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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: T Nield

Middlesbrough 1–1 Cardiff

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 1.57 fair 1.69
Draw ✓ 4.20 fair 4.59
Away 5.25 fair 5.24
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Middlesbrough Cardiff
9 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
9 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (299 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.93 – 1.00
Home / Draw / Away
MiddlesbroughDrawCardiff
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.3% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
1.68scored / match
1.24conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 25 played · 42:31
Cardiff before this match, all matches
0.92points / match
1.00scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 24 played · 24:39
Middlesbrough all matches all matches Cardiff

Per match

1.68 Goals scored 1.00
1.24 Goals conceded 1.63
2.92 Total goals 2.63
14.52 Shots 12.58
5.08 Shots on target 4.21
9.28 Shots faced 12.25
5.60 Corners 5.13
4.76 Corners against 4.75
9.40 Fouls 11.63
1.44 Yellow cards 1.92
0.84 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

44% Wins 21%
28% Draws 29%
28% Losses 50%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
64% Over 1.5 goals 83%
44% Over 2.5 goals 38%
36% Over 3.5 goals 29%
24% Over 4.5 goals 17%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
48% Both teams scored 46%
32% Clean sheets 17%
24% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%
36% Draws 42%
28% Losses 38%
72% Over 0.5 goals 71%
40% Over 1.5 goals 33%
16% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough all matches
Cardiff all matches
Middlesbrough before this match, at home
1.69points / match
1.46scored / match
1.08conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 19:14
Cardiff before this match, away
0.75points / match
1.00scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 12:22
Middlesbrough at home away Cardiff

Per match

1.46 Goals scored 1.00
1.08 Goals conceded 1.83
2.54 Total goals 2.83
15.69 Shots 10.67
4.69 Shots on target 3.17
8.46 Shots faced 12.83
5.85 Corners 3.58
4.31 Corners against 5.17
9.31 Fouls 11.83
1.31 Yellow cards 2.17
0.92 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.46 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

46% Wins 8%
31% Draws 50%
23% Losses 42%
92% Over 0.5 goals 92%
62% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 50%
31% Over 3.5 goals 42%
15% Over 4.5 goals 25%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
38% Both teams scored 67%
38% Clean sheets 8%
31% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

46% Wins 8%
31% Draws 50%
23% Losses 42%
77% Over 0.5 goals 75%
46% Over 1.5 goals 50%
15% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Middlesbrough at home
Cardiff away

Last 10 matches before this match

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Hull – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–0) 3.253.502.10 1.88 1.98
29.12.24 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 3–3 (3–0) 1.653.905.00 1.73 2.10
21.12.24 Plymouth – Middlesbrough 3–3 (1–0) 6.004.501.48 1.57 2.38
14.12.24 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 2.10 1.73
10.12.24 Leeds – Middlesbrough 3–1 (1–0) 1.703.704.75 1.93 1.93
06.12.24 Burnley – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–1) 2.453.302.90 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Oxford – Middlesbrough 2–6 (1–3) 5.004.201.60 1.83 2.03

Cardiff all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.01.25 Cardiff – Coventry 1–1 (1–0) 2.883.502.30 1.88 1.98
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
21.12.24 Cardiff – Sheffield United 0–2 (0–0) 3.703.402.00 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
27.11.24 Cardiff – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.953.503.80 2.00 1.80
23.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.60 2.03 1.83
09.11.24 Cardiff – Blackburn 1–3 (0–1) 2.303.403.00 1.95 1.90

Middlesbrough at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Middlesbrough – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.253.10 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield Weds 3–3 (3–0) 1.653.905.00 1.73 2.10
14.12.24 Middlesbrough – Millwall 1–0 (1–0) 1.703.804.75 2.10 1.73
30.11.24 Middlesbrough – Hull 3–1 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.62 2.30
27.11.24 Middlesbrough – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 1.534.106.25 1.73 2.10
09.11.24 Middlesbrough – Luton 5–1 (2–0) 1.734.004.33 1.73 2.10
02.11.24 Middlesbrough – Coventry 0–3 (0–1) 1.704.104.50 1.67 2.20
23.10.24 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.003.603.40 1.95 1.90
19.10.24 Middlesbrough – Bristol City 0–2 (0–2) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00
28.09.24 Middlesbrough – Stoke 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.00 1.73 2.10

Cardiff away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.12.24 Watford – Cardiff 1–2 (1–2) 1.953.403.90 1.88 1.98
26.12.24 Oxford – Cardiff 3–2 (1–0) 2.883.202.50 2.10 1.73
14.12.24 Stoke – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.303.25 1.90 1.95
30.11.24 Coventry – Cardiff 2–2 (1–1) 1.704.004.33 1.88 1.98
23.11.24 Sheffield Weds – Cardiff 1–1 (1–1) 2.003.503.60 2.03 1.83
06.11.24 Luton – Cardiff 1–0 (0–0) 1.853.504.20 1.83 2.03
26.10.24 West Brom – Cardiff 0–0 (0–0) 1.653.905.00 2.03 1.83
06.10.24 Bristol City – Cardiff 1–1 (0–0) 1.753.904.20 2.00 1.85
28.09.24 Hull – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.854.103.50 1.93 1.93
14.09.24 Derby – Cardiff 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.403.00 2.10 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Middlesbrough winsDrawsCardiff wins
7matches
3.14goals / match
43%over 2.5
43%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.08.24E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–0) 3.903.751.85 1.90 1.95
27.04.24E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–4 (0–1) 3.603.602.00 1.93 1.93
03.10.23E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (0–0) 1.913.754.00 1.80 2.00
11.02.23E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–2) 3.603.402.10 2.10 1.73
13.09.22E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–3 (0–3) 1.703.605.25 2.10 1.72
27.04.22E1 Middlesbrough – Cardiff 2–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 2.05 1.80
23.10.21E1 Cardiff – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–1) 2.703.202.70 2.20 1.66

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 25 15 7 3 45 16 +29 52
2 Burnley 26 14 10 2 31 9 +22 52
3 Sheffield United 25 15 6 4 34 16 +18 51
4 Sunderland 25 13 8 4 38 22 +16 47
5 Middlesbrough 25 11 7 7 42 31 +11 40
6 West Brom 26 9 13 4 32 21 +11 40
7 Blackburn 25 11 6 8 28 23 +5 39
8 Watford 24 11 4 9 34 34 0 37
9 Sheffield Weds 25 10 6 9 36 38 -2 36
10 Bristol City 25 8 10 7 32 30 +2 34
11 Swansea 26 9 7 10 30 30 0 34
12 Norwich 25 8 9 8 41 36 +5 33
13 Millwall 24 7 8 9 22 21 +1 29
14 Coventry 25 7 8 10 33 35 -2 29
15 Preston 25 6 11 8 27 33 -6 29
16 QPR 25 6 11 8 27 33 -6 29
17 Derby 25 7 6 12 31 34 -3 27
18 Stoke 26 6 9 11 24 32 -8 27
19 Oxford 24 7 6 11 27 39 -12 27
20 Luton 25 7 4 14 26 42 -16 25
21 Portsmouth 23 5 8 10 30 40 -10 23
22 Hull 25 5 7 13 22 33 -11 22
23 Cardiff 24 5 7 12 24 39 -15 22
24 Plymouth 25 4 8 13 24 53 -29 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 13 10 2 1 30 7 +23 32
2 Sheffield United 12 9 2 1 17 5 +12 29
3 Watford 12 9 2 1 18 8 +10 29
4 Sunderland 12 8 4 0 21 8 +13 28
5 Burnley 12 6 6 0 15 4 +11 24
6 Blackburn 13 7 2 4 17 11 +6 23
7 Middlesbrough 13 6 4 3 19 14 +5 22
8 Oxford 13 6 4 3 19 17 +2 22
9 West Brom 12 5 6 1 13 6 +7 21
10 Preston 13 5 6 2 15 11 +4 21
11 Luton 13 6 3 4 18 16 +2 21
12 Norwich 12 5 5 2 29 17 +12 20
13 Derby 12 6 2 4 19 11 +8 20
14 Bristol City 12 5 5 2 18 10 +8 20
15 Swansea 13 5 5 3 20 14 +6 20
16 Millwall 13 6 2 5 14 10 +4 20
17 Sheffield Weds 13 5 4 4 20 18 +2 19
18 Coventry 12 5 3 4 22 16 +6 18
19 Stoke 14 4 6 4 18 17 +1 18
20 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 21 18 +3 17
21 QPR 13 4 5 4 18 18 0 17
22 Portsmouth 11 4 4 3 17 11 +6 16
23 Cardiff 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
24 Hull 13 2 5 6 11 15 -4 11
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Burnley 14 8 4 2 16 5 +11 28
2 Sheffield United 13 6 4 3 17 11 +6 22
3 Leeds 12 5 5 2 15 9 +6 20
4 West Brom 14 4 7 3 19 15 +4 19
5 Sunderland 13 5 4 4 17 14 +3 19
6 Middlesbrough 12 5 3 4 23 17 +6 18
7 Sheffield Weds 12 5 2 5 16 20 -4 17
8 Blackburn 12 4 4 4 11 12 -1 16
9 Bristol City 13 3 5 5 14 20 -6 14
10 Swansea 13 4 2 7 10 16 -6 14
11 Norwich 13 3 4 6 12 19 -7 13
12 QPR 12 2 6 4 9 15 -6 12
13 Hull 12 3 2 7 11 18 -7 11
14 Coventry 13 2 5 6 11 19 -8 11
15 Millwall 11 1 6 4 8 11 -3 9
16 Stoke 12 2 3 7 6 15 -9 9
17 Cardiff 12 1 6 5 12 22 -10 9
18 Watford 12 2 2 8 16 26 -10 8
19 Preston 12 1 5 6 12 22 -10 8
20 Derby 13 1 4 8 12 23 -11 7
21 Portsmouth 12 1 4 7 13 29 -16 7
22 Oxford 11 1 2 8 8 22 -14 5
23 Luton 12 1 1 10 8 26 -18 4
24 Plymouth 14 0 3 11 3 35 -32 3

Middlesbrough   Cardiff

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 24 8 16 1.4 1.4 11 4 9 34 34 37
2 21 Portsmouth 23 7 16 1.3 1.7 5 8 10 30 40 23
3 12 Norwich 25 11 14 1.6 1.4 8 9 8 41 36 33
4 14 Coventry 25 11 14 1.3 1.4 7 8 10 33 35 29
5 20 Luton 25 11 14 1.0 1.7 7 4 14 26 42 25
6 24 Plymouth 25 11 14 1.0 2.1 4 8 13 24 53 20
7 9 Sheffield Weds 25 12 13 1.4 1.5 10 6 9 36 38 36
8 4 Sunderland 25 13 12 1.5 0.9 13 8 4 38 22 47
9 11 Swansea 26 14 12 1.2 1.2 9 7 10 30 30 34
10 17 Derby 25 13 12 1.2 1.4 7 6 12 31 34 27
11 5 Middlesbrough 25 14 11 1.7 1.2 11 7 7 42 31 40
12 10 Bristol City 25 14 11 1.3 1.2 8 10 7 32 30 34
13 15 Preston 25 14 11 1.1 1.3 6 11 8 27 33 29
14 19 Oxford 24 13 11 1.1 1.6 7 6 11 27 39 27
15 6 West Brom 26 16 10 1.2 0.8 9 13 4 32 21 40
16 16 QPR 25 15 10 1.1 1.3 6 11 8 27 33 29
17 1 Leeds 25 16 9 1.8 0.6 15 7 3 45 16 52
18 18 Stoke 26 17 9 0.9 1.2 6 9 11 24 32 27
19 23 Cardiff 24 15 9 1.0 1.6 5 7 12 24 39 22
20 7 Blackburn 25 17 8 1.1 0.9 11 6 8 28 23 39
21 22 Hull 25 17 8 0.9 1.3 5 7 13 22 33 22
22 3 Sheffield United 25 19 6 1.4 0.6 15 6 4 34 16 51
23 2 Burnley 26 21 5 1.2 0.3 14 10 2 31 9 52
24 13 Millwall 24 19 5 0.9 0.9 7 8 9 22 21 29
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 14 Coventry 12 2 10 1.8 1.3 5 3 4 22 16 18
2 12 Norwich 12 4 8 2.4 1.4 5 5 2 29 17 20
3 20 Luton 13 5 8 1.4 1.2 6 3 4 18 16 21
4 24 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.9 1.6 4 5 2 21 18 17
5 1 Leeds 13 6 7 2.3 0.5 10 2 1 30 7 32
6 8 Watford 12 5 7 1.5 0.7 9 2 1 18 8 29
7 16 QPR 13 6 7 1.4 1.4 4 5 4 18 18 17
8 21 Portsmouth 11 4 7 1.5 1.0 4 4 3 17 11 16
9 4 Sunderland 12 6 6 1.8 0.7 8 4 0 21 8 28
10 11 Swansea 13 7 6 1.5 1.1 5 5 3 20 14 20
11 17 Derby 12 6 6 1.6 0.9 6 2 4 19 11 20
12 18 Stoke 14 8 6 1.3 1.2 4 6 4 18 17 18
13 5 Middlesbrough 13 8 5 1.5 1.1 6 4 3 19 14 22
14 10 Bristol City 12 7 5 1.5 0.8 5 5 2 18 10 20
15 19 Oxford 13 8 5 1.5 1.3 6 4 3 19 17 22
16 7 Blackburn 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 7 2 4 17 11 23
17 9 Sheffield Weds 13 9 4 1.5 1.4 5 4 4 20 18 19
18 15 Preston 13 9 4 1.2 0.8 5 6 2 15 11 21
19 2 Burnley 12 9 3 1.2 0.3 6 6 0 15 4 24
20 6 West Brom 12 9 3 1.1 0.5 5 6 1 13 6 21
21 13 Millwall 13 10 3 1.1 0.8 6 2 5 14 10 20
22 22 Hull 13 10 3 0.8 1.2 2 5 6 11 15 11
23 23 Cardiff 12 9 3 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
24 3 Sheffield United 12 10 2 1.4 0.4 9 2 1 17 5 29
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Watford 12 3 9 1.3 2.2 2 2 8 16 26 8
2 9 Sheffield Weds 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 5 2 5 16 20 17
3 21 Portsmouth 12 3 9 1.1 2.4 1 4 7 13 29 7
4 6 West Brom 14 7 7 1.4 1.1 4 7 3 19 15 19
5 15 Preston 12 5 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 6 12 22 8
6 4 Sunderland 13 7 6 1.3 1.1 5 4 4 17 14 19
7 5 Middlesbrough 12 6 6 1.9 1.4 5 3 4 23 17 18
8 10 Bristol City 13 7 6 1.1 1.5 3 5 5 14 20 14
9 11 Swansea 13 7 6 0.8 1.2 4 2 7 10 16 14
10 12 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 3 4 6 12 19 13
11 17 Derby 13 7 6 0.9 1.8 1 4 8 12 23 7
12 19 Oxford 11 5 6 0.7 2.0 1 2 8 8 22 5
13 20 Luton 12 6 6 0.7 2.2 1 1 10 8 26 4
14 23 Cardiff 12 6 6 1.0 1.8 1 6 5 12 22 9
15 24 Plymouth 14 8 6 0.2 2.5 0 3 11 3 35 3
16 22 Hull 12 7 5 0.9 1.5 3 2 7 11 18 11
17 3 Sheffield United 13 9 4 1.3 0.8 6 4 3 17 11 22
18 7 Blackburn 12 8 4 0.9 1.0 4 4 4 11 12 16
19 14 Coventry 13 9 4 0.8 1.5 2 5 6 11 19 11
20 16 QPR 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 6 4 9 15 12
21 18 Stoke 12 9 3 0.5 1.2 2 3 7 6 15 9
22 1 Leeds 12 10 2 1.2 0.8 5 5 2 15 9 20
23 2 Burnley 14 12 2 1.1 0.4 8 4 2 16 5 28
24 13 Millwall 11 9 2 0.7 1.0 1 6 4 8 11 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51