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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: S Martin

Derby 2–0 Preston

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.25 fair 2.22
Draw 3.00 fair 3.63
Away 3.60 fair 3.63
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.71
Over 2.5 2.75 fair 2.42

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Preston
7 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 3
11 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (467 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.35 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawPreston
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13% 1–1 12.9% 0–0 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.05scored / match
1.34conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 40:51
Preston before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
1.03scored / match
1.16conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 38 played · 39:44
Derby all matches all matches Preston

Per match

1.05 Goals scored 1.03
1.34 Goals conceded 1.16
2.39 Total goals 2.18
10.18 Shots 10.68
3.18 Shots on target 3.47
11.84 Shots faced 11.71
5.00 Corners 4.11
5.39 Corners against 5.24
11.95 Fouls 13.34
1.92 Yellow cards 2.39
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

26% Wins 26%
21% Draws 45%
53% Losses 29%
95% Over 0.5 goals 82%
71% Over 1.5 goals 68%
42% Over 2.5 goals 42%
16% Over 3.5 goals 21%
11% Over 4.5 goals 3%
5% Over 5.5 goals 3%
50% Both teams scored 58%
21% Clean sheets 34%
34% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 26%
42% Draws 45%
32% Losses 29%
66% Over 0.5 goals 63%
24% Over 1.5 goals 24%
8% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Preston all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.42points / match
1.21scored / match
0.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 23:17
Preston before this match, away
0.84points / match
0.95scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 19 played · 18:29
Derby at home away Preston

Per match

1.21 Goals scored 0.95
0.89 Goals conceded 1.53
2.11 Total goals 2.47
12.16 Shots 9.32
3.58 Shots on target 3.32
10.42 Shots faced 13.05
5.05 Corners 3.47
5.21 Corners against 5.79
11.84 Fouls 14.00
1.74 Yellow cards 2.47
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.37 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

42% Wins 16%
16% Draws 37%
42% Losses 47%
95% Over 0.5 goals 84%
63% Over 1.5 goals 74%
37% Over 2.5 goals 53%
11% Over 3.5 goals 26%
5% Over 4.5 goals 5%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
37% Both teams scored 63%
37% Clean sheets 26%
32% Failed to score 26%

How often Half Time

42% Wins 26%
37% Draws 42%
21% Losses 32%
68% Over 0.5 goals 68%
21% Over 1.5 goals 37%
11% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Preston away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Plymouth – Derby 2–3 (1–2) 2.803.202.55 2.50 1.53
11.03.25 Derby – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.20 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Derby – Blackburn 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.002.75 2.38 1.57
01.03.25 Middlesbrough – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.50 1.90 1.95
22.02.25 Derby – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.502.903.25 3.00 1.40
14.02.25 QPR – Derby 4–0 (2–0) 2.053.204.00 2.63 1.50
11.02.25 Derby – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.75 1.44
08.02.25 Norwich – Derby 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.98 1.88
01.02.25 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
25.01.25 Cardiff – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.40 2.50 1.53

Preston all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25 Preston – Portsmouth 2–1 (0–0) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
11.03.25 Sunderland – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.705.50 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Sheffield United – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.105.00 2.10 1.73
04.03.25 Preston – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.10 2.30 1.62
22.02.25 Coventry – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 2.10 1.73
18.02.25 Preston – Millwall 1–1 (0–1) 2.402.883.30 3.20 1.36
15.02.25 Preston – Burnley 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.252.05 2.75 1.44
11.02.25 Norwich – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.504.75 2.10 1.73
31.01.25 Blackburn – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.50 1.53
25.01.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 3.253.252.25 2.10 1.73

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25 Derby – Coventry 2–0 (1–0) 3.403.202.20 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Derby – Blackburn 2–1 (2–1) 2.703.002.75 2.38 1.57
22.02.25 Derby – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 2.502.903.25 3.00 1.40
11.02.25 Derby – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.75 1.44
01.02.25 Derby – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.603.102.15 2.20 1.67
21.01.25 Derby – Sunderland 0–1 (0–1) 3.503.302.10 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Derby – Watford 0–2 (0–1) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.73
29.12.24 Derby – Leeds 0–1 (0–0) 5.004.201.60 2.10 1.73
26.12.24 Derby – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.202.70 2.38 1.57
13.12.24 Derby – Portsmouth 4–0 (3–0) 2.053.203.75 2.30 1.62

Preston away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.03.25 Sunderland – Preston 1–1 (0–0) 1.653.705.50 2.32 1.53
08.03.25 Sheffield United – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 1.624.105.00 2.10 1.73
22.02.25 Coventry – Preston 2–1 (2–0) 1.753.604.75 2.10 1.73
11.02.25 Norwich – Preston 0–1 (0–1) 1.753.504.75 2.10 1.73
31.01.25 Blackburn – Preston 2–1 (1–0) 2.203.103.60 2.50 1.53
21.01.25 Watford – Preston 1–2 (0–1) 2.103.403.40 2.20 1.67
18.01.25 Luton – Preston 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.50 2.20 1.67
01.01.25 West Brom – Preston 3–1 (3–0) 1.833.504.33 2.30 1.62
21.12.24 QPR – Preston 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.102.90 2.50 1.53
11.12.24 Cardiff – Preston 0–2 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.20 1.67

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsPreston wins
3matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.11.24E1 Preston – Derby 1–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.40 2.20 1.67
02.04.22E1 Derby – Preston 1–0 (0–0) 2.623.102.87 2.50 1.53
16.10.21E1 Preston – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.204.20 2.30 1.61

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 39 26 7 6 56 29 +27 85
2 Leeds 39 23 12 4 78 27 +51 81
3 Burnley 39 22 15 2 53 11 +42 81
4 Sunderland 39 20 12 7 56 37 +19 72
5 Coventry 39 17 8 14 56 51 +5 59
6 West Brom 39 13 18 8 48 35 +13 57
7 Middlesbrough 39 16 9 14 59 49 +10 57
8 Bristol City 39 14 15 10 49 42 +7 57
9 Watford 39 15 8 16 47 51 -4 53
10 Norwich 39 13 13 13 61 54 +7 52
11 Blackburn 39 15 7 17 42 41 +1 52
12 Sheffield Weds 39 14 10 15 54 60 -6 52
13 Millwall 39 13 12 14 37 40 -3 51
14 Preston 38 10 17 11 39 44 -5 47
15 QPR 39 11 12 16 45 53 -8 45
16 Swansea 39 12 9 18 40 51 -11 45
17 Portsmouth 39 12 9 18 47 61 -14 45
18 Stoke 39 10 12 17 40 52 -12 42
19 Oxford 39 10 12 17 40 57 -17 42
20 Hull 39 10 11 18 39 48 -9 41
21 Cardiff 39 9 13 17 43 63 -20 40
22 Derby 38 10 8 20 40 51 -11 38
23 Luton 39 10 8 21 35 60 -25 38
24 Plymouth 39 7 13 19 40 77 -37 34
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leeds 20 15 4 1 49 11 +38 49
2 Sheffield United 20 14 3 3 30 15 +15 45
3 Sunderland 20 12 7 1 32 15 +17 43
4 Burnley 20 11 9 0 28 5 +23 42
5 Bristol City 19 10 6 3 28 15 +13 36
6 Coventry 19 11 3 5 34 22 +12 36
7 Watford 20 11 3 6 24 19 +5 36
8 West Brom 19 9 8 2 25 12 +13 35
9 Portsmouth 20 10 5 5 29 18 +11 35
10 Middlesbrough 20 10 5 5 29 21 +8 35
11 Norwich 20 9 7 4 45 27 +18 34
12 Blackburn 19 10 3 6 26 17 +9 33
13 Oxford 19 9 5 5 27 25 +2 32
14 Preston 19 7 10 2 21 15 +6 31
15 Stoke 20 7 8 5 26 22 +4 29
16 Millwall 19 8 4 7 20 17 +3 28
17 Derby 19 8 3 8 23 17 +6 27
18 QPR 19 7 6 6 29 26 +3 27
19 Luton 19 7 6 6 20 19 +1 27
20 Swansea 19 7 5 7 25 21 +4 26
21 Plymouth 19 6 7 6 32 34 -2 25
22 Cardiff 20 7 4 9 23 25 -2 25
23 Sheffield Weds 19 5 7 7 27 28 -1 22
24 Hull 20 4 7 9 21 25 -4 19
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield United 19 12 4 3 26 14 +12 40
2 Burnley 19 11 6 2 25 6 +19 39
3 Leeds 19 8 8 3 29 16 +13 32
4 Sheffield Weds 20 9 3 8 27 32 -5 30
5 Sunderland 19 8 5 6 24 22 +2 29
6 Millwall 20 5 8 7 17 23 -6 23
7 Coventry 20 6 5 9 22 29 -7 23
8 Middlesbrough 19 6 4 9 30 28 +2 22
9 West Brom 20 4 10 6 23 23 0 22
10 Hull 19 6 4 9 18 23 -5 22
11 Bristol City 20 4 9 7 21 27 -6 21
12 Blackburn 20 5 4 11 16 24 -8 19
13 Swansea 20 5 4 11 15 30 -15 19
14 Norwich 19 4 6 9 16 27 -11 18
15 QPR 20 4 6 10 16 27 -11 18
16 Watford 19 4 5 10 23 32 -9 17
17 Preston 19 3 7 9 18 29 -11 16
18 Cardiff 19 2 9 8 20 38 -18 15
19 Stoke 19 3 4 12 14 30 -16 13
20 Derby 19 2 5 12 17 34 -17 11
21 Luton 20 3 2 15 15 41 -26 11
22 Oxford 20 1 7 12 13 32 -19 10
23 Portsmouth 19 2 4 13 18 43 -25 10
24 Plymouth 20 1 6 13 8 43 -35 9

Derby   Preston

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Portsmouth 39 14 25 1.2 1.6 12 9 18 47 61 45
2 5 Coventry 39 17 22 1.4 1.3 17 8 14 56 51 59
3 9 Watford 39 17 22 1.2 1.3 15 8 16 47 51 53
4 12 Sheffield Weds 39 17 22 1.4 1.5 14 10 15 54 60 52
5 24 Plymouth 39 18 21 1.0 2.0 7 13 19 40 77 34
6 15 QPR 39 19 20 1.2 1.4 11 12 16 45 53 45
7 4 Sunderland 39 20 19 1.4 0.9 20 12 7 56 37 72
8 7 Middlesbrough 39 20 19 1.5 1.3 16 9 14 59 49 57
9 10 Norwich 39 20 19 1.6 1.4 13 13 13 61 54 52
10 16 Swansea 39 21 18 1.0 1.3 12 9 18 40 51 45
11 21 Cardiff 39 21 18 1.1 1.6 9 13 17 43 63 40
12 23 Luton 39 21 18 0.9 1.5 10 8 21 35 60 38
13 2 Leeds 39 22 17 2.0 0.7 23 12 4 78 27 81
14 14 Preston 38 22 16 1.0 1.2 10 17 11 39 44 47
15 18 Stoke 39 23 16 1.0 1.3 10 12 17 40 52 42
16 22 Derby 38 22 16 1.1 1.3 10 8 20 40 51 38
17 8 Bristol City 39 24 15 1.3 1.1 14 15 10 49 42 57
18 11 Blackburn 39 24 15 1.1 1.1 15 7 17 42 41 52
19 19 Oxford 39 24 15 1.0 1.5 10 12 17 40 57 42
20 1 Sheffield United 39 25 14 1.4 0.7 26 7 6 56 29 85
21 6 West Brom 39 26 13 1.2 0.9 13 18 8 48 35 57
22 20 Hull 39 26 13 1.0 1.2 10 11 18 39 48 41
23 13 Millwall 39 29 10 0.9 1.0 13 12 14 37 40 51
24 3 Burnley 39 30 9 1.4 0.3 22 15 2 53 11 81
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Coventry 19 5 14 1.8 1.2 11 3 5 34 22 36
2 24 Plymouth 19 6 13 1.7 1.8 6 7 6 32 34 25
3 10 Norwich 20 8 12 2.2 1.4 9 7 4 45 27 34
4 15 QPR 19 7 12 1.5 1.4 7 6 6 29 26 27
5 17 Portsmouth 20 8 12 1.4 0.9 10 5 5 29 18 35
6 2 Leeds 20 9 11 2.5 0.6 15 4 1 49 11 49
7 9 Watford 20 9 11 1.2 0.9 11 3 6 24 19 36
8 4 Sunderland 20 11 9 1.6 0.8 12 7 1 32 15 43
9 18 Stoke 20 11 9 1.3 1.1 7 8 5 26 22 29
10 7 Middlesbrough 20 12 8 1.4 1.1 10 5 5 29 21 35
11 8 Bristol City 19 11 8 1.5 0.8 10 6 3 28 15 36
12 12 Sheffield Weds 19 11 8 1.4 1.5 5 7 7 27 28 22
13 16 Swansea 19 11 8 1.3 1.1 7 5 7 25 21 26
14 23 Luton 19 11 8 1.1 1.0 7 6 6 20 19 27
15 1 Sheffield United 20 13 7 1.5 0.8 14 3 3 30 15 45
16 11 Blackburn 19 12 7 1.4 0.9 10 3 6 26 17 33
17 19 Oxford 19 12 7 1.4 1.3 9 5 5 27 25 32
18 20 Hull 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 4 7 9 21 25 19
19 21 Cardiff 20 13 7 1.1 1.2 7 4 9 23 25 25
20 22 Derby 19 12 7 1.2 0.9 8 3 8 23 17 27
21 14 Preston 19 13 6 1.1 0.8 7 10 2 21 15 31
22 3 Burnley 20 15 5 1.4 0.2 11 9 0 28 5 42
23 6 West Brom 19 14 5 1.3 0.6 9 8 2 25 12 35
24 13 Millwall 19 14 5 1.1 0.9 8 4 7 20 17 28
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Sheffield Weds 20 6 14 1.4 1.6 9 3 8 27 32 30
2 17 Portsmouth 19 6 13 0.9 2.3 2 4 13 18 43 10
3 7 Middlesbrough 19 8 11 1.6 1.5 6 4 9 30 28 22
4 9 Watford 19 8 11 1.2 1.7 4 5 10 23 32 17
5 21 Cardiff 19 8 11 1.1 2.0 2 9 8 20 38 15
6 4 Sunderland 19 9 10 1.3 1.2 8 5 6 24 22 29
7 14 Preston 19 9 10 0.9 1.5 3 7 9 18 29 16
8 16 Swansea 20 10 10 0.8 1.5 5 4 11 15 30 19
9 23 Luton 20 10 10 0.8 2.0 3 2 15 15 41 11
10 22 Derby 19 10 9 0.9 1.8 2 5 12 17 34 11
11 5 Coventry 20 12 8 1.1 1.4 6 5 9 22 29 23
12 6 West Brom 20 12 8 1.1 1.1 4 10 6 23 23 22
13 11 Blackburn 20 12 8 0.8 1.2 5 4 11 16 24 19
14 15 QPR 20 12 8 0.8 1.4 4 6 10 16 27 18
15 19 Oxford 20 12 8 0.7 1.6 1 7 12 13 32 10
16 24 Plymouth 20 12 8 0.4 2.1 1 6 13 8 43 9
17 1 Sheffield United 19 12 7 1.4 0.7 12 4 3 26 14 40
18 8 Bristol City 20 13 7 1.1 1.4 4 9 7 21 27 21
19 10 Norwich 19 12 7 0.8 1.4 4 6 9 16 27 18
20 18 Stoke 19 12 7 0.7 1.6 3 4 12 14 30 13
21 2 Leeds 19 13 6 1.5 0.8 8 8 3 29 16 32
22 20 Hull 19 13 6 0.9 1.2 6 4 9 18 23 22
23 13 Millwall 20 15 5 0.8 1.1 5 8 7 17 23 23
24 3 Burnley 19 15 4 1.3 0.3 11 6 2 25 6 39

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51