Stoke 0–1 Millwall – England Championship, 25 Feb 2023

Match facts

Stoke Millwall

15 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 4

10 Fouls 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (392 league matches this season so far).

Result Stoke to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.95

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.13

Home / Draw / Away

40% 28% 33%

StokeDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

57% 43%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

51% 49%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

9% 0

22% 1

26% 2

21% 3

13% 4

10% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 13% 1–0 11.5% 0–1 10.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.21points / match

1.18scored / match

1.21conceded / match

11 7 15

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 39:40

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.56points / match

1.25scored / match

1.03conceded / match

14 8 10

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 40:33

Stoke all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.18 Goals scored 1.25

1.21 Goals conceded 1.03

2.39 Total goals 2.28

13.03 Shots 13.28

4.33 Shots on target 4.19

10.79 Shots faced 11.09

5.55 Corners 4.66

5.30 Corners against 4.00

11.97 Fouls 11.63

1.79 Yellow cards 1.84

0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.56

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

33% Wins 44%

21% Draws 25%

45% Losses 31%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

70% Over 1.5 goals 75%

45% Over 2.5 goals 38%

30% Over 3.5 goals 13%

0% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 3%

39% Both teams scored 41%

30% Clean sheets 31%

36% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 25%

33% Draws 59%

39% Losses 16%

76% Over 0.5 goals 59%

27% Over 1.5 goals 31%

12% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke all matches

2

D

1

L

1

L

1

3

L

4

W

1

L

D

3

W

1

L

3

1

W

Millwall all matches

2

W

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

1

D

Stoke before this match, at home

1.19points / match

1.25scored / match

1.13conceded / match

5 4 7

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 20:18

Millwall before this match, away

1.13points / match

0.94scored / match

1.31conceded / match

5 3 8

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 15:21

Stoke at home away Millwall

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 0.94

1.13 Goals conceded 1.31

2.38 Total goals 2.25

13.69 Shots 12.13

4.50 Shots on target 3.63

9.31 Shots faced 13.13

6.50 Corners 4.69

4.81 Corners against 4.13

11.94 Fouls 11.81

1.69 Yellow cards 2.38

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

31% Wins 31%

25% Draws 19%

44% Losses 50%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

69% Over 1.5 goals 69%

44% Over 2.5 goals 38%

31% Over 3.5 goals 13%

0% Over 4.5 goals 6%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

31% Both teams scored 38%

31% Clean sheets 19%

44% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 25%

31% Draws 56%

31% Losses 19%

75% Over 0.5 goals 56%

25% Over 1.5 goals 25%

13% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Stoke at home

1

L

2

L

1

2

L

2

W

2

D

1

L

1

L

4

W

D

3

W

Millwall away

2

1

W

1

L

D

4

2

W

3

L

2

W

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.23	Swansea – Stoke	1–3 (1–2)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.73
18.02.23	Blackpool – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	2.10	1.73
15.02.23	Stoke – Huddersfield	3–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.40	4.75	2.30	1.62
11.02.23	Stoke – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Luton – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Stoke – Reading	4–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
14.01.23	Sheffield United – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	1.73	3.75	5.00	2.02	1.83
02.01.23	Stoke – Preston	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.67
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
26.12.22	Rotherham – Stoke	2–2 (1–0)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.10	1.73

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.23	Millwall – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.20	2.38	2.50	1.53
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
01.01.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67

Stoke at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.23	Stoke – Huddersfield	3–0 (1–0)	1.83	3.40	4.75	2.30	1.62
11.02.23	Stoke – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Stoke – Reading	4–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
02.01.23	Stoke – Preston	0–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.40	3.60	2.20	1.67
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
10.12.22	Stoke – Cardiff	2–2 (2–1)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
08.11.22	Stoke – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	1.95	3.40	4.00	2.20	1.66
05.11.22	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	2.20	1.66
22.10.22	Stoke – Coventry	0–2 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.00	1.85
18.10.22	Stoke – Rotherham	0–1 (0–1)	1.90	3.50	4.20	2.05	1.80

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
03.12.22	Sunderland – Millwall	3–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.25	2.87	2.20	1.66
12.11.22	Preston – Millwall	2–4 (2–2)	2.55	3.00	3.10	2.62	1.50
02.11.22	Birmingham – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.30	1.61
29.10.22	Huddersfield – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.25	2.40	2.20	1.66
15.10.22	Bristol City – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.05	1.80

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2

Stoke winsDrawsMillwall wins

3matches

2.33goals / match

33%over 2.5

33%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.07.22E1	Millwall – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.20	2.30	1.61
19.03.22E1	Stoke – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.20	2.37	1.57
23.10.21E1	Millwall – Stoke	2–1 (0–1)	2.50	3.10	3.00	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	33	21	10	2	64	28	+36	73
2	Sheffield United	32	18	7	7	54	30	+24	61
3	Middlesbrough	33	17	6	10	56	38	+18	57
4	Blackburn	33	16	4	13	35	37	-2	52
5	Millwall	32	14	8	10	40	33	+7	50
6	Luton	32	13	11	8	39	32	+7	50
7	Watford	33	13	11	9	41	37	+4	50
8	Sunderland	34	13	10	11	49	38	+11	49
9	Norwich	33	14	7	12	46	37	+9	49
10	Coventry	33	13	9	11	37	34	+3	48
11	West Brom	32	12	9	11	42	36	+6	45
12	Swansea	33	11	9	13	46	50	-4	42
13	Hull	33	11	9	13	38	47	-9	42
14	Preston	32	11	9	12	28	37	-9	42
15	Bristol City	32	10	11	11	42	41	+1	41
16	Reading	32	12	5	15	35	47	-12	41
17	Stoke	33	11	7	15	39	40	-1	40
18	QPR	33	10	9	14	34	46	-12	39
19	Birmingham	33	10	8	15	38	45	-7	38
20	Rotherham	33	8	12	13	36	45	-9	36
21	Cardiff	33	9	8	16	25	36	-11	35
22	Huddersfield	32	8	7	17	30	43	-13	31
23	Blackpool	33	7	10	16	32	48	-16	31
24	Wigan	32	7	10	15	29	50	-21	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	17	12	5	0	36	13	+23	41
2	Blackburn	16	11	1	4	22	13	+9	34
3	Sheffield United	16	10	3	3	34	16	+18	33
4	Middlesbrough	16	9	5	2	26	13	+13	32
5	Millwall	16	9	5	2	25	12	+13	32
6	Coventry	18	9	5	4	23	16	+7	32
7	Reading	15	9	3	3	24	17	+7	30
8	Watford	16	8	4	4	24	16	+8	28
9	West Brom	16	7	5	4	22	15	+7	26
10	Norwich	17	7	4	6	25	21	+4	25
11	Rotherham	16	6	5	5	26	20	+6	23
12	Sunderland	16	6	5	5	21	17	+4	23
13	Bristol City	17	6	5	6	21	18	+3	23
14	Swansea	16	7	2	7	26	24	+2	23
15	Luton	16	5	7	4	20	17	+3	22
16	Hull	17	6	4	7	18	23	-5	22
17	Huddersfield	16	6	3	7	16	16	0	21
18	Birmingham	17	5	5	7	20	20	0	20
19	Cardiff	17	5	5	7	13	16	-3	20
20	Stoke	16	5	4	7	20	18	+2	19
21	QPR	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19
22	Blackpool	16	4	5	7	17	21	-4	17
23	Preston	16	3	5	8	10	21	-11	14
24	Wigan	17	3	4	10	12	30	-18	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	16	9	5	2	28	15	+13	32
2	Sheffield United	16	8	4	4	20	14	+6	28
3	Luton	16	8	4	4	19	15	+4	28
4	Preston	16	8	4	4	18	16	+2	28
5	Sunderland	18	7	5	6	28	21	+7	26
6	Middlesbrough	17	8	1	8	30	25	+5	25
7	Norwich	16	7	3	6	21	16	+5	24
8	Watford	17	5	7	5	17	21	-4	22
9	Stoke	17	6	3	8	19	22	-3	21
10	Hull	16	5	5	6	20	24	-4	20
11	QPR	17	5	5	7	16	23	-7	20
12	West Brom	16	5	4	7	20	21	-1	19
13	Swansea	17	4	7	6	20	26	-6	19
14	Bristol City	15	4	6	5	21	23	-2	18
15	Wigan	15	4	6	5	17	20	-3	18
16	Millwall	16	5	3	8	15	21	-6	18
17	Birmingham	16	5	3	8	18	25	-7	18
18	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	13	24	-11	18
19	Coventry	15	4	4	7	14	18	-4	16
20	Cardiff	16	4	3	9	12	20	-8	15
21	Blackpool	17	3	5	9	15	27	-12	14
22	Rotherham	17	2	7	8	10	25	-15	13
23	Reading	17	3	2	12	11	30	-19	11
24	Huddersfield	16	2	4	10	14	27	-13	10

Stoke Millwall

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	33	12	21	1.7	1.2	17	6	10	56	38	57
2	12	Swansea	33	13	20	1.4	1.5	11	9	13	46	50	42
3	8	Sunderland	34	16	18	1.4	1.1	13	10	11	49	38	49
4	16	Reading	32	14	18	1.1	1.5	12	5	15	35	47	41
5	9	Norwich	33	16	17	1.4	1.1	14	7	12	46	37	49
6	18	QPR	33	16	17	1.0	1.4	10	9	14	34	46	39
7	1	Burnley	33	17	16	1.9	0.8	21	10	2	64	28	73
8	13	Hull	33	17	16	1.2	1.4	11	9	13	38	47	42
9	19	Birmingham	33	17	16	1.2	1.4	10	8	15	38	45	38
10	20	Rotherham	33	17	16	1.1	1.4	8	12	13	36	45	36
11	2	Sheffield United	32	17	15	1.7	0.9	18	7	7	54	30	61
12	17	Stoke	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	11	7	15	39	40	40
13	23	Blackpool	33	18	15	1.0	1.5	7	10	16	32	48	31
14	4	Blackburn	33	19	14	1.1	1.1	16	4	13	35	37	52
15	15	Bristol City	32	18	14	1.3	1.3	10	11	11	42	41	41
16	22	Huddersfield	32	18	14	0.9	1.3	8	7	17	30	43	31
17	24	Wigan	32	18	14	0.9	1.6	7	10	15	29	50	31
18	7	Watford	33	20	13	1.2	1.1	13	11	9	41	37	50
19	5	Millwall	32	20	12	1.2	1.0	14	8	10	40	33	50
20	14	Preston	32	20	12	0.9	1.2	11	9	12	28	37	42
21	6	Luton	32	21	11	1.2	1.0	13	11	8	39	32	50
22	11	West Brom	32	21	11	1.3	1.1	12	9	11	42	36	45
23	10	Coventry	33	23	10	1.1	1.0	13	9	11	37	34	48
24	21	Cardiff	33	24	9	0.8	1.1	9	8	16	25	36	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Swansea	16	5	11	1.6	1.5	7	2	7	26	24	23
2	1	Burnley	17	7	10	2.1	0.8	12	5	0	36	13	41
3	2	Sheffield United	16	6	10	2.1	1.0	10	3	3	34	16	33
4	16	Reading	15	5	10	1.6	1.1	9	3	3	24	17	30
5	18	QPR	16	6	10	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19
6	9	Norwich	17	8	9	1.5	1.2	7	4	6	25	21	25
7	20	Rotherham	16	7	9	1.6	1.2	6	5	5	26	20	23
8	3	Middlesbrough	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	9	5	2	26	13	32
9	8	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.3	1.1	6	5	5	21	17	23
10	13	Hull	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	23	22
11	19	Birmingham	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	5	5	7	20	20	20
12	4	Blackburn	16	9	7	1.4	0.8	11	1	4	22	13	34
13	7	Watford	16	9	7	1.5	1.0	8	4	4	24	16	28
14	17	Stoke	16	9	7	1.2	1.1	5	4	7	20	18	19
15	23	Blackpool	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	4	5	7	17	21	17
16	24	Wigan	17	10	7	0.7	1.8	3	4	10	12	30	13
17	5	Millwall	16	10	6	1.6	0.8	9	5	2	25	12	32
18	6	Luton	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	17	22
19	15	Bristol City	17	11	6	1.2	1.1	6	5	6	21	18	23
20	10	Coventry	18	13	5	1.3	0.9	9	5	4	23	16	32
21	14	Preston	16	11	5	0.6	1.3	3	5	8	10	21	14
22	22	Huddersfield	16	11	5	1.0	1.0	6	3	7	16	16	21
23	11	West Brom	16	12	4	1.4	0.9	7	5	4	22	15	26
24	21	Cardiff	17	13	4	0.8	0.9	5	5	7	13	16	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	17	4	13	1.8	1.5	8	1	8	30	25	25
2	8	Sunderland	18	8	10	1.6	1.2	7	5	6	28	21	26
3	12	Swansea	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	4	7	6	20	26	19
4	22	Huddersfield	16	7	9	0.9	1.7	2	4	10	14	27	10
5	9	Norwich	16	8	8	1.3	1.0	7	3	6	21	16	24
6	13	Hull	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	20	24	20
7	15	Bristol City	15	7	8	1.4	1.5	4	6	5	21	23	18
8	16	Reading	17	9	8	0.6	1.8	3	2	12	11	30	11
9	17	Stoke	17	9	8	1.1	1.3	6	3	8	19	22	21
10	19	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.1	1.6	5	3	8	18	25	18
11	23	Blackpool	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	9	15	27	14
12	4	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	24	18
13	11	West Brom	16	9	7	1.2	1.3	5	4	7	20	21	19
14	14	Preston	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	8	4	4	18	16	28
15	18	QPR	17	10	7	0.9	1.4	5	5	7	16	23	20
16	20	Rotherham	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	2	7	8	10	25	13
17	24	Wigan	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	4	6	5	17	20	18
18	1	Burnley	16	10	6	1.8	0.9	9	5	2	28	15	32
19	5	Millwall	16	10	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	8	15	21	18
20	7	Watford	17	11	6	1.0	1.2	5	7	5	17	21	22
21	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	20	14	28
22	6	Luton	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	19	15	28
23	10	Coventry	15	10	5	0.9	1.2	4	4	7	14	18	16
24	21	Cardiff	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	3	9	12	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.