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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Davies

Derby 0–1 Leeds

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.00 fair 2.79
Draw 4.20 fair 3.70
Away ✓ 1.60 fair 2.70
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.83
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.20

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Leeds
4 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 9
14 Fouls 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (282 league matches this season so far).
Result Leeds to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.97
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.26
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawLeeds
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.8% 0–1 10.4% 1–0 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.17points / match
1.26scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 29:29
Leeds before this match, all matches
2.09points / match
1.87scored / match
0.65conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 43:15
Derby all matches all matches Leeds

Per match

1.26 Goals scored 1.87
1.26 Goals conceded 0.65
2.52 Total goals 2.52
10.83 Shots 16.83
3.39 Shots on target 5.61
11.78 Shots faced 6.43
5.22 Corners 7.00
5.70 Corners against 3.00
12.61 Fouls 11.26
2.09 Yellow cards 1.61
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.43

How often Full Time

30% Wins 61%
26% Draws 26%
43% Losses 13%
96% Over 0.5 goals 91%
83% Over 1.5 goals 78%
48% Over 2.5 goals 39%
13% Over 3.5 goals 22%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
4% Over 5.5 goals 9%
61% Both teams scored 30%
26% Clean sheets 57%
17% Failed to score 22%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 48%
39% Draws 22%
30% Losses 30%
74% Over 0.5 goals 83%
26% Over 1.5 goals 30%
4% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Leeds all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.73scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 19:10
Leeds before this match, away
1.55points / match
1.27scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 14:9
Derby at home away Leeds

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 1.27
0.91 Goals conceded 0.82
2.64 Total goals 2.09
14.09 Shots 14.55
4.64 Shots on target 4.27
9.91 Shots faced 7.18
6.09 Corners 5.55
5.09 Corners against 3.73
12.64 Fouls 11.91
1.91 Yellow cards 2.09
0.82 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

55% Wins 36%
18% Draws 45%
27% Losses 18%
100% Over 0.5 goals 82%
82% Over 1.5 goals 64%
55% Over 2.5 goals 18%
18% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 9%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 36%
45% Clean sheets 45%
0% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 27%
27% Draws 27%
18% Losses 45%
82% Over 0.5 goals 82%
27% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Leeds away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95

Leeds all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Stoke – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.201.50 1.90 1.95
21.12.24 Leeds – Oxford 4–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.53 2.50
14.12.24 Preston – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.67 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
30.11.24 Blackburn – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.701.80 2.00 1.85
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
09.11.24 Leeds – QPR 2–0 (1–0) 1.255.5012.00 1.67 2.20
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62
01.12.24 Derby – Sheffield Weds 1–2 (1–0) 2.403.203.00 2.20 1.67
27.11.24 Derby – Swansea 1–2 (0–2) 2.403.402.80 2.20 1.67
09.11.24 Derby – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 1.653.905.00 1.80 2.00
26.10.24 Derby – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.10 1.90 1.95
05.10.24 Derby – QPR 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 2.10 1.73
28.09.24 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73
31.08.24 Derby – Bristol City 3–0 (1–0) 2.903.252.40 2.05 1.80

Leeds away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.12.24 Stoke – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 6.254.201.50 1.90 1.95
14.12.24 Preston – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 4.754.001.67 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Blackburn – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.203.701.80 2.00 1.85
24.11.24 Swansea – Leeds 3–4 (2–1) 4.103.901.80 2.10 1.73
06.11.24 Millwall – Leeds 1–0 (1–0) 4.103.401.90 2.30 1.62
26.10.24 Bristol City – Leeds 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.601.82 1.93 1.93
04.10.24 Sunderland – Leeds 2–2 (1–1) 3.003.202.40 2.10 1.73
01.10.24 Norwich – Leeds 1–1 (1–0) 3.903.401.95 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Cardiff – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.001.62 1.93 1.93
23.08.24 Sheffield Weds – Leeds 0–2 (0–1) 4.103.401.91 1.88 1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsLeeds wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24E1 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 24 15 6 3 33 14 +19 51
2 Leeds 23 14 6 3 43 15 +28 48
3 Burnley 23 13 8 2 30 9 +21 47
4 Sunderland 24 12 8 4 36 21 +15 44
5 Blackburn 23 11 5 7 27 21 +6 38
6 Watford 23 11 4 8 33 31 +2 37
7 Middlesbrough 23 10 6 7 41 31 +10 36
8 West Brom 24 8 12 4 28 19 +9 36
9 Swansea 24 9 6 9 29 25 +4 33
10 Bristol City 24 8 9 7 30 28 +2 33
11 Sheffield Weds 24 9 6 9 32 36 -4 33
12 Norwich 24 7 9 8 40 36 +4 30
13 Millwall 23 7 8 8 22 20 +2 29
14 Preston 24 6 11 7 26 30 -4 29
15 Coventry 24 7 7 10 32 34 -2 28
16 Derby 23 7 6 10 29 29 0 27
17 QPR 24 5 11 8 24 32 -8 26
18 Stoke 24 6 7 11 24 32 -8 25
19 Luton 24 7 4 13 26 41 -15 25
20 Oxford 23 6 6 11 26 39 -13 24
21 Hull 24 5 7 12 22 32 -10 22
22 Cardiff 23 5 6 12 23 38 -15 21
23 Portsmouth 22 4 8 10 26 40 -14 20
24 Plymouth 23 4 6 13 22 51 -29 18
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 12 10 1 1 29 6 +23 31
2 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
3 Watford 12 9 2 1 18 8 +10 29
4 Sunderland 11 7 4 0 19 7 +12 25
5 Burnley 11 6 5 0 15 4 +11 23
6 Blackburn 12 7 2 3 17 10 +7 23
7 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
8 Middlesbrough 12 6 3 3 19 14 +5 21
9 Preston 13 5 6 2 15 11 +4 21
10 Luton 12 6 3 3 18 15 +3 21
11 Norwich 12 5 5 2 29 17 +12 20
12 Derby 11 6 2 3 19 10 +9 20
13 Bristol City 12 5 5 2 18 10 +8 20
14 Millwall 12 6 2 4 14 9 +5 20
15 Swansea 12 5 4 3 19 13 +6 19
16 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
17 West Brom 11 4 6 1 10 5 +5 18
18 Stoke 13 4 5 4 18 17 +1 17
19 Plymouth 10 4 4 2 19 16 +3 16
20 Sheffield Weds 12 4 4 4 16 16 0 16
21 QPR 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
22 Portsmouth 10 3 4 3 13 11 +2 13
23 Cardiff 11 4 0 7 11 16 -5 12
24 Hull 12 2 5 5 11 14 -3 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 12 7 3 2 15 5 +10 24
2 Sheffield United 12 6 4 2 16 9 +7 22
3 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19
4 West Brom 13 4 6 3 18 14 +4 18
5 Leeds 11 4 5 2 14 9 +5 17
6 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
7 Middlesbrough 11 4 3 4 22 17 +5 15
8 Blackburn 11 4 3 4 10 11 -1 15
9 Swansea 12 4 2 6 10 12 -2 14
10 Bristol City 12 3 4 5 12 18 -6 13
11 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
12 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
13 Norwich 12 2 4 6 11 19 -8 10
14 Coventry 12 2 4 6 10 18 -8 10
15 Millwall 11 1 6 4 8 11 -3 9
16 Cardiff 12 1 6 5 12 22 -10 9
17 Watford 11 2 2 7 15 23 -8 8
18 Preston 11 1 5 5 11 19 -8 8
19 Stoke 11 2 2 7 6 15 -9 8
20 Derby 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
21 Portsmouth 12 1 4 7 13 29 -16 7
22 Luton 12 1 1 10 8 26 -18 4
23 Oxford 10 0 2 8 7 22 -15 2
24 Plymouth 13 0 2 11 3 35 -32 2

Derby   Leeds

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Watford 23 8 15 1.4 1.3 11 4 8 33 31 37
2 23 Portsmouth 22 7 15 1.2 1.8 4 8 10 26 40 20
3 12 Norwich 24 10 14 1.7 1.5 7 9 8 40 36 30
4 15 Coventry 24 10 14 1.3 1.4 7 7 10 32 34 28
5 19 Luton 24 10 14 1.1 1.7 7 4 13 26 41 25
6 24 Plymouth 23 10 13 1.0 2.2 4 6 13 22 51 18
7 11 Sheffield Weds 24 12 12 1.3 1.5 9 6 9 32 36 33
8 4 Sunderland 24 13 11 1.5 0.9 12 8 4 36 21 44
9 7 Middlesbrough 23 12 11 1.8 1.3 10 6 7 41 31 36
10 9 Swansea 24 13 11 1.2 1.0 9 6 9 29 25 33
11 16 Derby 23 12 11 1.3 1.3 7 6 10 29 29 27
12 20 Oxford 23 12 11 1.1 1.7 6 6 11 26 39 24
13 10 Bristol City 24 14 10 1.2 1.2 8 9 7 30 28 33
14 14 Preston 24 14 10 1.1 1.2 6 11 7 26 30 29
15 2 Leeds 23 14 9 1.9 0.7 14 6 3 43 15 48
16 8 West Brom 24 15 9 1.2 0.8 8 12 4 28 19 36
17 17 QPR 24 15 9 1.0 1.3 5 11 8 24 32 26
18 18 Stoke 24 15 9 1.0 1.3 6 7 11 24 32 25
19 22 Cardiff 23 14 9 1.0 1.7 5 6 12 23 38 21
20 5 Blackburn 23 15 8 1.2 0.9 11 5 7 27 21 38
21 21 Hull 24 16 8 0.9 1.3 5 7 12 22 32 22
22 1 Sheffield United 24 19 5 1.4 0.6 15 6 3 33 14 51
23 3 Burnley 23 18 5 1.3 0.4 13 8 2 30 9 47
24 13 Millwall 23 18 5 1.0 0.9 7 8 8 22 20 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 12 Norwich 12 4 8 2.4 1.4 5 5 2 29 17 20
3 19 Luton 12 4 8 1.5 1.2 6 3 3 18 15 21
4 2 Leeds 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 10 1 1 29 6 31
5 6 Watford 12 5 7 1.5 0.7 9 2 1 18 8 29
6 24 Plymouth 10 3 7 1.9 1.6 4 4 2 19 16 16
7 9 Swansea 12 6 6 1.6 1.1 5 4 3 19 13 19
8 16 Derby 11 5 6 1.7 0.9 6 2 3 19 10 20
9 17 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
10 18 Stoke 13 7 6 1.4 1.3 4 5 4 18 17 17
11 23 Portsmouth 10 4 6 1.3 1.1 3 4 3 13 11 13
12 4 Sunderland 11 6 5 1.7 0.6 7 4 0 19 7 25
13 7 Middlesbrough 12 7 5 1.6 1.2 6 3 3 19 14 21
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 5 5 2 18 10 20
15 20 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
16 5 Blackburn 12 8 4 1.4 0.8 7 2 3 17 10 23
17 14 Preston 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 11 21
18 3 Burnley 11 8 3 1.4 0.4 6 5 0 15 4 23
19 11 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.3 1.3 4 4 4 16 16 16
20 13 Millwall 12 9 3 1.2 0.8 6 2 4 14 9 20
21 21 Hull 12 9 3 0.9 1.2 2 5 5 11 14 11
22 22 Cardiff 11 8 3 1.0 1.5 4 0 7 11 16 12
23 1 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
24 8 West Brom 11 9 2 0.9 0.5 4 6 1 10 5 18
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
2 23 Portsmouth 12 3 9 1.1 2.4 1 4 7 13 29 7
3 6 Watford 11 3 8 1.4 2.1 2 2 7 15 23 8
4 8 West Brom 13 6 7 1.4 1.1 4 6 3 18 14 18
5 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19
6 7 Middlesbrough 11 5 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 4 22 17 15
7 12 Norwich 12 6 6 0.9 1.6 2 4 6 11 19 10
8 14 Preston 11 5 6 1.0 1.7 1 5 5 11 19 8
9 19 Luton 12 6 6 0.7 2.2 1 1 10 8 26 4
10 20 Oxford 10 4 6 0.7 2.2 0 2 8 7 22 2
11 22 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 1 6 5 12 22 9
12 24 Plymouth 13 7 6 0.2 2.7 0 2 11 3 35 2
13 9 Swansea 12 7 5 0.8 1.0 4 2 6 10 12 14
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.0 1.5 3 4 5 12 18 13
15 16 Derby 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
16 21 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
17 5 Blackburn 11 7 4 0.9 1.0 4 3 4 10 11 15
18 15 Coventry 12 8 4 0.8 1.5 2 4 6 10 18 10
19 1 Sheffield United 12 9 3 1.3 0.8 6 4 2 16 9 22
20 17 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
21 18 Stoke 11 8 3 0.5 1.4 2 2 7 6 15 8
22 2 Leeds 11 9 2 1.3 0.8 4 5 2 14 9 17
23 3 Burnley 12 10 2 1.2 0.4 7 3 2 15 5 24
24 13 Millwall 11 9 2 0.7 1.0 1 6 4 8 11 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51