Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham – England Championship, 21 Oct 2023

Match facts

Middlesbrough Birmingham

17 Shots 5

10 Shots on target 3

12 Corners 0

9 Fouls 17

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (133 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.83

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.27

Home / Draw / Away

40% 26% 34%

MiddlesbroughDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 51%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.27points / match

1.45scored / match

1.55conceded / match

4 2 5

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:17

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.64points / match

1.36scored / match

1.00conceded / match

5 3 3

WonDrawnLost 11 played · 15:11

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.36

1.55 Goals conceded 1.00

3.00 Total goals 2.36

14.73 Shots 12.55

5.00 Shots on target 3.91

11.73 Shots faced 12.27

6.55 Corners 4.45

5.45 Corners against 6.09

10.09 Fouls 13.09

1.27 Yellow cards 2.27

0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

36% Wins 45%

18% Draws 27%

45% Losses 27%

100% Over 0.5 goals 91%

91% Over 1.5 goals 82%

55% Over 2.5 goals 36%

27% Over 3.5 goals 18%

18% Over 4.5 goals 9%

9% Over 5.5 goals 0%

55% Both teams scored 55%

18% Clean sheets 27%

27% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 45%

45% Draws 45%

45% Losses 9%

64% Over 0.5 goals 55%

27% Over 1.5 goals 18%

18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

3

L

1

D

2

4

L

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

1

W

3

2

W

2

W

4

W

Birmingham all matches

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

2

L

1

2

L

D

2

L

4

1

W

3

1

W

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.40points / match

1.00scored / match

1.00conceded / match

2 1 2

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:5

Birmingham before this match, away

0.80points / match

0.80scored / match

1.40conceded / match

1 1 3

WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:7

Middlesbrough at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.80

1.00 Goals conceded 1.40

2.00 Total goals 2.20

14.80 Shots 12.60

5.80 Shots on target 4.00

12.00 Shots faced 13.60

7.80 Corners 3.20

5.60 Corners against 6.00

9.60 Fouls 12.40

1.40 Yellow cards 2.60

0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%

20% Draws 20%

40% Losses 60%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

80% Over 1.5 goals 100%

20% Over 2.5 goals 20%

0% Over 3.5 goals 0%

0% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

40% Both teams scored 40%

20% Clean sheets 20%

40% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 40%

80% Draws 60%

20% Losses 0%

40% Over 0.5 goals 40%

20% Over 1.5 goals 0%

0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

4

W

1

2

L

5

1

W

3

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

D

2

L

2

1

W

2

W

Birmingham away

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

L

1

D

2

W

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.10.23	Sunderland – Middlesbrough	0–4 (0–0)	2.30	3.60	2.88	1.75	2.05
03.10.23	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	4.00	1.80	2.00
30.09.23	Watford – Middlesbrough	2–3 (1–2)	2.45	3.40	2.90	1.93	1.93
23.09.23	Middlesbrough – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.73	2.10
19.09.23	Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.90	1.95
16.09.23	Blackburn – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.25	2.75	1.73	2.10
02.09.23	Middlesbrough – QPR	0–2 (0–1)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.73	2.10
26.08.23	West Brom – Middlesbrough	4–2 (2–1)	2.20	3.50	3.20	1.95	1.90
19.08.23	Middlesbrough – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
12.08.23	Coventry – Middlesbrough	3–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	1.98	1.88

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.10.23	Birmingham – West Brom	3–1 (2–1)	2.75	3.20	2.63	2.25	1.62
03.10.23	Birmingham – Huddersfield	4–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.30	3.30	2.08	1.73
30.09.23	Norwich – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.93	1.93
22.09.23	Birmingham – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.20	1.67
19.09.23	Preston – Birmingham	2–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.62
16.09.23	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
02.09.23	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
26.08.23	Birmingham – Plymouth	2–1 (1–0)	1.85	3.50	4.33	2.00	1.80
19.08.23	Bristol City – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.30	1.62
12.08.23	Birmingham – Leeds	1–0 (0–0)	3.30	3.50	2.15	1.80	2.00

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
03.10.23	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.75	4.00	1.80	2.00
23.09.23	Middlesbrough – Southampton	2–1 (1–1)	2.50	3.40	2.80	1.73	2.10
02.09.23	Middlesbrough – QPR	0–2 (0–1)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.73	2.10
19.08.23	Middlesbrough – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
05.08.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.30	4.33	2.00	1.80
08.05.23	Middlesbrough – Coventry	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.80	2.00
19.04.23	Middlesbrough – Hull	3–1 (0–1)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.67	2.20
14.04.23	Middlesbrough – Norwich	5–1 (4–1)	1.91	3.75	3.80	1.80	2.00
07.04.23	Middlesbrough – Burnley	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.80
18.03.23	Middlesbrough – Preston	4–0 (1–0)	1.55	3.80	6.50	2.02	1.83

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.09.23	Norwich – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.93	1.93
19.09.23	Preston – Birmingham	2–1 (0–0)	2.38	3.10	3.30	2.30	1.62
16.09.23	Watford – Birmingham	2–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.30	4.00	2.10	1.73
19.08.23	Bristol City – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.30	1.62
05.08.23	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.60	4.20	1.93	1.93
29.04.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (2–0)	1.50	4.33	6.50	1.93	1.93
18.04.23	Millwall – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.30	1.62
15.04.23	Sunderland – Birmingham	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.04.23	Reading – Birmingham	1–1 (1–1)	2.90	3.00	2.63	2.63	1.50
18.03.23	QPR – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	2.38	3.30	3.10	2.20	1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 1

Middlesbrough winsDrawsBirmingham wins

4matches

2.25goals / match

25%over 2.5

25%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.01.23E1	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–0)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.10	1.73
05.10.22E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	1–0 (1–0)	1.65	3.75	5.75	2.02	1.83
15.03.22E1	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.72
30.10.21E1	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	2.10	3.30	3.60	2.30	1.61

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	11	10	0	1	23	6	+17	30
2	Ipswich	11	9	1	1	25	13	+12	28
3	Preston	12	6	3	3	16	18	-2	21
4	Sunderland	11	6	1	4	20	12	+8	19
5	Leeds	11	5	4	2	17	11	+6	19
6	Birmingham	11	5	3	3	15	11	+4	18
7	Norwich	11	5	2	4	21	19	+2	17
8	Cardiff	11	5	2	4	17	15	+2	17
9	Hull	11	4	5	2	16	14	+2	17
10	Southampton	11	5	2	4	17	21	-4	17
11	West Brom	11	4	4	3	18	14	+4	16
12	Millwall	12	4	4	4	12	14	-2	16
13	Swansea	11	4	3	4	18	14	+4	15
14	Coventry	11	3	6	2	17	13	+4	15
15	Bristol City	11	4	3	4	14	13	+1	15
16	Middlesbrough	11	4	2	5	16	17	-1	14
17	Blackburn	11	4	1	6	17	21	-4	13
18	Plymouth	11	3	2	6	18	19	-1	11
19	Huddersfield	11	2	5	4	11	18	-7	11
20	Watford	11	2	4	5	14	16	-2	10
21	Stoke	11	3	1	7	11	17	-6	10
22	QPR	11	2	2	7	8	20	-12	8
23	Rotherham	11	1	3	7	10	22	-12	6
24	Sheffield Weds	11	0	3	8	5	18	-13	3

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ipswich	6	5	0	1	19	11	+8	15
2	Leicester	6	5	0	1	10	3	+7	15
3	Birmingham	6	4	2	0	11	4	+7	14
4	Cardiff	6	4	1	1	11	6	+5	13
5	Preston	6	4	1	1	9	9	0	13
6	Leeds	6	3	3	0	9	4	+5	12
7	Norwich	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
8	Coventry	6	2	4	0	9	5	+4	10
9	West Brom	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
10	Plymouth	6	3	0	3	14	10	+4	9
11	Sunderland	6	3	0	3	10	8	+2	9
12	Watford	6	2	2	2	10	6	+4	8
13	Swansea	5	2	2	1	8	5	+3	8
14	Southampton	6	2	2	2	11	12	-1	8
15	Hull	5	1	4	0	7	5	+2	7
16	Middlesbrough	5	2	1	2	5	5	0	7
17	Millwall	6	2	1	3	6	9	-3	7
18	Stoke	5	2	0	3	6	7	-1	6
19	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
20	Bristol City	5	1	2	2	7	7	0	5
21	Rotherham	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
22	Huddersfield	5	1	2	2	5	8	-3	5
23	Sheffield Weds	6	0	2	4	2	8	-6	2
24	QPR	5	0	1	4	3	12	-9	1

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	5	5	0	0	13	3	+10	15
2	Ipswich	5	4	1	0	6	2	+4	13
3	Sunderland	5	3	1	1	10	4	+6	10
4	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	7	6	+1	10
5	Hull	6	3	1	2	9	9	0	10
6	Millwall	6	2	3	1	6	5	+1	9
7	Southampton	5	3	0	2	6	9	-3	9
8	Preston	6	2	2	2	7	9	-2	8
9	Swansea	6	2	1	3	10	9	+1	7
10	Leeds	5	2	1	2	8	7	+1	7
11	Blackburn	6	2	1	3	10	10	0	7
12	Middlesbrough	6	2	1	3	11	12	-1	7
13	QPR	6	2	1	3	5	8	-3	7
14	West Brom	6	1	3	2	9	8	+1	6
15	Huddersfield	6	1	3	2	6	10	-4	6
16	Coventry	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
17	Norwich	6	1	2	3	13	15	-2	5
18	Cardiff	5	1	1	3	6	9	-3	4
19	Birmingham	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
20	Stoke	6	1	1	4	5	10	-5	4
21	Plymouth	5	0	2	3	4	9	-5	2
22	Watford	5	0	2	3	4	10	-6	2
23	Sheffield Weds	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
24	Rotherham	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1

Middlesbrough Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	11	2	9	1.5	1.9	4	1	6	17	21	13
2	4	Sunderland	11	3	8	1.8	1.1	6	1	4	20	12	19
3	10	Southampton	11	3	8	1.5	1.9	5	2	4	17	21	17
4	18	Plymouth	11	3	8	1.6	1.7	3	2	6	18	19	11
5	3	Preston	12	5	7	1.3	1.5	6	3	3	16	18	21
6	7	Norwich	11	4	7	1.9	1.7	5	2	4	21	19	17
7	11	West Brom	11	4	7	1.6	1.3	4	4	3	18	14	16
8	13	Swansea	11	4	7	1.6	1.3	4	3	4	18	14	15
9	23	Rotherham	11	4	7	0.9	2.0	1	3	7	10	22	6
10	1	Leicester	11	5	6	2.1	0.5	10	0	1	23	6	30
11	2	Ipswich	11	5	6	2.3	1.2	9	1	1	25	13	28
12	5	Leeds	11	5	6	1.5	1.0	5	4	2	17	11	19
13	8	Cardiff	11	5	6	1.5	1.4	5	2	4	17	15	17
14	9	Hull	11	5	6	1.5	1.3	4	5	2	16	14	17
15	16	Middlesbrough	11	5	6	1.5	1.5	4	2	5	16	17	14
16	22	QPR	11	5	6	0.7	1.8	2	2	7	8	20	8
17	12	Millwall	12	7	5	1.0	1.2	4	4	4	12	14	16
18	14	Coventry	11	6	5	1.5	1.2	3	6	2	17	13	15
19	15	Bristol City	11	6	5	1.3	1.2	4	3	4	14	13	15
20	19	Huddersfield	11	6	5	1.0	1.6	2	5	4	11	18	11
21	20	Watford	11	6	5	1.3	1.5	2	4	5	14	16	10
22	24	Sheffield Weds	11	6	5	0.5	1.6	0	3	8	5	18	3
23	6	Birmingham	11	7	4	1.4	1.0	5	3	3	15	11	18
24	21	Stoke	11	7	4	1.0	1.5	3	1	7	11	17	10

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Ipswich	6	1	5	3.2	1.8	5	0	1	19	11	15
2	3	Preston	6	1	5	1.5	1.5	4	1	1	9	9	13
3	17	Blackburn	5	0	5	1.4	2.2	2	0	3	7	11	6
4	18	Plymouth	6	1	5	2.3	1.7	3	0	3	14	10	9
5	4	Sunderland	6	2	4	1.7	1.3	3	0	3	10	8	9
6	10	Southampton	6	2	4	1.8	2.0	2	2	2	11	12	8
7	12	Millwall	6	2	4	1.0	1.5	2	1	3	6	9	7
8	23	Rotherham	5	1	4	1.4	1.6	1	2	2	7	8	5
9	1	Leicester	6	3	3	1.7	0.5	5	0	1	10	3	15
10	5	Leeds	6	3	3	1.5	0.7	3	3	0	9	4	12
11	6	Birmingham	6	3	3	1.8	0.7	4	2	0	11	4	14
12	8	Cardiff	6	3	3	1.8	1.0	4	1	1	11	6	13
13	11	West Brom	5	2	3	1.8	1.2	3	1	1	9	6	10
14	13	Swansea	5	2	3	1.6	1.0	2	2	1	8	5	8
15	20	Watford	6	3	3	1.7	1.0	2	2	2	10	6	8
16	22	QPR	5	2	3	0.6	2.4	0	1	4	3	12	1
17	7	Norwich	5	3	2	1.6	0.8	4	0	1	8	4	12
18	14	Coventry	6	4	2	1.5	0.8	2	4	0	9	5	10
19	15	Bristol City	5	3	2	1.4	1.4	1	2	2	7	7	5
20	19	Huddersfield	5	3	2	1.0	1.6	1	2	2	5	8	5
21	21	Stoke	5	3	2	1.2	1.4	2	0	3	6	7	6
22	24	Sheffield Weds	6	4	2	0.3	1.3	0	2	4	2	8	2
23	9	Hull	5	4	1	1.4	1.0	1	4	0	7	5	7
24	16	Middlesbrough	5	4	1	1.0	1.0	2	1	2	5	5	7

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	7	Norwich	6	1	5	2.2	2.5	1	2	3	13	15	5
2	9	Hull	6	1	5	1.5	1.5	3	1	2	9	9	10
3	16	Middlesbrough	6	1	5	1.8	2.0	2	1	3	11	12	7
4	4	Sunderland	5	1	4	2.0	0.8	3	1	1	10	4	10
5	10	Southampton	5	1	4	1.2	1.8	3	0	2	6	9	9
6	11	West Brom	6	2	4	1.5	1.3	1	3	2	9	8	6
7	13	Swansea	6	2	4	1.7	1.5	2	1	3	10	9	7
8	17	Blackburn	6	2	4	1.7	1.7	2	1	3	10	10	7
9	1	Leicester	5	2	3	2.6	0.6	5	0	0	13	3	15
10	5	Leeds	5	2	3	1.6	1.4	2	1	2	8	7	7
11	8	Cardiff	5	2	3	1.2	1.8	1	1	3	6	9	4
12	14	Coventry	5	2	3	1.6	1.6	1	2	2	8	8	5
13	15	Bristol City	6	3	3	1.2	1.0	3	1	2	7	6	10
14	18	Plymouth	5	2	3	0.8	1.8	0	2	3	4	9	2
15	19	Huddersfield	6	3	3	1.0	1.7	1	3	2	6	10	6
16	22	QPR	6	3	3	0.8	1.3	2	1	3	5	8	7
17	23	Rotherham	6	3	3	0.5	2.3	0	1	5	3	14	1
18	24	Sheffield Weds	5	2	3	0.6	2.0	0	1	4	3	10	1
19	3	Preston	6	4	2	1.2	1.5	2	2	2	7	9	8
20	20	Watford	5	3	2	0.8	2.0	0	2	3	4	10	2
21	21	Stoke	6	4	2	0.8	1.7	1	1	4	5	10	4
22	2	Ipswich	5	4	1	1.2	0.4	4	1	0	6	2	13
23	6	Birmingham	5	4	1	0.8	1.4	1	1	3	4	7	4
24	12	Millwall	6	5	1	1.0	0.8	2	3	1	6	5	9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.