Watford 0–4 Leeds – England Championship, 11 Feb 2025

Match facts

Watford Leeds

6 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 7

7 Corners 7

12 Fouls 6

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (368 league matches this season so far).

Result Leeds to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.96

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.40

Home / Draw / Away

31% 27% 43%

WatfordDrawLeeds

Under / Over 2.5 goals

54% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

26% 2

22% 3

14% 4

11% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.6% 0–1 11.1% 1–0 9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.35scored / match

1.42conceded / match

12 6 13

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 42:44

Leeds before this match, all matches

2.13points / match

2.00scored / match

0.61conceded / match

19 9 3

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 62:19

Watford all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 2.00

1.42 Goals conceded 0.61

2.77 Total goals 2.61

11.42 Shots 16.77

3.84 Shots on target 5.84

13.29 Shots faced 6.29

5.00 Corners 7.42

5.19 Corners against 3.03

12.65 Fouls 10.94

2.23 Yellow cards 1.61

0.39 1st-half goals scored 0.81

0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

39% Wins 61%

19% Draws 29%

42% Losses 10%

97% Over 0.5 goals 90%

77% Over 1.5 goals 77%

65% Over 2.5 goals 39%

19% Over 3.5 goals 23%

10% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 13%

65% Both teams scored 29%

19% Clean sheets 61%

19% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

16% Wins 48%

42% Draws 26%

42% Losses 26%

71% Over 0.5 goals 77%

29% Over 1.5 goals 29%

10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

2

D

Leeds all matches

4

W

2

W

1

W

1

D

3

D

3

W

2

W

D

7

W

2

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.93points / match

1.33scored / match

0.87conceded / match

9 2 4

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:13

Leeds before this match, away

1.67points / match

1.33scored / match

0.80conceded / match

6 7 2

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 20:12

Watford at home away Leeds

Per match

1.33 Goals scored 1.33

0.87 Goals conceded 0.80

2.20 Total goals 2.13

12.53 Shots 14.80

4.33 Shots on target 4.73

11.93 Shots faced 7.40

5.40 Corners 6.00

4.33 Corners against 3.47

11.80 Fouls 11.33

2.33 Yellow cards 1.93

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.47

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

60% Wins 40%

13% Draws 47%

27% Losses 13%

93% Over 0.5 goals 80%

67% Over 1.5 goals 60%

60% Over 2.5 goals 20%

0% Over 3.5 goals 20%

0% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 13%

60% Both teams scored 33%

33% Clean sheets 53%

13% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 27%

53% Draws 33%

33% Losses 40%

60% Over 0.5 goals 73%

20% Over 1.5 goals 20%

7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

W

1

W

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

Leeds away

D

1

L

4

3

W

1

L

1

D

2

W

1

W

3

D

2

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.02.25	Sunderland – Watford	2–2 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	5.75	1.83	2.03
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Coventry – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.60	4.75	1.83	2.03
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
18.01.25	Derby – Watford	0–2 (0–1)	2.20	3.40	3.20	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Cardiff – Watford	1–1 (0–0)	2.25	3.30	3.20	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
01.01.25	QPR – Watford	3–1 (2–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.80
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00

Leeds all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
01.02.25	Leeds – Cardiff	7–0 (2–0)	1.29	5.50	9.00	1.73	2.10
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
22.01.25	Leeds – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.68	2.05
19.01.25	Leeds – Sheffield Weds	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.80	2.00
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93
01.01.25	Leeds – Blackburn	1–1 (0–0)	1.36	5.00	7.50	1.90	1.95
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95
21.12.24	Leeds – Oxford	4–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.53	2.50

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Watford – Portsmouth	2–1 (0–1)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.85	2.00
15.12.24	Watford – West Brom	2–1 (1–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Watford – QPR	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.60	4.00	1.93	1.93
26.11.24	Watford – Bristol City	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.00	1.85
08.11.24	Watford – Oxford	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.70	5.00	1.93	1.93
26.10.24	Watford – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.85	2.00

Leeds away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.02.25	Coventry – Leeds	0–2 (0–2)	4.00	3.60	1.85	1.93	1.93
27.01.25	Burnley – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.30	2.30	2.50	1.53
04.01.25	Hull – Leeds	3–3 (1–0)	5.50	4.20	1.55	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Derby – Leeds	0–1 (0–0)	5.00	4.20	1.60	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95
14.12.24	Preston – Leeds	1–1 (1–0)	4.75	4.00	1.67	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Blackburn – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	4.20	3.70	1.80	2.00	1.85
24.11.24	Swansea – Leeds	3–4 (2–1)	4.10	3.90	1.80	2.10	1.73
06.11.24	Millwall – Leeds	1–0 (1–0)	4.10	3.40	1.90	2.30	1.62
26.10.24	Bristol City – Leeds	0–0 (0–0)	4.10	3.60	1.82	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 4

Watford winsDrawsLeeds wins

5matches

2.80goals / match

80%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.10.24E1	Leeds – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30
29.03.24E1	Watford – Leeds	2–2 (2–1)	6.00	4.33	1.55	1.70	2.10
23.09.23E1	Leeds – Watford	3–0 (0–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.73	2.10
09.04.22E0	Watford – Leeds	0–3 (0–1)	2.70	3.40	2.55	1.72	2.10
02.10.21E0	Leeds – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.66	2.20

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	31	19	9	3	62	19	+43	66
2	Sheffield United	31	20	6	5	43	22	+21	66
3	Burnley	31	16	13	2	37	9	+28	61
4	Sunderland	31	16	11	4	47	28	+19	59
5	West Brom	31	11	14	6	41	28	+13	47
6	Blackburn	31	13	6	12	35	31	+4	45
7	Middlesbrough	30	12	8	10	49	39	+10	44
8	Norwich	31	11	10	10	50	43	+7	43
9	Bristol City	31	10	12	9	38	36	+2	42
10	Watford	31	12	6	13	42	44	-2	42
11	Sheffield Weds	31	11	9	11	44	48	-4	42
12	Coventry	31	11	8	12	41	40	+1	41
13	QPR	31	10	11	10	35	40	-5	41
14	Millwall	30	10	10	10	30	27	+3	40
15	Preston	30	8	13	9	33	38	-5	37
16	Swansea	31	10	7	14	33	42	-9	37
17	Oxford	31	9	10	12	34	45	-11	37
18	Stoke	30	7	11	12	28	37	-9	32
19	Cardiff	30	7	10	13	33	51	-18	31
20	Portsmouth	31	7	9	15	37	54	-17	30
21	Hull	30	7	8	15	31	40	-9	29
22	Derby	31	7	7	17	33	42	-9	28
23	Luton	30	7	6	17	30	49	-19	27
24	Plymouth	30	5	10	15	29	63	-34	25

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	16	13	2	1	42	7	+35	41
2	Sheffield United	15	11	2	2	21	9	+12	35
3	Sunderland	15	9	6	0	26	12	+14	33
4	Burnley	15	7	8	0	16	4	+12	29
5	Blackburn	16	9	2	5	22	14	+8	29
6	Watford	15	9	2	4	20	13	+7	29
7	Oxford	16	8	5	3	24	20	+4	29
8	West Brom	15	7	7	1	21	9	+12	28
9	Norwich	15	7	6	2	37	20	+17	27
10	Bristol City	15	7	5	3	21	12	+9	26
11	Middlesbrough	16	7	5	4	24	18	+6	26
12	Preston	15	6	7	2	18	13	+5	25
13	Coventry	15	7	3	5	25	19	+6	24
14	Millwall	16	7	3	6	18	14	+4	24
15	Portsmouth	15	6	5	4	22	14	+8	23
16	QPR	16	6	5	5	22	22	0	23
17	Sheffield Weds	16	5	7	4	25	23	+2	22
18	Luton	15	6	4	5	18	17	+1	22
19	Plymouth	15	5	6	4	24	26	-2	21
20	Derby	15	6	2	7	19	15	+4	20
21	Swansea	15	5	5	5	21	18	+3	20
22	Cardiff	15	6	2	7	18	19	-1	20
23	Stoke	15	4	7	4	18	17	+1	19
24	Hull	16	2	6	8	16	22	-6	12

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	16	9	5	2	21	5	+16	32
2	Sheffield United	16	9	4	3	22	13	+9	31
3	Sunderland	16	7	5	4	21	16	+5	26
4	Leeds	15	6	7	2	20	12	+8	25
5	Sheffield Weds	15	6	2	7	19	25	-6	20
6	West Brom	16	4	7	5	20	19	+1	19
7	Middlesbrough	14	5	3	6	25	21	+4	18
8	QPR	15	4	6	5	13	18	-5	18
9	Hull	14	5	2	7	15	18	-3	17
10	Coventry	16	4	5	7	16	21	-5	17
11	Swansea	16	5	2	9	12	24	-12	17
12	Millwall	14	3	7	4	12	13	-1	16
13	Blackburn	15	4	4	7	13	17	-4	16
14	Bristol City	16	3	7	6	17	24	-7	16
15	Norwich	16	4	4	8	13	23	-10	16
16	Watford	16	3	4	9	22	31	-9	13
17	Stoke	15	3	4	8	10	20	-10	13
18	Preston	15	2	6	7	15	25	-10	12
19	Cardiff	15	1	8	6	15	32	-17	11
20	Derby	16	1	5	10	14	27	-13	8
21	Oxford	15	1	5	9	10	25	-15	8
22	Portsmouth	16	1	4	11	15	40	-25	7
23	Luton	15	1	2	12	12	32	-20	5
24	Plymouth	15	0	4	11	5	37	-32	4

Watford Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Portsmouth	31	10	21	1.2	1.7	7	9	15	37	54	30
2	10	Watford	31	11	20	1.4	1.4	12	6	13	42	44	42
3	11	Sheffield Weds	31	14	17	1.4	1.5	11	9	11	44	48	42
4	24	Plymouth	30	13	17	1.0	2.1	5	10	15	29	63	25
5	8	Norwich	31	15	16	1.6	1.4	11	10	10	50	43	43
6	12	Coventry	31	15	16	1.3	1.3	11	8	12	41	40	41
7	23	Luton	30	14	16	1.0	1.6	7	6	17	30	49	27
8	4	Sunderland	31	16	15	1.5	0.9	16	11	4	47	28	59
9	16	Swansea	31	16	15	1.1	1.4	10	7	14	33	42	37
10	7	Middlesbrough	30	16	14	1.6	1.3	12	8	10	49	39	44
11	13	QPR	31	17	14	1.1	1.3	10	11	10	35	40	41
12	15	Preston	30	16	14	1.1	1.3	8	13	9	33	38	37
13	5	West Brom	31	18	13	1.3	0.9	11	14	6	41	28	47
14	9	Bristol City	31	18	13	1.2	1.2	10	12	9	38	36	42
15	19	Cardiff	30	17	13	1.1	1.7	7	10	13	33	51	31
16	22	Derby	31	18	13	1.1	1.4	7	7	17	33	42	28
17	1	Leeds	31	19	12	2.0	0.6	19	9	3	62	19	66
18	6	Blackburn	31	19	12	1.1	1.0	13	6	12	35	31	45
19	17	Oxford	31	19	12	1.1	1.5	9	10	12	34	45	37
20	21	Hull	30	18	12	1.0	1.3	7	8	15	31	40	29
21	18	Stoke	30	19	11	0.9	1.2	7	11	12	28	37	32
22	2	Sheffield United	31	21	10	1.4	0.7	20	6	5	43	22	66
23	14	Millwall	30	22	8	1.0	0.9	10	10	10	30	27	40
24	3	Burnley	31	25	6	1.2	0.3	16	13	2	37	9	61

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Coventry	15	4	11	1.7	1.3	7	3	5	25	19	24
2	8	Norwich	15	5	10	2.5	1.3	7	6	2	37	20	27
3	24	Plymouth	15	5	10	1.6	1.7	5	6	4	24	26	21
4	1	Leeds	16	7	9	2.6	0.4	13	2	1	42	7	41
5	10	Watford	15	6	9	1.3	0.9	9	2	4	20	13	29
6	13	QPR	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	5	5	22	22	23
7	20	Portsmouth	15	6	9	1.5	0.9	6	5	4	22	14	23
8	4	Sunderland	15	7	8	1.7	0.8	9	6	0	26	12	33
9	23	Luton	15	7	8	1.2	1.1	6	4	5	18	17	22
10	16	Swansea	15	8	7	1.4	1.2	5	5	5	21	18	20
11	6	Blackburn	16	10	6	1.4	0.9	9	2	5	22	14	29
12	7	Middlesbrough	16	10	6	1.5	1.1	7	5	4	24	18	26
13	9	Bristol City	15	9	6	1.4	0.8	7	5	3	21	12	26
14	11	Sheffield Weds	16	10	6	1.6	1.4	5	7	4	25	23	22
15	17	Oxford	16	10	6	1.5	1.2	8	5	3	24	20	29
16	18	Stoke	15	9	6	1.2	1.1	4	7	4	18	17	19
17	21	Hull	16	10	6	1.0	1.4	2	6	8	16	22	12
18	22	Derby	15	9	6	1.3	1.0	6	2	7	19	15	20
19	5	West Brom	15	10	5	1.4	0.6	7	7	1	21	9	28
20	14	Millwall	16	11	5	1.1	0.9	7	3	6	18	14	24
21	15	Preston	15	10	5	1.2	0.9	6	7	2	18	13	25
22	19	Cardiff	15	10	5	1.2	1.3	6	2	7	18	19	20
23	2	Sheffield United	15	11	4	1.4	0.6	11	2	2	21	9	35
24	3	Burnley	15	12	3	1.1	0.3	7	8	0	16	4	29

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	20	Portsmouth	16	4	12	0.9	2.5	1	4	11	15	40	7
2	10	Watford	16	5	11	1.4	1.9	3	4	9	22	31	13
3	11	Sheffield Weds	15	4	11	1.3	1.7	6	2	7	19	25	20
4	15	Preston	15	6	9	1.0	1.7	2	6	7	15	25	12
5	5	West Brom	16	8	8	1.2	1.2	4	7	5	20	19	19
6	7	Middlesbrough	14	6	8	1.8	1.5	5	3	6	25	21	18
7	16	Swansea	16	8	8	0.8	1.5	5	2	9	12	24	17
8	19	Cardiff	15	7	8	1.0	2.1	1	8	6	15	32	11
9	23	Luton	15	7	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	12	12	32	5
10	4	Sunderland	16	9	7	1.3	1.0	7	5	4	21	16	26
11	9	Bristol City	16	9	7	1.1	1.5	3	7	6	17	24	16
12	22	Derby	16	9	7	0.9	1.7	1	5	10	14	27	8
13	24	Plymouth	15	8	7	0.3	2.5	0	4	11	5	37	4
14	2	Sheffield United	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	9	4	3	22	13	31
15	6	Blackburn	15	9	6	0.9	1.1	4	4	7	13	17	16
16	8	Norwich	16	10	6	0.8	1.4	4	4	8	13	23	16
17	17	Oxford	15	9	6	0.7	1.7	1	5	9	10	25	8
18	21	Hull	14	8	6	1.1	1.3	5	2	7	15	18	17
19	12	Coventry	16	11	5	1.0	1.3	4	5	7	16	21	17
20	13	QPR	15	10	5	0.9	1.2	4	6	5	13	18	18
21	18	Stoke	15	10	5	0.7	1.3	3	4	8	10	20	13
22	1	Leeds	15	12	3	1.3	0.8	6	7	2	20	12	25
23	3	Burnley	16	13	3	1.3	0.3	9	5	2	21	5	32
24	14	Millwall	14	11	3	0.9	0.9	3	7	4	12	13	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.