Swansea 1–0 Middlesbrough – England Championship, 8 Mar 2025

Match facts

Swansea Middlesbrough

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

5 Corners 6

16 Fouls 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (423 league matches this season so far).

Result Swansea to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.74

Expected goals 1.47 – 1.38

Home / Draw / Away

40% 25% 35%

SwanseaDrawMiddlesbrough

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 58%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.8% 2–1 8.6% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Swansea before this match, all matches

1.17points / match

1.06scored / match

1.31conceded / match

11 8 16

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 37:46

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches

1.43points / match

1.57scored / match

1.31conceded / match

14 8 13

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 55:46

Swansea all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 1.57

1.31 Goals conceded 1.31

2.37 Total goals 2.89

10.40 Shots 14.11

3.60 Shots on target 4.97

11.57 Shots faced 10.26

4.94 Corners 5.09

4.97 Corners against 4.94

10.11 Fouls 9.40

1.60 Yellow cards 1.54

0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.80

0.49 1st-half goals conceded 0.54

How often Full Time

31% Wins 40%

23% Draws 23%

46% Losses 37%

91% Over 0.5 goals 97%

63% Over 1.5 goals 69%

49% Over 2.5 goals 49%

17% Over 3.5 goals 34%

9% Over 4.5 goals 20%

6% Over 5.5 goals 14%

46% Both teams scored 54%

26% Clean sheets 29%

37% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 34%

34% Draws 40%

26% Losses 26%

71% Over 0.5 goals 77%

31% Over 1.5 goals 40%

14% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea all matches

1

D

3

L

1

2

L

1

5

L

2

L

1

W

1

L

1

3

L

3

W

D

Middlesbrough all matches

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

2

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

1

W

Swansea before this match, at home

1.35points / match

1.41scored / match

1.12conceded / match

6 5 6

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 24:19

Middlesbrough before this match, away

1.24points / match

1.76scored / match

1.59conceded / match

6 3 8

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:27

Swansea at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.41 Goals scored 1.76

1.12 Goals conceded 1.59

2.53 Total goals 3.35

11.29 Shots 13.18

4.41 Shots on target 5.35

9.71 Shots faced 11.53

4.59 Corners 4.65

4.65 Corners against 5.59

10.82 Fouls 9.35

1.41 Yellow cards 1.71

1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

35% Wins 35%

29% Draws 18%

35% Losses 47%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

71% Over 1.5 goals 76%

47% Over 2.5 goals 65%

18% Over 3.5 goals 41%

12% Over 4.5 goals 24%

6% Over 5.5 goals 18%

47% Both teams scored 71%

35% Clean sheets 18%

24% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

59% Wins 29%

29% Draws 41%

12% Losses 29%

76% Over 0.5 goals 76%

41% Over 1.5 goals 35%

24% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Swansea at home

3

4

L

2

D

2

3

L

3

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

2

L

2

L

1

L

3

W

Middlesbrough away

6

2

W

1

D

1

3

L

3

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Swansea all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.03.25	Preston – Swansea	0–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.20	3.10	2.30	1.62
22.02.25	Swansea – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Stoke – Swansea	3–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.40	2.88	2.10	1.73
12.02.25	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.10	1.73
09.02.25	Bristol City – Swansea	0–1 (0–0)	1.85	3.50	4.10	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Swansea – Coventry	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85
25.01.25	Norwich – Swansea	5–1 (1–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	1.95	1.90
21.01.25	Swansea – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Cardiff – Swansea	3–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.25	2.63	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Swansea – West Brom	1–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
01.03.25	Middlesbrough – Derby	1–0 (0–0)	1.65	3.60	5.50	1.90	1.95
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
03.02.25	Middlesbrough – Sunderland	2–3 (1–1)	2.35	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
21.01.25	Middlesbrough – West Brom	2–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.40	3.75	2.00	1.85
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
04.01.25	Middlesbrough – Cardiff	1–1 (1–1)	1.57	4.20	5.25	1.73	2.10

Swansea at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
22.02.25	Swansea – Blackburn	3–0 (2–0)	2.50	3.30	2.75	2.20	1.67
12.02.25	Swansea – Sheffield Weds	0–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.10	1.73
01.02.25	Swansea – Coventry	0–2 (0–2)	2.55	3.40	2.70	2.00	1.85
21.01.25	Swansea – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–0)	2.88	3.20	2.50	2.10	1.73
04.01.25	Swansea – West Brom	1–1 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Swansea – Luton	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.50	3.10	2.03	1.83
26.12.24	Swansea – QPR	3–0 (3–0)	1.85	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
14.12.24	Swansea – Sunderland	2–3 (2–1)	2.63	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73
30.11.24	Swansea – Portsmouth	2–2 (1–2)	1.70	4.10	4.33	1.85	2.00
24.11.24	Swansea – Leeds	3–4 (2–1)	4.10	3.90	1.80	2.10	1.73

Middlesbrough away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.02.25	Stoke – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.90	3.40	2.35	1.93	1.93
21.02.25	Bristol City – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.93	1.93
12.02.25	Sheffield United – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.10	1.93	1.93
25.01.25	Preston – Middlesbrough	2–1 (1–0)	3.25	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
18.01.25	Portsmouth – Middlesbrough	2–1 (0–1)	4.50	3.60	1.75	1.67	2.20
01.01.25	Hull – Middlesbrough	0–1 (0–0)	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.88	1.98
21.12.24	Plymouth – Middlesbrough	3–3 (1–0)	6.00	4.50	1.48	1.57	2.38
10.12.24	Leeds – Middlesbrough	3–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	4.75	1.93	1.93
06.12.24	Burnley – Middlesbrough	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.10	1.73
23.11.24	Oxford – Middlesbrough	2–6 (1–3)	5.00	4.20	1.60	1.83	2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 6

Swansea winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins

7matches

2.29goals / match

43%over 2.5

57%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
10.08.24E1	Middlesbrough – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.50	4.33	1.73	2.08
06.04.24E1	Middlesbrough – Swansea	2–0 (1–0)	1.80	3.80	4.20	1.80	2.00
16.12.23E1	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–2 (0–1)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.73	2.08
11.03.23E1	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–0)	3.25	3.60	2.15	1.98	1.88
27.08.22E1	Middlesbrough – Swansea	2–1 (2–0)	1.75	3.75	4.75	2.00	1.85
23.04.22E1	Swansea – Middlesbrough	1–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.02	1.83
04.12.21E1	Middlesbrough – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	35	22	10	3	72	22	+50	76
2	Sheffield United	35	23	6	6	50	27	+23	75
3	Burnley	35	19	14	2	45	10	+35	71
4	Sunderland	35	18	11	6	52	32	+20	65
5	Coventry	36	16	8	12	52	46	+6	56
6	West Brom	35	12	16	7	45	32	+13	52
7	Bristol City	35	13	13	9	45	38	+7	52
8	Blackburn	35	15	7	13	40	35	+5	52
9	Middlesbrough	35	14	8	13	55	46	+9	50
10	Norwich	36	12	13	11	57	49	+8	49
11	Watford	36	14	7	15	46	50	-4	49
12	Millwall	36	12	12	12	36	37	-1	48
13	Sheffield Weds	35	12	9	14	47	56	-9	45
14	QPR	35	11	11	13	41	45	-4	44
15	Preston	35	9	16	10	36	41	-5	43
16	Swansea	35	11	8	16	37	46	-9	41
17	Portsmouth	35	10	9	16	43	57	-14	39
18	Oxford	36	9	12	15	37	53	-16	39
19	Hull	35	9	9	17	35	44	-9	36
20	Stoke	36	8	12	16	36	50	-14	36
21	Cardiff	35	8	12	15	38	57	-19	36
22	Luton	35	8	7	20	32	55	-23	31
23	Plymouth	35	6	12	17	36	70	-34	30
24	Derby	35	7	8	20	33	48	-15	29

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	3	1	45	9	+36	45
2	Sheffield United	17	12	2	3	25	13	+12	38
3	Sunderland	17	10	6	1	28	13	+15	36
4	Burnley	17	9	8	0	22	4	+18	35
5	Blackburn	18	10	3	5	25	15	+10	33
6	Coventry	18	10	3	5	31	22	+9	33
7	Bristol City	17	9	5	3	25	13	+12	32
8	Watford	18	10	2	6	23	19	+4	32
9	Norwich	18	8	7	3	42	24	+18	31
10	West Brom	17	8	7	2	23	11	+12	31
11	Portsmouth	17	8	5	4	26	16	+10	29
12	Middlesbrough	18	8	5	5	25	19	+6	29
13	Oxford	18	8	5	5	26	25	+1	29
14	Preston	18	6	10	2	19	14	+5	28
15	QPR	18	7	5	6	27	24	+3	26
16	Luton	18	7	5	6	20	19	+1	26
17	Plymouth	17	6	7	4	30	28	+2	25
18	Millwall	18	7	4	7	19	17	+2	25
19	Cardiff	18	7	3	8	21	22	-1	24
20	Swansea	17	6	5	6	24	19	+5	23
21	Stoke	18	5	8	5	22	21	+1	23
22	Sheffield Weds	18	5	7	6	27	27	0	22
23	Derby	17	6	3	8	19	16	+3	21
24	Hull	18	3	7	8	19	23	-4	16

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Sheffield United	18	11	4	3	25	14	+11	37
2	Burnley	18	10	6	2	23	6	+17	36
3	Leeds	17	8	7	2	27	13	+14	31
4	Sunderland	18	8	5	5	24	19	+5	29
5	Coventry	18	6	5	7	21	24	-3	23
6	Millwall	18	5	8	5	17	20	-3	23
7	Sheffield Weds	17	7	2	8	20	29	-9	23
8	Middlesbrough	17	6	3	8	30	27	+3	21
9	West Brom	18	4	9	5	22	21	+1	21
10	Bristol City	18	4	8	6	20	25	-5	20
11	Hull	17	6	2	9	16	21	-5	20
12	Blackburn	17	5	4	8	15	20	-5	19
13	QPR	17	4	6	7	14	21	-7	18
14	Norwich	18	4	6	8	15	25	-10	18
15	Swansea	18	5	3	10	13	27	-14	18
16	Watford	18	4	5	9	23	31	-8	17
17	Preston	17	3	6	8	17	27	-10	15
18	Stoke	18	3	4	11	14	29	-15	13
19	Cardiff	17	1	9	7	17	35	-18	12
20	Oxford	18	1	7	10	11	28	-17	10
21	Portsmouth	18	2	4	12	17	41	-24	10
22	Derby	18	1	5	12	14	32	-18	8
23	Luton	17	1	2	14	12	36	-24	5
24	Plymouth	18	0	5	13	6	42	-36	5

Swansea Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Portsmouth	35	12	23	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	43	57	39
2	11	Watford	36	14	22	1.3	1.4	14	7	15	46	50	49
3	5	Coventry	36	16	20	1.4	1.3	16	8	12	52	46	56
4	13	Sheffield Weds	35	15	20	1.3	1.6	12	9	14	47	56	45
5	23	Plymouth	35	17	18	1.0	2.0	6	12	17	36	70	30
6	4	Sunderland	35	18	17	1.5	0.9	18	11	6	52	32	65
7	9	Middlesbrough	35	18	17	1.6	1.3	14	8	13	55	46	50
8	10	Norwich	36	19	17	1.6	1.4	12	13	11	57	49	49
9	14	QPR	35	18	17	1.2	1.3	11	11	13	41	45	44
10	16	Swansea	35	18	17	1.1	1.3	11	8	16	37	46	41
11	22	Luton	35	19	16	0.9	1.6	8	7	20	32	55	31
12	1	Leeds	35	20	15	2.1	0.6	22	10	3	72	22	76
13	15	Preston	35	20	15	1.0	1.2	9	16	10	36	41	43
14	20	Stoke	36	21	15	1.0	1.4	8	12	16	36	50	36
15	21	Cardiff	35	20	15	1.1	1.6	8	12	15	38	57	36
16	7	Bristol City	35	21	14	1.3	1.1	13	13	9	45	38	52
17	24	Derby	35	21	14	0.9	1.4	7	8	20	33	48	29
18	2	Sheffield United	35	22	13	1.4	0.8	23	6	6	50	27	75
19	6	West Brom	35	22	13	1.3	0.9	12	16	7	45	32	52
20	8	Blackburn	35	22	13	1.1	1.0	15	7	13	40	35	52
21	18	Oxford	36	23	13	1.0	1.5	9	12	15	37	53	39
22	19	Hull	35	23	12	1.0	1.3	9	9	17	35	44	36
23	12	Millwall	36	26	10	1.0	1.0	12	12	12	36	37	48
24	3	Burnley	35	27	8	1.3	0.3	19	14	2	45	10	71

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Coventry	18	5	13	1.7	1.2	10	3	5	31	22	33
2	10	Norwich	18	7	11	2.3	1.3	8	7	3	42	24	31
3	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.1	10	2	6	23	19	32
4	14	QPR	18	7	11	1.5	1.3	7	5	6	27	24	26
5	17	Portsmouth	17	6	11	1.5	0.9	8	5	4	26	16	29
6	23	Plymouth	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	7	4	30	28	25
7	1	Leeds	18	8	10	2.5	0.5	14	3	1	45	9	45
8	4	Sunderland	17	9	8	1.6	0.8	10	6	1	28	13	36
9	13	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	1.5	1.5	5	7	6	27	27	22
10	16	Swansea	17	9	8	1.4	1.1	6	5	6	24	19	23
11	20	Stoke	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	5	8	5	22	21	23
12	22	Luton	18	10	8	1.1	1.1	7	5	6	20	19	26
13	7	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.5	0.8	9	5	3	25	13	32
14	18	Oxford	18	11	7	1.4	1.4	8	5	5	26	25	29
15	2	Sheffield United	17	11	6	1.5	0.8	12	2	3	25	13	38
16	8	Blackburn	18	12	6	1.4	0.8	10	3	5	25	15	33
17	9	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.4	1.1	8	5	5	25	19	29
18	19	Hull	18	12	6	1.1	1.3	3	7	8	19	23	16
19	21	Cardiff	18	12	6	1.2	1.2	7	3	8	21	22	24
20	24	Derby	17	11	6	1.1	0.9	6	3	8	19	16	21
21	6	West Brom	17	12	5	1.4	0.6	8	7	2	23	11	31
22	12	Millwall	18	13	5	1.1	0.9	7	4	7	19	17	25
23	15	Preston	18	13	5	1.1	0.8	6	10	2	19	14	28
24	3	Burnley	17	13	4	1.3	0.2	9	8	0	22	4	35

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Sheffield Weds	17	5	12	1.2	1.7	7	2	8	20	29	23
2	17	Portsmouth	18	6	12	0.9	2.3	2	4	12	17	41	10
3	9	Middlesbrough	17	6	11	1.8	1.6	6	3	8	30	27	21
4	11	Watford	18	7	11	1.3	1.7	4	5	9	23	31	17
5	15	Preston	17	7	10	1.0	1.6	3	6	8	17	27	15
6	4	Sunderland	18	9	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	5	24	19	29
7	16	Swansea	18	9	9	0.7	1.5	5	3	10	13	27	18
8	21	Cardiff	17	8	9	1.0	2.1	1	9	7	17	35	12
9	6	West Brom	18	10	8	1.2	1.2	4	9	5	22	21	21
10	22	Luton	17	9	8	0.7	2.1	1	2	14	12	36	5
11	24	Derby	18	10	8	0.8	1.8	1	5	12	14	32	8
12	2	Sheffield United	18	11	7	1.4	0.8	11	4	3	25	14	37
13	5	Coventry	18	11	7	1.2	1.3	6	5	7	21	24	23
14	7	Bristol City	18	11	7	1.1	1.4	4	8	6	20	25	20
15	8	Blackburn	17	10	7	0.9	1.2	5	4	8	15	20	19
16	20	Stoke	18	11	7	0.8	1.6	3	4	11	14	29	13
17	23	Plymouth	18	11	7	0.3	2.3	0	5	13	6	42	5
18	10	Norwich	18	12	6	0.8	1.4	4	6	8	15	25	18
19	14	QPR	17	11	6	0.8	1.2	4	6	7	14	21	18
20	18	Oxford	18	12	6	0.6	1.6	1	7	10	11	28	10
21	19	Hull	17	11	6	0.9	1.2	6	2	9	16	21	20
22	1	Leeds	17	12	5	1.6	0.8	8	7	2	27	13	31
23	12	Millwall	18	13	5	0.9	1.1	5	8	5	17	20	23
24	3	Burnley	18	14	4	1.3	0.3	10	6	2	23	6	36

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.