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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: D Webb

Preston 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.20 fair 2.31
Draw ✓ 3.20 fair 3.78
Away 3.40 fair 3.30
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Preston Derby
11 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
7 Corners 3
8 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (184 league matches this season so far).
Result Preston to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.95
Expected goals 1.41 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
PrestonDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 11.1% 0–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Preston before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 15:23
Derby before this match, all matches
1.27points / match
1.27scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 19:19
Preston all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.27
1.53 Goals conceded 1.27
2.53 Total goals 2.53
10.47 Shots 10.93
3.13 Shots on target 3.33
11.40 Shots faced 12.00
4.33 Corners 5.73
5.20 Corners against 5.87
14.53 Fouls 12.13
2.93 Yellow cards 2.13
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

20% Wins 33%
40% Draws 27%
40% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 80%
53% Over 2.5 goals 40%
40% Over 3.5 goals 13%
7% Over 4.5 goals 13%
7% Over 5.5 goals 7%
47% Both teams scored 60%
40% Clean sheets 27%
33% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 27%
47% Draws 40%
33% Losses 33%
67% Over 0.5 goals 73%
40% Over 1.5 goals 13%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston all matches
Derby all matches
Preston before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.00scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:7
Derby before this match, away
0.63points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:14
Preston at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded 1.75
1.88 Total goals 2.75
11.75 Shots 8.75
3.00 Shots on target 2.63
10.00 Shots faced 12.63
4.75 Corners 5.25
5.50 Corners against 5.63
13.00 Fouls 12.50
3.13 Yellow cards 2.50
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

38% Wins 13%
38% Draws 25%
25% Losses 63%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 88%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 13%
25% Both teams scored 75%
63% Clean sheets 0%
38% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 13%
50% Draws 38%
25% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 75%
13% Over 1.5 goals 13%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Preston at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Portsmouth – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 2.803.402.40 2.10 1.73
06.11.24 Preston – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.30 2.20 1.67
02.11.24 Preston – Bristol City 1–3 (0–1) 2.453.402.80 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Plymouth – Preston 3–3 (0–2) 2.703.402.50 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Preston – Norwich 2–2 (2–1) 2.703.252.70 2.05 1.80
19.10.24 Preston – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.95 1.90
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Millwall – Preston 3–1 (2–0) 1.903.504.00 2.38 1.57
22.09.24 Preston – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.55 2.00 1.80

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00

Preston at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.24 Preston – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.102.30 2.20 1.67
02.11.24 Preston – Bristol City 1–3 (0–1) 2.453.402.80 2.20 1.67
22.10.24 Preston – Norwich 2–2 (2–1) 2.703.252.70 2.05 1.80
19.10.24 Preston – Coventry 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.302.50 1.95 1.90
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
22.09.24 Preston – Blackburn 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.302.55 2.00 1.80
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
09.08.24 Preston – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–1) 3.103.402.25 2.00 1.85
29.04.24 Preston – Leicester 0–3 (0–1) 6.004.501.45 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Preston – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 1.93 1.93

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Preston winsDrawsDerby wins
2matches
0.50goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.04.22E1 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
16.10.21E1 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 21 9 +12 34
2 Sunderland 15 9 4 2 25 11 +14 31
3 Burnley 16 8 6 2 19 6 +13 30
4 Leeds 15 8 5 2 24 9 +15 29
5 Watford 16 8 2 6 25 24 +1 26
6 West Brom 15 6 7 2 16 9 +7 25
7 Middlesbrough 15 7 3 5 23 17 +6 24
8 Millwall 15 6 5 4 18 13 +5 23
9 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 19 17 +2 22
10 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 20 20 0 22
11 Swansea 15 5 4 6 11 10 +1 19
12 Derby 15 5 4 6 19 19 0 19
13 Stoke 15 5 4 6 18 19 -1 19
14 Sheffield Weds 16 5 4 7 18 26 -8 19
15 Norwich 15 4 6 5 23 22 +1 18
16 Coventry 16 4 5 7 22 23 -1 17
17 Oxford 15 4 5 6 17 18 -1 17
18 Plymouth 16 4 5 7 17 28 -11 17
19 Cardiff 16 4 4 8 15 24 -9 16
20 Hull 15 3 6 6 16 20 -4 15
21 Preston 15 3 6 6 15 23 -8 15
22 Luton 15 4 3 8 17 26 -9 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
24 QPR 15 1 7 7 12 25 -13 10
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 8 6 1 1 17 5 +12 19
2 Watford 7 6 1 0 12 4 +8 19
3 Sheffield United 7 6 1 0 10 2 +8 19
4 Sunderland 7 5 2 0 14 4 +10 17
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Burnley 7 4 3 0 10 2 +8 15
8 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
9 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
10 Derby 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
11 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
12 Stoke 8 3 3 2 15 11 +4 12
13 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
14 Cardiff 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
15 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
16 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
17 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
18 Norwich 7 2 4 1 15 10 +5 10
19 Coventry 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
22 Hull 8 1 4 3 8 9 -1 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 8 4 3 1 14 8 +6 15
2 Burnley 9 4 3 2 9 4 +5 15
3 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
4 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 11 11 0 12
6 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
7 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Millwall 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
11 Coventry 8 1 4 3 8 10 -2 7
12 Swansea 8 2 1 5 4 7 -3 7
13 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
14 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
15 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 5 12 -7 7
16 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
17 QPR 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
19 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
20 Luton 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
21 Cardiff 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
22 Preston 7 0 3 4 7 16 -9 3
23 Oxford 7 0 2 5 7 13 -6 2
24 Plymouth 8 0 2 6 2 17 -15 2

Preston   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 16 5 11 1.6 1.5 8 2 6 25 24 26
2 16 Coventry 16 6 10 1.4 1.4 4 5 7 22 23 17
3 22 Luton 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 4 3 8 17 26 15
4 23 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
5 14 Sheffield Weds 16 8 8 1.1 1.6 5 4 7 18 26 19
6 18 Plymouth 16 8 8 1.1 1.8 4 5 7 17 28 17
7 21 Preston 15 7 8 1.0 1.5 3 6 6 15 23 15
8 2 Sunderland 15 8 7 1.7 0.7 9 4 2 25 11 31
9 9 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 17 22
10 10 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 4 20 20 22
11 15 Norwich 15 8 7 1.5 1.5 4 6 5 23 22 18
12 7 Middlesbrough 15 9 6 1.5 1.1 7 3 5 23 17 24
13 12 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 4 6 19 19 19
14 13 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 4 6 18 19 19
15 17 Oxford 15 9 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 6 17 18 17
16 24 QPR 15 9 6 0.8 1.7 1 7 7 12 25 10
17 4 Leeds 15 10 5 1.6 0.6 8 5 2 24 9 29
18 6 West Brom 15 10 5 1.1 0.6 6 7 2 16 9 25
19 19 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.9 1.5 4 4 8 15 24 16
20 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.1 1.3 3 6 6 16 20 15
21 8 Millwall 15 11 4 1.2 0.9 6 5 4 18 13 23
22 1 Sheffield United 16 13 3 1.3 0.6 10 4 2 21 9 34
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.2 0.4 8 6 2 19 6 30
24 11 Swansea 15 12 3 0.7 0.7 5 4 6 11 10 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 16 Coventry 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
2 22 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 13 Stoke 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 3 3 2 15 11 12
4 18 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
5 4 Leeds 8 4 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 1 17 5 19
6 5 Watford 7 3 4 1.7 0.6 6 1 0 12 4 19
7 15 Norwich 7 3 4 2.1 1.4 2 4 1 15 10 10
8 23 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
9 24 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
10 2 Sunderland 7 4 3 2.0 0.6 5 2 0 14 4 17
11 7 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
13 9 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
14 10 Bristol City 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 14 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
16 19 Cardiff 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
17 21 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
18 3 Burnley 7 5 2 1.4 0.3 4 3 0 10 2 15
19 12 Derby 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
20 17 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
21 20 Hull 8 6 2 1.0 1.1 1 4 3 8 9 7
22 1 Sheffield United 7 6 1 1.4 0.3 6 1 0 10 2 19
23 11 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
24 6 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 6 West Brom 8 3 5 1.8 1.0 4 3 1 14 8 15
3 14 Sheffield Weds 7 2 5 0.7 1.7 2 1 4 5 12 7
4 21 Preston 7 2 5 1.0 2.3 0 3 4 7 16 3
5 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
6 2 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
7 9 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
8 10 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 3 2 11 11 12
9 12 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
10 17 Oxford 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 0 2 5 7 13 2
11 7 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
12 15 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 16 Coventry 8 5 3 1.0 1.2 1 4 3 8 10 7
14 18 Plymouth 8 5 3 0.2 2.1 0 2 6 2 17 2
15 20 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
16 22 Luton 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
17 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
18 11 Swansea 8 6 2 0.5 0.9 2 1 5 4 7 7
19 19 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4
20 24 QPR 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
21 3 Burnley 9 8 1 1.0 0.4 4 3 2 9 4 15
22 4 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
23 8 Millwall 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7
24 13 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51