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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: L Swabey

Bristol Rvs 0–3 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.60 fair 3.24
Draw 3.50 fair 4.00
Away ✓ 2.00 fair 2.27
Under 2.5 1.90 fair 2.12
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.95 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bristol Rvs Derby
6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 4
12 Fouls 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (427 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.25 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
Bristol RvsDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 9.5% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Bristol Rvs before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.37scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 35 played · 48:49
Derby before this match, all matches
1.92points / match
1.75scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 36 played · 63:33
Bristol Rvs all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 1.75
1.40 Goals conceded 0.92
2.77 Total goals 2.67
11.74 Shots 12.72
4.40 Shots on target 4.44
12.06 Shots faced 9.58
4.77 Corners 6.58
5.77 Corners against 4.97
11.03 Fouls 10.69
2.03 Yellow cards 1.78
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.81
0.66 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

40% Wins 58%
20% Draws 17%
40% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
89% Over 1.5 goals 75%
57% Over 2.5 goals 58%
20% Over 3.5 goals 25%
11% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
74% Both teams scored 53%
14% Clean sheets 42%
11% Failed to score 11%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 42%
26% Draws 47%
46% Losses 11%
80% Over 0.5 goals 67%
31% Over 1.5 goals 31%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol Rvs all matches
Derby all matches
Bristol Rvs before this match, at home
1.53points / match
1.53scored / match
1.18conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 26:20
Derby before this match, away
1.94points / match
1.72scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 31:16
Bristol Rvs at home away Derby

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.72
1.18 Goals conceded 0.89
2.71 Total goals 2.61
12.35 Shots 12.17
4.06 Shots on target 4.61
10.18 Shots faced 11.11
5.65 Corners 6.78
4.65 Corners against 5.67
11.29 Fouls 10.56
2.18 Yellow cards 1.78
0.65 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

41% Wins 61%
29% Draws 11%
29% Losses 28%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
94% Over 1.5 goals 67%
59% Over 2.5 goals 56%
12% Over 3.5 goals 28%
6% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
82% Both teams scored 44%
6% Clean sheets 44%
12% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 44%
24% Draws 44%
47% Losses 11%
82% Over 0.5 goals 72%
35% Over 1.5 goals 39%
12% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bristol Rvs at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bristol Rvs all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Leyton Orient – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.33 1.98 1.88
24.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Carlisle 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Northampton – Bristol Rvs 3–1 (2–0) 2.553.602.63 1.90 1.95
13.02.24 Stevenage – Bristol Rvs 2–3 (2–1) 1.733.804.75 2.00 1.85
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
06.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.15
03.02.24 Exeter – Bristol Rvs 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.95 1.90
27.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Oxford 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.67 2.15
23.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Blackpool 1–2 (1–2) 2.603.502.60 1.95 1.90

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.03.24 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83
24.02.24 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73

Bristol Rvs at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Carlisle 2–1 (1–1) 1.654.005.00 1.88 1.98
10.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Burton 1–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.85 2.00
06.02.24 Bristol Rvs – Fleetwood Town 0–2 (0–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.15
27.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Oxford 3–1 (2–0) 2.303.602.90 1.67 2.15
23.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Exeter 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.90 1.95
20.01.24 Bristol Rvs – Blackpool 1–2 (1–2) 2.603.502.60 1.95 1.90
29.12.23 Bristol Rvs – Charlton 2–1 (0–0) 2.053.803.30 1.70 2.10
26.12.23 Bristol Rvs – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.15 1.98 1.88
09.12.23 Bristol Rvs – Cheltenham 1–1 (0–1) 1.603.805.75 1.85 2.00
28.11.23 Bristol Rvs – Leyton Orient 1–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.93 1.93

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.02.24 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.803.402.50 1.93 1.93
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Bristol Rvs winsDrawsDerby wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23E2 Derby – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (0–0) 1.604.005.25 1.75 2.05
15.04.23E2 Bristol Rvs – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 4.333.601.83 1.95 1.90
29.10.22E2 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 36 22 10 4 60 31 +29 76
2 Bolton 36 21 7 8 64 40 +24 70
3 Derby 36 21 6 9 63 33 +30 69
4 Barnsley 35 19 10 6 66 41 +25 67
5 Peterboro 35 19 8 8 68 43 +25 65
6 Stevenage 35 17 9 9 48 34 +14 60
7 Oxford 36 16 9 11 58 46 +12 57
8 Blackpool 36 16 8 12 56 41 +15 56
9 Leyton Orient 36 15 9 12 43 43 0 54
10 Lincoln 36 13 13 10 40 32 +8 52
11 Wigan 36 15 7 14 51 47 +4 52
12 Bristol Rvs 35 14 7 14 48 49 -1 49
13 Northampton 36 14 7 15 49 56 -7 49
14 Reading 36 12 9 15 49 53 -4 45
15 Charlton 37 9 14 14 53 55 -2 41
16 Wycombe 35 10 11 14 45 48 -3 41
17 Exeter 36 11 7 18 27 50 -23 40
18 Burton 35 10 9 16 29 44 -15 39
19 Cambridge 35 10 8 17 31 44 -13 38
20 Shrewsbury 36 11 5 20 26 51 -25 38
21 Cheltenham 35 9 7 19 29 48 -19 34
22 Port Vale 34 8 8 18 34 57 -23 32
23 Fleetwood Town 36 7 10 19 40 60 -20 31
24 Carlisle 35 5 8 22 29 60 -31 23
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 18 12 4 2 32 19 +13 40
2 Bolton 18 12 3 3 37 22 +15 39
3 Blackpool 18 11 4 3 38 17 +21 37
4 Peterboro 17 10 4 3 41 19 +22 34
5 Derby 18 10 4 4 32 17 +15 34
6 Wigan 18 10 2 6 25 17 +8 32
7 Barnsley 18 9 4 5 34 23 +11 31
8 Reading 18 9 4 5 29 19 +10 31
9 Oxford 18 8 6 4 32 21 +11 30
10 Stevenage 17 8 6 3 22 14 +8 30
11 Northampton 18 8 5 5 25 20 +5 29
12 Lincoln 18 7 7 4 23 13 +10 28
13 Leyton Orient 18 8 3 7 20 25 -5 27
14 Bristol Rvs 17 7 5 5 26 20 +6 26
15 Cambridge 18 7 4 7 16 19 -3 25
16 Wycombe 18 6 6 6 26 25 +1 24
17 Charlton 18 6 5 7 29 25 +4 23
18 Shrewsbury 18 7 2 9 16 22 -6 23
19 Burton 17 6 4 7 16 18 -2 22
20 Cheltenham 18 6 4 8 19 26 -7 22
21 Exeter 18 5 6 7 11 17 -6 21
22 Port Vale 17 5 3 9 21 24 -3 18
23 Fleetwood Town 18 4 3 11 19 30 -11 15
24 Carlisle 18 3 5 10 15 30 -15 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 18 10 6 2 28 12 +16 36
2 Barnsley 17 10 6 1 32 18 +14 36
3 Derby 18 11 2 5 31 16 +15 35
4 Bolton 18 9 4 5 27 18 +9 31
5 Peterboro 18 9 4 5 27 24 +3 31
6 Stevenage 18 9 3 6 26 20 +6 30
7 Leyton Orient 18 7 6 5 23 18 +5 27
8 Oxford 18 8 3 7 26 25 +1 27
9 Lincoln 18 6 6 6 17 19 -2 24
10 Bristol Rvs 18 7 2 9 22 29 -7 23
11 Wigan 18 5 5 8 26 30 -4 20
12 Northampton 18 6 2 10 24 36 -12 20
13 Blackpool 18 5 4 9 18 24 -6 19
14 Exeter 18 6 1 11 16 33 -17 19
15 Charlton 19 3 9 7 24 30 -6 18
16 Wycombe 17 4 5 8 19 23 -4 17
17 Burton 18 4 5 9 13 26 -13 17
18 Fleetwood Town 18 3 7 8 21 30 -9 16
19 Shrewsbury 18 4 3 11 10 29 -19 15
20 Reading 18 3 5 10 20 34 -14 14
21 Port Vale 17 3 5 9 13 33 -20 14
22 Cambridge 17 3 4 10 15 25 -10 13
23 Cheltenham 17 3 3 11 10 22 -12 12
24 Carlisle 17 2 3 12 14 30 -16 9

Bristol Rvs   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Oxford 36 12 24 1.6 1.3 16 9 11 58 46 57
2 5 Peterboro 35 12 23 1.9 1.2 19 8 8 68 43 65
3 4 Barnsley 35 13 22 1.9 1.2 19 10 6 66 41 67
4 13 Northampton 36 14 22 1.4 1.6 14 7 15 49 56 49
5 3 Derby 36 15 21 1.8 0.9 21 6 9 63 33 69
6 15 Charlton 37 16 21 1.4 1.5 9 14 14 53 55 41
7 1 Portsmouth 36 16 20 1.7 0.9 22 10 4 60 31 76
8 12 Bristol Rvs 35 15 20 1.4 1.4 14 7 14 48 49 49
9 23 Fleetwood Town 36 16 20 1.1 1.7 7 10 19 40 60 31
10 2 Bolton 36 17 19 1.8 1.1 21 7 8 64 40 70
11 8 Blackpool 36 17 19 1.6 1.1 16 8 12 56 41 56
12 14 Reading 36 18 18 1.4 1.5 12 9 15 49 53 45
13 6 Stevenage 35 18 17 1.4 1.0 17 9 9 48 34 60
14 11 Wigan 36 19 17 1.4 1.3 15 7 14 51 47 52
15 16 Wycombe 35 18 17 1.3 1.4 10 11 14 45 48 41
16 22 Port Vale 34 17 17 1.0 1.7 8 8 18 34 57 32
17 9 Leyton Orient 36 20 16 1.2 1.2 15 9 12 43 43 54
18 19 Cambridge 35 20 15 0.9 1.3 10 8 17 31 44 38
19 24 Carlisle 35 20 15 0.8 1.7 5 8 22 29 60 23
20 17 Exeter 36 22 14 0.8 1.4 11 7 18 27 50 40
21 18 Burton 35 22 13 0.8 1.3 10 9 16 29 44 39
22 20 Shrewsbury 36 23 13 0.7 1.4 11 5 20 26 51 38
23 21 Cheltenham 35 22 13 0.8 1.4 9 7 19 29 48 34
24 10 Lincoln 36 24 12 1.1 0.9 13 13 10 40 32 52
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Barnsley 18 5 13 1.9 1.3 9 4 5 34 23 31
2 5 Peterboro 17 4 13 2.4 1.1 10 4 3 41 19 34
3 7 Oxford 18 5 13 1.8 1.2 8 6 4 32 21 30
4 2 Bolton 18 6 12 2.1 1.2 12 3 3 37 22 39
5 15 Charlton 18 6 12 1.6 1.4 6 5 7 29 25 23
6 1 Portsmouth 18 7 11 1.8 1.1 12 4 2 32 19 40
7 3 Derby 18 7 11 1.8 0.9 10 4 4 32 17 34
8 8 Blackpool 18 7 11 2.1 0.9 11 4 3 38 17 37
9 12 Bristol Rvs 17 7 10 1.5 1.2 7 5 5 26 20 26
10 13 Northampton 18 9 9 1.4 1.1 8 5 5 25 20 29
11 23 Fleetwood Town 18 9 9 1.1 1.7 4 3 11 19 30 15
12 9 Leyton Orient 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 8 3 7 20 25 27
13 11 Wigan 18 10 8 1.4 0.9 10 2 6 25 17 32
14 16 Wycombe 18 10 8 1.4 1.4 6 6 6 26 25 24
15 21 Cheltenham 18 10 8 1.1 1.4 6 4 8 19 26 22
16 22 Port Vale 17 9 8 1.2 1.4 5 3 9 21 24 18
17 10 Lincoln 18 11 7 1.3 0.7 7 7 4 23 13 28
18 14 Reading 18 11 7 1.6 1.1 9 4 5 29 19 31
19 20 Shrewsbury 18 11 7 0.9 1.2 7 2 9 16 22 23
20 24 Carlisle 18 11 7 0.8 1.7 3 5 10 15 30 14
21 6 Stevenage 17 11 6 1.3 0.8 8 6 3 22 14 30
22 19 Cambridge 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 7 16 19 25
23 17 Exeter 18 13 5 0.6 0.9 5 6 7 11 17 21
24 18 Burton 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 6 4 7 16 18 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Northampton 18 5 13 1.3 2.0 6 2 10 24 36 20
2 6 Stevenage 18 7 11 1.4 1.1 9 3 6 26 20 30
3 7 Oxford 18 7 11 1.4 1.4 8 3 7 26 25 27
4 14 Reading 18 7 11 1.1 1.9 3 5 10 20 34 14
5 23 Fleetwood Town 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 3 7 8 21 30 16
6 3 Derby 18 8 10 1.7 0.9 11 2 5 31 16 35
7 5 Peterboro 18 8 10 1.5 1.3 9 4 5 27 24 31
8 12 Bristol Rvs 18 8 10 1.2 1.6 7 2 9 22 29 23
9 1 Portsmouth 18 9 9 1.6 0.7 10 6 2 28 12 36
10 4 Barnsley 17 8 9 1.9 1.1 10 6 1 32 18 36
11 11 Wigan 18 9 9 1.4 1.7 5 5 8 26 30 20
12 15 Charlton 19 10 9 1.3 1.6 3 9 7 24 30 18
13 16 Wycombe 17 8 9 1.1 1.4 4 5 8 19 23 17
14 17 Exeter 18 9 9 0.9 1.8 6 1 11 16 33 19
15 19 Cambridge 17 8 9 0.9 1.5 3 4 10 15 25 13
16 22 Port Vale 17 8 9 0.8 1.9 3 5 9 13 33 14
17 8 Blackpool 18 10 8 1.0 1.3 5 4 9 18 24 19
18 9 Leyton Orient 18 10 8 1.3 1.0 7 6 5 23 18 27
19 18 Burton 18 10 8 0.7 1.4 4 5 9 13 26 17
20 24 Carlisle 17 9 8 0.8 1.8 2 3 12 14 30 9
21 2 Bolton 18 11 7 1.5 1.0 9 4 5 27 18 31
22 20 Shrewsbury 18 12 6 0.6 1.6 4 3 11 10 29 15
23 10 Lincoln 18 13 5 0.9 1.1 6 6 6 17 19 24
24 21 Cheltenham 17 12 5 0.6 1.3 3 3 11 10 22 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51