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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Bell

Burnley 1–0 Oxford

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.48 fair 1.65
Draw 3.80 fair 3.98
Away 7.50 fair 7.05
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.58
Over 2.5 2.20 fair 2.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burnley Oxford
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 0
12 Corners 3
10 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (360 league matches this season so far).
Result Burnley to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.56
Expected goals 1.56 – 0.60
Home / Draw / Away
BurnleyDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 18% 2–0 14% 0–0 11.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Burnley before this match, all matches
1.93points / match
1.20scored / match
0.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 36:9
Oxford before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.13scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 34:44
Burnley all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 1.13
0.30 Goals conceded 1.47
1.50 Total goals 2.60
11.50 Shots 10.27
3.67 Shots on target 3.60
9.70 Shots faced 13.90
5.07 Corners 3.73
3.73 Corners against 6.30
12.53 Fouls 10.00
1.80 Yellow cards 1.63
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.47
0.20 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
43% Draws 33%
7% Losses 37%
67% Over 0.5 goals 93%
43% Over 1.5 goals 77%
20% Over 2.5 goals 40%
10% Over 3.5 goals 27%
10% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 3%
23% Both teams scored 57%
70% Clean sheets 27%
40% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 23%
57% Draws 43%
13% Losses 33%
50% Over 0.5 goals 67%
17% Over 1.5 goals 27%
3% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley all matches
Oxford all matches
Burnley before this match, at home
1.86points / match
1.07scored / match
0.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:4
Oxford before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.71scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 10:24
Burnley at home away Oxford

Per match

1.07 Goals scored 0.71
0.29 Goals conceded 1.71
1.36 Total goals 2.43
12.36 Shots 9.07
3.43 Shots on target 2.79
8.36 Shots faced 16.07
6.21 Corners 3.43
2.43 Corners against 6.50
11.50 Fouls 10.36
1.57 Yellow cards 2.00
0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

43% Wins 7%
57% Draws 36%
0% Losses 57%
57% Over 0.5 goals 93%
43% Over 1.5 goals 79%
21% Over 2.5 goals 43%
7% Over 3.5 goals 21%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
29% Both teams scored 50%
71% Clean sheets 14%
43% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 21%
71% Draws 43%
7% Losses 36%
43% Over 0.5 goals 64%
21% Over 1.5 goals 29%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burnley at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burnley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Portsmouth – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 5.003.401.75 2.20 1.67
27.01.25 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
22.01.25 Plymouth – Burnley 0–5 (0–5) 6.003.601.60 2.05 1.68
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
04.01.25 Blackburn – Burnley 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.402.20 2.38 1.57
01.01.25 Burnley – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.806.50 2.20 1.67
29.12.24 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Sheffield United – Burnley 0–2 (0–1) 2.403.203.00 2.38 1.57
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
15.12.24 Norwich – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Oxford – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.302.25 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
21.01.25 Oxford – Luton 3–2 (1–2) 2.903.202.50 2.30 1.62
18.01.25 Oxford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
14.01.25 Plymouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.403.00 2.03 1.83
04.01.25 Preston – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 Millwall – Oxford 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.755.00 2.30 1.62
29.12.24 Oxford – Plymouth 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 1.85 2.00
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Leeds – Oxford 4–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.53 2.50

Burnley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.01.25 Burnley – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 2.50 1.53
17.01.25 Burnley – Sunderland 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.63 1.50
01.01.25 Burnley – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.806.50 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Burnley – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.703.705.25 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
26.11.24 Burnley – Coventry 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.25 2.20 1.67
10.11.24 Burnley – Swansea 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.503.90 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Burnley – QPR 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 2.10 1.73
05.10.24 Burnley – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 1.673.805.00 2.05 1.80

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Stoke – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.303.80 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Plymouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 2.353.403.00 2.03 1.83
04.01.25 Preston – Oxford 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.404.33 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 Millwall – Oxford 0–1 (0–0) 1.673.755.00 2.30 1.62
21.12.24 Leeds – Oxford 4–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.53 2.50
11.12.24 QPR – Oxford 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 2.10 1.73
26.11.24 Sheffield United – Oxford 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.338.50 1.98 1.88
08.11.24 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burnley winsDrawsOxford wins
1matches
0.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24E1 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 30 18 9 3 60 19 +41 63
2 Sheffield United 30 19 6 5 41 21 +20 63
3 Burnley 30 15 13 2 36 9 +27 58
4 Sunderland 30 16 10 4 45 26 +19 58
5 Blackburn 30 13 6 11 34 29 +5 45
6 West Brom 30 10 14 6 39 27 +12 44
7 Middlesbrough 30 12 8 10 49 39 +10 44
8 Norwich 30 11 9 10 49 42 +7 42
9 Bristol City 30 10 12 8 38 35 +3 42
10 Sheffield Weds 30 11 9 10 43 46 -3 42
11 Coventry 30 11 8 11 41 38 +3 41
12 Watford 30 12 5 13 40 42 -2 41
13 Millwall 30 10 10 10 30 27 +3 40
14 QPR 30 9 11 10 33 39 -6 38
15 Preston 30 8 13 9 33 38 -5 37
16 Oxford 30 9 10 11 34 44 -10 37
17 Swansea 30 9 7 14 32 42 -10 34
18 Stoke 30 7 11 12 28 37 -9 32
19 Cardiff 30 7 10 13 33 51 -18 31
20 Portsmouth 30 7 9 14 36 52 -16 30
21 Hull 30 7 8 15 31 40 -9 29
22 Derby 30 7 6 17 32 41 -9 27
23 Luton 30 7 6 17 30 49 -19 27
24 Plymouth 30 5 10 15 29 63 -34 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 13 2 1 42 7 +35 41
2 Sunderland 14 9 5 0 24 10 +14 32
3 Sheffield United 14 10 2 2 19 8 +11 32
4 Blackburn 16 9 2 5 22 14 +8 29
5 Watford 15 9 2 4 20 13 +7 29
6 Oxford 16 8 5 3 24 20 +4 29
7 Norwich 14 7 5 2 36 19 +17 26
8 Burnley 14 6 8 0 15 4 +11 26
9 Bristol City 14 7 5 2 21 11 +10 26
10 Middlesbrough 16 7 5 4 24 18 +6 26
11 West Brom 14 6 7 1 19 8 +11 25
12 Preston 15 6 7 2 18 13 +5 25
13 Coventry 14 7 3 4 25 17 +8 24
14 Millwall 16 7 3 6 18 14 +4 24
15 Portsmouth 15 6 5 4 22 14 +8 23
16 Sheffield Weds 16 5 7 4 25 23 +2 22
17 Luton 15 6 4 5 18 17 +1 22
18 Plymouth 15 5 6 4 24 26 -2 21
19 Derby 15 6 2 7 19 15 +4 20
20 Swansea 15 5 5 5 21 18 +3 20
21 QPR 15 5 5 5 20 21 -1 20
22 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 19 -1 20
23 Stoke 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19
24 Hull 16 2 6 8 16 22 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 16 9 5 2 21 5 +16 32
2 Sheffield United 16 9 4 3 22 13 +9 31
3 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
4 Leeds 14 5 7 2 18 12 +6 22
5 Sheffield Weds 14 6 2 6 18 23 -5 20
6 West Brom 16 4 7 5 20 19 +1 19
7 Middlesbrough 14 5 3 6 25 21 +4 18
8 QPR 15 4 6 5 13 18 -5 18
9 Hull 14 5 2 7 15 18 -3 17
10 Coventry 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 17
11 Millwall 14 3 7 4 12 13 -1 16
12 Blackburn 14 4 4 6 12 15 -3 16
13 Bristol City 16 3 7 6 17 24 -7 16
14 Norwich 16 4 4 8 13 23 -10 16
15 Swansea 15 4 2 9 11 24 -13 14
16 Stoke 15 3 4 8 10 20 -10 13
17 Watford 15 3 3 9 20 29 -9 12
18 Preston 15 2 6 7 15 25 -10 12
19 Cardiff 15 1 8 6 15 32 -17 11
20 Oxford 14 1 5 8 10 24 -14 8
21 Derby 15 1 4 10 13 26 -13 7
22 Portsmouth 15 1 4 10 14 38 -24 7
23 Luton 15 1 2 12 12 32 -20 5
24 Plymouth 15 0 4 11 5 37 -32 4

Burnley   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Portsmouth 30 10 20 1.2 1.7 7 9 14 36 52 30
2 12 Watford 30 11 19 1.3 1.4 12 5 13 40 42 41
3 24 Plymouth 30 13 17 1.0 2.1 5 10 15 29 63 25
4 8 Norwich 30 14 16 1.6 1.4 11 9 10 49 42 42
5 10 Sheffield Weds 30 14 16 1.4 1.5 11 9 10 43 46 42
6 11 Coventry 30 14 16 1.4 1.3 11 8 11 41 38 41
7 23 Luton 30 14 16 1.0 1.6 7 6 17 30 49 27
8 17 Swansea 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 9 7 14 32 42 34
9 4 Sunderland 30 16 14 1.5 0.9 16 10 4 45 26 58
10 7 Middlesbrough 30 16 14 1.6 1.3 12 8 10 49 39 44
11 15 Preston 30 16 14 1.1 1.3 8 13 9 33 38 37
12 9 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 10 12 8 38 35 42
13 14 QPR 30 17 13 1.1 1.3 9 11 10 33 39 38
14 19 Cardiff 30 17 13 1.1 1.7 7 10 13 33 51 31
15 22 Derby 30 17 13 1.1 1.4 7 6 17 32 41 27
16 1 Leeds 30 18 12 2.0 0.6 18 9 3 60 19 63
17 6 West Brom 30 18 12 1.3 0.9 10 14 6 39 27 44
18 16 Oxford 30 18 12 1.1 1.5 9 10 11 34 44 37
19 21 Hull 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 7 8 15 31 40 29
20 5 Blackburn 30 19 11 1.1 1.0 13 6 11 34 29 45
21 18 Stoke 30 19 11 0.9 1.2 7 11 12 28 37 32
22 2 Sheffield United 30 21 9 1.4 0.7 19 6 5 41 21 63
23 13 Millwall 30 22 8 1.0 0.9 10 10 10 30 27 40
24 3 Burnley 30 24 6 1.2 0.3 15 13 2 36 9 58
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Coventry 14 3 11 1.8 1.2 7 3 4 25 17 24
2 8 Norwich 14 4 10 2.6 1.4 7 5 2 36 19 26
3 24 Plymouth 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 6 4 24 26 21
4 1 Leeds 16 7 9 2.6 0.4 13 2 1 42 7 41
5 12 Watford 15 6 9 1.3 0.9 9 2 4 20 13 29
6 20 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 6 5 4 22 14 23
7 14 QPR 15 7 8 1.3 1.4 5 5 5 20 21 20
8 23 Luton 15 7 8 1.2 1.1 6 4 5 18 17 22
9 4 Sunderland 14 7 7 1.7 0.7 9 5 0 24 10 32
10 17 Swansea 15 8 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 5 21 18 20
11 5 Blackburn 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 9 2 5 22 14 29
12 7 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 5 4 24 18 26
13 9 Bristol City 14 8 6 1.5 0.8 7 5 2 21 11 26
14 10 Sheffield Weds 16 10 6 1.6 1.4 5 7 4 25 23 22
15 16 Oxford 16 10 6 1.5 1.2 8 5 3 24 20 29
16 18 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19
17 21 Hull 16 10 6 1.0 1.4 2 6 8 16 22 12
18 22 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 6 2 7 19 15 20
19 13 Millwall 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 7 3 6 18 14 24
20 15 Preston 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 6 7 2 18 13 25
21 19 Cardiff 15 10 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 19 20
22 6 West Brom 14 10 4 1.4 0.6 6 7 1 19 8 25
23 2 Sheffield United 14 11 3 1.4 0.6 10 2 2 19 8 32
24 3 Burnley 14 11 3 1.1 0.3 6 8 0 15 4 26
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 20 Portsmouth 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 1 4 10 14 38 7
2 10 Sheffield Weds 14 4 10 1.3 1.6 6 2 6 18 23 20
3 12 Watford 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 3 3 9 20 29 12
4 15 Preston 15 6 9 1.0 1.7 2 6 7 15 25 12
5 6 West Brom 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 20 19 19
6 7 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.8 1.5 5 3 6 25 21 18
7 17 Swansea 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 4 2 9 11 24 14
8 19 Cardiff 15 7 8 1.0 2.1 1 8 6 15 32 11
9 23 Luton 15 7 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 12 12 32 5
10 4 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
11 9 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.5 3 7 6 17 24 16
12 22 Derby 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 1 4 10 13 26 7
13 24 Plymouth 15 8 7 0.3 2.5 0 4 11 5 37 4
14 2 Sheffield United 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 9 4 3 22 13 31
15 8 Norwich 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 4 4 8 13 23 16
16 16 Oxford 14 8 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 8 10 24 8
17 21 Hull 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 2 7 15 18 17
18 5 Blackburn 14 9 5 0.9 1.1 4 4 6 12 15 16
19 11 Coventry 16 11 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 7 16 21 17
20 14 QPR 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 5 13 18 18
21 18 Stoke 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 3 4 8 10 20 13
22 1 Leeds 14 11 3 1.3 0.9 5 7 2 18 12 22
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.3 0.3 9 5 2 21 5 32
24 13 Millwall 14 11 3 0.9 0.9 3 7 4 12 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51