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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Luton 2–1 Stoke

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.05 fair 2.29
Draw 3.30 fair 3.80
Away 3.60 fair 3.33
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 1.89
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 2.12

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Luton Stoke
18 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 4
7 Fouls 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (224 league matches this season so far).
Result Luton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.43 – 1.13
Home / Draw / Away
LutonDrawStoke
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 11% 2–1 8.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Luton before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.11scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 21:34
Stoke before this match, all matches
1.11points / match
1.05scored / match
1.26conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 20:24
Luton all matches all matches Stoke

Per match

1.11 Goals scored 1.05
1.79 Goals conceded 1.26
2.89 Total goals 2.32
11.00 Shots 11.21
3.63 Shots on target 3.79
13.89 Shots faced 16.21
6.53 Corners 5.37
5.05 Corners against 6.47
13.05 Fouls 10.89
2.16 Yellow cards 2.21
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.68 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

26% Wins 26%
21% Draws 32%
53% Losses 42%
95% Over 0.5 goals 89%
74% Over 1.5 goals 74%
58% Over 2.5 goals 37%
32% Over 3.5 goals 16%
21% Over 4.5 goals 5%
11% Over 5.5 goals 5%
58% Both teams scored 47%
26% Clean sheets 26%
21% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 26%
21% Draws 53%
42% Losses 21%
79% Over 0.5 goals 58%
32% Over 1.5 goals 26%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton all matches
Stoke all matches
Luton before this match, at home
1.50points / match
1.40scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 14:13
Stoke before this match, away
0.89points / match
0.56scored / match
1.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 5:11
Luton at home away Stoke

Per match

1.40 Goals scored 0.56
1.30 Goals conceded 1.22
2.70 Total goals 1.78
11.60 Shots 10.00
3.60 Shots on target 3.78
12.50 Shots faced 21.11
7.00 Corners 4.44
4.80 Corners against 6.78
13.00 Fouls 12.22
1.90 Yellow cards 2.56
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.22
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

40% Wins 22%
30% Draws 22%
30% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
80% Over 1.5 goals 67%
60% Over 2.5 goals 22%
20% Over 3.5 goals 0%
10% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
70% Both teams scored 22%
30% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 11%
30% Draws 67%
20% Losses 22%
70% Over 0.5 goals 44%
20% Over 1.5 goals 11%
10% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Luton at home
Stoke away

Last 10 matches before this match

Luton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
30.11.24 Norwich – Luton 4–2 (2–1) 2.003.703.40 1.80 2.00
27.11.24 Leeds – Luton 3–0 (2–0) 1.424.208.00 1.80 2.00
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
26.10.24 Coventry – Luton 3–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.20 1.83 2.03
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10

Stoke all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Sunderland – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.704.75 1.98 1.88
30.11.24 Stoke – Burnley 0–2 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.20 1.67
26.11.24 Stoke – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 2.10 1.73
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
09.11.24 Stoke – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.503.252.80 2.20 1.67
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
02.11.24 Stoke – Derby 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.03 1.83
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
22.10.24 Stoke – Bristol City 2–2 (2–0) 2.383.402.90 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Stoke – Norwich 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.402.63 1.80 2.00

Luton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Luton – Swansea 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.25 2.03 1.83
23.11.24 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.503.75 1.90 1.95
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
01.11.24 Luton – West Brom 1–1 (0–1) 2.703.402.50 2.00 1.85
23.10.24 Luton – Sunderland 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 1.98 1.88
19.10.24 Luton – Watford 3–0 (1–0) 2.003.204.00 1.73 2.10
01.10.24 Luton – Oxford 2–2 (2–1) 1.673.904.50 1.88 1.98
21.09.24 Luton – Sheffield Weds 2–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 1.85 2.00
30.08.24 Luton – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 1.913.503.70 1.75 2.05
12.08.24 Luton – Burnley 1–4 (0–2) 2.383.402.88 1.88 1.98

Stoke away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Sunderland – Stoke 2–1 (1–1) 1.753.704.75 1.98 1.88
23.11.24 QPR – Stoke 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.302.70 2.00 1.85
06.11.24 Blackburn – Stoke 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.503.60 1.88 1.98
26.10.24 Sheffield United – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.604.75 1.93 1.93
05.10.24 Swansea – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.503.10 1.98 1.88
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10
14.09.24 Oxford – Stoke 1–0 (0–0) 3.103.402.25 1.98 1.88
31.08.24 Plymouth – Stoke 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.15 1.70 2.10
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
27.04.24 Southampton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 1.754.334.00 1.53 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Luton winsDrawsStoke wins
4matches
1.75goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.23E1 Luton – Stoke 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 2.20 1.67
08.11.22E1 Stoke – Luton 2–0 (2–0) 1.953.404.00 2.20 1.66
23.02.22E1 Stoke – Luton 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.20 1.66
06.11.21E1 Luton – Stoke 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.203.10 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 19 12 5 2 27 11 +16 41
2 Leeds 19 11 5 3 33 13 +20 38
3 Burnley 19 10 7 2 24 7 +17 37
4 Sunderland 19 10 6 3 28 14 +14 36
5 Middlesbrough 19 9 4 6 33 22 +11 31
6 Blackburn 18 9 4 5 22 17 +5 31
7 Watford 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30
8 West Brom 19 6 11 2 21 14 +7 29
9 Sheffield Weds 19 7 5 7 23 28 -5 26
10 Norwich 19 6 7 6 35 30 +5 25
11 Millwall 18 6 7 5 20 16 +4 25
12 Bristol City 19 6 7 6 24 24 0 25
13 Swansea 19 6 6 7 19 18 +1 24
14 Coventry 19 5 6 8 25 27 -2 21
15 Stoke 19 5 6 8 20 24 -4 21
16 Derby 19 5 5 9 22 26 -4 20
17 Preston 19 3 10 6 18 26 -8 19
18 Luton 19 5 4 10 21 34 -13 19
19 Oxford 18 4 6 8 20 28 -8 18
20 QPR 19 3 9 7 18 26 -8 18
21 Cardiff 18 4 5 9 17 28 -11 17
22 Plymouth 18 4 5 9 18 38 -20 17
23 Portsmouth 17 3 7 7 21 30 -9 16
24 Hull 19 3 6 10 17 27 -10 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 10 8 1 1 22 5 +17 25
2 Sheffield United 9 8 1 0 14 2 +12 25
3 Watford 9 7 2 0 13 4 +9 23
4 Sunderland 9 6 3 0 16 5 +11 21
5 Burnley 9 5 4 0 13 3 +10 19
6 Blackburn 9 6 1 2 13 7 +6 19
7 Millwall 10 5 2 3 13 8 +5 17
8 Middlesbrough 10 5 2 3 15 11 +4 17
9 Norwich 9 4 4 1 25 13 +12 16
10 Oxford 10 4 4 2 13 12 +1 16
11 Plymouth 8 4 3 1 15 11 +4 15
12 Luton 10 4 3 3 14 13 +1 15
13 Derby 9 4 2 3 13 9 +4 14
14 Preston 10 3 5 2 10 9 +1 14
15 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 13 9 +4 13
16 Swansea 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
17 Stoke 10 3 4 3 15 13 +2 13
18 Sheffield Weds 10 3 4 3 14 15 -1 13
19 West Brom 9 2 6 1 6 5 +1 12
20 Cardiff 9 4 0 5 11 12 -1 12
21 Coventry 9 3 2 4 16 15 +1 11
22 Portsmouth 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
23 QPR 10 1 5 4 11 16 -5 8
24 Hull 10 1 4 5 8 12 -4 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 10 5 3 2 11 4 +7 18
2 West Brom 10 4 5 1 15 9 +6 17
3 Sheffield United 10 4 4 2 13 9 +4 16
4 Sunderland 10 4 3 3 12 9 +3 15
5 Middlesbrough 9 4 2 3 18 11 +7 14
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 11 8 +3 13
7 Sheffield Weds 9 4 1 4 9 13 -4 13
8 Blackburn 9 3 3 3 9 10 -1 12
9 Bristol City 10 3 3 4 11 15 -4 12
10 Swansea 10 3 2 5 7 9 -2 11
11 Coventry 10 2 4 4 9 12 -3 10
12 QPR 9 2 4 3 7 10 -3 10
13 Norwich 10 2 3 5 10 17 -7 9
14 Millwall 8 1 5 2 7 8 -1 8
15 Hull 9 2 2 5 9 15 -6 8
16 Stoke 9 2 2 5 5 11 -6 8
17 Watford 9 2 1 6 13 20 -7 7
18 Portsmouth 9 1 4 4 12 20 -8 7
19 Derby 10 1 3 6 9 17 -8 6
20 Preston 9 0 5 4 8 17 -9 5
21 Cardiff 9 0 5 4 6 16 -10 5
22 Luton 9 1 1 7 7 21 -14 4
23 Oxford 8 0 2 6 7 16 -9 2
24 Plymouth 10 0 2 8 3 27 -24 2

Luton   Stoke

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 18 7 11 1.4 1.3 9 3 6 26 24 30
2 10 Norwich 19 8 11 1.8 1.6 6 7 6 35 30 25
3 14 Coventry 19 8 11 1.3 1.4 5 6 8 25 27 21
4 18 Luton 19 8 11 1.1 1.8 5 4 10 21 34 19
5 23 Portsmouth 17 6 11 1.2 1.8 3 7 7 21 30 16
6 22 Plymouth 18 8 10 1.0 2.1 4 5 9 18 38 17
7 9 Sheffield Weds 19 10 9 1.2 1.5 7 5 7 23 28 26
8 12 Bristol City 19 10 9 1.3 1.3 6 7 6 24 24 25
9 4 Sunderland 19 11 8 1.5 0.7 10 6 3 28 14 36
10 5 Middlesbrough 19 11 8 1.7 1.2 9 4 6 33 22 31
11 16 Derby 19 11 8 1.2 1.4 5 5 9 22 26 20
12 17 Preston 19 11 8 0.9 1.4 3 10 6 18 26 19
13 19 Oxford 18 10 8 1.1 1.6 4 6 8 20 28 18
14 2 Leeds 19 12 7 1.7 0.7 11 5 3 33 13 38
15 6 Blackburn 18 11 7 1.2 0.9 9 4 5 22 17 31
16 8 West Brom 19 12 7 1.1 0.7 6 11 2 21 14 29
17 15 Stoke 19 12 7 1.1 1.3 5 6 8 20 24 21
18 20 QPR 19 12 7 0.9 1.4 3 9 7 18 26 18
19 13 Swansea 19 13 6 1.0 0.9 6 6 7 19 18 24
20 21 Cardiff 18 12 6 0.9 1.6 4 5 9 17 28 17
21 24 Hull 19 13 6 0.9 1.4 3 6 10 17 27 15
22 1 Sheffield United 19 14 5 1.4 0.6 12 5 2 27 11 41
23 11 Millwall 18 14 4 1.1 0.9 6 7 5 20 16 25
24 3 Burnley 19 16 3 1.3 0.4 10 7 2 24 7 37
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Coventry 9 1 8 1.8 1.7 3 2 4 16 15 11
2 10 Norwich 9 3 6 2.8 1.4 4 4 1 25 13 16
3 18 Luton 10 4 6 1.4 1.3 4 3 3 14 13 15
4 2 Leeds 10 5 5 2.2 0.5 8 1 1 22 5 25
5 15 Stoke 10 5 5 1.5 1.3 3 4 3 15 13 13
6 20 QPR 10 5 5 1.1 1.6 1 5 4 11 16 8
7 22 Plymouth 8 3 5 1.9 1.4 4 3 1 15 11 15
8 23 Portsmouth 8 3 5 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
9 4 Sunderland 9 5 4 1.8 0.6 6 3 0 16 5 21
10 5 Middlesbrough 10 6 4 1.5 1.1 5 2 3 15 11 17
11 7 Watford 9 5 4 1.4 0.4 7 2 0 13 4 23
12 12 Bristol City 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 3 4 2 13 9 13
13 16 Derby 9 5 4 1.4 1.0 4 2 3 13 9 14
14 6 Blackburn 9 6 3 1.4 0.8 6 1 2 13 7 19
15 9 Sheffield Weds 10 7 3 1.4 1.5 3 4 3 14 15 13
16 11 Millwall 10 7 3 1.3 0.8 5 2 3 13 8 17
17 13 Swansea 9 6 3 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
18 17 Preston 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 3 5 2 10 9 14
19 19 Oxford 10 7 3 1.3 1.2 4 4 2 13 12 16
20 21 Cardiff 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 4 0 5 11 12 12
21 1 Sheffield United 9 7 2 1.6 0.2 8 1 0 14 2 25
22 3 Burnley 9 7 2 1.4 0.3 5 4 0 13 3 19
23 8 West Brom 9 7 2 0.7 0.6 2 6 1 6 5 12
24 24 Hull 10 8 2 0.8 1.2 1 4 5 8 12 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Watford 9 2 7 1.4 2.2 2 1 6 13 20 7
2 9 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 4 9 13 13
3 23 Portsmouth 9 3 6 1.3 2.2 1 4 4 12 20 7
4 8 West Brom 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 5 1 15 9 17
5 10 Norwich 10 5 5 1.0 1.7 2 3 5 10 17 9
6 12 Bristol City 10 5 5 1.1 1.5 3 3 4 11 15 12
7 17 Preston 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 0 5 4 8 17 5
8 18 Luton 9 4 5 0.8 2.3 1 1 7 7 21 4
9 19 Oxford 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 0 2 6 7 16 2
10 22 Plymouth 10 5 5 0.3 2.7 0 2 8 3 27 2
11 4 Sunderland 10 6 4 1.2 0.9 4 3 3 12 9 15
12 5 Middlesbrough 9 5 4 2.0 1.2 4 2 3 18 11 14
13 6 Blackburn 9 5 4 1.0 1.1 3 3 3 9 10 12
14 16 Derby 10 6 4 0.9 1.7 1 3 6 9 17 6
15 24 Hull 9 5 4 1.0 1.7 2 2 5 9 15 8
16 1 Sheffield United 10 7 3 1.3 0.9 4 4 2 13 9 16
17 13 Swansea 10 7 3 0.7 0.9 3 2 5 7 9 11
18 14 Coventry 10 7 3 0.9 1.2 2 4 4 9 12 10
19 21 Cardiff 9 6 3 0.7 1.8 0 5 4 6 16 5
20 2 Leeds 9 7 2 1.2 0.9 3 4 2 11 8 13
21 15 Stoke 9 7 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 5 5 11 8
22 20 QPR 9 7 2 0.8 1.1 2 4 3 7 10 10
23 3 Burnley 10 9 1 1.1 0.4 5 3 2 11 4 18
24 11 Millwall 8 7 1 0.9 1.0 1 5 2 7 8 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51