Watford 1–2 Burnley – England Championship, 18 Apr 2025

Match facts

Watford Burnley

11 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 7

4 Corners 1

17 Fouls 4

3 Yellow cards 4

2 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (505 league matches this season so far).

Result Burnley to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.58

Expected goals 0.76 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

24% 31% 46%

WatfordDrawBurnley

Under / Over 2.5 goals

69% 31%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

63% 37%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

14% 0

28% 1

27% 2

18% 3

9% 4

5% 5+

Most likely scores

0–1 16.9% 0–0 14.4% 1–1 12.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches

1.33points / match

1.19scored / match

1.31conceded / match

16 8 18

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 50:55

Burnley before this match, all matches

2.10points / match

1.36scored / match

0.31conceded / match

24 16 2

WonDrawnLost 42 played · 57:13

Watford all matches all matches Burnley

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.36

1.31 Goals conceded 0.31

2.50 Total goals 1.67

11.43 Shots 11.55

3.64 Shots on target 3.71

12.71 Shots faced 9.19

5.29 Corners 5.38

5.07 Corners against 3.81

12.05 Fouls 11.88

2.05 Yellow cards 1.76

0.40 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.21

How often Full Time

38% Wins 57%

19% Draws 38%

43% Losses 5%

93% Over 0.5 goals 71%

69% Over 1.5 goals 50%

57% Over 2.5 goals 26%

17% Over 3.5 goals 12%

7% Over 4.5 goals 7%

2% Over 5.5 goals 0%

55% Both teams scored 26%

29% Clean sheets 69%

24% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 40%

40% Draws 50%

38% Losses 10%

69% Over 0.5 goals 60%

29% Over 1.5 goals 29%

10% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches

1

W

2

W

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

L

D

1

2

L

1

W

1

2

L

Burnley all matches

D

4

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

Watford before this match, at home

1.86points / match

1.19scored / match

0.90conceded / match

12 3 6

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 25:19

Burnley before this match, away

2.05points / match

1.29scored / match

0.33conceded / match

12 7 2

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 27:7

Watford at home away Burnley

Per match

1.19 Goals scored 1.29

0.90 Goals conceded 0.33

2.10 Total goals 1.62

12.05 Shots 10.86

3.90 Shots on target 3.90

12.14 Shots faced 10.29

5.95 Corners 4.29

4.57 Corners against 4.67

11.57 Fouls 13.00

2.10 Yellow cards 2.00

0.43 1st-half goals scored 0.76

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.24

How often Full Time

57% Wins 57%

14% Draws 33%

29% Losses 10%

90% Over 0.5 goals 71%

62% Over 1.5 goals 48%

52% Over 2.5 goals 24%

5% Over 3.5 goals 10%

0% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

48% Both teams scored 24%

43% Clean sheets 67%

19% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

24% Wins 38%

48% Draws 48%

29% Losses 14%

62% Over 0.5 goals 57%

24% Over 1.5 goals 24%

10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

4

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

W

D

1

W

Burnley away

2

W

D

1

W

5

W

D

2

1

W

2

W

2

1

W

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.25	West Brom – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.73	3.70	4.75	2.10	1.73
08.04.25	Watford – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
05.04.25	Bristol City – Watford	2–1 (2–0)	1.80	3.50	4.50	2.03	1.83
29.03.25	Watford – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	3.90	5.75	2.03	1.83
15.03.25	Oxford – Watford	1–0 (0–0)	2.75	3.25	2.55	2.20	1.67
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
01.03.25	Stoke – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.30	2.88	1.95	1.90
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
15.02.25	Middlesbrough – Watford	0–1 (0–1)	1.60	3.90	5.50	1.62	2.30

Burnley all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.04.25	Burnley – Norwich	2–1 (2–0)	1.60	3.90	5.50	2.00	1.80
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
05.04.25	Coventry – Burnley	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.20	2.38	2.20	1.67
29.03.25	Burnley – Bristol City	1–0 (1–0)	1.73	3.50	5.00	2.30	1.62
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
11.03.25	Burnley – West Brom	1–1 (1–1)	1.87	3.20	4.33	2.63	1.50
08.03.25	Burnley – Luton	4–0 (2–0)	1.62	3.60	6.00	2.38	1.57
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
21.02.25	Burnley – Sheffield Weds	4–0 (1–0)	1.77	3.25	5.00	2.38	1.57
15.02.25	Preston – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.25	2.05	2.75	1.44

Watford at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Watford – Hull	1–0 (0–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.20	1.67
29.03.25	Watford – Plymouth	0–0 (0–0)	1.57	3.90	5.75	2.03	1.83
12.03.25	Watford – Swansea	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.05	1.68
08.03.25	Watford – Millwall	1–2 (1–0)	2.30	3.25	3.10	2.45	1.49
23.02.25	Watford – Luton	2–0 (2–0)	2.35	3.50	2.88	2.20	1.67
11.02.25	Watford – Leeds	0–4 (0–3)	10.00	4.75	1.33	1.73	2.10
01.02.25	Watford – Norwich	0–1 (0–1)	2.63	3.30	2.63	1.88	1.98
21.01.25	Watford – Preston	1–2 (0–1)	2.10	3.40	3.40	2.20	1.67
04.01.25	Watford – Sheffield United	1–2 (1–1)	2.75	3.50	2.40	2.10	1.73
29.12.24	Watford – Cardiff	1–2 (1–2)	1.95	3.40	3.90	1.88	1.98

Burnley away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.04.25	Derby – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.30	1.82	2.75	1.44
05.04.25	Coventry – Burnley	1–2 (1–1)	3.10	3.20	2.38	2.20	1.67
15.03.25	Swansea – Burnley	0–2 (0–2)	3.60	3.20	2.10	2.50	1.53
04.03.25	Cardiff – Burnley	1–2 (1–2)	4.20	3.40	1.90	2.57	1.46
15.02.25	Preston – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	3.75	3.25	2.05	2.75	1.44
01.02.25	Portsmouth – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.40	1.75	2.20	1.67
22.01.25	Plymouth – Burnley	0–5 (0–5)	6.00	3.60	1.60	2.05	1.68
04.01.25	Blackburn – Burnley	0–1 (0–0)	3.20	3.40	2.20	2.38	1.57
29.12.24	Middlesbrough – Burnley	0–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.10	2.10	1.73
26.12.24	Sheffield United – Burnley	0–2 (0–1)	2.40	3.20	3.00	2.38	1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 2 2

Watford winsDrawsBurnley wins

5matches

1.80goals / match

40%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.12.24E1	Burnley – Watford	2–1 (1–0)	1.70	3.70	5.25	2.10	1.73
14.02.23E1	Burnley – Watford	1–1 (0–1)	1.67	3.80	5.25	1.95	1.90
12.08.22E1	Watford – Burnley	1–0 (1–0)	2.30	3.30	3.10	2.10	1.72
30.04.22E0	Watford – Burnley	1–2 (1–0)	2.60	3.30	2.75	2.10	1.72
05.02.22E0	Burnley – Watford	0–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.25	3.50	2.10	1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	42	25	13	4	82	29	+53	88
2	Burnley	42	24	16	2	57	13	+44	88
3	Sheffield United	42	26	7	9	57	33	+24	85
4	Sunderland	42	21	13	8	57	38	+19	76
5	Bristol City	42	16	16	10	54	45	+9	64
6	Coventry	42	18	9	15	59	54	+5	63
7	West Brom	42	14	18	10	51	39	+12	60
8	Middlesbrough	42	17	9	16	61	51	+10	60
9	Millwall	42	16	12	14	41	41	0	60
10	Blackburn	42	16	8	18	45	45	0	56
11	Watford	42	16	8	18	50	55	-5	56
12	Swansea	42	15	9	18	45	51	-6	54
13	Norwich	42	13	14	15	63	58	+5	53
14	Sheffield Weds	42	14	11	17	56	64	-8	53
15	QPR	42	12	14	16	49	55	-6	50
16	Preston	42	10	19	13	43	51	-8	49
17	Oxford	42	12	12	18	43	60	-17	48
18	Stoke	42	11	14	17	43	54	-11	47
19	Portsmouth	42	12	10	20	50	66	-16	46
20	Hull	42	11	12	19	41	50	-9	45
21	Derby	43	11	10	22	44	55	-11	43
22	Luton	43	11	10	22	38	63	-25	43
23	Cardiff	42	9	15	18	45	66	-21	42
24	Plymouth	42	9	13	20	44	82	-38	40

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	21	16	4	1	51	12	+39	52
2	Burnley	21	12	9	0	30	6	+24	45
3	Sheffield United	21	14	3	4	30	16	+14	45
4	Sunderland	21	12	7	2	32	16	+16	43
5	Bristol City	21	12	6	3	32	17	+15	42
6	Coventry	21	12	3	6	36	24	+12	39
7	Watford	21	12	3	6	25	19	+6	39
8	West Brom	21	10	8	3	27	14	+13	38
9	Portsmouth	21	10	6	5	31	20	+11	36
10	Norwich	21	9	8	4	45	27	+18	35
11	Middlesbrough	21	10	5	6	29	22	+7	35
12	Oxford	21	10	5	6	29	28	+1	35
13	Blackburn	21	10	4	7	28	21	+7	34
14	Millwall	21	10	4	7	23	18	+5	34
15	Preston	21	7	12	2	24	18	+6	33
16	Swansea	21	9	5	7	29	21	+8	32
17	Derby	22	9	4	9	25	18	+7	31
18	Plymouth	21	8	7	6	36	36	0	31
19	Stoke	21	7	9	5	27	23	+4	30
20	QPR	21	7	8	6	30	27	+3	29
21	Luton	21	7	7	7	21	21	0	28
22	Cardiff	21	7	4	10	23	26	-3	25
23	Sheffield Weds	21	5	7	9	27	30	-3	22
24	Hull	21	4	8	9	22	26	-4	20

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Burnley	21	12	7	2	27	7	+20	43
2	Sheffield United	21	12	4	5	27	17	+10	40
3	Leeds	21	9	9	3	31	17	+14	36
4	Sunderland	21	9	6	6	25	22	+3	33
5	Sheffield Weds	21	9	4	8	29	34	-5	31
6	Millwall	21	6	8	7	18	23	-5	26
7	Middlesbrough	21	7	4	10	32	29	+3	25
8	Hull	21	7	4	10	19	24	-5	25
9	Coventry	21	6	6	9	23	30	-7	24
10	West Brom	21	4	10	7	24	25	-1	22
11	Bristol City	21	4	10	7	22	28	-6	22
12	Blackburn	21	6	4	11	17	24	-7	22
13	Swansea	21	6	4	11	16	30	-14	22
14	QPR	21	5	6	10	19	28	-9	21
15	Norwich	21	4	6	11	18	31	-13	18
16	Watford	21	4	5	12	25	36	-11	17
17	Stoke	21	4	5	12	16	31	-15	17
18	Cardiff	21	2	11	8	22	40	-18	17
19	Preston	21	3	7	11	19	33	-14	16
20	Luton	22	4	3	15	17	42	-25	15
21	Oxford	21	2	7	12	14	32	-18	13
22	Derby	21	2	6	13	19	37	-18	12
23	Portsmouth	21	2	4	15	19	46	-27	10
24	Plymouth	21	1	6	14	8	46	-38	9

Watford Burnley

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	19	Portsmouth	42	15	27	1.2	1.6	12	10	20	50	66	46
2	11	Watford	42	18	24	1.2	1.3	16	8	18	50	55	56
3	24	Plymouth	42	18	24	1.0	2.0	9	13	20	44	82	40
4	6	Coventry	42	19	23	1.4	1.3	18	9	15	59	54	63
5	14	Sheffield Weds	42	19	23	1.3	1.5	14	11	17	56	64	53
6	13	Norwich	42	21	21	1.5	1.4	13	14	15	63	58	53
7	15	QPR	42	21	21	1.2	1.3	12	14	16	49	55	50
8	4	Sunderland	42	23	19	1.4	0.9	21	13	8	57	38	76
9	8	Middlesbrough	42	23	19	1.5	1.2	17	9	16	61	51	60
10	12	Swansea	42	23	19	1.1	1.2	15	9	18	45	51	54
11	23	Cardiff	42	23	19	1.1	1.6	9	15	18	45	66	42
12	1	Leeds	42	24	18	2.0	0.7	25	13	4	82	29	88
13	16	Preston	42	24	18	1.0	1.2	10	19	13	43	51	49
14	22	Luton	43	25	18	0.9	1.5	11	10	22	38	63	43
15	5	Bristol City	42	25	17	1.3	1.1	16	16	10	54	45	64
16	21	Derby	43	26	17	1.0	1.3	11	10	22	44	55	43
17	10	Blackburn	42	26	16	1.1	1.1	16	8	18	45	45	56
18	17	Oxford	42	26	16	1.0	1.4	12	12	18	43	60	48
19	18	Stoke	42	26	16	1.0	1.3	11	14	17	43	54	47
20	3	Sheffield United	42	27	15	1.4	0.8	26	7	9	57	33	85
21	7	West Brom	42	27	15	1.2	0.9	14	18	10	51	39	60
22	20	Hull	42	29	13	1.0	1.2	11	12	19	41	50	45
23	2	Burnley	42	31	11	1.4	0.3	24	16	2	57	13	88
24	9	Millwall	42	31	11	1.0	1.0	16	12	14	41	41	60

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Coventry	21	6	15	1.7	1.1	12	3	6	36	24	39
2	24	Plymouth	21	6	15	1.7	1.7	8	7	6	36	36	31
3	19	Portsmouth	21	8	13	1.5	1.0	10	6	5	31	20	36
4	1	Leeds	21	9	12	2.4	0.6	16	4	1	51	12	52
5	13	Norwich	21	9	12	2.1	1.3	9	8	4	45	27	35
6	15	QPR	21	9	12	1.4	1.3	7	8	6	30	27	29
7	11	Watford	21	10	11	1.2	0.9	12	3	6	25	19	39
8	5	Bristol City	21	11	10	1.5	0.8	12	6	3	32	17	42
9	4	Sunderland	21	12	9	1.5	0.8	12	7	2	32	16	43
10	12	Swansea	21	12	9	1.4	1.0	9	5	7	29	21	32
11	18	Stoke	21	12	9	1.3	1.1	7	9	5	27	23	30
12	8	Middlesbrough	21	13	8	1.4	1.0	10	5	6	29	22	35
13	10	Blackburn	21	13	8	1.3	1.0	10	4	7	28	21	34
14	14	Sheffield Weds	21	13	8	1.3	1.4	5	7	9	27	30	22
15	17	Oxford	21	13	8	1.4	1.3	10	5	6	29	28	35
16	22	Luton	21	13	8	1.0	1.0	7	7	7	21	21	28
17	3	Sheffield United	21	14	7	1.4	0.8	14	3	4	30	16	45
18	16	Preston	21	14	7	1.1	0.9	7	12	2	24	18	33
19	20	Hull	21	14	7	1.0	1.2	4	8	9	22	26	20
20	21	Derby	22	15	7	1.1	0.8	9	4	9	25	18	31
21	23	Cardiff	21	14	7	1.1	1.2	7	4	10	23	26	25
22	2	Burnley	21	15	6	1.4	0.3	12	9	0	30	6	45
23	7	West Brom	21	15	6	1.3	0.7	10	8	3	27	14	38
24	9	Millwall	21	15	6	1.1	0.9	10	4	7	23	18	34

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	14	Sheffield Weds	21	6	15	1.4	1.6	9	4	8	29	34	31
2	19	Portsmouth	21	7	14	0.9	2.2	2	4	15	19	46	10
3	11	Watford	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	4	5	12	25	36	17
4	23	Cardiff	21	9	12	1.0	1.9	2	11	8	22	40	17
5	8	Middlesbrough	21	10	11	1.5	1.4	7	4	10	32	29	25
6	16	Preston	21	10	11	0.9	1.6	3	7	11	19	33	16
7	4	Sunderland	21	11	10	1.2	1.0	9	6	6	25	22	33
8	12	Swansea	21	11	10	0.8	1.4	6	4	11	16	30	22
9	21	Derby	21	11	10	0.9	1.8	2	6	13	19	37	12
10	22	Luton	22	12	10	0.8	1.9	4	3	15	17	42	15
11	7	West Brom	21	12	9	1.1	1.2	4	10	7	24	25	22
12	13	Norwich	21	12	9	0.9	1.5	4	6	11	18	31	18
13	15	QPR	21	12	9	0.9	1.3	5	6	10	19	28	21
14	24	Plymouth	21	12	9	0.4	2.2	1	6	14	8	46	9
15	3	Sheffield United	21	13	8	1.3	0.8	12	4	5	27	17	40
16	6	Coventry	21	13	8	1.1	1.4	6	6	9	23	30	24
17	10	Blackburn	21	13	8	0.8	1.1	6	4	11	17	24	22
18	17	Oxford	21	13	8	0.7	1.5	2	7	12	14	32	13
19	5	Bristol City	21	14	7	1.0	1.3	4	10	7	22	28	22
20	18	Stoke	21	14	7	0.8	1.5	4	5	12	16	31	17
21	1	Leeds	21	15	6	1.5	0.8	9	9	3	31	17	36
22	20	Hull	21	15	6	0.9	1.1	7	4	10	19	24	25
23	2	Burnley	21	16	5	1.3	0.3	12	7	2	27	7	43
24	9	Millwall	21	16	5	0.9	1.1	6	8	7	18	23	26

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.