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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Ward

Oxford 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.55 fair 1.90
Draw ✓ 3.25 fair 4.07
Away 2.75 fair 4.40
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.96
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.04

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Oxford Derby
11 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 6
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (120 league matches this season so far).
Result Oxford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.65 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
OxfordDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.8% 1–1 11.7% 2–0 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Oxford before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.40scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:12
Derby before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.30scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 13:13
Oxford all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 1.30
1.20 Goals conceded 1.30
2.60 Total goals 2.60
11.00 Shots 10.10
3.90 Shots on target 3.50
15.30 Shots faced 12.90
3.50 Corners 5.70
7.20 Corners against 6.30
9.20 Fouls 13.20
1.80 Yellow cards 2.00
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

30% Wins 40%
40% Draws 10%
30% Losses 50%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 40%
30% Over 3.5 goals 20%
10% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 40%
30% Clean sheets 40%
10% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 30%
50% Draws 40%
30% Losses 30%
70% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 10%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford all matches
Derby all matches
Oxford before this match, at home
2.20points / match
1.40scored / match
0.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 7:2
Derby before this match, away
0.20points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:10
Oxford at home away Derby

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.80
0.40 Goals conceded 2.00
1.80 Total goals 2.80
10.20 Shots 8.20
4.20 Shots on target 2.60
11.40 Shots faced 13.20
3.60 Corners 5.20
6.00 Corners against 5.20
8.20 Fouls 13.40
1.40 Yellow cards 2.00
0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

60% Wins 0%
40% Draws 20%
0% Losses 80%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
40% Both teams scored 60%
60% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
60% Draws 60%
20% Losses 40%
60% Over 0.5 goals 60%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Oxford at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Oxford – Preston 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.90 2.03 1.83
24.08.24 Blackburn – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.33 1.73 2.10
16.08.24 Coventry – Oxford 3–2 (2–1) 1.703.904.75 1.70 2.10
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Derby – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.503.502.00 1.85 2.00
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83

Oxford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Oxford – Preston 3–1 (1–1) 2.403.302.90 2.03 1.83
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
19.04.24E2 Oxford – Stevenage 1–1 (0–1) 1.913.504.00 2.03 1.83
16.04.24E2 Oxford – Lincoln 0–1 (0–0) 1.953.603.80 1.88 1.98
13.04.24E2 Oxford – Peterboro 5–0 (3–0) 2.753.602.40 1.60 2.30
01.04.24E2 Oxford – Fleetwood Town 4–0 (3–0) 1.753.804.50 1.83 2.03
09.03.24E2 Oxford – Cheltenham 2–1 (1–0) 1.833.604.20 2.00 1.85

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.24 Millwall – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.10 2.30 1.62
01.10.24 Sunderland – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 2.03 1.83
21.09.24 Sheffield United – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.105.50 1.80 2.00
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
09.08.24 Blackburn – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.10 2.03 1.83
20.04.24E2 Cambridge – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.001.55 1.90 1.95
10.04.24E2 Wycombe – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.751.83 1.98 1.88
02.04.24E2 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (1–2) 2.253.303.30 2.08 1.73
23.03.24E2 Northampton – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 5.753.601.65 2.08 1.73
09.03.24E2 Bristol Rvs – Derby 0–3 (0–0) 3.603.502.00 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Oxford winsDrawsDerby wins
4matches
3.50goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.23E2 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
15.08.23E2 Derby – Oxford 1–2 (0–1) 1.913.604.00 2.05 1.75
11.03.23E2 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 3.603.502.00 1.98 1.88
30.07.22E2 Derby – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 10 7 1 2 19 8 +11 22
2 Burnley 10 6 3 1 16 4 +12 21
3 Sheffield United 10 6 3 1 12 5 +7 21
4 Leeds 10 5 4 1 17 7 +10 19
5 West Brom 10 5 3 2 13 7 +6 18
6 Blackburn 10 5 3 2 16 11 +5 18
7 Norwich 10 4 4 2 17 11 +6 16
8 Watford 10 5 1 4 14 17 -3 16
9 Middlesbrough 10 4 2 4 10 9 +1 14
10 Bristol City 10 3 5 2 12 14 -2 14
11 Oxford 10 3 4 3 14 12 +2 13
12 Derby 10 4 1 5 13 13 0 13
13 Swansea 10 3 3 4 8 7 +1 12
14 Hull 10 3 3 4 12 14 -2 12
15 Preston 10 3 3 4 8 12 -4 12
16 Stoke 10 3 2 5 11 13 -2 11
17 Luton 10 3 2 5 11 15 -4 11
18 Sheffield Weds 10 3 2 5 11 17 -6 11
19 Plymouth 10 3 2 5 10 18 -8 11
20 Millwall 10 2 4 4 13 12 +1 10
21 Coventry 10 2 2 6 10 14 -4 8
22 Cardiff 10 2 2 6 9 18 -9 8
23 Portsmouth 10 1 5 4 11 21 -10 8
24 QPR 10 1 4 5 10 18 -8 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 5 5 0 0 12 3 +9 15
2 Sunderland 5 4 1 0 10 2 +8 13
3 Watford 5 4 1 0 10 4 +6 13
4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
5 Derby 5 4 0 1 9 3 +6 12
6 Burnley 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
7 Oxford 5 3 2 0 7 2 +5 11
8 Leeds 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
9 Plymouth 5 3 1 1 9 6 +3 10
10 Preston 5 3 1 1 5 2 +3 10
11 Norwich 5 2 3 0 12 5 +7 9
12 Swansea 5 2 3 0 6 2 +4 9
13 Bristol City 5 2 3 0 8 6 +2 9
14 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
15 West Brom 5 2 2 1 2 1 +1 8
16 Stoke 5 2 1 2 10 7 +3 7
17 Millwall 5 2 1 2 9 6 +3 7
18 Sheffield Weds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
19 Luton 5 2 1 2 9 9 0 7
20 Coventry 5 2 0 3 8 7 +1 6
21 Cardiff 5 2 0 3 6 6 0 6
22 Hull 5 1 2 2 5 5 0 5
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 2 7 -5 3
24 QPR 5 0 2 3 5 10 -5 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 3 1 1 11 6 +5 10
2 Burnley 5 3 1 1 7 2 +5 10
3 Leeds 5 2 3 0 7 3 +4 9
4 Sunderland 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
5 Sheffield United 5 2 2 1 5 3 +2 8
6 Norwich 5 2 1 2 5 6 -1 7
7 Hull 5 2 1 2 7 9 -2 7
8 Middlesbrough 5 2 0 3 4 4 0 6
9 QPR 5 1 2 2 5 8 -3 5
10 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 4 8 -4 5
11 Portsmouth 5 1 2 2 9 14 -5 5
12 Luton 5 1 1 3 2 6 -4 4
13 Stoke 5 1 1 3 1 6 -5 4
14 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
15 Millwall 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
16 Swansea 5 1 0 4 2 5 -3 3
17 Blackburn 5 0 3 2 4 8 -4 3
18 Watford 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9 3
19 Oxford 5 0 2 3 7 10 -3 2
20 Coventry 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2
21 Preston 5 0 2 3 3 10 -7 2
22 Cardiff 5 0 2 3 3 12 -9 2
23 Derby 5 0 1 4 4 10 -6 1
24 Plymouth 5 0 1 4 1 12 -11 1

Oxford   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 10 2 8 1.4 1.7 5 1 4 14 17 16
2 23 Portsmouth 10 3 7 1.1 2.1 1 5 4 11 21 8
3 6 Blackburn 10 4 6 1.6 1.1 5 3 2 16 11 18
4 17 Luton 10 4 6 1.1 1.5 3 2 5 11 15 11
5 18 Sheffield Weds 10 4 6 1.1 1.7 3 2 5 11 17 11
6 1 Sunderland 10 5 5 1.9 0.8 7 1 2 19 8 22
7 11 Oxford 10 5 5 1.4 1.2 3 4 3 14 12 13
8 19 Plymouth 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 3 2 5 10 18 11
9 21 Coventry 10 5 5 1.0 1.4 2 2 6 10 14 8
10 24 QPR 10 5 5 1.0 1.8 1 4 5 10 18 7
11 5 West Brom 10 6 4 1.3 0.7 5 3 2 13 7 18
12 7 Norwich 10 6 4 1.7 1.1 4 4 2 17 11 16
13 10 Bristol City 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 5 2 12 14 14
14 12 Derby 10 6 4 1.3 1.3 4 1 5 13 13 13
15 14 Hull 10 6 4 1.2 1.4 3 3 4 12 14 12
16 15 Preston 10 6 4 0.8 1.2 3 3 4 8 12 12
17 16 Stoke 10 6 4 1.1 1.3 3 2 5 11 13 11
18 20 Millwall 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 2 4 4 13 12 10
19 2 Burnley 10 7 3 1.6 0.4 6 3 1 16 4 21
20 4 Leeds 10 7 3 1.7 0.7 5 4 1 17 7 19
21 22 Cardiff 10 7 3 0.9 1.8 2 2 6 9 18 8
22 9 Middlesbrough 10 8 2 1.0 0.9 4 2 4 10 9 14
23 13 Swansea 10 8 2 0.8 0.7 3 3 4 8 7 12
24 3 Sheffield United 10 9 1 1.2 0.5 6 3 1 12 5 21
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Luton 5 0 5 1.8 1.8 2 1 2 9 9 7
2 8 Watford 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 4 1 0 10 4 13
3 21 Coventry 5 1 4 1.6 1.4 2 0 3 8 7 6
4 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 2.4 0.6 5 0 0 12 3 15
5 7 Norwich 5 2 3 2.4 1.0 2 3 0 12 5 9
6 16 Stoke 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 2 1 2 10 7 7
7 19 Plymouth 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 1 1 9 6 10
8 20 Millwall 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 2 1 2 9 6 7
9 24 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 2 3 5 10 2
10 1 Sunderland 5 3 2 2.0 0.4 4 1 0 10 2 13
11 2 Burnley 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
12 4 Leeds 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
13 10 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.6 1.2 2 3 0 8 6 9
14 12 Derby 5 3 2 1.8 0.6 4 0 1 9 3 12
15 18 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
16 23 Portsmouth 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 3 2 2 7 3
17 3 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 4 1 0 7 2 13
18 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
19 11 Oxford 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 2 0 7 2 11
20 13 Swansea 5 4 1 1.2 0.4 2 3 0 6 2 9
21 14 Hull 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 2 5 5 5
22 15 Preston 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 3 1 1 5 2 10
23 22 Cardiff 5 4 1 1.2 1.2 2 0 3 6 6 6
24 5 West Brom 5 5 0 0.4 0.2 2 2 1 2 1 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 23 Portsmouth 5 0 5 1.8 2.8 1 2 2 9 14 5
2 5 West Brom 5 1 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 1 11 6 10
3 8 Watford 5 1 4 0.8 2.6 1 0 4 4 13 3
4 11 Oxford 5 1 4 1.4 2.0 0 2 3 7 10 2
5 18 Sheffield Weds 5 1 4 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
6 1 Sunderland 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 6 Blackburn 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 0 3 2 4 8 3
8 14 Hull 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 2 1 2 7 9 7
9 15 Preston 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 0 2 3 3 10 2
10 10 Bristol City 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 2 2 4 8 5
11 12 Derby 5 3 2 0.8 2.0 0 1 4 4 10 1
12 19 Plymouth 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 1 4 1 12 1
13 22 Cardiff 5 3 2 0.6 2.4 0 2 3 3 12 2
14 24 QPR 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 1 2 2 5 8 5
15 2 Burnley 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 3 1 1 7 2 10
16 4 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 2 3 0 7 3 9
17 7 Norwich 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 2 1 2 5 6 7
18 9 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 0 3 4 4 6
19 13 Swansea 5 4 1 0.4 1.0 1 0 4 2 5 3
20 16 Stoke 5 4 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 3 1 6 4
21 17 Luton 5 4 1 0.4 1.2 1 1 3 2 6 4
22 20 Millwall 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
23 21 Coventry 5 4 1 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2
24 3 Sheffield United 5 5 0 1.0 0.6 2 2 1 5 3 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40