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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Ricardo

Norwich 1–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.70 fair 1.71
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 4.67
Away 4.75 fair 4.96
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.88 fair 2.47
Over 2.5 1.98 fair 1.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Norwich Derby
8 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 4
8 Fouls 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (365 league matches this season so far).
Result Norwich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.75
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.09
Home / Draw / Away
NorwichDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.9% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches
1.40points / match
1.63scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 49:42
Derby before this match, all matches
0.90points / match
1.07scored / match
1.37conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 32:41
Norwich all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 1.07
1.40 Goals conceded 1.37
3.03 Total goals 2.43
11.77 Shots 10.73
4.27 Shots on target 3.47
11.87 Shots faced 11.93
4.90 Corners 5.47
5.30 Corners against 5.63
12.03 Fouls 12.17
2.07 Yellow cards 1.87
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

37% Wins 23%
30% Draws 20%
33% Losses 57%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
83% Over 1.5 goals 73%
53% Over 2.5 goals 43%
33% Over 3.5 goals 13%
20% Over 4.5 goals 10%
13% Over 5.5 goals 7%
60% Both teams scored 53%
17% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 30%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 23%
23% Draws 40%
40% Losses 37%
87% Over 0.5 goals 70%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches
Derby all matches
Norwich before this match, at home
1.86points / match
2.57scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 36:19
Derby before this match, away
0.47points / match
0.87scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:26
Norwich at home away Derby

Per match

2.57 Goals scored 0.87
1.36 Goals conceded 1.73
3.93 Total goals 2.60
14.36 Shots 8.60
5.71 Shots on target 2.93
10.57 Shots faced 13.53
5.21 Corners 5.40
4.43 Corners against 6.00
11.57 Fouls 12.13
2.00 Yellow cards 2.07
1.07 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.79 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

50% Wins 7%
36% Draws 27%
14% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
100% Over 1.5 goals 80%
71% Over 2.5 goals 47%
50% Over 3.5 goals 13%
36% Over 4.5 goals 13%
29% Over 5.5 goals 13%
86% Both teams scored 67%
7% Clean sheets 7%
7% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 7%
7% Draws 47%
36% Losses 47%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 20%
29% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Watford – Norwich 0–1 (0–1) 2.633.302.63 1.88 1.98
25.01.25 Norwich – Swansea 5–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 1.95 1.90
22.01.25 Leeds – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 1.384.508.00 1.68 2.05
18.01.25 Sheffield United – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.00 1.80
04.01.25 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
01.01.25 Luton – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.70 1.93 1.93
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Norwich – Millwall 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.50 2.20 1.67
21.12.24 Sunderland – Norwich 2–1 (0–1) 1.803.504.33 1.93 1.93
15.12.24 Norwich – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.25 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Derby – Watford 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.73
04.01.25 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.304.20 2.30 1.62
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Derby – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.60 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62

Norwich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Norwich – Swansea 5–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.60 1.95 1.90
04.01.25 Norwich – Coventry 2–1 (0–1) 2.403.402.80 1.85 2.00
29.12.24 Norwich – QPR 1–1 (0–1) 1.753.704.33 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Norwich – Millwall 2–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.50 2.20 1.67
15.12.24 Norwich – Burnley 1–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
26.11.24 Norwich – Plymouth 6–1 (2–1) 1.454.506.50 1.57 2.38
09.11.24 Norwich – Bristol City 0–2 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 1.83 2.03
27.10.24 Norwich – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–3) 2.753.302.50 1.73 2.10
05.10.24 Norwich – Hull 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.603.75 1.67 2.20

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.25 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53
04.01.25 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.304.20 2.30 1.62
01.01.25 Sheffield Weds – Derby 4–2 (1–0) 2.003.403.80 2.10 1.73
20.12.24 Luton – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.203.50 2.30 1.62
10.12.24 Burnley – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.505.25 2.63 1.50
07.12.24 Leeds – Derby 2–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.88 1.98
23.11.24 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Coventry – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.753.704.50 1.90 1.95
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
22.10.24 Oxford – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 2.553.252.75 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Norwich winsDrawsDerby wins
1matches
5.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.09.24E1 Derby – Norwich 2–3 (0–1) 2.633.602.50 1.98 1.88

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 31 19 9 3 62 19 +43 66
2 Sheffield United 30 19 6 5 41 21 +20 63
3 Burnley 31 16 13 2 37 9 +28 61
4 Sunderland 31 16 11 4 47 28 +19 59
5 West Brom 31 11 14 6 41 28 +13 47
6 Blackburn 31 13 6 12 35 31 +4 45
7 Middlesbrough 30 12 8 10 49 39 +10 44
8 Norwich 30 11 9 10 49 42 +7 42
9 Bristol City 30 10 12 8 38 35 +3 42
10 Watford 31 12 6 13 42 44 -2 42
11 Sheffield Weds 31 11 9 11 44 48 -4 42
12 Coventry 31 11 8 12 41 40 +1 41
13 QPR 31 10 11 10 35 40 -5 41
14 Millwall 30 10 10 10 30 27 +3 40
15 Preston 30 8 13 9 33 38 -5 37
16 Oxford 31 9 10 12 34 45 -11 37
17 Swansea 30 9 7 14 32 42 -10 34
18 Stoke 30 7 11 12 28 37 -9 32
19 Cardiff 30 7 10 13 33 51 -18 31
20 Portsmouth 30 7 9 14 36 52 -16 30
21 Hull 30 7 8 15 31 40 -9 29
22 Derby 30 7 6 17 32 41 -9 27
23 Luton 30 7 6 17 30 49 -19 27
24 Plymouth 30 5 10 15 29 63 -34 25
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 16 13 2 1 42 7 +35 41
2 Sunderland 15 9 6 0 26 12 +14 33
3 Sheffield United 14 10 2 2 19 8 +11 32
4 Burnley 15 7 8 0 16 4 +12 29
5 Blackburn 16 9 2 5 22 14 +8 29
6 Watford 15 9 2 4 20 13 +7 29
7 Oxford 16 8 5 3 24 20 +4 29
8 West Brom 15 7 7 1 21 9 +12 28
9 Norwich 14 7 5 2 36 19 +17 26
10 Bristol City 14 7 5 2 21 11 +10 26
11 Middlesbrough 16 7 5 4 24 18 +6 26
12 Preston 15 6 7 2 18 13 +5 25
13 Coventry 15 7 3 5 25 19 +6 24
14 Millwall 16 7 3 6 18 14 +4 24
15 Portsmouth 15 6 5 4 22 14 +8 23
16 QPR 16 6 5 5 22 22 0 23
17 Sheffield Weds 16 5 7 4 25 23 +2 22
18 Luton 15 6 4 5 18 17 +1 22
19 Plymouth 15 5 6 4 24 26 -2 21
20 Derby 15 6 2 7 19 15 +4 20
21 Swansea 15 5 5 5 21 18 +3 20
22 Cardiff 15 6 2 7 18 19 -1 20
23 Stoke 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19
24 Hull 16 2 6 8 16 22 -6 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 16 9 5 2 21 5 +16 32
2 Sheffield United 16 9 4 3 22 13 +9 31
3 Sunderland 16 7 5 4 21 16 +5 26
4 Leeds 15 6 7 2 20 12 +8 25
5 Sheffield Weds 15 6 2 7 19 25 -6 20
6 West Brom 16 4 7 5 20 19 +1 19
7 Middlesbrough 14 5 3 6 25 21 +4 18
8 QPR 15 4 6 5 13 18 -5 18
9 Hull 14 5 2 7 15 18 -3 17
10 Coventry 16 4 5 7 16 21 -5 17
11 Millwall 14 3 7 4 12 13 -1 16
12 Blackburn 15 4 4 7 13 17 -4 16
13 Bristol City 16 3 7 6 17 24 -7 16
14 Norwich 16 4 4 8 13 23 -10 16
15 Swansea 15 4 2 9 11 24 -13 14
16 Watford 16 3 4 9 22 31 -9 13
17 Stoke 15 3 4 8 10 20 -10 13
18 Preston 15 2 6 7 15 25 -10 12
19 Cardiff 15 1 8 6 15 32 -17 11
20 Oxford 15 1 5 9 10 25 -15 8
21 Derby 15 1 4 10 13 26 -13 7
22 Portsmouth 15 1 4 10 14 38 -24 7
23 Luton 15 1 2 12 12 32 -20 5
24 Plymouth 15 0 4 11 5 37 -32 4

Norwich   Derby

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 31 11 20 1.4 1.4 12 6 13 42 44 42
2 20 Portsmouth 30 10 20 1.2 1.7 7 9 14 36 52 30
3 11 Sheffield Weds 31 14 17 1.4 1.5 11 9 11 44 48 42
4 24 Plymouth 30 13 17 1.0 2.1 5 10 15 29 63 25
5 8 Norwich 30 14 16 1.6 1.4 11 9 10 49 42 42
6 12 Coventry 31 15 16 1.3 1.3 11 8 12 41 40 41
7 23 Luton 30 14 16 1.0 1.6 7 6 17 30 49 27
8 4 Sunderland 31 16 15 1.5 0.9 16 11 4 47 28 59
9 17 Swansea 30 15 15 1.1 1.4 9 7 14 32 42 34
10 7 Middlesbrough 30 16 14 1.6 1.3 12 8 10 49 39 44
11 13 QPR 31 17 14 1.1 1.3 10 11 10 35 40 41
12 15 Preston 30 16 14 1.1 1.3 8 13 9 33 38 37
13 5 West Brom 31 18 13 1.3 0.9 11 14 6 41 28 47
14 9 Bristol City 30 17 13 1.3 1.2 10 12 8 38 35 42
15 19 Cardiff 30 17 13 1.1 1.7 7 10 13 33 51 31
16 22 Derby 30 17 13 1.1 1.4 7 6 17 32 41 27
17 1 Leeds 31 19 12 2.0 0.6 19 9 3 62 19 66
18 6 Blackburn 31 19 12 1.1 1.0 13 6 12 35 31 45
19 16 Oxford 31 19 12 1.1 1.5 9 10 12 34 45 37
20 21 Hull 30 18 12 1.0 1.3 7 8 15 31 40 29
21 18 Stoke 30 19 11 0.9 1.2 7 11 12 28 37 32
22 2 Sheffield United 30 21 9 1.4 0.7 19 6 5 41 21 63
23 14 Millwall 30 22 8 1.0 0.9 10 10 10 30 27 40
24 3 Burnley 31 25 6 1.2 0.3 16 13 2 37 9 61
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Coventry 15 4 11 1.7 1.3 7 3 5 25 19 24
2 8 Norwich 14 4 10 2.6 1.4 7 5 2 36 19 26
3 24 Plymouth 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 5 6 4 24 26 21
4 1 Leeds 16 7 9 2.6 0.4 13 2 1 42 7 41
5 10 Watford 15 6 9 1.3 0.9 9 2 4 20 13 29
6 13 QPR 16 7 9 1.4 1.4 6 5 5 22 22 23
7 20 Portsmouth 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 6 5 4 22 14 23
8 4 Sunderland 15 7 8 1.7 0.8 9 6 0 26 12 33
9 23 Luton 15 7 8 1.2 1.1 6 4 5 18 17 22
10 17 Swansea 15 8 7 1.4 1.2 5 5 5 21 18 20
11 6 Blackburn 16 10 6 1.4 0.9 9 2 5 22 14 29
12 7 Middlesbrough 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 7 5 4 24 18 26
13 9 Bristol City 14 8 6 1.5 0.8 7 5 2 21 11 26
14 11 Sheffield Weds 16 10 6 1.6 1.4 5 7 4 25 23 22
15 16 Oxford 16 10 6 1.5 1.2 8 5 3 24 20 29
16 18 Stoke 15 9 6 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19
17 21 Hull 16 10 6 1.0 1.4 2 6 8 16 22 12
18 22 Derby 15 9 6 1.3 1.0 6 2 7 19 15 20
19 5 West Brom 15 10 5 1.4 0.6 7 7 1 21 9 28
20 14 Millwall 16 11 5 1.1 0.9 7 3 6 18 14 24
21 15 Preston 15 10 5 1.2 0.9 6 7 2 18 13 25
22 19 Cardiff 15 10 5 1.2 1.3 6 2 7 18 19 20
23 2 Sheffield United 14 11 3 1.4 0.6 10 2 2 19 8 32
24 3 Burnley 15 12 3 1.1 0.3 7 8 0 16 4 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Watford 16 5 11 1.4 1.9 3 4 9 22 31 13
2 11 Sheffield Weds 15 4 11 1.3 1.7 6 2 7 19 25 20
3 20 Portsmouth 15 4 11 0.9 2.5 1 4 10 14 38 7
4 15 Preston 15 6 9 1.0 1.7 2 6 7 15 25 12
5 5 West Brom 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 4 7 5 20 19 19
6 7 Middlesbrough 14 6 8 1.8 1.5 5 3 6 25 21 18
7 17 Swansea 15 7 8 0.7 1.6 4 2 9 11 24 14
8 19 Cardiff 15 7 8 1.0 2.1 1 8 6 15 32 11
9 23 Luton 15 7 8 0.8 2.1 1 2 12 12 32 5
10 4 Sunderland 16 9 7 1.3 1.0 7 5 4 21 16 26
11 9 Bristol City 16 9 7 1.1 1.5 3 7 6 17 24 16
12 22 Derby 15 8 7 0.9 1.7 1 4 10 13 26 7
13 24 Plymouth 15 8 7 0.3 2.5 0 4 11 5 37 4
14 2 Sheffield United 16 10 6 1.4 0.8 9 4 3 22 13 31
15 6 Blackburn 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 4 4 7 13 17 16
16 8 Norwich 16 10 6 0.8 1.4 4 4 8 13 23 16
17 16 Oxford 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 25 8
18 21 Hull 14 8 6 1.1 1.3 5 2 7 15 18 17
19 12 Coventry 16 11 5 1.0 1.3 4 5 7 16 21 17
20 13 QPR 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 4 6 5 13 18 18
21 18 Stoke 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 3 4 8 10 20 13
22 1 Leeds 15 12 3 1.3 0.8 6 7 2 20 12 25
23 3 Burnley 16 13 3 1.3 0.3 9 5 2 21 5 32
24 14 Millwall 14 11 3 0.9 0.9 3 7 4 12 13 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38