Millwall 1–1 Burnley – England Championship, 21 Feb 2023

Match facts

Millwall Burnley

12 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 6

7 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (386 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.92

Expected goals 1.21 – 1.36

Home / Draw / Away

33% 27% 40%

MillwallDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 0–1 10.4% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.58points / match

1.26scored / match

1.03conceded / match

14 7 10

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 39:32

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.25points / match

1.97scored / match

0.84conceded / match

21 9 2

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 63:27

Millwall all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.97

1.03 Goals conceded 0.84

2.29 Total goals 2.81

13.32 Shots 12.59

4.23 Shots on target 4.59

10.90 Shots faced 8.78

4.71 Corners 5.78

3.94 Corners against 4.22

11.77 Fouls 9.69

1.87 Yellow cards 1.91

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.78

0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

45% Wins 66%

23% Draws 28%

32% Losses 6%

90% Over 0.5 goals 100%

74% Over 1.5 goals 78%

39% Over 2.5 goals 50%

13% Over 3.5 goals 22%

10% Over 4.5 goals 16%

3% Over 5.5 goals 13%

39% Both teams scored 56%

32% Clean sheets 41%

39% Failed to score 3%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 38%

58% Draws 47%

16% Losses 16%

61% Over 0.5 goals 66%

32% Over 1.5 goals 38%

10% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

1

D

2

W

D

3

W

1

L

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

L

3

2

W

Burnley all matches

3

1

W

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

3

W

1

D

1

W

Millwall before this match, at home

2.07points / match

1.60scored / match

0.73conceded / match

9 4 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 24:11

Burnley before this match, away

2.07points / match

1.80scored / match

0.93conceded / match

9 4 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 27:14

Millwall at home away Burnley

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.80

0.73 Goals conceded 0.93

2.33 Total goals 2.73

14.60 Shots 10.47

4.87 Shots on target 4.00

8.53 Shots faced 10.93

4.73 Corners 4.40

3.73 Corners against 5.00

11.73 Fouls 10.40

1.33 Yellow cards 2.20

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.87

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

60% Wins 60%

27% Draws 27%

13% Losses 13%

87% Over 0.5 goals 100%

80% Over 1.5 goals 67%

40% Over 2.5 goals 40%

13% Over 3.5 goals 20%

13% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 20%

40% Both teams scored 53%

47% Clean sheets 40%

27% Failed to score 7%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 53%

60% Draws 33%

13% Losses 13%

67% Over 0.5 goals 73%

40% Over 1.5 goals 40%

13% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

2

1

W

2

W

3

W

2

1

W

D

1

D

3

W

1

D

3

2

W

Burnley away

1

D

1

W

1

D

4

2

W

2

5

L

3

W

1

W

2

1

W

3

W

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
14.02.23	Coventry – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.20	2.90	2.20	1.67
11.02.23	QPR – Millwall	1–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.10	2.80	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
21.01.23	Cardiff – Millwall	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.10	2.45	2.50	1.53
14.01.23	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.50	4.00	2.10	1.73
01.01.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80
26.12.22	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.75	2.20	1.67
10.12.22	Millwall – Wigan	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.67

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
14.02.23	Burnley – Watford	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.95	1.90
11.02.23	Burnley – Preston	3–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Norwich – Burnley	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
20.01.23	Burnley – West Brom	2–1 (0–1)	2.25	3.10	3.50	2.30	1.62
14.01.23	Burnley – Coventry	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.80	5.00	1.93	1.93
02.01.23	Swansea – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.05	1.80
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
27.12.22	Burnley – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.60	3.80	6.00	2.00	1.85
17.12.22	Burnley – Middlesbrough	3–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	1.98	1.88

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Millwall – Sheffield United	3–2 (1–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	2.10	1.73
04.02.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.40	3.75	2.20	1.67
01.01.23	Millwall – Rotherham	3–0 (1–0)	1.57	3.80	6.50	2.10	1.73
29.12.22	Millwall – Bristol City	0–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.20	2.05	1.80
10.12.22	Millwall – Wigan	1–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.67
05.11.22	Millwall – Hull	0–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.60	4.50	2.20	1.66
22.10.22	Millwall – West Brom	2–1 (1–1)	2.75	3.10	2.75	2.20	1.66
19.10.22	Millwall – Watford	3–0 (3–0)	2.60	3.20	2.80	2.20	1.66
08.10.22	Millwall – Middlesbrough	2–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.20	1.66
17.09.22	Millwall – Blackpool	2–1 (1–1)	2.00	3.40	4.00	2.10	1.72

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.02.23	Luton – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.20	2.20	1.67
04.02.23	Norwich – Burnley	0–3 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.00	1.85
02.01.23	Swansea – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	3.00	3.40	2.38	2.05	1.80
30.12.22	Stoke – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.00	1.80
11.12.22	QPR – Burnley	0–3 (0–2)	3.10	3.40	2.30	2.00	1.85
05.11.22	Sheffield United – Burnley	5–2 (1–2)	2.40	3.30	3.00	2.00	1.85
22.10.22	Sunderland – Burnley	2–4 (2–0)	3.20	3.25	2.30	2.02	1.83
19.10.22	Birmingham – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.60	3.30	2.10	2.10	1.72
08.10.22	Coventry – Burnley	0–1 (0–1)	3.10	3.30	2.37	2.00	1.85
01.10.22	Cardiff – Burnley	1–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.25	2.45	2.10	1.72

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Millwall winsDrawsBurnley wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
30.08.22E1	Burnley – Millwall	2–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.30	4.75	2.20	1.66

England Championship table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	32	21	9	2	63	27	+36	72
2	Sheffield United	32	18	7	7	54	30	+24	61
3	Middlesbrough	33	17	6	10	56	38	+18	57
4	Luton	32	13	11	8	39	32	+7	50
5	Watford	33	13	11	9	41	37	+4	50
6	Sunderland	32	13	10	9	47	34	+13	49
7	Millwall	31	14	7	10	39	32	+7	49
8	Blackburn	32	15	4	13	34	37	-3	49
9	Norwich	32	13	7	12	43	36	+7	46
10	West Brom	32	12	9	11	42	36	+6	45
11	Coventry	32	12	9	11	35	33	+2	45
12	Swansea	32	11	9	12	45	47	-2	42
13	Hull	33	11	9	13	38	47	-9	42
14	Preston	32	11	9	12	28	37	-9	42
15	Bristol City	32	10	11	11	42	41	+1	41
16	Reading	32	12	5	15	35	47	-12	41
17	QPR	33	10	9	14	34	46	-12	39
18	Birmingham	32	10	8	14	37	42	-5	38
19	Stoke	32	10	7	15	36	39	-3	37
20	Cardiff	33	9	8	16	25	36	-11	35
21	Rotherham	32	7	12	13	34	44	-10	33
22	Huddersfield	32	8	7	17	30	43	-13	31
23	Blackpool	32	7	10	15	32	47	-15	31
24	Wigan	32	7	10	15	29	50	-21	31

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	17	12	5	0	36	13	+23	41
2	Sheffield United	16	10	3	3	34	16	+18	33
3	Middlesbrough	16	9	5	2	26	13	+13	32
4	Millwall	15	9	4	2	24	11	+13	31
5	Blackburn	15	10	1	4	21	13	+8	31
6	Reading	15	9	3	3	24	17	+7	30
7	Coventry	17	8	5	4	21	15	+6	29
8	Watford	16	8	4	4	24	16	+8	28
9	West Brom	16	7	5	4	22	15	+7	26
10	Swansea	15	7	2	6	25	21	+4	23
11	Sunderland	16	6	5	5	21	17	+4	23
12	Bristol City	17	6	5	6	21	18	+3	23
13	Luton	16	5	7	4	20	17	+3	22
14	Norwich	16	6	4	6	22	20	+2	22
15	Hull	17	6	4	7	18	23	-5	22
16	Huddersfield	16	6	3	7	16	16	0	21
17	Rotherham	15	5	5	5	24	19	+5	20
18	Birmingham	17	5	5	7	20	20	0	20
19	Cardiff	17	5	5	7	13	16	-3	20
20	Stoke	16	5	4	7	20	18	+2	19
21	QPR	16	5	4	7	18	23	-5	19
22	Blackpool	16	4	5	7	17	21	-4	17
23	Preston	16	3	5	8	10	21	-11	14
24	Wigan	17	3	4	10	12	30	-18	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	15	9	4	2	27	14	+13	31
2	Sheffield United	16	8	4	4	20	14	+6	28
3	Luton	16	8	4	4	19	15	+4	28
4	Preston	16	8	4	4	18	16	+2	28
5	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	26	17	+9	26
6	Middlesbrough	17	8	1	8	30	25	+5	25
7	Norwich	16	7	3	6	21	16	+5	24
8	Watford	17	5	7	5	17	21	-4	22
9	Hull	16	5	5	6	20	24	-4	20
10	QPR	17	5	5	7	16	23	-7	20
11	West Brom	16	5	4	7	20	21	-1	19
12	Swansea	17	4	7	6	20	26	-6	19
13	Bristol City	15	4	6	5	21	23	-2	18
14	Wigan	15	4	6	5	17	20	-3	18
15	Birmingham	15	5	3	7	17	22	-5	18
16	Stoke	16	5	3	8	16	21	-5	18
17	Millwall	16	5	3	8	15	21	-6	18
18	Blackburn	17	5	3	9	13	24	-11	18
19	Coventry	15	4	4	7	14	18	-4	16
20	Cardiff	16	4	3	9	12	20	-8	15
21	Blackpool	16	3	5	8	15	26	-11	14
22	Rotherham	17	2	7	8	10	25	-15	13
23	Reading	17	3	2	12	11	30	-19	11
24	Huddersfield	16	2	4	10	14	27	-13	10

Millwall Burnley

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	33	12	21	1.7	1.2	17	6	10	56	38	57
2	12	Swansea	32	13	19	1.4	1.5	11	9	12	45	47	42
3	16	Reading	32	14	18	1.1	1.5	12	5	15	35	47	41
4	17	QPR	33	16	17	1.0	1.4	10	9	14	34	46	39
5	1	Burnley	32	16	16	2.0	0.8	21	9	2	63	27	72
6	6	Sunderland	32	16	16	1.5	1.1	13	10	9	47	34	49
7	9	Norwich	32	16	16	1.3	1.1	13	7	12	43	36	46
8	13	Hull	33	17	16	1.2	1.4	11	9	13	38	47	42
9	2	Sheffield United	32	17	15	1.7	0.9	18	7	7	54	30	61
10	18	Birmingham	32	17	15	1.2	1.3	10	8	14	37	42	38
11	21	Rotherham	32	17	15	1.1	1.4	7	12	13	34	44	33
12	23	Blackpool	32	17	15	1.0	1.5	7	10	15	32	47	31
13	8	Blackburn	32	18	14	1.1	1.2	15	4	13	34	37	49
14	15	Bristol City	32	18	14	1.3	1.3	10	11	11	42	41	41
15	19	Stoke	32	18	14	1.1	1.2	10	7	15	36	39	37
16	22	Huddersfield	32	18	14	0.9	1.3	8	7	17	30	43	31
17	24	Wigan	32	18	14	0.9	1.6	7	10	15	29	50	31
18	5	Watford	33	20	13	1.2	1.1	13	11	9	41	37	50
19	7	Millwall	31	19	12	1.3	1.0	14	7	10	39	32	49
20	14	Preston	32	20	12	0.9	1.2	11	9	12	28	37	42
21	4	Luton	32	21	11	1.2	1.0	13	11	8	39	32	50
22	10	West Brom	32	21	11	1.3	1.1	12	9	11	42	36	45
23	11	Coventry	32	23	9	1.1	1.0	12	9	11	35	33	45
24	20	Cardiff	33	24	9	0.8	1.1	9	8	16	25	36	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	Burnley	17	7	10	2.1	0.8	12	5	0	36	13	41
2	2	Sheffield United	16	6	10	2.1	1.0	10	3	3	34	16	33
3	12	Swansea	15	5	10	1.7	1.4	7	2	6	25	21	23
4	16	Reading	15	5	10	1.6	1.1	9	3	3	24	17	30
5	17	QPR	16	6	10	1.1	1.4	5	4	7	18	23	19
6	3	Middlesbrough	16	8	8	1.6	0.8	9	5	2	26	13	32
7	6	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.3	1.1	6	5	5	21	17	23
8	9	Norwich	16	8	8	1.4	1.2	6	4	6	22	20	22
9	13	Hull	17	9	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	7	18	23	22
10	18	Birmingham	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	5	5	7	20	20	20
11	21	Rotherham	15	7	8	1.6	1.3	5	5	5	24	19	20
12	5	Watford	16	9	7	1.5	1.0	8	4	4	24	16	28
13	8	Blackburn	15	8	7	1.4	0.9	10	1	4	21	13	31
14	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.2	1.1	5	4	7	20	18	19
15	23	Blackpool	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	4	5	7	17	21	17
16	24	Wigan	17	10	7	0.7	1.8	3	4	10	12	30	13
17	4	Luton	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	5	7	4	20	17	22
18	7	Millwall	15	9	6	1.6	0.7	9	4	2	24	11	31
19	15	Bristol City	17	11	6	1.2	1.1	6	5	6	21	18	23
20	14	Preston	16	11	5	0.6	1.3	3	5	8	10	21	14
21	22	Huddersfield	16	11	5	1.0	1.0	6	3	7	16	16	21
22	10	West Brom	16	12	4	1.4	0.9	7	5	4	22	15	26
23	11	Coventry	17	13	4	1.2	0.9	8	5	4	21	15	29
24	20	Cardiff	17	13	4	0.8	0.9	5	5	7	13	16	20

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Middlesbrough	17	4	13	1.8	1.5	8	1	8	30	25	25
2	12	Swansea	17	8	9	1.2	1.5	4	7	6	20	26	19
3	22	Huddersfield	16	7	9	0.9	1.7	2	4	10	14	27	10
4	6	Sunderland	16	8	8	1.6	1.1	7	5	4	26	17	26
5	9	Norwich	16	8	8	1.3	1.0	7	3	6	21	16	24
6	13	Hull	16	8	8	1.2	1.5	5	5	6	20	24	20
7	15	Bristol City	15	7	8	1.4	1.5	4	6	5	21	23	18
8	16	Reading	17	9	8	0.6	1.8	3	2	12	11	30	11
9	23	Blackpool	16	8	8	0.9	1.6	3	5	8	15	26	14
10	8	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.8	1.4	5	3	9	13	24	18
11	10	West Brom	16	9	7	1.2	1.3	5	4	7	20	21	19
12	14	Preston	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	8	4	4	18	16	28
13	17	QPR	17	10	7	0.9	1.4	5	5	7	16	23	20
14	18	Birmingham	15	8	7	1.1	1.5	5	3	7	17	22	18
15	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.0	1.3	5	3	8	16	21	18
16	21	Rotherham	17	10	7	0.6	1.5	2	7	8	10	25	13
17	24	Wigan	15	8	7	1.1	1.3	4	6	5	17	20	18
18	1	Burnley	15	9	6	1.8	0.9	9	4	2	27	14	31
19	5	Watford	17	11	6	1.0	1.2	5	7	5	17	21	22
20	7	Millwall	16	10	6	0.9	1.3	5	3	8	15	21	18
21	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	20	14	28
22	4	Luton	16	11	5	1.2	0.9	8	4	4	19	15	28
23	11	Coventry	15	10	5	0.9	1.2	4	4	7	14	18	16
24	20	Cardiff	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	3	9	12	20	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.