 2–1 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:3
Watford before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.00scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 4:0
Stoke all matches all matches Watford

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded 0.00
3.50 Total goals 2.00
12.00 Shots 21.50
4.00 Shots on target 7.50
14.00 Shots faced 8.50
6.50 Corners 10.00
4.50 Corners against 2.50
14.50 Fouls 12.00
3.00 Yellow cards 0.50
1.50 1st-half goals scored 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
50% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
0% Clean sheets 100%
50% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 50%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches
Watford all matches
Stoke before this match, at home
3.00points / match
4.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 1 played · 4:1
Watford before this match, away

No matches yet this season.

Stoke at home away Watford

Per match

4.00 Goals scored –
1.00 Goals conceded –
5.00 Total goals –
15.00 Shots –
6.00 Shots on target –
6.00 Shots faced –
10.00 Corners –
2.00 Corners against –
12.00 Fouls –
5.00 Yellow cards –
3.00 1st-half goals scored –
0.00 1st-half goals conceded –

How often Full Time

100% Wins –
0% Draws –
0% Losses –
100% Over 0.5 goals –
100% Over 1.5 goals –
100% Over 2.5 goals –
100% Over 3.5 goals –
100% Over 4.5 goals –
0% Over 5.5 goals –
100% Both teams scored –
0% Clean sheets –
0% Failed to score –

How often Half Time

100% Wins –
0% Draws –
0% Losses –
100% Over 0.5 goals –
100% Over 1.5 goals –
100% Over 2.5 goals –

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23 Ipswich – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.603.40 1.90 1.95
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
22.04.23 Cardiff – Stoke 1–1 (1–1) 2.403.253.00 2.10 1.73
18.04.23 Stoke – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
07.04.23 Stoke – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.05 1.80
01.04.23 Coventry – Stoke 0–4 (0–2) 2.383.303.10 2.05 1.80

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
19.04.23 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
15.04.23 Watford – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
07.04.23 Watford – Huddersfield 2–3 (1–1) 1.673.605.50 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57

Stoke at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.08.23 Stoke – Rotherham 4–1 (3–0) 1.623.805.75 2.00 1.85
29.04.23 Stoke – QPR 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.604.00 2.02 1.82
18.04.23 Stoke – Wigan 0–1 (0–0) 1.553.806.50 2.02 1.83
15.04.23 Stoke – West Brom 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.203.30 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Stoke – Bristol City 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.05 1.80
18.03.23 Stoke – Norwich 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.90 2.00 1.80
10.03.23 Stoke – Blackburn 3–2 (2–0) 2.003.403.80 2.30 1.62
25.02.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
15.02.23 Stoke – Huddersfield 3–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.30 1.62
11.02.23 Stoke – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.67

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Hull – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.252.88 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Coventry – Watford 2–2 (0–2) 2.403.253.00 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Luton – Watford 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.253.60 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 QPR – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.252.30 2.10 1.73
25.02.23 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.603.80 2.02 1.83
14.02.23 Burnley – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 1.673.805.25 1.95 1.90
04.02.23 Reading – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.302.55 2.20 1.67
28.01.23 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
02.01.23 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Stoke winsDrawsWatford wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.05.23E1 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
02.10.22E1 Stoke – Watford 0–4 (0–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7
2 Ipswich 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Watford 2 1 1 0 4 0 +4 4
5 Norwich 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
6 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
7 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
8 Preston 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
10 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 West Brom 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
12 Coventry 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
13 Hull 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
14 Stoke 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
15 Millwall 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
16 QPR 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 3
17 Leeds 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
19 Swansea 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
20 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 3 6 -3 1
21 Sunderland 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
22 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
23 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
24 Middlesbrough 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Watford 2 1 1 0 4 0 +4 4
2 Stoke 1 1 0 0 4 1 +3 3
3 Coventry 1 1 0 0 3 0 +3 3
4 Hull 1 1 0 0 4 2 +2 3
5 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 2 0 +2 3
6 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
7 West Brom 1 1 0 0 3 2 +1 3
8 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
9 Leicester 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
10 Norwich 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
11 Preston 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
12 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
13 Leeds 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Southampton 1 0 1 0 4 4 0 1
15 Rotherham 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
16 Bristol City 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
17 Swansea 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
18 QPR 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Cardiff 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
20 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
21 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
22 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
24 Millwall 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
2 Ipswich 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
3 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
4 Leicester 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
5 Millwall 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
6 QPR 2 1 0 1 2 5 -3 3
7 Norwich 1 0 1 0 4 4 0 1
8 Blackburn 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
9 Cardiff 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
10 Birmingham 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
11 Preston 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 1
12 Plymouth 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1
13 West Brom 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
14 Watford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
15 Swansea 1 0 0 1 2 3 -1 0
16 Coventry 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
17 Hull 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
18 Sunderland 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0
19 Leeds 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Sheffield Weds 1 0 0 1 2 4 -2 0
21 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 1 3 -2 0
22 Stoke 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 0
23 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0
24 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 0

Stoke   Watford

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Southampton 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7
2 5 Norwich 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
3 6 Blackburn 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
4 7 Plymouth 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
5 11 West Brom 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
6 12 Coventry 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
7 13 Hull 2 0 2 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
8 16 QPR 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 1 0 1 2 5 3
9 18 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
10 20 Rotherham 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 1 1 3 6 1
11 21 Sunderland 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
12 22 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
13 2 Ipswich 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
14 3 Leicester 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
15 4 Watford 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 4 0 4
16 8 Preston 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
17 14 Stoke 2 1 1 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
18 17 Leeds 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
19 19 Swansea 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
20 23 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
21 24 Middlesbrough 2 1 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
22 9 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
23 10 Bristol City 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 15 Millwall 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Plymouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
2 1 Southampton 1 0 1 4.0 4.0 0 1 0 4 4 1
3 3 Leicester 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 4 Watford 2 1 1 2.0 0.0 1 1 0 4 0 4
5 5 Norwich 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
6 6 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
7 8 Preston 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
8 11 West Brom 1 0 1 3.0 2.0 1 0 0 3 2 3
9 12 Coventry 1 0 1 3.0 0.0 1 0 0 3 0 3
10 13 Hull 1 0 1 4.0 2.0 1 0 0 4 2 3
11 14 Stoke 1 0 1 4.0 1.0 1 0 0 4 1 3
12 17 Leeds 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
13 18 Cardiff 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
14 20 Rotherham 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
15 21 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
16 22 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
17 2 Ipswich 1 1 0 2.0 0.0 1 0 0 2 0 3
18 9 Birmingham 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
19 10 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 15 Millwall 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
21 16 QPR 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 19 Swansea 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
23 23 Huddersfield 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
24 24 Middlesbrough 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Southampton 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
2 16 QPR 2 0 2 1.0 2.5 1 0 1 2 5 3
3 2 Ipswich 1 0 1 2.0 1.0 1 0 0 2 1 3
4 5 Norwich 1 0 1 4.0 4.0 0 1 0 4 4 1
5 6 Blackburn 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
6 11 West Brom 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
7 12 Coventry 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
8 13 Hull 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
9 18 Cardiff 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
10 19 Swansea 1 0 1 2.0 3.0 0 0 1 2 3 0
11 20 Rotherham 1 0 1 1.0 4.0 0 0 1 1 4 0
12 21 Sunderland 1 0 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 1 1 2 0
13 22 Sheffield Weds 1 0 1 2.0 4.0 0 0 1 2 4 0
14 23 Huddersfield 1 0 1 1.0 3.0 0 0 1 1 3 0
15 24 Middlesbrough 1 0 1 0.0 3.0 0 0 1 0 3 0
16 3 Leicester 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
17 4 Watford 0 0 0 – – 0 0 0 0 0 0
18 7 Plymouth 1 1 0 0.0 0.0 0 1 0 0 0 1
19 8 Preston 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
20 9 Birmingham 1 1 0 1.0 1.0 0 1 0 1 1 1
21 10 Bristol City 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
22 14 Stoke 1 1 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 1 0 2 0
23 15 Millwall 1 1 0 1.0 0.0 1 0 0 1 0 3
24 17 Leeds 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51