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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Smith

Birmingham 1–1 Millwall

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.30 fair 2.14
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.85
Away 3.25 fair 3.67
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 2.38 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Birmingham Millwall
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
1 Corners 3
9 Fouls 18
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (48 league matches this season so far).
Result Birmingham to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.49 – 1.07
Home / Draw / Away
BirminghamDrawMillwall
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.5% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Birmingham before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:2
Millwall before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
0.75scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 3:4
Birmingham all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.75
0.50 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 1.75
12.50 Shots 12.25
4.25 Shots on target 3.25
13.25 Shots faced 17.25
6.50 Corners 4.00
6.75 Corners against 7.50
13.00 Fouls 12.25
2.25 Yellow cards 1.50
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

75% Wins 50%
25% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%
0% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 25%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham all matches
Millwall all matches
Birmingham before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:1
Millwall before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:3
Birmingham at home away Millwall

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
0.50 Goals conceded 1.50
2.00 Total goals 2.50
11.50 Shots 11.00
3.00 Shots on target 2.00
11.50 Shots faced 18.00
8.50 Corners 4.50
7.00 Corners against 9.00
15.00 Fouls 10.50
1.50 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

100% Wins 50%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
0% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Birmingham at home
Millwall away

Last 10 matches before this match

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Birmingham – Plymouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.00 1.80
19.08.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.303.40 2.30 1.62
12.08.23 Birmingham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.80 2.00
05.08.23 Swansea – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.93 1.93
08.05.23 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 4.003.501.91 1.98 1.88
29.04.23 Coventry – Birmingham 2–0 (2–0) 1.504.336.50 1.93 1.93
22.04.23 Birmingham – Blackpool 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.73
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Millwall – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.20 1.67
20.08.23 Norwich – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Millwall – Bristol City 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.604.33 2.10 1.73
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Millwall – Blackburn 3–4 (3–1) 1.913.753.80 1.90 1.95
28.04.23 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80
22.04.23 Wigan – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.402.00 2.38 1.57
18.04.23 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
10.04.23 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.38 1.57

Birmingham at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.08.23 Birmingham – Plymouth 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.33 2.00 1.80
12.08.23 Birmingham – Leeds 1–0 (0–0) 3.303.502.15 1.80 2.00
08.05.23 Birmingham – Sheffield United 1–2 (0–0) 4.003.501.91 1.98 1.88
22.04.23 Birmingham – Blackpool 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.253.60 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
01.04.23 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.202.88 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
25.02.23 Birmingham – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.30 1.62
14.02.23 Birmingham – Cardiff 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
10.02.23 Birmingham – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 3.803.402.00 2.20 1.67

Millwall away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.08.23 Norwich – Millwall 3–1 (1–0) 2.003.603.60 2.03 1.83
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
28.04.23 Blackpool – Millwall 2–3 (1–1) 3.303.402.20 2.00 1.80
22.04.23 Wigan – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 3.803.402.00 2.38 1.57
10.04.23 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.38 1.57
01.04.23 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.30 1.62
11.03.23 Reading – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.30 1.62
28.02.23 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
25.02.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
14.02.23 Coventry – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.202.90 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Birmingham winsDrawsMillwall wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.04.23E1 Millwall – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 1.703.605.25 2.30 1.62
02.11.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
23.04.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
04.12.21E1 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 7 3 +4 12
2 Norwich 4 3 1 0 13 6 +7 10
3 Birmingham 4 3 1 0 6 2 +4 10
4 Southampton 4 3 1 0 10 7 +3 10
5 Preston 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
6 Ipswich 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
7 West Brom 4 2 1 1 9 7 +2 7
8 Hull 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
9 Blackburn 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
10 Stoke 4 2 0 2 5 4 +1 6
11 Millwall 4 2 0 2 3 4 -1 6
12 Coventry 4 1 2 1 5 3 +2 5
13 Leeds 4 1 2 1 7 7 0 5
14 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
15 Watford 4 1 1 2 4 2 +2 4
16 Plymouth 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
17 Cardiff 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
18 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
19 QPR 4 1 0 3 3 8 -5 3
20 Swansea 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
21 Rotherham 4 0 1 3 5 10 -5 1
22 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
23 Huddersfield 4 0 1 3 2 9 -7 1
24 Sheffield Weds 4 0 0 4 4 9 -5 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Stoke 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
2 West Brom 2 2 0 0 7 4 +3 6
3 Norwich 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
4 Leicester 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
5 Preston 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
6 Birmingham 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
7 Watford 3 1 1 1 4 1 +3 4
8 Coventry 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4
9 Hull 2 1 1 0 5 3 +2 4
10 Southampton 2 1 1 0 6 5 +1 4
11 Ipswich 2 1 0 1 5 4 +1 3
12 Plymouth 2 1 0 1 4 3 +1 3
13 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
14 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Sunderland 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
16 Millwall 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 3
17 Leeds 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
18 Swansea 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
19 Rotherham 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
20 Middlesbrough 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
21 Bristol City 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
22 QPR 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
23 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 1 3 -2 0
24 Huddersfield 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Southampton 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
2 Ipswich 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
3 Leicester 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
4 Norwich 2 1 1 0 8 4 +4 4
5 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 3 1 +2 4
6 Blackburn 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
7 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
8 Preston 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
9 Leeds 2 1 0 1 4 4 0 3
10 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 Millwall 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
12 QPR 3 1 0 2 3 7 -4 3
13 Cardiff 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
14 Coventry 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
15 West Brom 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 1
16 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Sunderland 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
18 Huddersfield 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
19 Watford 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Swansea 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
21 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
22 Stoke 2 0 0 2 0 3 -3 0
23 Rotherham 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Middlesbrough 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 0

Birmingham   Millwall

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Norwich 4 0 4 3.2 1.5 3 1 0 13 6 10
2 4 Southampton 4 0 4 2.5 1.8 3 1 0 10 7 10
3 17 Cardiff 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
4 21 Rotherham 4 0 4 1.2 2.5 0 1 3 5 10 1
5 1 Leicester 4 1 3 1.8 0.8 4 0 0 7 3 12
6 7 West Brom 4 1 3 2.2 1.8 2 1 1 9 7 7
7 8 Hull 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
8 9 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
9 16 Plymouth 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
10 18 Sunderland 4 1 3 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
11 19 QPR 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 1 0 3 3 8 3
12 24 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.0 2.2 0 0 4 4 9 0
13 5 Preston 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
14 6 Ipswich 4 2 2 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
15 12 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 1 2 1 5 3 5
16 13 Leeds 4 2 2 1.8 1.8 1 2 1 7 7 5
17 20 Swansea 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
18 22 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
19 23 Huddersfield 4 2 2 0.5 2.2 0 1 3 2 9 1
20 3 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.5 0.5 3 1 0 6 2 10
21 10 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 2 0 2 5 4 6
22 11 Millwall 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 2 0 2 3 4 6
23 15 Watford 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 2 4 2 4
24 14 Bristol City 4 4 0 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Leicester 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
2 2 Norwich 2 0 2 2.5 1.0 2 0 0 5 2 6
3 4 Southampton 2 0 2 3.0 2.5 1 1 0 6 5 4
4 5 Preston 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
5 7 West Brom 2 0 2 3.5 2.0 2 0 0 7 4 6
6 9 Blackburn 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
7 16 Plymouth 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 0 1 4 3 3
8 17 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
9 18 Sunderland 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
10 21 Rotherham 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
11 3 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
12 6 Ipswich 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 0 1 5 4 3
13 8 Hull 2 1 1 2.5 1.5 1 1 0 5 3 4
14 10 Stoke 2 1 1 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
15 12 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 3 0 4
16 13 Leeds 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
17 15 Watford 3 2 1 1.3 0.3 1 1 1 4 1 4
18 23 Huddersfield 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
19 24 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 0 2 1 3 0
20 11 Millwall 2 2 0 0.5 0.5 1 0 1 1 1 3
21 14 Bristol City 2 2 0 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
22 19 QPR 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0
23 20 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
24 22 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 QPR 3 0 3 1.0 2.3 1 0 2 3 7 3
2 2 Norwich 2 0 2 4.0 2.0 1 1 0 8 4 4
3 4 Southampton 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
4 8 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 17 Cardiff 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
6 20 Swansea 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
7 21 Rotherham 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
8 22 Middlesbrough 2 0 2 1.0 3.5 0 0 2 2 7 0
9 24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
10 1 Leicester 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
11 6 Ipswich 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
12 7 West Brom 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
13 9 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
14 11 Millwall 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
15 12 Coventry 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 0 1 1 2 3 1
16 13 Leeds 2 1 1 2.0 2.0 1 0 1 4 4 3
17 16 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
18 18 Sunderland 2 1 1 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
19 23 Huddersfield 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
20 3 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.5 0.5 1 1 0 3 1 4
21 5 Preston 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
22 10 Stoke 2 2 0 0.0 1.5 0 0 2 0 3 0
23 14 Bristol City 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 15 Watford 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51