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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: R Ricardo

West Brom 0–1 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.71 fair 2.05
Draw 3.50 fair 4.17
Away ✓ 4.75 fair 3.69
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.62 fair 2.23
Over 2.5 2.30 fair 1.81

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

West Brom Derby
18 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
11 Corners 0
8 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (52 league matches this season so far).
Result West Brom to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.20
Home / Draw / Away
West BromDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.3% 2–1 9.5% 1–0 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

West Brom before this match, all matches
2.50points / match
1.50scored / match
0.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:3
Derby before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
1.75scored / match
2.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 7:11
West Brom all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.75
0.75 Goals conceded 2.75
2.25 Total goals 4.50
13.75 Shots 7.75
4.00 Shots on target 2.50
11.50 Shots faced 15.25
3.75 Corners 4.00
5.00 Corners against 5.75
10.25 Fouls 14.25
1.50 Yellow cards 3.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.25 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
25% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 75%
25% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom all matches
Derby all matches
West Brom before this match, at home
2.00points / match
1.00scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:1
Derby before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:5
West Brom at home away Derby

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded 2.50
1.50 Total goals 4.00
13.00 Shots 6.50
4.00 Shots on target 2.00
9.00 Shots faced 15.00
2.50 Corners 3.00
5.00 Corners against 6.50
11.50 Fouls 14.00
2.00 Yellow cards 4.50
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 100%
50% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
0% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

West Brom at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

West Brom all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Stoke – West Brom 0–1 (0–1) 2.653.202.65 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 West Brom – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.50 2.03 1.83
16.08.25 Wrexham – West Brom 2–3 (1–1) 2.753.202.55 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 West Brom – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.33 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
26.04.25 Cardiff – West Brom 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.10 1.73
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
18.04.25 Coventry – West Brom 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.603.10 1.98 1.88
12.04.25 West Brom – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.704.75 2.10 1.73
08.04.25 Bristol City – West Brom 2–1 (0–0) 2.403.402.87 2.10 1.73

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
22.08.25 Derby – Bristol City 1–1 (0–1) 3.003.202.38 2.38 1.57
16.08.25 Derby – Coventry 3–5 (2–2) 3.103.202.38 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
03.05.25 Derby – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.004.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
18.04.25 Derby – Luton 0–1 (0–1) 2.602.903.00 2.75 1.44
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
08.04.25 Derby – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.301.82 2.75 1.44

West Brom at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.08.25 West Brom – Portsmouth 1–1 (1–0) 1.753.604.50 2.03 1.83
09.08.25 West Brom – Blackburn 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.33 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 West Brom – Luton 5–3 (3–1) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.80
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
12.04.25 West Brom – Watford 2–1 (1–0) 1.733.704.75 2.10 1.73
05.04.25 West Brom – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.252.90 2.10 1.73
15.03.25 West Brom – Hull 1–1 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.10 1.73
08.03.25 West Brom – QPR 1–0 (1–0) 1.733.604.75 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 West Brom – Oxford 2–0 (1–0) 1.703.605.25 2.20 1.67
12.02.25 West Brom – Blackburn 0–2 (0–0) 1.833.404.33 2.05 1.80

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.08.25 Ipswich – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 1.493.906.50 2.00 1.80
09.08.25 Stoke – Derby 3–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.50 1.53
26.04.25 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 2.403.003.25 2.63 1.50
21.04.25 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
12.04.25 Portsmouth – Derby 2–2 (0–0) 2.303.253.20 2.63 1.50
05.04.25 Swansea – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.75 2.38 1.57
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
01.03.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 1.90 1.95
14.02.25 QPR – Derby 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
08.02.25 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

West Brom winsDrawsDerby wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.04.25E1 West Brom – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 1.913.503.80 2.38 1.57
26.12.24E1 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
27.12.21E1 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
14.09.21E1 West Brom – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.533.906.50 1.90 1.90

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 0 9 3 +6 13
2 Leicester 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
3 West Brom 4 3 1 0 6 3 +3 10
4 Stoke 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9
5 Coventry 4 2 2 0 14 6 +8 8
6 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 9 4 +5 8
7 Preston 5 2 2 1 6 5 +1 8
8 Swansea 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7
9 Portsmouth 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
10 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7
11 Millwall 5 2 1 2 4 7 -3 7
12 Ipswich 5 1 3 1 9 5 +4 6
13 Norwich 4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6
14 Southampton 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
15 Watford 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
16 Charlton 5 1 2 2 3 5 -2 5
17 Wrexham 4 1 1 2 7 7 0 4
18 Hull 4 1 1 2 5 9 -4 4
19 QPR 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
20 Blackburn 4 1 0 3 4 5 -1 3
21 Oxford 5 0 2 3 6 9 -3 2
22 Derby 4 0 2 2 7 11 -4 2
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
24 Sheffield United 5 0 0 5 1 12 -11 0
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7
2 Leicester 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
3 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 2 0 +2 6
4 Ipswich 3 1 2 0 8 3 +5 5
5 Coventry 2 1 1 0 7 1 +6 4
6 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
7 QPR 2 1 1 0 4 2 +2 4
8 Watford 2 1 1 0 4 3 +1 4
9 Birmingham 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
10 Swansea 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
11 West Brom 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
12 Charlton 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
13 Stoke 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
14 Southampton 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
15 Portsmouth 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 3
16 Hull 2 1 0 1 3 5 -2 3
17 Oxford 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 2
18 Wrexham 2 0 1 1 4 5 -1 1
19 Derby 2 0 1 1 4 6 -2 1
20 Norwich 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
21 Blackburn 2 0 0 2 1 4 -3 0
22 Sheffield United 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 0
23 Millwall 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 0 5 -5 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 0 7 3 +4 7
2 Millwall 3 2 1 0 4 2 +2 7
3 Stoke 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Norwich 2 2 0 0 4 1 +3 6
5 West Brom 2 2 0 0 4 2 +2 6
6 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 2 +3 4
7 Coventry 2 1 1 0 7 5 +2 4
8 Portsmouth 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
9 Leicester 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
10 Blackburn 2 1 0 1 3 1 +2 3
11 Wrexham 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
12 Swansea 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
13 Birmingham 2 1 0 1 2 3 -1 3
14 Southampton 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Sheffield Weds 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
16 Ipswich 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
17 Preston 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
18 Watford 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 1
19 Derby 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
20 Hull 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
21 Charlton 2 0 1 1 1 3 -2 1
22 Oxford 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0
23 QPR 2 0 0 2 2 9 -7 0
24 Sheffield United 3 0 0 3 0 7 -7 0

West Brom   Derby

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 5 2 3 1.8 0.6 4 1 0 9 3 13
2 2 Leicester 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
3 4 Stoke 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9
4 5 Coventry 4 1 3 3.5 1.5 2 2 0 14 6 8
5 13 Norwich 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 0 2 6 5 6
6 14 Southampton 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
7 17 Wrexham 4 1 3 1.8 1.8 1 1 2 7 7 4
8 18 Hull 4 1 3 1.2 2.2 1 1 2 5 9 4
9 19 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
10 21 Oxford 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 0 2 3 6 9 2
11 22 Derby 4 1 3 1.8 2.8 0 2 2 7 11 2
12 23 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 6 Bristol City 4 2 2 2.2 1.0 2 2 0 9 4 8
14 7 Preston 5 3 2 1.2 1.0 2 2 1 6 5 8
15 11 Millwall 5 3 2 0.8 1.4 2 1 2 4 7 7
16 12 Ipswich 5 3 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 1 9 5 6
17 15 Watford 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
18 20 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 1 0 3 4 5 3
19 24 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.2 2.4 0 0 5 1 12 0
20 3 West Brom 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 3 1 0 6 3 10
21 9 Portsmouth 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
22 10 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7
23 16 Charlton 5 4 1 0.6 1.0 1 2 2 3 5 5
24 8 Swansea 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Preston 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7
2 12 Ipswich 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 1 2 0 8 3 5
3 13 Norwich 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
4 14 Southampton 2 0 2 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
5 15 Watford 2 0 2 2.0 1.5 1 1 0 4 3 4
6 17 Wrexham 2 0 2 2.0 2.5 0 1 1 4 5 1
7 18 Hull 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 1 0 1 3 5 3
8 21 Oxford 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 0 2 1 4 5 2
9 2 Leicester 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
10 4 Stoke 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
11 5 Coventry 2 1 1 3.5 0.5 1 1 0 7 1 4
12 6 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
13 9 Portsmouth 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 1 0 1 2 2 3
14 11 Millwall 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
15 19 QPR 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 1 1 0 4 2 4
16 20 Blackburn 2 1 1 0.5 2.0 0 0 2 1 4 0
17 22 Derby 2 1 1 2.0 3.0 0 1 1 4 6 1
18 23 Sheffield Weds 2 1 1 0.0 2.5 0 0 2 0 5 0
19 24 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 0 2 1 5 0
20 1 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 2 0 0 2 0 6
21 3 West Brom 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
22 8 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
23 10 Birmingham 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
24 16 Charlton 3 3 0 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Middlesbrough 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 1 0 7 3 7
2 2 Leicester 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
3 4 Stoke 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 5 Coventry 2 0 2 3.5 2.5 1 1 0 7 5 4
5 19 QPR 2 0 2 1.0 4.5 0 0 2 2 9 0
6 22 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
7 23 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
8 3 West Brom 2 1 1 2.0 1.0 2 0 0 4 2 6
9 6 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 1.0 1 1 0 5 2 4
10 10 Birmingham 2 1 1 1.0 1.5 1 0 1 2 3 3
11 11 Millwall 3 2 1 1.3 0.7 2 1 0 4 2 7
12 13 Norwich 2 1 1 2.0 0.5 2 0 0 4 1 6
13 14 Southampton 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 16 Charlton 2 1 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 1 1 3 1
15 17 Wrexham 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
16 18 Hull 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
17 20 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 1 0 1 3 1 3
18 21 Oxford 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
19 24 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0.0 2.3 0 0 3 0 7 0
20 7 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
21 8 Swansea 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
22 9 Portsmouth 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
23 12 Ipswich 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1
24 15 Watford 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 0 1 1 1 2 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40