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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Allison

Leeds 3–0 Luton

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.42 fair 1.60
Draw 4.20 fair 4.70
Away 8.00 fair 6.18
Under 2.5 2.00 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.80 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Leeds Luton
20 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 1
9 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.95 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
LeedsDrawLuton
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.5% 2–0 11.3% 1–1 10.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Leeds before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.75scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 28:12
Luton before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 18:26
Leeds all matches all matches Luton

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded 1.63
2.50 Total goals 2.75
16.13 Shots 11.38
5.25 Shots on target 3.75
6.69 Shots faced 13.00
6.63 Corners 7.06
3.50 Corners against 4.56
12.44 Fouls 13.00
2.00 Yellow cards 2.31
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

56% Wins 31%
31% Draws 19%
13% Losses 50%
88% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 69%
38% Over 2.5 goals 56%
19% Over 3.5 goals 31%
13% Over 4.5 goals 19%
13% Over 5.5 goals 6%
31% Both teams scored 56%
56% Clean sheets 31%
25% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 38%
31% Draws 25%
31% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
31% Over 1.5 goals 25%
19% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds all matches
Luton all matches
Leeds before this match, at home
2.38points / match
2.13scored / match
0.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 17:5
Luton before this match, away
0.57points / match
0.71scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:14
Leeds at home away Luton

Per match

2.13 Goals scored 0.71
0.63 Goals conceded 2.00
2.75 Total goals 2.71
18.63 Shots 10.57
6.38 Shots on target 3.71
5.88 Shots faced 14.71
8.63 Corners 6.86
2.63 Corners against 4.71
11.88 Fouls 13.43
1.50 Yellow cards 2.57
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.43
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.71

How often Full Time

75% Wins 14%
13% Draws 14%
13% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
88% Over 1.5 goals 57%
50% Over 2.5 goals 43%
13% Over 3.5 goals 43%
13% Over 4.5 goals 29%
13% Over 5.5 goals 14%
25% Both teams scored 43%
63% Clean sheets 29%
13% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 29%
25% Draws 14%
25% Losses 57%
75% Over 0.5 goals 86%
38% Over 1.5 goals 29%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Leeds at home
Luton away

Last 10 matches before this match

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30

Leeds at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
02.11.24 Leeds – Plymouth 3–0 (3–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.75
22.10.24 Leeds – Watford 2–1 (2–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
18.10.24 Leeds – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 1.903.603.80 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Leeds – Coventry 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.00 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Leeds – Burnley 0–1 (0–1) 1.733.804.75 1.85 2.00
31.08.24 Leeds – Hull 2–0 (0–0) 1.335.259.00 1.60 2.30
10.08.24 Leeds – Portsmouth 3–3 (1–2) 1.365.008.00 1.60 2.30
04.05.24 Leeds – Southampton 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.50 2.63
13.04.24 Leeds – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.62 2.30

Luton away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
05.10.24 Sheffield United – Luton 2–0 (1–0) 1.903.703.90 1.90 1.95
27.09.24 Plymouth – Luton 3–1 (1–0) 4.003.701.85 1.62 2.30
14.09.24 Millwall – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 2.00 1.80
24.08.24 Preston – Luton 1–0 (1–0) 3.203.402.20 1.98 1.88
17.08.24 Portsmouth – Luton 0–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.75 2.05
11.05.24E0 West Ham – Luton 3–1 (0–1) 1.804.203.80 1.44 2.75
27.04.24E0 Wolves – Luton 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.803.60 1.62 2.30
13.04.24E0 Man City – Luton 5–1 (1–0) 1.1011.0019.00 1.29 3.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 17 11 4 2 24 9 +15 37
2 Burnley 17 9 6 2 21 6 +15 33
3 Sunderland 17 9 6 2 26 12 +14 33
4 Leeds 16 9 5 2 28 12 +16 32
5 Watford 17 9 2 6 26 24 +2 29
6 Middlesbrough 16 8 3 5 29 19 +10 27
7 West Brom 17 6 9 2 18 11 +7 27
8 Millwall 16 6 6 4 19 14 +5 24
9 Norwich 17 5 7 5 31 25 +6 22
10 Blackburn 15 6 4 5 19 17 +2 22
11 Bristol City 17 5 7 5 20 21 -1 22
12 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 20 26 -6 22
13 Stoke 17 5 6 6 19 20 -1 21
14 Derby 16 5 5 6 20 20 0 20
15 Swansea 16 5 4 7 14 14 0 19
16 Luton 16 5 3 8 18 26 -8 18
17 Coventry 17 4 5 8 22 25 -3 17
18 Oxford 17 4 5 8 19 27 -8 17
19 Preston 17 3 8 6 16 24 -8 17
20 Plymouth 17 4 5 8 18 34 -16 17
21 Cardiff 16 4 4 8 15 24 -9 16
22 Hull 17 3 6 8 16 23 -7 15
23 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 16 28 -12 12
24 QPR 16 1 8 7 13 26 -13 11
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 8 7 1 0 13 2 +11 22
2 Watford 8 7 1 0 13 4 +9 22
3 Leeds 8 6 1 1 17 5 +12 19
4 Sunderland 8 5 3 0 14 4 +10 18
5 Burnley 8 5 3 0 12 2 +10 18
6 Millwall 9 5 2 2 13 7 +6 17
7 Blackburn 8 5 1 2 12 7 +5 16
8 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
9 Oxford 9 4 3 2 12 11 +1 15
10 Derby 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14
11 Middlesbrough 8 4 2 2 12 9 +3 14
12 Luton 9 4 2 3 13 12 +1 14
13 Norwich 8 3 4 1 21 11 +10 13
14 Stoke 9 3 4 2 15 11 +4 13
15 Preston 9 3 4 2 9 8 +1 13
16 Swansea 8 3 3 2 10 7 +3 12
17 Cardiff 8 4 0 4 11 10 +1 12
18 Sheffield Weds 9 3 3 3 13 14 -1 12
19 West Brom 8 2 5 1 4 3 +1 11
20 Coventry 8 3 1 4 14 13 +1 10
21 Bristol City 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
22 Hull 9 1 4 4 8 11 -3 7
23 Portsmouth 7 1 3 3 6 10 -4 6
24 QPR 9 0 5 4 8 16 -8 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 9 4 4 1 14 8 +6 16
2 Burnley 9 4 3 2 9 4 +5 15
3 Sunderland 9 4 3 2 12 8 +4 15
4 Sheffield United 9 4 3 2 11 7 +4 15
5 Middlesbrough 8 4 1 3 17 10 +7 13
6 Leeds 8 3 4 1 11 7 +4 13
7 Bristol City 9 3 3 3 11 12 -1 12
8 Sheffield Weds 8 3 1 4 7 12 -5 10
9 Norwich 9 2 3 4 10 14 -4 9
10 Hull 8 2 2 4 8 12 -4 8
11 Stoke 8 2 2 4 4 9 -5 8
12 Millwall 7 1 4 2 6 7 -1 7
13 Swansea 8 2 1 5 4 7 -3 7
14 Coventry 9 1 4 4 8 12 -4 7
15 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
16 Blackburn 7 1 3 3 7 10 -3 6
17 QPR 7 1 3 3 5 10 -5 6
18 Derby 9 1 3 5 9 15 -6 6
19 Portsmouth 8 1 3 4 10 18 -8 6
20 Preston 8 0 4 4 7 16 -9 4
21 Luton 7 1 1 5 5 14 -9 4
22 Cardiff 8 0 4 4 4 14 -10 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 9 0 2 7 3 23 -20 2

Leeds   Luton

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 17 6 11 1.5 1.4 9 2 6 26 24 29
2 17 Coventry 17 7 10 1.3 1.5 4 5 8 22 25 17
3 9 Norwich 17 8 9 1.8 1.5 5 7 5 31 25 22
4 16 Luton 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 5 3 8 18 26 18
5 20 Plymouth 17 8 9 1.1 2.0 4 5 8 18 34 17
6 23 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.1 1.9 2 6 7 16 28 12
7 12 Sheffield Weds 17 9 8 1.2 1.5 6 4 7 20 26 22
8 18 Oxford 17 9 8 1.1 1.6 4 5 8 19 27 17
9 19 Preston 17 9 8 0.9 1.4 3 8 6 16 24 17
10 3 Sunderland 17 10 7 1.5 0.7 9 6 2 26 12 33
11 6 Middlesbrough 16 9 7 1.8 1.2 8 3 5 29 19 27
12 10 Blackburn 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 4 5 19 17 22
13 11 Bristol City 17 10 7 1.2 1.2 5 7 5 20 21 22
14 4 Leeds 16 10 6 1.8 0.8 9 5 2 28 12 32
15 7 West Brom 17 11 6 1.1 0.6 6 9 2 18 11 27
16 13 Stoke 17 11 6 1.1 1.2 5 6 6 19 20 21
17 14 Derby 16 10 6 1.2 1.2 5 5 6 20 20 20
18 24 QPR 16 10 6 0.8 1.6 1 8 7 13 26 11
19 21 Cardiff 16 11 5 0.9 1.5 4 4 8 15 24 16
20 22 Hull 17 12 5 0.9 1.4 3 6 8 16 23 15
21 1 Sheffield United 17 13 4 1.4 0.5 11 4 2 24 9 37
22 8 Millwall 16 12 4 1.2 0.9 6 6 4 19 14 24
23 15 Swansea 16 12 4 0.9 0.9 5 4 7 14 14 19
24 2 Burnley 17 14 3 1.2 0.4 9 6 2 21 6 33
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Coventry 8 1 7 1.8 1.6 3 1 4 14 13 10
2 16 Luton 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 4 2 3 13 12 14
3 9 Norwich 8 3 5 2.6 1.4 3 4 1 21 11 13
4 13 Stoke 9 4 5 1.7 1.2 3 4 2 15 11 13
5 20 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
6 4 Leeds 8 4 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 1 17 5 19
7 5 Watford 8 4 4 1.6 0.5 7 1 0 13 4 22
8 23 Portsmouth 7 3 4 0.9 1.4 1 3 3 6 10 6
9 24 QPR 9 5 4 0.9 1.8 0 5 4 8 16 5
10 3 Sunderland 8 5 3 1.8 0.5 5 3 0 14 4 18
11 6 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 1.5 1.1 4 2 2 12 9 14
12 8 Millwall 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 5 2 2 13 7 17
13 10 Blackburn 8 5 3 1.5 0.9 5 1 2 12 7 16
14 11 Bristol City 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
15 12 Sheffield Weds 9 6 3 1.4 1.6 3 3 3 13 14 12
16 18 Oxford 9 6 3 1.3 1.2 4 3 2 12 11 15
17 19 Preston 9 6 3 1.0 0.9 3 4 2 9 8 13
18 21 Cardiff 8 5 3 1.4 1.2 4 0 4 11 10 12
19 1 Sheffield United 8 6 2 1.6 0.2 7 1 0 13 2 22
20 2 Burnley 8 6 2 1.5 0.2 5 3 0 12 2 18
21 14 Derby 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14
22 15 Swansea 8 6 2 1.2 0.9 3 3 2 10 7 12
23 22 Hull 9 7 2 0.9 1.2 1 4 4 8 11 7
24 7 West Brom 8 7 1 0.5 0.4 2 5 1 4 3 11
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 7 West Brom 9 4 5 1.6 0.9 4 4 1 14 8 16
3 12 Sheffield Weds 8 3 5 0.9 1.5 3 1 4 7 12 10
4 18 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
5 19 Preston 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 4 4 7 16 4
6 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.2 2.2 1 3 4 10 18 6
7 3 Sunderland 9 5 4 1.3 0.9 4 3 2 12 8 15
8 6 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 4 1 3 17 10 13
9 9 Norwich 9 5 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 4 10 14 9
10 10 Blackburn 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 1 3 3 7 10 6
11 11 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.2 1.3 3 3 3 11 12 12
12 14 Derby 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 1 3 5 9 15 6
13 20 Plymouth 9 5 4 0.3 2.6 0 2 7 3 23 2
14 16 Luton 7 4 3 0.7 2.0 1 1 5 5 14 4
15 17 Coventry 9 6 3 0.9 1.3 1 4 4 8 12 7
16 22 Hull 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 2 4 8 12 8
17 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.2 0.8 4 3 2 11 7 15
18 4 Leeds 8 6 2 1.4 0.9 3 4 1 11 7 13
19 15 Swansea 8 6 2 0.5 0.9 2 1 5 4 7 7
20 21 Cardiff 8 6 2 0.5 1.8 0 4 4 4 14 4
21 24 QPR 7 5 2 0.7 1.4 1 3 3 5 10 6
22 2 Burnley 9 8 1 1.0 0.4 4 3 2 9 4 15
23 8 Millwall 7 6 1 0.9 1.0 1 4 2 6 7 7
24 13 Stoke 8 7 1 0.5 1.1 2 2 4 4 9 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51