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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Busby

Watford 3–0 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.65 fair 2.94
Draw 3.40 fair 3.67
Away 2.45 fair 2.58
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.81
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.05 fair 2.24

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Middlesbrough
9 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 4
1 Corners 7
15 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (147 league matches this season so far).
Result Middlesbrough to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.18 – 1.28
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.9% 0–1 10.9% 1–0 10.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
1.17scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 14:16
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
2.08points / match
1.33scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 16:8
Watford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.17 Goals scored 1.33
1.33 Goals conceded 0.67
2.50 Total goals 2.00
14.67 Shots 12.17
4.67 Shots on target 3.92
12.58 Shots faced 11.00
4.25 Corners 5.08
5.17 Corners against 5.25
11.08 Fouls 9.17
1.92 Yellow cards 2.17
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.42
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.25

How often Full Time

33% Wins 58%
25% Draws 33%
42% Losses 8%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
67% Over 1.5 goals 58%
58% Over 2.5 goals 42%
25% Over 3.5 goals 8%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 42%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 33%
33% Draws 42%
42% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 58%
33% Over 1.5 goals 8%
25% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Watford before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.67scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:7
Middlesbrough before this match, away
1.83points / match
1.50scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:5
Watford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.50
1.17 Goals conceded 0.83
2.83 Total goals 2.33
18.00 Shots 12.50
5.33 Shots on target 3.50
12.33 Shots faced 10.83
5.00 Corners 5.50
5.00 Corners against 4.67
10.00 Fouls 9.83
1.33 Yellow cards 3.17
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 33%
17% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 67%
83% Over 2.5 goals 50%
17% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
83% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 33%
17% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
50% Over 1.5 goals 17%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Coventry – Watford 3–1 (3–0) 1.454.756.00 1.67 2.20
22.10.25 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.653.252.55 2.20 1.67
18.10.25 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.303.90 2.00 1.80
04.10.25 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80
01.10.25 Portsmouth – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.10 1.73
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Swansea – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.70 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Middlesbrough – Wrexham 1–1 (0–1) 1.683.604.75 2.00 1.85
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
17.10.25 Middlesbrough – Ipswich 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.252.50 2.10 1.73
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
30.09.25 Middlesbrough – Stoke 0–0 (0–0) 1.763.404.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
19.09.25 Middlesbrough – West Brom 2–1 (1–0) 2.103.403.30 2.10 1.73
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Middlesbrough – Sheffield United 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.10 1.90 1.95
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.25 Watford – West Brom 2–1 (1–1) 2.653.252.55 2.20 1.67
04.10.25 Watford – Oxford 2–1 (2–1) 1.963.253.90 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25 Watford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.20 1.67
29.03.25 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.75 2.03 1.83

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.10.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.66 1.93 1.93
04.10.25 Portsmouth – Middlesbrough 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.25 2.03 1.83
27.09.25 Southampton – Middlesbrough 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.402.85 1.88 1.98
13.09.25 Preston – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.003.302.20 2.10 1.73
23.08.25 Norwich – Middlesbrough 1–2 (0–2) 2.253.403.10 1.93 1.93
16.08.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 0–3 (0–0) 2.153.253.40 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Coventry – Middlesbrough 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.803.20 1.57 2.38
21.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.15 1.90 1.95
12.04.25 Millwall – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.45 2.10 1.73
04.04.25 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 0–2 (0–2) 2.803.402.40 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
6matches
3.00goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25E1 Middlesbrough – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.62 2.30
05.10.24E1 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–0) 3.503.801.95 1.67 2.20
04.05.24E1 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
30.09.23E1 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–3 (1–2) 2.453.402.90 1.93 1.93
28.01.23E1 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
30.08.22E1 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 13 8 4 1 36 12 +24 28
2 Middlesbrough 12 7 4 1 16 8 +8 25
3 Millwall 12 7 2 3 14 13 +1 23
4 Bristol City 12 6 4 2 20 11 +9 22
5 Hull 13 6 4 3 22 20 +2 22
6 Stoke 12 6 3 3 13 8 +5 21
7 Charlton 12 5 4 3 14 10 +4 19
8 Preston 12 5 4 3 15 12 +3 19
9 QPR 12 5 3 4 15 17 -2 18
10 West Brom 13 5 3 5 12 14 -2 18
11 Leicester 13 4 5 4 15 14 +1 17
12 Wrexham 13 4 5 4 19 19 0 17
13 Ipswich 11 4 4 3 17 13 +4 16
14 Swansea 12 4 4 4 12 12 0 16
15 Watford 12 4 3 5 14 16 -2 15
16 Birmingham 12 4 3 5 11 15 -4 15
17 Derby 12 3 5 4 13 16 -3 14
18 Portsmouth 12 3 4 5 10 13 -3 13
19 Blackburn 12 4 1 7 12 17 -5 13
20 Oxford 12 3 3 6 13 15 -2 12
21 Southampton 12 2 6 4 13 17 -4 12
22 Sheffield United 12 3 0 9 9 20 -11 9
23 Norwich 13 2 2 9 12 20 -8 8
24 Sheffield Weds 13 1 4 8 10 25 -15 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 6 4 2 0 16 3 +13 14
2 Ipswich 7 4 2 1 14 8 +6 14
3 Preston 7 4 2 1 10 6 +4 14
4 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 0 7 3 +4 14
5 Hull 7 4 2 1 12 10 +2 14
6 Watford 6 4 1 1 10 7 +3 13
7 Millwall 7 4 0 3 7 9 -2 12
8 Bristol City 7 3 2 2 11 9 +2 11
9 Charlton 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10
10 Stoke 5 3 1 1 6 3 +3 10
11 Leicester 6 2 3 1 6 5 +1 9
12 West Brom 6 2 3 1 5 4 +1 9
13 Wrexham 7 2 3 2 11 12 -1 9
14 Derby 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
15 Swansea 7 2 3 2 8 9 -1 9
16 QPR 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
17 Birmingham 5 2 2 1 7 6 +1 8
18 Portsmouth 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
19 Southampton 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
20 Oxford 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
21 Blackburn 6 1 1 4 6 11 -5 4
22 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 3 8 -5 3
23 Sheffield Weds 7 0 1 6 2 17 -15 1
24 Norwich 6 0 0 6 4 11 -7 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 7 4 2 1 20 9 +11 14
2 Bristol City 5 3 2 0 9 2 +7 11
3 Middlesbrough 6 3 2 1 9 5 +4 11
4 Millwall 5 3 2 0 7 4 +3 11
5 Stoke 7 3 2 2 7 5 +2 11
6 QPR 7 3 1 3 9 13 -4 10
7 Charlton 7 2 3 2 7 7 0 9
8 Blackburn 6 3 0 3 6 6 0 9
9 West Brom 7 3 0 4 7 10 -3 9
10 Wrexham 6 2 2 2 8 7 +1 8
11 Hull 6 2 2 2 10 10 0 8
12 Leicester 7 2 2 3 9 9 0 8
13 Norwich 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1 8
14 Swansea 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7
15 Oxford 7 2 1 4 8 9 -1 7
16 Birmingham 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7
17 Sheffield Weds 6 1 3 2 8 8 0 6
18 Portsmouth 5 1 3 1 4 4 0 6
19 Southampton 7 1 3 3 9 13 -4 6
20 Sheffield United 7 2 0 5 6 12 -6 6
21 Preston 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
22 Derby 5 1 2 2 5 7 -2 5
23 Ipswich 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Watford 6 0 2 4 4 9 -5 2

Watford   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 13 4 9 2.8 0.9 8 4 1 36 12 28
2 5 Hull 13 4 9 1.7 1.5 6 4 3 22 20 22
3 24 Sheffield Weds 13 5 8 0.8 1.9 1 4 8 10 25 7
4 15 Watford 12 5 7 1.2 1.3 4 3 5 14 16 15
5 21 Southampton 12 5 7 1.1 1.4 2 6 4 13 17 12
6 4 Bristol City 12 6 6 1.7 0.9 6 4 2 20 11 22
7 9 QPR 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 3 4 15 17 18
8 12 Wrexham 13 7 6 1.5 1.5 4 5 4 19 19 17
9 13 Ipswich 11 5 6 1.5 1.2 4 4 3 17 13 16
10 19 Blackburn 12 6 6 1.0 1.4 4 1 7 12 17 13
11 20 Oxford 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 3 3 6 13 15 12
12 23 Norwich 13 7 6 0.9 1.5 2 2 9 12 20 8
13 2 Middlesbrough 12 7 5 1.3 0.7 7 4 1 16 8 25
14 3 Millwall 12 7 5 1.2 1.1 7 2 3 14 13 23
15 8 Preston 12 7 5 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 15 12 19
16 10 West Brom 13 8 5 0.9 1.1 5 3 5 12 14 18
17 11 Leicester 13 8 5 1.2 1.1 4 5 4 15 14 17
18 22 Sheffield United 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 0 9 9 20 9
19 7 Charlton 12 8 4 1.2 0.8 5 4 3 14 10 19
20 14 Swansea 12 8 4 1.0 1.0 4 4 4 12 12 16
21 16 Birmingham 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 4 3 5 11 15 15
22 18 Portsmouth 12 8 4 0.8 1.1 3 4 5 10 13 13
23 6 Stoke 12 9 3 1.1 0.7 6 3 3 13 8 21
24 17 Derby 12 9 3 1.1 1.3 3 5 4 13 16 14
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Hull 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 4 2 1 12 10 14
2 13 Ipswich 7 2 5 2.0 1.1 4 2 1 14 8 14
3 15 Watford 6 1 5 1.7 1.2 4 1 1 10 7 13
4 4 Bristol City 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 3 2 2 11 9 11
5 12 Wrexham 7 3 4 1.6 1.7 2 3 2 11 12 9
6 19 Blackburn 6 2 4 1.0 1.8 1 1 4 6 11 4
7 24 Sheffield Weds 7 3 4 0.3 2.4 0 1 6 2 17 1
8 1 Coventry 6 3 3 2.7 0.5 4 2 0 16 3 14
9 3 Millwall 7 4 3 1.0 1.3 4 0 3 7 9 12
10 8 Preston 7 4 3 1.4 0.9 4 2 1 10 6 14
11 14 Swansea 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
12 18 Portsmouth 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
13 23 Norwich 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 0 6 4 11 0
14 2 Middlesbrough 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 4 2 0 7 3 14
15 7 Charlton 5 3 2 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10
16 9 QPR 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
17 16 Birmingham 5 3 2 1.4 1.2 2 2 1 7 6 8
18 20 Oxford 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
19 21 Southampton 5 3 2 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6
20 22 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 0 4 3 8 3
21 6 Stoke 5 4 1 1.2 0.6 3 1 1 6 3 10
22 10 West Brom 6 5 1 0.8 0.7 2 3 1 5 4 9
23 11 Leicester 6 5 1 1.0 0.8 2 3 1 6 5 9
24 17 Derby 7 6 1 1.1 1.3 2 3 2 8 9 9
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 7 1 6 2.9 1.3 4 2 1 20 9 14
2 21 Southampton 7 2 5 1.3 1.9 1 3 3 9 13 6
3 5 Hull 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 2 2 2 10 10 8
4 9 QPR 7 3 4 1.3 1.9 3 1 3 9 13 10
5 10 West Brom 7 3 4 1.0 1.4 3 0 4 7 10 9
6 11 Leicester 7 3 4 1.3 1.3 2 2 3 9 9 8
7 20 Oxford 7 3 4 1.1 1.3 2 1 4 8 9 7
8 24 Sheffield Weds 6 2 4 1.3 1.3 1 3 2 8 8 6
9 2 Middlesbrough 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 3 2 1 9 5 11
10 22 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0.9 1.7 2 0 5 6 12 6
11 23 Norwich 7 4 3 1.1 1.3 2 2 3 8 9 8
12 3 Millwall 5 3 2 1.4 0.8 3 2 0 7 4 11
13 4 Bristol City 5 3 2 1.8 0.4 3 2 0 9 2 11
14 6 Stoke 7 5 2 1.0 0.7 3 2 2 7 5 11
15 7 Charlton 7 5 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 2 7 7 9
16 8 Preston 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
17 12 Wrexham 6 4 2 1.3 1.2 2 2 2 8 7 8
18 15 Watford 6 4 2 0.7 1.5 0 2 4 4 9 2
19 16 Birmingham 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7
20 17 Derby 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 1 2 2 5 7 5
21 19 Blackburn 6 4 2 1.0 1.0 3 0 3 6 6 9
22 13 Ipswich 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
23 14 Swansea 5 4 1 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7
24 18 Portsmouth 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 1 3 1 4 4 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51