Norwich 4–2 Stoke – England Championship, 22 Feb 2025

Match facts

Norwich Stoke

16 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 4

4 Corners 4

5 Fouls 8

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (399 league matches this season so far).

Result Norwich to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.91

Expected goals 1.79 – 0.99

Home / Draw / Away

56% 23% 21%

NorwichDrawStoke

Under / Over 2.5 goals

47% 53%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 52%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.1% 1–1 11% 2–0 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.55scored / match

1.36conceded / match

11 11 11

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 51:45

Stoke before this match, all matches

1.09points / match

0.97scored / match

1.25conceded / match

8 11 13

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 31:40

Norwich all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.55 Goals scored 0.97

1.36 Goals conceded 1.25

2.91 Total goals 2.22

11.73 Shots 10.84

4.09 Shots on target 3.59

11.58 Shots faced 15.78

4.85 Corners 4.41

5.18 Corners against 6.59

12.00 Fouls 11.63

2.03 Yellow cards 2.44

0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

33% Wins 25%

33% Draws 34%

33% Losses 41%

97% Over 0.5 goals 84%

82% Over 1.5 goals 72%

48% Over 2.5 goals 38%

30% Over 3.5 goals 19%

18% Over 4.5 goals 3%

12% Over 5.5 goals 3%

61% Both teams scored 47%

15% Clean sheets 28%

27% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 19%

24% Draws 59%

42% Losses 22%

85% Over 0.5 goals 56%

36% Over 1.5 goals 28%

18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches

1

D

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

2

L

5

1

W

1

W

1

D

1

L

1

D

Stoke all matches

2

L

1

W

D

1

D

1

3

L

D

2

1

W

2

L

3

1

W

Norwich before this match, at home

1.69points / match

2.31scored / match

1.31conceded / match

7 6 3

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 37:21

Stoke before this match, away

0.81points / match

0.63scored / match

1.38conceded / match

3 4 9

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 10:22

Norwich at home away Stoke

Per match

2.31 Goals scored 0.63

1.31 Goals conceded 1.38

3.63 Total goals 2.00

13.75 Shots 10.19

5.25 Shots on target 3.38

10.13 Shots faced 19.00

5.19 Corners 3.63

4.31 Corners against 7.00

11.50 Fouls 12.13

1.94 Yellow cards 2.44

0.94 1st-half goals scored 0.38

0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

44% Wins 19%

38% Draws 25%

19% Losses 56%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

94% Over 1.5 goals 75%

63% Over 2.5 goals 31%

44% Over 3.5 goals 6%

31% Over 4.5 goals 0%

25% Over 5.5 goals 0%

81% Both teams scored 38%

6% Clean sheets 25%

13% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 13%

13% Draws 63%

38% Losses 25%

94% Over 0.5 goals 56%

44% Over 1.5 goals 25%

25% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home

2

L

6

1

W

4

2

W

1

2

L

2

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

5

1

W

1

D

1

L

Stoke away

2

W

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

L

D

1

D

1

3

L

2

1

W

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Hull – Norwich	1–1 (1–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	1.98	1.88
11.02.25	Norwich – Preston	0–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.73
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
22.01.25	Leeds – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.50	8.00	1.68	2.05
18.01.25	Sheffield United – Norwich	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.00	1.80
04.01.25	Norwich – Coventry	2–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.85	2.00
01.01.25	Luton – Norwich	0–1 (0–0)	2.50	3.40	2.70	1.93	1.93
29.12.24	Norwich – QPR	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.88	1.98

Stoke all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Stoke – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.65	4.33	4.33	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
29.12.24	Stoke – Sunderland	1–0 (0–0)	3.00	3.60	2.20	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Stoke – Leeds	0–2 (0–1)	6.25	4.20	1.50	1.90	1.95

Norwich at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.02.25	Norwich – Preston	0–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.73
08.02.25	Norwich – Derby	1–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.98	1.88
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
04.01.25	Norwich – Coventry	2–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.40	2.80	1.85	2.00
29.12.24	Norwich – QPR	1–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.70	4.33	1.88	1.98
26.12.24	Norwich – Millwall	2–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.67
15.12.24	Norwich – Burnley	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Norwich – Luton	4–2 (2–1)	2.00	3.70	3.40	1.80	2.00
26.11.24	Norwich – Plymouth	6–1 (2–1)	1.45	4.50	6.50	1.57	2.38
09.11.24	Norwich – Bristol City	0–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.10	1.83	2.03

Stoke away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.02.25	Bristol City – Stoke	2–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.85
01.02.25	Hull – Stoke	1–2 (1–1)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.05	1.80
22.01.25	Portsmouth – Stoke	3–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.25	2.88	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	West Brom – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	1.73	3.80	4.50	2.00	1.85
01.01.25	Burnley – Stoke	0–0 (0–0)	1.53	3.80	6.50	2.20	1.67
21.12.24	Sheffield Weds – Stoke	2–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.40	4.00	2.00	1.85
10.12.24	Luton – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.30	3.60	1.93	1.93
07.12.24	Sunderland – Stoke	2–1 (1–1)	1.75	3.70	4.75	1.98	1.88
23.11.24	QPR – Stoke	1–1 (0–1)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.00	1.85
06.11.24	Blackburn – Stoke	0–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.50	3.60	1.88	1.98

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

3 2

Norwich winsDrawsStoke wins

5matches

2.00goals / match

40%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.10.24E1	Stoke – Norwich	1–1 (1–1)	2.55	3.40	2.63	1.80	2.00
16.03.24E1	Stoke – Norwich	0–3 (0–2)	2.55	3.25	2.80	2.00	1.85
16.09.23E1	Norwich – Stoke	1–0 (1–0)	1.91	3.50	4.20	1.83	2.03
18.03.23E1	Stoke – Norwich	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.00	1.80
29.10.22E1	Norwich – Stoke	3–1 (1–0)	2.00	3.30	4.00	1.95	1.90

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	33	21	9	3	68	20	+48	72
2	Sheffield United	33	22	6	5	47	23	+24	72
3	Burnley	34	18	14	2	43	9	+34	68
4	Sunderland	34	17	11	6	50	31	+19	62
5	Blackburn	33	15	6	12	39	31	+8	51
6	Bristol City	34	12	13	9	43	38	+5	49
7	West Brom	33	11	15	7	42	31	+11	48
8	Coventry	33	13	8	12	44	41	+3	47
9	Millwall	34	11	12	11	34	34	0	45
10	Watford	33	13	6	14	43	48	-5	45
11	Sheffield Weds	34	12	9	13	46	54	-8	45
12	Middlesbrough	33	12	8	13	51	45	+6	44
13	Norwich	33	11	11	11	51	45	+6	44
14	QPR	33	11	11	11	39	41	-2	44
15	Preston	33	9	15	9	35	39	-4	42
16	Oxford	33	9	11	13	34	47	-13	38
17	Swansea	33	10	7	16	34	46	-12	37
18	Portsmouth	33	9	9	15	41	55	-14	36
19	Stoke	32	8	11	13	31	40	-9	35
20	Hull	33	8	9	16	33	43	-10	33
21	Cardiff	33	7	12	14	36	55	-19	33
22	Plymouth	34	6	12	16	36	68	-32	30
23	Derby	34	7	8	19	33	47	-14	29
24	Luton	33	7	7	19	31	53	-22	28

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	17	14	2	1	44	8	+36	44
2	Sheffield United	16	12	2	2	24	10	+14	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
6	Blackburn	17	10	2	5	24	14	+10	32
7	Watford	16	9	2	5	20	17	+3	29
8	Oxford	17	8	5	4	24	22	+2	29
9	West Brom	16	7	7	2	21	11	+10	28
10	Norwich	16	7	6	3	37	21	+16	27
11	Coventry	16	8	3	5	26	19	+7	27
12	Preston	17	6	9	2	19	14	+5	27
13	Portsmouth	16	7	5	4	24	15	+9	26
14	Middlesbrough	17	7	5	5	24	19	+5	26
15	QPR	17	7	5	5	26	22	+4	26
16	Millwall	17	7	4	6	19	15	+4	25
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Luton	17	6	5	6	19	19	0	23
19	Stoke	16	5	7	4	21	18	+3	22
20	Sheffield Weds	17	5	7	5	26	25	+1	22
21	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
22	Cardiff	16	6	3	7	19	20	-1	21
23	Swansea	16	5	5	6	21	19	+2	20
24	Hull	17	2	7	8	17	23	-6	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	17	10	4	3	23	13	+10	34
2	Burnley	17	9	6	2	21	5	+16	33
3	Leeds	16	7	7	2	24	12	+12	28
4	Sunderland	17	7	5	5	22	18	+4	26
5	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
6	West Brom	17	4	8	5	21	20	+1	20
7	Coventry	17	5	5	7	18	22	-4	20
8	Hull	16	6	2	8	16	20	-4	20
9	Millwall	17	4	8	5	15	19	-4	20
10	Blackburn	16	5	4	7	15	17	-2	19
11	Middlesbrough	16	5	3	8	27	26	+1	18
12	QPR	16	4	6	6	13	19	-6	18
13	Bristol City	17	3	8	6	18	25	-7	17
14	Norwich	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10	17
15	Swansea	17	5	2	10	13	27	-14	17
16	Watford	17	4	4	9	23	31	-8	16
17	Preston	16	3	6	7	16	25	-9	15
18	Stoke	16	3	4	9	10	22	-12	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Portsmouth	17	2	4	11	17	40	-23	10
21	Oxford	16	1	6	9	10	25	-15	9
22	Derby	17	1	5	11	14	31	-17	8
23	Luton	16	1	2	13	12	34	-22	5
24	Plymouth	17	0	5	12	6	40	-34	5

Norwich Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Portsmouth	33	11	22	1.2	1.7	9	9	15	41	55	36
2	10	Watford	33	12	21	1.3	1.5	13	6	14	43	48	45
3	11	Sheffield Weds	34	15	19	1.4	1.6	12	9	13	46	54	45
4	22	Plymouth	34	16	18	1.1	2.0	6	12	16	36	68	30
5	8	Coventry	33	16	17	1.3	1.2	13	8	12	44	41	47
6	4	Sunderland	34	18	16	1.5	0.9	17	11	6	50	31	62
7	12	Middlesbrough	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	12	8	13	51	45	44
8	13	Norwich	33	17	16	1.5	1.4	11	11	11	51	45	44
9	17	Swansea	33	17	16	1.0	1.4	10	7	16	34	46	37
10	24	Luton	33	17	16	0.9	1.6	7	7	19	31	53	28
11	14	QPR	33	18	15	1.2	1.2	11	11	11	39	41	44
12	1	Leeds	33	19	14	2.1	0.6	21	9	3	68	20	72
13	6	Bristol City	34	20	14	1.3	1.1	12	13	9	43	38	49
14	15	Preston	33	19	14	1.1	1.2	9	15	9	35	39	42
15	21	Cardiff	33	19	14	1.1	1.7	7	12	14	36	55	33
16	23	Derby	34	20	14	1.0	1.4	7	8	19	33	47	29
17	7	West Brom	33	20	13	1.3	0.9	11	15	7	42	31	48
18	5	Blackburn	33	21	12	1.2	0.9	15	6	12	39	31	51
19	16	Oxford	33	21	12	1.0	1.4	9	11	13	34	47	38
20	19	Stoke	32	20	12	1.0	1.2	8	11	13	31	40	35
21	20	Hull	33	21	12	1.0	1.3	8	9	16	33	43	33
22	2	Sheffield United	33	22	11	1.4	0.7	22	6	5	47	23	72
23	9	Millwall	34	25	9	1.0	1.0	11	12	11	34	34	45
24	3	Burnley	34	27	7	1.3	0.3	18	14	2	43	9	68

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Coventry	16	5	11	1.6	1.2	8	3	5	26	19	27
2	22	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
3	1	Leeds	17	7	10	2.6	0.5	14	2	1	44	8	44
4	10	Watford	16	6	10	1.2	1.1	9	2	5	20	17	29
5	13	Norwich	16	6	10	2.3	1.3	7	6	3	37	21	27
6	14	QPR	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	5	5	26	22	26
7	18	Portsmouth	16	6	10	1.5	0.9	7	5	4	24	15	26
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	24	Luton	17	9	8	1.1	1.1	6	5	6	19	19	23
10	6	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
11	11	Sheffield Weds	17	10	7	1.5	1.5	5	7	5	26	25	22
12	17	Swansea	16	9	7	1.3	1.2	5	5	6	21	19	20
13	19	Stoke	16	9	7	1.3	1.1	5	7	4	21	18	22
14	5	Blackburn	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	2	5	24	14	32
15	12	Middlesbrough	17	11	6	1.4	1.1	7	5	5	24	19	26
16	16	Oxford	17	11	6	1.4	1.3	8	5	4	24	22	29
17	20	Hull	17	11	6	1.0	1.4	2	7	8	17	23	13
18	23	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
19	2	Sheffield United	16	11	5	1.5	0.6	12	2	2	24	10	38
20	7	West Brom	16	11	5	1.3	0.7	7	7	2	21	11	28
21	9	Millwall	17	12	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	6	19	15	25
22	15	Preston	17	12	5	1.1	0.8	6	9	2	19	14	27
23	21	Cardiff	16	11	5	1.2	1.2	6	3	7	19	20	21
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	11	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	18	Portsmouth	17	5	12	1.0	2.4	2	4	11	17	40	10
3	10	Watford	17	6	11	1.4	1.8	4	4	9	23	31	16
4	12	Middlesbrough	16	6	10	1.7	1.6	5	3	8	27	26	18
5	15	Preston	16	7	9	1.0	1.6	3	6	7	16	25	15
6	17	Swansea	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	5	2	10	13	27	17
7	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	5	22	18	26
9	7	West Brom	17	9	8	1.2	1.2	4	8	5	21	20	20
10	23	Derby	17	9	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	11	14	31	8
11	24	Luton	16	8	8	0.8	2.1	1	2	13	12	34	5
12	6	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.1	1.5	3	8	6	18	25	17
13	22	Plymouth	17	10	7	0.4	2.4	0	5	12	6	40	5
14	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.4	0.8	10	4	3	23	13	34
15	5	Blackburn	16	10	6	0.9	1.1	5	4	7	15	17	19
16	8	Coventry	17	11	6	1.1	1.3	5	5	7	18	22	20
17	13	Norwich	17	11	6	0.8	1.4	4	5	8	14	24	17
18	16	Oxford	16	10	6	0.6	1.6	1	6	9	10	25	9
19	20	Hull	16	10	6	1.0	1.2	6	2	8	16	20	20
20	14	QPR	16	11	5	0.8	1.2	4	6	6	13	19	18
21	19	Stoke	16	11	5	0.6	1.4	3	4	9	10	22	13
22	1	Leeds	16	12	4	1.5	0.8	7	7	2	24	12	28
23	9	Millwall	17	13	4	0.9	1.1	4	8	5	15	19	20
24	3	Burnley	17	14	3	1.2	0.3	9	6	2	21	5	33

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.