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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Whitestone

Millwall 0–1 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2022/2023

Home 1.70 fair 2.01
Draw 3.60 fair 3.79
Away ✓ 5.25 fair 4.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 1.76
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 2.32

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Millwall Birmingham
21 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
11 Corners 4
6 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (506 league matches this season so far).
Result Millwall to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.47 – 0.93
Home / Draw / Away
MillwallDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.3% 1–1 12.4% 2–0 9.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches
1.55points / match
1.19scored / match
0.98conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 50:41
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.19points / match
1.07scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 42 played · 45:53
Millwall all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.07
0.98 Goals conceded 1.26
2.17 Total goals 2.33
13.17 Shots 10.64
4.05 Shots on target 3.29
10.88 Shots faced 11.83
4.45 Corners 4.29
4.31 Corners against 5.31
11.14 Fouls 11.62
1.74 Yellow cards 2.10
0.55 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 31%
26% Draws 26%
31% Losses 43%
88% Over 0.5 goals 88%
67% Over 1.5 goals 69%
36% Over 2.5 goals 43%
14% Over 3.5 goals 17%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
2% Over 5.5 goals 5%
38% Both teams scored 48%
36% Clean sheets 31%
38% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 29%
60% Draws 43%
12% Losses 29%
57% Over 0.5 goals 67%
26% Over 1.5 goals 40%
7% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches
Birmingham all matches
Millwall before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.48scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 31:17
Birmingham before this match, away
1.10points / match
1.05scored / match
1.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 22:32
Millwall at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.48 Goals scored 1.05
0.81 Goals conceded 1.52
2.29 Total goals 2.57
14.24 Shots 10.48
4.62 Shots on target 3.38
9.10 Shots faced 12.43
4.38 Corners 3.33
4.05 Corners against 4.76
10.43 Fouls 11.67
1.33 Yellow cards 2.19
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.52
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

52% Wins 29%
29% Draws 24%
19% Losses 48%
86% Over 0.5 goals 90%
76% Over 1.5 goals 71%
38% Over 2.5 goals 48%
14% Over 3.5 goals 19%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
43% Both teams scored 52%
43% Clean sheets 24%
29% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 24%
67% Draws 33%
10% Losses 43%
57% Over 0.5 goals 86%
33% Over 1.5 goals 48%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
10.04.23 Hull – Millwall 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.252.45 2.38 1.57
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
01.04.23 West Brom – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.50 2.30 1.62
18.03.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 0–1 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
11.03.23 Reading – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.30 1.62
04.03.23 Millwall – Norwich 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.102.88 2.20 1.67
28.02.23 Luton – Millwall 2–2 (0–1) 2.203.103.60 2.63 1.50
25.02.23 Stoke – Millwall 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
10.04.23 Birmingham – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 3.203.252.30 2.20 1.67
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50
01.04.23 Birmingham – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.603.202.88 2.38 1.57
18.03.23 QPR – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.303.10 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.38 1.57
11.03.23 Birmingham – Rotherham 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.504.20 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Wigan – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
25.02.23 Birmingham – Luton 0–1 (0–0) 2.903.202.55 2.30 1.62
21.02.23 Norwich – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.00 1.85

Millwall at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Millwall – Preston 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.50 2.50 1.53
07.04.23 Millwall – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.003.00 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 Millwall – Huddersfield 0–1 (0–0) 1.533.758.00 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Millwall – Swansea 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.503.80 2.20 1.67
04.03.23 Millwall – Norwich 2–3 (1–1) 2.603.102.88 2.20 1.67
21.02.23 Millwall – Burnley 1–1 (0–0) 3.303.202.38 2.50 1.53
18.02.23 Millwall – Sheffield United 3–2 (1–1) 2.703.402.55 2.10 1.73
04.02.23 Millwall – Sunderland 1–1 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.20 1.67
01.01.23 Millwall – Rotherham 3–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.73
29.12.22 Millwall – Bristol City 0–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.05 1.80

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Sunderland – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.33 2.10 1.73
07.04.23 Reading – Birmingham 1–1 (1–1) 2.903.002.63 2.63 1.50
18.03.23 QPR – Birmingham 0–1 (0–1) 2.383.303.10 2.20 1.67
14.03.23 Watford – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.833.604.33 2.38 1.57
04.03.23 Wigan – Birmingham 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.203.30 2.38 1.57
21.02.23 Norwich – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 1.654.005.25 2.00 1.85
18.02.23 Huddersfield – Birmingham 2–1 (1–1) 2.603.302.70 2.30 1.62
04.02.23 Swansea – Birmingham 3–4 (2–1) 1.833.504.50 2.10 1.73
14.01.23 Bristol City – Birmingham 4–2 (2–1) 2.253.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.12.22 Burnley – Birmingham 3–0 (2–0) 1.603.806.00 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Millwall winsDrawsBirmingham wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.11.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 0–0 (0–0) 2.503.202.90 2.30 1.61
23.04.22E1 Birmingham – Millwall 2–2 (0–0) 3.303.302.25 2.20 1.66
04.12.21E1 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 42 26 14 2 80 32 +48 92
2 Sheffield United 42 25 7 10 65 36 +29 82
3 Luton 42 20 14 8 53 36 +17 74
4 Middlesbrough 42 21 8 13 79 51 +28 71
5 Millwall 42 18 11 13 50 41 +9 65
6 West Brom 42 17 12 13 54 45 +9 63
7 Blackburn 41 19 6 16 45 47 -2 63
8 Sunderland 43 16 14 13 61 52 +9 62
9 Coventry 42 16 14 12 52 43 +9 62
10 Preston 42 17 11 14 41 47 -6 62
11 Norwich 42 17 10 15 55 47 +8 61
12 Watford 42 15 14 13 51 47 +4 59
13 Swansea 42 15 11 16 57 59 -2 56
14 Bristol City 43 13 14 16 50 53 -3 53
15 Hull 42 13 14 15 48 57 -9 53
16 Stoke 43 14 10 19 54 50 +4 52
17 Birmingham 42 13 11 18 45 53 -8 50
18 Reading 42 13 9 20 43 62 -19 48
19 Rotherham 42 10 16 16 46 56 -10 46
20 Huddersfield 43 11 11 21 42 61 -19 44
21 QPR 42 11 10 21 40 67 -27 43
22 Cardiff 41 11 9 21 34 50 -16 42
23 Wigan 43 9 13 21 35 63 -28 40
24 Blackpool 43 9 11 23 44 69 -25 38
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 15 6 0 45 13 +32 51
2 Sheffield United 21 14 3 4 41 18 +23 45
3 Middlesbrough 21 12 6 3 42 17 +25 42
4 Blackburn 20 13 2 5 25 16 +9 41
5 Millwall 21 11 6 4 31 17 +14 39
6 West Brom 21 10 7 4 28 17 +11 37
7 Watford 21 10 6 5 32 20 +12 36
8 Reading 21 10 6 5 29 22 +7 36
9 Luton 21 9 8 4 29 20 +9 35
10 Coventry 21 9 7 5 26 23 +3 34
11 Bristol City 21 8 7 6 27 21 +6 31
12 Swansea 21 9 4 8 31 28 +3 31
13 Rotherham 21 8 6 7 35 28 +7 30
14 Norwich 21 8 5 8 27 23 +4 29
15 Sunderland 22 7 8 7 31 31 0 29
16 Hull 21 8 5 8 22 26 -4 29
17 Birmingham 21 7 6 8 23 21 +2 27
18 Huddersfield 21 7 6 8 23 25 -2 27
19 Preston 21 7 6 8 19 24 -5 27
20 Cardiff 21 6 6 9 18 21 -3 24
21 Blackpool 22 6 6 10 26 31 -5 24
22 Stoke 22 6 5 11 25 26 -1 23
23 QPR 21 6 4 11 20 32 -12 22
24 Wigan 21 4 6 11 15 34 -19 18
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 21 11 8 2 35 19 +16 41
2 Luton 21 11 6 4 24 16 +8 39
3 Sheffield United 21 11 4 6 24 18 +6 37
4 Preston 21 10 5 6 22 23 -1 35
5 Sunderland 21 9 6 6 30 21 +9 33
6 Norwich 21 9 5 7 28 24 +4 32
7 Stoke 21 8 5 8 29 24 +5 29
8 Middlesbrough 21 9 2 10 37 34 +3 29
9 Coventry 21 7 7 7 26 20 +6 28
10 West Brom 21 7 5 9 26 28 -2 26
11 Millwall 21 7 5 9 19 24 -5 26
12 Swansea 21 6 7 8 26 31 -5 25
13 Hull 21 5 9 7 26 31 -5 24
14 Watford 21 5 8 8 19 27 -8 23
15 Birmingham 21 6 5 10 22 32 -10 23
16 Bristol City 22 5 7 10 23 32 -9 22
17 Wigan 22 5 7 10 20 29 -9 22
18 Blackburn 21 6 4 11 20 31 -11 22
19 QPR 21 5 6 10 20 35 -15 21
20 Cardiff 20 5 3 12 16 29 -13 18
21 Huddersfield 22 4 5 13 19 36 -17 17
22 Rotherham 21 2 10 9 11 28 -17 16
23 Blackpool 21 3 5 13 18 38 -20 14
24 Reading 21 3 3 15 14 40 -26 12

Millwall   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 42 14 28 1.9 1.2 21 8 13 79 51 71
2 13 Swansea 42 19 23 1.4 1.4 15 11 16 57 59 56
3 8 Sunderland 43 21 22 1.4 1.2 16 14 13 61 52 62
4 18 Reading 42 20 22 1.0 1.5 13 9 20 43 62 48
5 21 QPR 42 20 22 1.0 1.6 11 10 21 40 67 43
6 1 Burnley 42 21 21 1.9 0.8 26 14 2 80 32 92
7 24 Blackpool 43 22 21 1.0 1.6 9 11 23 44 69 38
8 16 Stoke 43 23 20 1.3 1.2 14 10 19 54 50 52
9 19 Rotherham 42 22 20 1.1 1.3 10 16 16 46 56 46
10 11 Norwich 42 23 19 1.3 1.1 17 10 15 55 47 61
11 20 Huddersfield 43 24 19 1.0 1.4 11 11 21 42 61 44
12 7 Blackburn 41 23 18 1.1 1.1 19 6 16 45 47 63
13 15 Hull 42 24 18 1.1 1.4 13 14 15 48 57 53
14 17 Birmingham 42 24 18 1.1 1.3 13 11 18 45 53 50
15 2 Sheffield United 42 25 17 1.5 0.9 25 7 10 65 36 82
16 10 Preston 42 25 17 1.0 1.1 17 11 14 41 47 62
17 12 Watford 42 26 16 1.2 1.1 15 14 13 51 47 59
18 14 Bristol City 43 27 16 1.2 1.2 13 14 16 50 53 53
19 23 Wigan 43 27 16 0.8 1.5 9 13 21 35 63 40
20 5 Millwall 42 27 15 1.2 1.0 18 11 13 50 41 65
21 9 Coventry 42 27 15 1.2 1.0 16 14 12 52 43 62
22 6 West Brom 42 28 14 1.3 1.1 17 12 13 54 45 63
23 3 Luton 42 29 13 1.3 0.9 20 14 8 53 36 74
24 22 Cardiff 41 29 12 0.8 1.2 11 9 21 34 50 42
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 19 Rotherham 21 8 13 1.7 1.3 8 6 7 35 28 30
2 1 Burnley 21 9 12 2.1 0.6 15 6 0 45 13 51
3 4 Middlesbrough 21 9 12 2.0 0.8 12 6 3 42 17 42
4 8 Sunderland 22 10 12 1.4 1.4 7 8 7 31 31 29
5 13 Swansea 21 9 12 1.5 1.3 9 4 8 31 28 31
6 21 QPR 21 9 12 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 20 32 22
7 2 Sheffield United 21 10 11 2.0 0.9 14 3 4 41 18 45
8 18 Reading 21 10 11 1.4 1.0 10 6 5 29 22 36
9 16 Stoke 22 12 10 1.1 1.2 6 5 11 25 26 23
10 24 Blackpool 22 12 10 1.2 1.4 6 6 10 26 31 24
11 11 Norwich 21 12 9 1.3 1.1 8 5 8 27 23 29
12 12 Watford 21 12 9 1.5 1.0 10 6 5 32 20 36
13 15 Hull 21 12 9 1.0 1.2 8 5 8 22 26 29
14 3 Luton 21 13 8 1.4 1.0 9 8 4 29 20 35
15 5 Millwall 21 13 8 1.5 0.8 11 6 4 31 17 39
16 7 Blackburn 20 12 8 1.2 0.8 13 2 5 25 16 41
17 10 Preston 21 13 8 0.9 1.1 7 6 8 19 24 27
18 17 Birmingham 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 8 23 21 27
19 20 Huddersfield 21 13 8 1.1 1.2 7 6 8 23 25 27
20 9 Coventry 21 14 7 1.2 1.1 9 7 5 26 23 34
21 14 Bristol City 21 14 7 1.3 1.0 8 7 6 27 21 31
22 23 Wigan 21 14 7 0.7 1.6 4 6 11 15 34 18
23 6 West Brom 21 16 5 1.3 0.8 10 7 4 28 17 37
24 22 Cardiff 21 16 5 0.9 1.0 6 6 9 18 21 24
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Middlesbrough 21 5 16 1.8 1.6 9 2 10 37 34 29
2 13 Swansea 21 10 11 1.2 1.5 6 7 8 26 31 25
3 18 Reading 21 10 11 0.7 1.9 3 3 15 14 40 12
4 20 Huddersfield 22 11 11 0.9 1.6 4 5 13 19 36 17
5 24 Blackpool 21 10 11 0.9 1.8 3 5 13 18 38 14
6 7 Blackburn 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 4 11 20 31 22
7 8 Sunderland 21 11 10 1.4 1.0 9 6 6 30 21 33
8 11 Norwich 21 11 10 1.3 1.1 9 5 7 28 24 32
9 16 Stoke 21 11 10 1.4 1.1 8 5 8 29 24 29
10 17 Birmingham 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 6 5 10 22 32 23
11 21 QPR 21 11 10 1.0 1.7 5 6 10 20 35 21
12 1 Burnley 21 12 9 1.7 0.9 11 8 2 35 19 41
13 6 West Brom 21 12 9 1.2 1.3 7 5 9 26 28 26
14 10 Preston 21 12 9 1.0 1.1 10 5 6 22 23 35
15 14 Bristol City 22 13 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 10 23 32 22
16 15 Hull 21 12 9 1.2 1.5 5 9 7 26 31 24
17 23 Wigan 22 13 9 0.9 1.3 5 7 10 20 29 22
18 9 Coventry 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 7 7 7 26 20 28
19 5 Millwall 21 14 7 0.9 1.1 7 5 9 19 24 26
20 12 Watford 21 14 7 0.9 1.3 5 8 8 19 27 23
21 19 Rotherham 21 14 7 0.5 1.3 2 10 9 11 28 16
22 22 Cardiff 20 13 7 0.8 1.4 5 3 12 16 29 18
23 2 Sheffield United 21 15 6 1.1 0.9 11 4 6 24 18 37
24 3 Luton 21 16 5 1.1 0.8 11 6 4 24 16 39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51