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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Derby 2–3 Norwich

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.63 fair 2.10
Draw 3.60 fair 3.87
Away ✓ 2.50 fair 3.76
Under 2.5 1.88 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.98 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Norwich
16 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 5
13 Fouls 7
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (73 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.51 – 1.06
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawNorwich
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.3% 1–0 11.6% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:7
Norwich before this match, all matches
1.33points / match
1.33scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 8:7
Derby all matches all matches Norwich

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33
1.17 Goals conceded 1.17
2.50 Total goals 2.50
9.50 Shots 12.00
3.17 Shots on target 3.83
13.83 Shots faced 10.83
4.83 Corners 3.83
6.50 Corners against 5.00
12.33 Fouls 11.67
2.33 Yellow cards 3.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

50% Wins 33%
0% Draws 33%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 67%
50% Over 2.5 goals 33%
17% Over 3.5 goals 33%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 50%
50% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
33% Draws 33%
17% Losses 50%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Norwich all matches
Derby before this match, at home
3.00points / match
1.67scored / match
0.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:0
Norwich before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.33scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 1:3
Derby at home away Norwich

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 0.33
0.00 Goals conceded 1.00
1.67 Total goals 1.33
11.33 Shots 10.67
4.00 Shots on target 2.00
14.00 Shots faced 11.67
5.33 Corners 4.33
7.67 Corners against 5.00
13.33 Fouls 12.67
2.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

100% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%
0% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
0% Both teams scored 0%
100% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Norwich away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Coventry – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.754.00 1.67 2.15
24.08.24 Norwich – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Norwich – Blackburn 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
04.05.24 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
13.04.24 Preston – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 1.93 1.93

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
27.04.24E2 Derby – Carlisle 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.54 2.35
13.04.24E2 Derby – Leyton Orient 3–0 (2–0) 1.534.006.50 2.00 1.85
29.03.24E2 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (1–0) 1.853.604.00 2.05 1.75
16.03.24E2 Derby – Bolton 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 2.00 1.85
12.03.24E2 Derby – Reading 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.25 1.98 1.88
02.03.24E2 Derby – Port Vale 3–0 (2–0) 1.454.337.50 1.83 2.03
27.02.24E2 Derby – Charlton 1–2 (1–0) 1.603.606.50 2.03 1.83

Norwich away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Coventry – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.754.00 1.67 2.15
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
04.05.24 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10
13.04.24 Preston – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 1.93 1.93
09.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 2–2 (0–2) 3.303.302.25 1.93 1.93
01.04.24 Leicester – Norwich 3–1 (1–1) 1.654.334.75 1.62 2.25
16.03.24 Stoke – Norwich 0–3 (0–2) 2.553.252.80 2.00 1.85
06.03.24 Middlesbrough – Norwich 3–1 (2–1) 2.303.503.00 1.73 2.08
24.02.24 Blackburn – Norwich 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.602.63 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 6 5 1 0 10 2 +8 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 0 1 13 4 +9 15
3 Sheffield United 6 4 2 0 9 3 +6 14
4 Burnley 6 4 1 1 13 4 +9 13
5 Blackburn 6 3 3 0 12 6 +6 12
6 Leeds 6 3 2 1 9 4 +5 11
7 Swansea 6 3 1 2 7 4 +3 10
8 Watford 6 3 1 2 10 9 +1 10
9 Oxford 6 3 0 3 10 8 +2 9
10 Derby 6 3 0 3 8 7 +1 9
11 Norwich 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
12 Middlesbrough 6 2 2 2 6 5 +1 8
13 Plymouth 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
14 Bristol City 6 2 2 2 8 12 -4 8
15 QPR 6 1 4 1 8 9 -1 7
16 Luton 7 2 1 4 6 11 -5 7
17 Hull 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
18 Stoke 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
19 Millwall 6 1 2 3 9 9 0 5
20 Coventry 6 1 2 3 6 8 -2 5
21 Preston 6 1 2 3 3 9 -6 5
22 Sheffield Weds 6 1 1 4 6 12 -6 4
23 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 7 13 -6 3
24 Cardiff 6 0 1 5 1 13 -12 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
2 Sunderland 3 3 0 0 6 0 +6 9
3 Oxford 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
4 Derby 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
5 Burnley 3 2 1 0 8 2 +6 7
6 Watford 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
7 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
8 Bristol City 3 2 1 0 7 5 +2 7
9 Plymouth 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
10 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
11 West Brom 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7
12 Norwich 3 1 2 0 7 4 +3 5
13 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
14 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
15 Leeds 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
16 Preston 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Millwall 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
18 Coventry 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
19 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
20 Luton 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
21 QPR 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
22 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
23 Portsmouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
24 Cardiff 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Leeds 3 2 1 0 4 0 +4 7
4 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
5 Burnley 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
6 QPR 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
7 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Luton 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4
9 Blackburn 3 0 3 0 3 3 0 3
10 Middlesbrough 3 1 0 2 2 2 0 3
11 Swansea 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3
12 Norwich 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
13 Watford 3 1 0 2 4 7 -3 3
14 Stoke 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
15 Portsmouth 3 0 2 1 6 7 -1 2
16 Millwall 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
17 Coventry 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
18 Preston 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
19 Plymouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
20 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
21 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
22 Oxford 3 0 0 3 4 7 -3 0
23 Derby 3 0 0 3 3 7 -4 0
24 Sheffield Weds 3 0 0 3 1 9 -8 0

Derby   Norwich

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Portsmouth 6 1 5 1.2 2.2 0 3 3 7 13 3
2 5 Blackburn 6 2 4 2.0 1.0 3 3 0 12 6 12
3 8 Watford 6 2 4 1.7 1.5 3 1 2 10 9 10
4 9 Oxford 6 2 4 1.7 1.3 3 0 3 10 8 9
5 14 Bristol City 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 2 2 2 8 12 8
6 16 Luton 7 3 4 0.9 1.6 2 1 4 6 11 7
7 22 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.0 2.0 1 1 4 6 12 4
8 1 West Brom 6 3 3 1.7 0.3 5 1 0 10 2 16
9 2 Sunderland 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 5 0 1 13 4 15
10 4 Burnley 6 3 3 2.2 0.7 4 1 1 13 4 13
11 10 Derby 6 3 3 1.3 1.2 3 0 3 8 7 9
12 13 Plymouth 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
13 15 QPR 6 3 3 1.3 1.5 1 4 1 8 9 7
14 18 Stoke 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
15 19 Millwall 6 3 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 3 9 9 5
16 7 Swansea 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 3 1 2 7 4 10
17 11 Norwich 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
18 20 Coventry 6 4 2 1.0 1.3 1 2 3 6 8 5
19 21 Preston 6 4 2 0.5 1.5 1 2 3 3 9 5
20 3 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.5 4 2 0 9 3 14
21 6 Leeds 6 5 1 1.5 0.7 3 2 1 9 4 11
22 12 Middlesbrough 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 2 2 6 5 8
23 17 Hull 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
24 24 Cardiff 6 5 1 0.2 2.2 0 1 5 1 13 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Blackburn 3 0 3 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
2 16 Luton 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
3 4 Burnley 3 1 2 2.7 0.7 2 1 0 8 2 7
4 8 Watford 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
5 11 Norwich 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 1 2 0 7 4 5
6 13 Plymouth 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
7 14 Bristol City 3 1 2 2.3 1.7 2 1 0 7 5 7
8 18 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
9 19 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
10 20 Coventry 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
11 23 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
12 2 Sunderland 3 2 1 2.0 0.0 3 0 0 6 0 9
13 3 Sheffield United 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
14 6 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
15 7 Swansea 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
16 9 Oxford 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
17 10 Derby 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
18 12 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
19 15 QPR 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
20 22 Sheffield Weds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
21 1 West Brom 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7
22 17 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 21 Preston 3 3 0 0.3 0.7 1 1 1 1 2 4
24 24 Cardiff 3 3 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 9 Oxford 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 0 3 4 7 0
3 22 Sheffield Weds 3 0 3 0.3 3.0 0 0 3 1 9 0
4 23 Portsmouth 3 0 3 2.0 2.3 0 2 1 6 7 2
5 2 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
6 8 Watford 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 1 0 2 4 7 3
7 10 Derby 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 0 3 3 7 0
8 14 Bristol City 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
9 15 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
10 21 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
11 4 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
12 5 Blackburn 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 0 3 0 3 3 3
13 7 Swansea 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3
14 13 Plymouth 3 2 1 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
15 16 Luton 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4
16 17 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
17 18 Stoke 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
18 19 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
19 24 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
20 3 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
21 6 Leeds 3 3 0 1.3 0.0 2 1 0 4 0 7
22 11 Norwich 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
23 12 Middlesbrough 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 0 2 2 2 3
24 20 Coventry 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51