Blackburn 4–2 Derby
Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025
Home ✓
2.20
fair 2.27
Draw
3.50
fair 4.00
Away
3.10
fair 3.24
Under 2.5
1.83
fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓
2.03
fair 1.89
Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.
Match facts
Blackburn
Derby
11
Shots
12
7
Shots on target
4
1
Corners
9
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow cards
3
0
Red cards
0
Our pre-match prediction
✓ Result correct
✓ Goals correct
✓ BTTS correct
Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (0 league matches this season so far).
Result
Blackburn to win
Goals
Over 2.5
Both teams score
Yes
fair 1.79
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.25
Home / Draw / Away
44%
25%
31%
BlackburnDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
47%
53%
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
44%
56%
NoYes
Total goals in the match
6%
0
17%
1
24%
2
22%
3
16%
4
15%
5+
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8%
1–0 9.5%
2–1 9.1%
Statistics 2024/2025, before this match
Blackburn
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Derby
before this match, all matches
No matches yet this season.
Blackburn all matches
all matches Derby
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Blackburn all matches
1
1
D
D
1
L
5
1
W
D
5
L
1
W
1
3
L
D
2
W
Derby all matches
3
W
2
1
W
1
W
1
L
1
W
2
2
D
D
3
W
1
W
2
W
Blackburn
before this match, at home
No matches yet this season.
Derby
before this match, away
No matches yet this season.
Blackburn at home
away Derby
Per match
How often Full Time
How often Half Time
Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)
Blackburn at home
1
1
D
1
2
L
3
1
W
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
1
D
1
L
D
1
3
L
D
Derby away
D
1
L
1
W
3
W
1
2
L
3
W
1
L
2
2
D
D
1
W
Last 10 matches before this match
Blackburn all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04.05.24 | Leicester – Blackburn | 0–2 (0–0) | 1.70 | 3.75 | 5.25 | 1.53 | 2.50 |
| 27.04.24 | Blackburn – Coventry | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 21.04.24 | Blackburn – Sheffield Weds | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 13.04.24 | Leeds – Blackburn | 0–1 (0–0) | 1.33 | 5.00 | 10.00 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
| 10.04.24 | Bristol City – Blackburn | 5–0 (2–0) | 2.50 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 1.73 |
| 06.04.24 | Blackburn – Southampton | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 01.04.24 | Sunderland – Blackburn | 1–5 (0–2) | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 29.03.24 | Blackburn – Ipswich | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 16.03.24 | Middlesbrough – Blackburn | 0–0 (0–0) | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.20 | 1.75 | 2.05 |
| 09.03.24 | Blackburn – Plymouth | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
Derby all matches
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.04.24E2 | Derby – Carlisle | 2–0 (1–0) | 1.22 | 6.50 | 13.00 | 1.54 | 2.35 |
| 20.04.24E2 | Cambridge – Derby | 0–1 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 13.04.24E2 | Derby – Leyton Orient | 3–0 (2–0) | 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 10.04.24E2 | Wycombe – Derby | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 02.04.24E2 | Portsmouth – Derby | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 29.03.24E2 | Derby – Blackpool | 1–0 (1–0) | 1.85 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| 23.03.24E2 | Northampton – Derby | 1–0 (1–0) | 5.75 | 3.60 | 1.65 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 16.03.24E2 | Derby – Bolton | 1–0 (0–0) | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
| 12.03.24E2 | Derby – Reading | 2–1 (0–0) | 1.70 | 3.60 | 5.25 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 09.03.24E2 | Bristol Rvs – Derby | 0–3 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
Blackburn at home
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.04.24 | Blackburn – Coventry | 0–0 (0–0) | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.20 |
| 21.04.24 | Blackburn – Sheffield Weds | 1–3 (1–1) | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 06.04.24 | Blackburn – Southampton | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 2.63 |
| 29.03.24 | Blackburn – Ipswich | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 09.03.24 | Blackburn – Plymouth | 1–1 (1–0) | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 05.03.24 | Blackburn – Millwall | 1–1 (0–0) | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| 24.02.24 | Blackburn – Norwich | 1–1 (0–1) | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.62 | 2.25 |
| 10.02.24 | Blackburn – Stoke | 3–1 (3–1) | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
| 03.02.24 | Blackburn – QPR | 1–2 (0–0) | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.00 | 1.85 | 2.00 |
| 20.01.24 | Blackburn – Huddersfield | 1–1 (1–1) | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.33 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Derby away
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.04.24E2 | Cambridge – Derby | 0–1 (0–1) | 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.55 | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| 10.04.24E2 | Wycombe – Derby | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 02.04.24E2 | Portsmouth – Derby | 2–2 (1–2) | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 23.03.24E2 | Northampton – Derby | 1–0 (1–0) | 5.75 | 3.60 | 1.65 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
| 09.03.24E2 | Bristol Rvs – Derby | 0–3 (0–0) | 3.60 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.90 |
| 24.02.24E2 | Barnsley – Derby | 2–1 (1–1) | 2.80 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| 13.02.24E2 | Exeter – Derby | 0–3 (0–1) | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 | 1.98 | 1.88 |
| 03.02.24E2 | Charlton – Derby | 0–1 (0–1) | 3.75 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| 23.01.24E2 | Reading – Derby | 1–0 (0–0) | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.85 | 1.73 | 2.08 |
| 20.01.24E2 | Lincoln – Derby | 0–0 (0–0) | 4.75 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 2.08 | 1.73 |
Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.
Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match
2
Blackburn winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
3.50goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
| Date | Match | Score | 1 | X | 2 | O | U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.03.22E1 | Blackburn – Derby | 3–1 (0–1) | 1.83 | 3.30 | 4.75 | 2.50 | 1.53 |
| 30.10.21E1 | Derby – Blackburn | 1–2 (0–2) | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.55 | 2.30 | 1.61 |
England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match
No league matches had been played yet this season.
Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51