Middlesbrough 2–1 Oxford – England Championship, 29 Mar 2025

Match facts

Middlesbrough Oxford

24 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

11 Corners 5

5 Fouls 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (459 league matches this season so far).

Result Middlesbrough to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.99

Expected goals 1.76 – 0.93

Home / Draw / Away

57% 23% 20%

MiddlesbroughDrawOxford

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

50% 50%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 11.9% 1–1 11.1% 2–0 10.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.42points / match

1.50scored / match

1.26conceded / match

15 9 14

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 57:48

Oxford before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.03scored / match

1.45conceded / match

10 12 16

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 39:55

Middlesbrough all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.03

1.26 Goals conceded 1.45

2.76 Total goals 2.47

13.84 Shots 9.71

4.74 Shots on target 3.21

10.53 Shots faced 14.32

5.03 Corners 3.66

5.03 Corners against 6.68

9.53 Fouls 9.89

1.53 Yellow cards 1.61

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.61

How often Full Time

39% Wins 26%

24% Draws 32%

37% Losses 42%

95% Over 0.5 goals 92%

66% Over 1.5 goals 74%

47% Over 2.5 goals 37%

32% Over 3.5 goals 24%

18% Over 4.5 goals 13%

13% Over 5.5 goals 3%

53% Both teams scored 53%

29% Clean sheets 26%

24% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

34% Wins 18%

39% Draws 47%

26% Losses 34%

76% Over 0.5 goals 63%

37% Over 1.5 goals 24%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

1

L

2

1

W

D

Oxford all matches

D

1

D

1

L

D

2

L

2

L

2

3

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

W

Middlesbrough before this match, at home

1.68points / match

1.42scored / match

1.05conceded / match

9 5 5

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 27:20

Oxford before this match, away

0.53points / match

0.63scored / match

1.58conceded / match

1 7 11

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 12:30

Middlesbrough at home away Oxford

Per match

1.42 Goals scored 0.63

1.05 Goals conceded 1.58

2.47 Total goals 2.21

15.05 Shots 8.42

4.63 Shots on target 2.37

9.05 Shots faced 16.05

5.42 Corners 3.37

4.32 Corners against 7.11

9.42 Fouls 9.89

1.32 Yellow cards 1.89

0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.37

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

47% Wins 5%

26% Draws 37%

26% Losses 58%

95% Over 0.5 goals 89%

63% Over 1.5 goals 74%

37% Over 2.5 goals 37%

26% Over 3.5 goals 16%

16% Over 4.5 goals 5%

11% Over 5.5 goals 0%

42% Both teams scored 47%

37% Clean sheets 16%

26% Failed to score 47%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 16%

37% Draws 47%

21% Losses 37%

79% Over 0.5 goals 63%

42% Over 1.5 goals 26%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home

3

1

W

1

W

3

D

1

D

2

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

W

2

1

W

Oxford away

4

L

1

W

1

D

1

D

1

L

D

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Luton – Middlesbrough	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.95	1.90
11.03.25	Middlesbrough – QPR	2–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.33	2.03	1.83
08.03.25	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–0 (1–0)	2.70	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73

Oxford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.03.25	Oxford – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.20	1.67
12.03.25	Hull – Oxford	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.00	2.10	1.73
07.03.25	Norwich – Oxford	1–1 (1–1)	1.54	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
01.03.25	Oxford – Coventry	2–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.25	2.10	2.03	1.83
22.02.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Oxford – Portsmouth	0–2 (0–0)	2.35	3.20	3.10	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
01.02.25	Oxford – Bristol City	1–1 (0–0)	3.10	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.03.25	Middlesbrough – QPR	2–1 (1–0)	1.90	3.30	4.33	2.03	1.83
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds	3–3 (3–0)	1.65	3.90	5.00	1.73	2.10
14.12.24	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.80	4.75	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Middlesbrough – Hull	3–1 (2–0)	1.50	4.50	6.00	1.62	2.30

Oxford away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.25	Hull – Oxford	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.00	2.10	1.73
07.03.25	Norwich – Oxford	1–1 (1–1)	1.54	4.00	5.50	1.93	1.93
22.02.25	West Brom – Oxford	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Derby – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.00	3.60	2.75	1.44
04.02.25	Burnley – Oxford	1–0 (1–0)	1.48	3.80	7.50	2.20	1.67
25.01.25	Stoke – Oxford	0–0 (0–0)	2.00	3.30	3.80	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Plymouth – Oxford	1–1 (0–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	2.03	1.83
04.01.25	Preston – Oxford	1–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.20	1.67
01.01.25	Millwall – Oxford	0–1 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	5.00	2.30	1.62
21.12.24	Leeds – Oxford	4–0 (1–0)	1.14	7.50	19.00	1.53	2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Middlesbrough winsDrawsOxford wins

1matches

8.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
23.11.24E1	Oxford – Middlesbrough	2–6 (1–3)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.83	2.03

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	39	26	7	6	56	29	+27	85
2	Leeds	38	23	11	4	76	25	+51	80
3	Burnley	38	21	15	2	52	11	+41	78
4	Sunderland	38	19	12	7	55	37	+18	69
5	Coventry	39	17	8	14	56	51	+5	59
6	West Brom	38	13	18	7	48	34	+14	57
7	Bristol City	38	14	15	9	49	41	+8	57
8	Middlesbrough	38	15	9	14	57	48	+9	54
9	Watford	39	15	8	16	47	51	-4	53
10	Blackburn	38	15	7	16	42	40	+2	52
11	Millwall	38	13	12	13	37	39	-2	51
12	Sheffield Weds	38	14	9	15	53	59	-6	51
13	Norwich	38	12	13	13	60	54	+6	49
14	Preston	38	10	17	11	39	44	-5	47
15	QPR	38	11	12	15	44	50	-6	45
16	Swansea	38	12	8	18	38	49	-11	44
17	Portsmouth	38	11	9	18	46	61	-15	42
18	Oxford	38	10	12	16	39	55	-16	42
19	Hull	39	10	11	18	39	48	-9	41
20	Stoke	38	9	12	17	37	51	-14	39
21	Cardiff	38	9	12	17	42	62	-20	39
22	Derby	38	10	8	20	40	51	-11	38
23	Luton	39	10	8	21	35	60	-25	38
24	Plymouth	39	7	13	19	40	77	-37	34

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	19	15	3	1	47	9	+38	48
2	Sheffield United	20	14	3	3	30	15	+15	45
3	Sunderland	19	11	7	1	31	15	+16	40
4	Burnley	19	10	9	0	27	5	+22	39
5	Bristol City	19	10	6	3	28	15	+13	36
6	Coventry	19	11	3	5	34	22	+12	36
7	Watford	20	11	3	6	24	19	+5	36
8	West Brom	19	9	8	2	25	12	+13	35
9	Blackburn	19	10	3	6	26	17	+9	33
10	Portsmouth	19	9	5	5	28	18	+10	32
11	Middlesbrough	19	9	5	5	27	20	+7	32
12	Oxford	19	9	5	5	27	25	+2	32
13	Norwich	19	8	7	4	44	27	+17	31
14	Preston	19	7	10	2	21	15	+6	31
15	Millwall	19	8	4	7	20	17	+3	28
16	Derby	19	8	3	8	23	17	+6	27
17	QPR	19	7	6	6	29	26	+3	27
18	Luton	19	7	6	6	20	19	+1	27
19	Swansea	19	7	5	7	25	21	+4	26
20	Stoke	19	6	8	5	23	21	+2	26
21	Plymouth	19	6	7	6	32	34	-2	25
22	Cardiff	19	7	3	9	22	24	-2	24
23	Sheffield Weds	19	5	7	7	27	28	-1	22
24	Hull	20	4	7	9	21	25	-4	19

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	19	12	4	3	26	14	+12	40
2	Burnley	19	11	6	2	25	6	+19	39
3	Leeds	19	8	8	3	29	16	+13	32
4	Sunderland	19	8	5	6	24	22	+2	29
5	Sheffield Weds	19	9	2	8	26	31	-5	29
6	Millwall	19	5	8	6	17	22	-5	23
7	Coventry	20	6	5	9	22	29	-7	23
8	Middlesbrough	19	6	4	9	30	28	+2	22
9	West Brom	19	4	10	5	23	22	+1	22
10	Hull	19	6	4	9	18	23	-5	22
11	Bristol City	19	4	9	6	21	26	-5	21
12	Blackburn	19	5	4	10	16	23	-7	19
13	QPR	19	4	6	9	15	24	-9	18
14	Norwich	19	4	6	9	16	27	-11	18
15	Swansea	19	5	3	11	13	28	-15	18
16	Watford	19	4	5	10	23	32	-9	17
17	Preston	19	3	7	9	18	29	-11	16
18	Cardiff	19	2	9	8	20	38	-18	15
19	Stoke	19	3	4	12	14	30	-16	13
20	Derby	19	2	5	12	17	34	-17	11
21	Luton	20	3	2	15	15	41	-26	11
22	Oxford	19	1	7	11	12	30	-18	10
23	Portsmouth	19	2	4	13	18	43	-25	10
24	Plymouth	20	1	6	13	8	43	-35	9

Middlesbrough Oxford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	38	13	25	1.2	1.6	11	9	18	46	61	42
2	5	Coventry	39	17	22	1.4	1.3	17	8	14	56	51	59
3	9	Watford	39	17	22	1.2	1.3	15	8	16	47	51	53
4	12	Sheffield Weds	38	16	22	1.4	1.6	14	9	15	53	59	51
5	24	Plymouth	39	18	21	1.0	2.0	7	13	19	40	77	34
6	4	Sunderland	38	19	19	1.4	1.0	19	12	7	55	37	69
7	13	Norwich	38	19	19	1.6	1.4	12	13	13	60	54	49
8	15	QPR	38	19	19	1.2	1.3	11	12	15	44	50	45
9	8	Middlesbrough	38	20	18	1.5	1.3	15	9	14	57	48	54
10	21	Cardiff	38	20	18	1.1	1.6	9	12	17	42	62	39
11	23	Luton	39	21	18	0.9	1.5	10	8	21	35	60	38
12	16	Swansea	38	21	17	1.0	1.3	12	8	18	38	49	44
13	2	Leeds	38	22	16	2.0	0.7	23	11	4	76	25	80
14	14	Preston	38	22	16	1.0	1.2	10	17	11	39	44	47
15	22	Derby	38	22	16	1.1	1.3	10	8	20	40	51	38
16	7	Bristol City	38	23	15	1.3	1.1	14	15	9	49	41	57
17	10	Blackburn	38	23	15	1.1	1.1	15	7	16	42	40	52
18	20	Stoke	38	23	15	1.0	1.3	9	12	17	37	51	39
19	1	Sheffield United	39	25	14	1.4	0.7	26	7	6	56	29	85
20	18	Oxford	38	24	14	1.0	1.4	10	12	16	39	55	42
21	6	West Brom	38	25	13	1.3	0.9	13	18	7	48	34	57
22	19	Hull	39	26	13	1.0	1.2	10	11	18	39	48	41
23	11	Millwall	38	28	10	1.0	1.0	13	12	13	37	39	51
24	3	Burnley	38	29	9	1.4	0.3	21	15	2	52	11	78

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	11	3	5	34	22	36
2	24	Plymouth	19	6	13	1.7	1.8	6	7	6	32	34	25
3	13	Norwich	19	7	12	2.3	1.4	8	7	4	44	27	31
4	15	QPR	19	7	12	1.5	1.4	7	6	6	29	26	27
5	17	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.5	0.9	9	5	5	28	18	32
6	9	Watford	20	9	11	1.2	0.9	11	3	6	24	19	36
7	2	Leeds	19	9	10	2.5	0.5	15	3	1	47	9	48
8	4	Sunderland	19	10	9	1.6	0.8	11	7	1	31	15	40
9	7	Bristol City	19	11	8	1.5	0.8	10	6	3	28	15	36
10	12	Sheffield Weds	19	11	8	1.4	1.5	5	7	7	27	28	22
11	16	Swansea	19	11	8	1.3	1.1	7	5	7	25	21	26
12	20	Stoke	19	11	8	1.2	1.1	6	8	5	23	21	26
13	23	Luton	19	11	8	1.1	1.0	7	6	6	20	19	27
14	1	Sheffield United	20	13	7	1.5	0.8	14	3	3	30	15	45
15	8	Middlesbrough	19	12	7	1.4	1.1	9	5	5	27	20	32
16	10	Blackburn	19	12	7	1.4	0.9	10	3	6	26	17	33
17	18	Oxford	19	12	7	1.4	1.3	9	5	5	27	25	32
18	19	Hull	20	13	7	1.1	1.2	4	7	9	21	25	19
19	21	Cardiff	19	12	7	1.2	1.3	7	3	9	22	24	24
20	22	Derby	19	12	7	1.2	0.9	8	3	8	23	17	27
21	14	Preston	19	13	6	1.1	0.8	7	10	2	21	15	31
22	3	Burnley	19	14	5	1.4	0.3	10	9	0	27	5	39
23	6	West Brom	19	14	5	1.3	0.6	9	8	2	25	12	35
24	11	Millwall	19	14	5	1.1	0.9	8	4	7	20	17	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Sheffield Weds	19	5	14	1.4	1.6	9	2	8	26	31	29
2	17	Portsmouth	19	6	13	0.9	2.3	2	4	13	18	43	10
3	8	Middlesbrough	19	8	11	1.6	1.5	6	4	9	30	28	22
4	9	Watford	19	8	11	1.2	1.7	4	5	10	23	32	17
5	21	Cardiff	19	8	11	1.1	2.0	2	9	8	20	38	15
6	4	Sunderland	19	9	10	1.3	1.2	8	5	6	24	22	29
7	14	Preston	19	9	10	0.9	1.5	3	7	9	18	29	16
8	23	Luton	20	10	10	0.8	2.0	3	2	15	15	41	11
9	16	Swansea	19	10	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	11	13	28	18
10	22	Derby	19	10	9	0.9	1.8	2	5	12	17	34	11
11	5	Coventry	20	12	8	1.1	1.4	6	5	9	22	29	23
12	6	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	4	10	5	23	22	22
13	10	Blackburn	19	11	8	0.8	1.2	5	4	10	16	23	19
14	24	Plymouth	20	12	8	0.4	2.1	1	6	13	8	43	9
15	1	Sheffield United	19	12	7	1.4	0.7	12	4	3	26	14	40
16	7	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.4	4	9	6	21	26	21
17	13	Norwich	19	12	7	0.8	1.4	4	6	9	16	27	18
18	15	QPR	19	12	7	0.8	1.3	4	6	9	15	24	18
19	18	Oxford	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	1	7	11	12	30	10
20	20	Stoke	19	12	7	0.7	1.6	3	4	12	14	30	13
21	2	Leeds	19	13	6	1.5	0.8	8	8	3	29	16	32
22	19	Hull	19	13	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	9	18	23	22
23	11	Millwall	19	14	5	0.9	1.2	5	8	6	17	22	23
24	3	Burnley	19	15	4	1.3	0.3	11	6	2	25	6	39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.