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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Watford 1–0 Oxford

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.67 fair 1.99
Draw 3.70 fair 4.14
Away 5.00 fair 3.93
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.14
Over 2.5 1.93 fair 1.88

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Oxford
16 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
11 Corners 4
12 Fouls 8
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (168 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.68 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.57points / match
1.57scored / match
1.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 22:22
Oxford before this match, all matches
1.21points / match
1.21scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 17:17
Watford all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.57 Goals scored 1.21
1.57 Goals conceded 1.21
3.14 Total goals 2.43
11.79 Shots 9.93
3.86 Shots on target 3.43
14.50 Shots faced 15.07
4.79 Corners 2.93
6.14 Corners against 7.14
12.14 Fouls 9.36
2.21 Yellow cards 1.71
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

50% Wins 29%
7% Draws 36%
43% Losses 36%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
79% Over 1.5 goals 79%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
21% Over 3.5 goals 21%
21% Over 4.5 goals 7%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 64%
14% Clean sheets 29%
29% Failed to score 14%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 21%
43% Draws 43%
43% Losses 36%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
7% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Oxford all matches
Watford before this match, at home
2.67points / match
1.83scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:4
Oxford before this match, away
0.33points / match
1.17scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 7:12
Watford at home away Oxford

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 1.17
0.67 Goals conceded 2.00
2.50 Total goals 3.17
14.33 Shots 10.67
4.50 Shots on target 3.33
12.00 Shots faced 18.17
4.83 Corners 3.17
5.00 Corners against 8.33
11.00 Fouls 9.83
2.67 Yellow cards 2.17
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.33 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

83% Wins 0%
17% Draws 33%
0% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 67%
0% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 83%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 17%
67% Draws 33%
17% Losses 50%
50% Over 0.5 goals 83%
17% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 Swansea – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.403.90 1.83 2.03
02.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Watford 2–6 (1–1) 1.913.503.90 1.95 1.90
26.10.24 Watford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
02.10.24 Preston – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
21.09.24 Norwich – Watford 4–1 (2–1) 2.153.503.20 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.24 Oxford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 3.003.302.30 1.98 1.88
02.11.24 Oxford – Swansea 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.202.70 2.20 1.67
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73
19.10.24 Oxford – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 3.903.501.95 2.00 1.80
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Oxford – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.752.00 1.93 1.93
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Watford – Blackburn 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
05.10.24 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
28.09.24 Watford – Sunderland 2–1 (1–0) 2.753.602.35 2.00 1.85
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
20.04.24 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.83 2.03
06.04.24 Watford – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.403.75 2.10 1.73
29.03.24 Watford – Leeds 2–2 (2–1) 6.004.331.55 1.70 2.10

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Sunderland – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.80 2.00
05.10.24 Portsmouth – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 2.453.402.75 1.95 1.90
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Bristol City – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.753.604.75 1.98 1.88
24.08.24 Blackburn – Oxford 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.754.33 1.73 2.10
16.08.24 Coventry – Oxford 3–2 (2–1) 1.703.904.75 1.70 2.10
27.04.24E2 Exeter – Oxford 1–2 (0–2) 5.254.001.65 1.58 2.25
06.04.24E2 Burton – Oxford 0–4 (0–1) 3.503.502.10 2.03 1.83
29.03.24E2 Shrewsbury – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.70
16.03.24E2 Port Vale – Oxford 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.252.20 2.05 1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 14 9 3 2 23 9 +14 30
2 Sheffield United 14 9 3 2 18 7 +11 30
3 Leeds 14 7 5 2 22 9 +13 26
4 Burnley 14 6 6 2 17 6 +11 24
5 West Brom 14 5 7 2 14 8 +6 22
6 Millwall 14 6 4 4 17 12 +5 22
7 Watford 14 7 1 6 22 22 0 22
8 Middlesbrough 14 6 3 5 18 16 +2 21
9 Swansea 14 5 4 5 11 9 +2 19
10 Blackburn 14 5 4 5 16 16 0 19
11 Bristol City 14 4 7 3 18 19 -1 19
12 Norwich 14 4 6 4 23 20 +3 18
13 Derby 14 5 3 6 18 18 0 18
14 Stoke 14 5 3 6 17 18 -1 18
15 Sheffield Weds 14 5 3 6 17 24 -7 18
16 Oxford 14 4 5 5 17 17 0 17
17 Coventry 14 4 3 7 18 19 -1 15
18 Hull 14 3 6 5 15 18 -3 15
19 Luton 14 4 3 7 16 21 -5 15
20 Preston 14 3 6 5 14 20 -6 15
21 Cardiff 14 4 3 7 13 20 -7 15
22 Plymouth 14 4 3 7 14 25 -11 15
23 QPR 14 1 7 6 12 23 -11 10
24 Portsmouth 14 1 6 7 13 27 -14 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 7 5 1 1 15 5 +10 16
2 Sunderland 6 5 1 0 12 2 +10 16
3 Watford 6 5 1 0 11 4 +7 16
4 Sheffield United 6 5 1 0 9 2 +7 16
5 Millwall 8 5 1 2 12 6 +6 16
6 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
7 Oxford 8 4 3 1 10 5 +5 15
8 Plymouth 7 4 2 1 13 9 +4 14
9 Derby 6 4 1 1 10 4 +6 13
10 Burnley 6 3 3 0 9 2 +7 12
11 Swansea 7 3 3 1 7 3 +4 12
12 Cardiff 7 4 0 3 10 7 +3 12
13 Preston 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
14 Stoke 7 3 2 2 14 10 +4 11
15 Luton 8 3 2 3 12 12 0 11
16 Sheffield Weds 8 3 2 3 12 13 -1 11
17 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 7 8 -1 11
18 Norwich 6 2 4 0 15 8 +7 10
19 Bristol City 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
20 West Brom 7 2 4 1 2 1 +1 10
21 Coventry 7 3 0 4 12 11 +1 9
22 Hull 7 1 4 2 7 7 0 7
23 QPR 8 0 4 4 7 15 -8 4
24 Portsmouth 6 0 3 3 3 9 -6 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sunderland 8 4 2 2 11 7 +4 14
2 Sheffield United 8 4 2 2 9 5 +4 14
3 West Brom 7 3 3 1 12 7 +5 12
4 Burnley 8 3 3 2 8 4 +4 12
5 Middlesbrough 7 3 1 3 11 8 +3 10
6 Leeds 7 2 4 1 7 4 +3 10
7 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 9 11 -2 9
8 Hull 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
9 Norwich 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
10 Swansea 7 2 1 4 4 6 -2 7
11 Stoke 7 2 1 4 3 8 -5 7
12 Sheffield Weds 6 2 1 3 5 11 -6 7
13 Millwall 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 6
14 Coventry 7 1 3 3 6 8 -2 6
15 QPR 6 1 3 2 5 8 -3 6
16 Watford 8 2 0 6 11 18 -7 6
17 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
18 Derby 8 1 2 5 8 14 -6 5
19 Luton 6 1 1 4 4 9 -5 4
20 Blackburn 6 0 3 3 4 9 -5 3
21 Preston 6 0 3 3 6 13 -7 3
22 Cardiff 7 0 3 4 3 13 -10 3
23 Oxford 6 0 2 4 7 12 -5 2
24 Plymouth 7 0 1 6 1 16 -15 1

Watford   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 14 4 10 1.6 1.6 7 1 6 22 22 22
2 15 Sheffield Weds 14 6 8 1.2 1.7 5 3 6 17 24 18
3 17 Coventry 14 6 8 1.3 1.4 4 3 7 18 19 15
4 19 Luton 14 6 8 1.1 1.5 4 3 7 16 21 15
5 24 Portsmouth 14 6 8 0.9 1.9 1 6 7 13 27 9
6 11 Bristol City 14 7 7 1.3 1.4 4 7 3 18 19 19
7 12 Norwich 14 7 7 1.6 1.4 4 6 4 23 20 18
8 20 Preston 14 7 7 1.0 1.4 3 6 5 14 20 15
9 22 Plymouth 14 7 7 1.0 1.8 4 3 7 14 25 15
10 1 Sunderland 14 8 6 1.6 0.6 9 3 2 23 9 30
11 10 Blackburn 14 8 6 1.1 1.1 5 4 5 16 16 19
12 13 Derby 14 8 6 1.3 1.3 5 3 6 18 18 18
13 14 Stoke 14 8 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 6 17 18 18
14 16 Oxford 14 8 6 1.2 1.2 4 5 5 17 17 17
15 23 QPR 14 8 6 0.9 1.6 1 7 6 12 23 10
16 3 Leeds 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 7 5 2 22 9 26
17 8 Middlesbrough 14 9 5 1.3 1.1 6 3 5 18 16 21
18 5 West Brom 14 10 4 1.0 0.6 5 7 2 14 8 22
19 6 Millwall 14 10 4 1.2 0.9 6 4 4 17 12 22
20 18 Hull 14 10 4 1.1 1.3 3 6 5 15 18 15
21 21 Cardiff 14 10 4 0.9 1.4 4 3 7 13 20 15
22 4 Burnley 14 11 3 1.2 0.4 6 6 2 17 6 24
23 9 Swansea 14 11 3 0.8 0.6 5 4 5 11 9 19
24 2 Sheffield United 14 12 2 1.3 0.5 9 3 2 18 7 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 7 1 6 1.7 1.6 3 0 4 12 11 9
2 19 Luton 8 2 6 1.5 1.5 3 2 3 12 12 11
3 14 Stoke 7 2 5 2.0 1.4 3 2 2 14 10 11
4 3 Leeds 7 3 4 2.1 0.7 5 1 1 15 5 16
5 7 Watford 6 2 4 1.8 0.7 5 1 0 11 4 16
6 12 Norwich 6 2 4 2.5 1.3 2 4 0 15 8 10
7 22 Plymouth 7 3 4 1.9 1.3 4 2 1 13 9 14
8 23 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 0 4 4 7 15 4
9 6 Millwall 8 5 3 1.5 0.8 5 1 2 12 6 16
10 10 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
11 11 Bristol City 7 4 3 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
12 15 Sheffield Weds 8 5 3 1.5 1.6 3 2 3 12 13 11
13 20 Preston 8 5 3 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
14 24 Portsmouth 6 3 3 0.5 1.5 0 3 3 3 9 3
15 1 Sunderland 6 4 2 2.0 0.3 5 1 0 12 2 16
16 4 Burnley 6 4 2 1.5 0.3 3 3 0 9 2 12
17 8 Middlesbrough 7 5 2 1.0 1.1 3 2 2 7 8 11
18 13 Derby 6 4 2 1.7 0.7 4 1 1 10 4 13
19 16 Oxford 8 6 2 1.2 0.6 4 3 1 10 5 15
20 21 Cardiff 7 5 2 1.4 1.0 4 0 3 10 7 12
21 2 Sheffield United 6 5 1 1.5 0.3 5 1 0 9 2 16
22 9 Swansea 7 6 1 1.0 0.4 3 3 1 7 3 12
23 18 Hull 7 6 1 1.0 1.0 1 4 2 7 7 7
24 5 West Brom 7 7 0 0.3 0.1 2 4 1 2 1 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 8 2 6 1.4 2.2 2 0 6 11 18 6
2 15 Sheffield Weds 6 1 5 0.8 1.8 2 1 3 5 11 7
3 24 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
4 1 Sunderland 8 4 4 1.4 0.9 4 2 2 11 7 14
5 5 West Brom 7 3 4 1.7 1.0 3 3 1 12 7 12
6 11 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 3 2 9 11 9
7 13 Derby 8 4 4 1.0 1.8 1 2 5 8 14 5
8 16 Oxford 6 2 4 1.2 2.0 0 2 4 7 12 2
9 20 Preston 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 0 3 3 6 13 3
10 8 Middlesbrough 7 4 3 1.6 1.1 3 1 3 11 8 10
11 10 Blackburn 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 0 3 3 4 9 3
12 12 Norwich 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
13 18 Hull 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
14 22 Plymouth 7 4 3 0.1 2.3 0 1 6 1 16 1
15 9 Swansea 7 5 2 0.6 0.9 2 1 4 4 6 7
16 17 Coventry 7 5 2 0.9 1.1 1 3 3 6 8 6
17 19 Luton 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 1 1 4 4 9 4
18 21 Cardiff 7 5 2 0.4 1.9 0 3 4 3 13 3
19 23 QPR 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 3 2 5 8 6
20 2 Sheffield United 8 7 1 1.1 0.6 4 2 2 9 5 14
21 3 Leeds 7 6 1 1.0 0.6 2 4 1 7 4 10
22 4 Burnley 8 7 1 1.0 0.5 3 3 2 8 4 12
23 6 Millwall 6 5 1 0.8 1.0 1 3 2 5 6 6
24 14 Stoke 7 6 1 0.4 1.1 2 1 4 3 8 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44