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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: O Langford

Watford 2–3 Middlesbrough

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 2.45 fair 1.92
Draw 3.40 fair 4.21
Away ✓ 2.90 fair 4.14
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.16
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.86

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Middlesbrough
17 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
9 Corners 3
10 Fouls 15
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.82
Expected goals 1.73 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawMiddlesbrough
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.2% 1–0 10.2% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:10
Middlesbrough before this match, all matches
0.63points / match
0.88scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 7:15
Watford all matches all matches Middlesbrough

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.88
1.25 Goals conceded 1.88
2.63 Total goals 2.75
14.88 Shots 15.38
4.50 Shots on target 4.88
10.38 Shots faced 12.13
6.00 Corners 6.63
4.50 Corners against 5.63
12.13 Fouls 9.13
1.75 Yellow cards 1.38
0.88 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

25% Wins 13%
38% Draws 25%
38% Losses 63%
88% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 88%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
38% Over 3.5 goals 13%
13% Over 4.5 goals 13%
13% Over 5.5 goals 13%
25% Both teams scored 63%
38% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

13% Wins 0%
88% Draws 38%
0% Losses 63%
38% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 25%
25% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Middlesbrough all matches
Watford before this match, at home
1.60points / match
1.60scored / match
0.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 8:3
Middlesbrough before this match, away
0.25points / match
1.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 4:10
Watford at home away Middlesbrough

Per match

1.60 Goals scored 1.00
0.60 Goals conceded 2.50
2.20 Total goals 3.50
18.20 Shots 15.00
5.40 Shots on target 4.00
7.40 Shots faced 10.75
7.80 Corners 5.50
2.40 Corners against 4.75
11.20 Fouls 8.75
1.40 Yellow cards 1.25
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.25
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.25

How often Full Time

40% Wins 0%
40% Draws 25%
20% Losses 75%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
40% Over 2.5 goals 75%
40% Over 3.5 goals 25%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
20% Both teams scored 75%
60% Clean sheets 0%
40% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 0%
80% Draws 0%
0% Losses 100%
40% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 25%
40% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Middlesbrough away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Leeds – Watford 3–0 (0–0) 1.733.804.75 1.73 2.10
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
02.09.23 Coventry – Watford 3–3 (1–1) 2.103.503.40 1.95 1.90
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
19.08.23 Stoke – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.303.25 2.03 1.83
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
29.04.23 Sunderland – Watford 2–2 (0–1) 1.803.604.50 1.93 1.93

Middlesbrough all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.09.23 Middlesbrough – Southampton 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.402.80 1.73 2.10
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
02.09.23 Middlesbrough – QPR 0–2 (0–1) 1.604.005.50 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
19.08.23 Middlesbrough – Huddersfield 1–1 (0–0) 1.703.904.75 1.80 2.00
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88
05.08.23 Middlesbrough – Millwall 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.304.33 2.00 1.80
08.05.23 Middlesbrough – Coventry 1–1 (1–1) 2.553.602.63 1.80 2.00
01.05.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.23 Watford – West Brom 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.40 2.00 1.85
16.09.23 Watford – Birmingham 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.304.00 2.10 1.73
27.08.23 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.90 1.95
12.08.23 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.83 2.03
05.08.23 Watford – QPR 4–0 (4–0) 1.853.604.20 2.00 1.85
08.05.23 Watford – Stoke 2–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.00 1.73 2.10
19.04.23 Watford – Cardiff 1–3 (1–3) 1.953.404.20 2.20 1.67
15.04.23 Watford – Bristol City 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 2.00 1.80
07.04.23 Watford – Huddersfield 2–3 (1–1) 1.673.605.50 2.20 1.67
18.03.23 Watford – Wigan 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.605.25 2.20 1.67

Middlesbrough away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.23 Sheffield Weds – Middlesbrough 1–1 (1–0) 3.303.502.15 1.90 1.95
16.09.23 Blackburn – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–0) 2.633.252.75 1.73 2.10
26.08.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 4–2 (2–1) 2.203.503.20 1.95 1.90
12.08.23 Coventry – Middlesbrough 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 1.98 1.88
01.05.23 Rotherham – Middlesbrough 1–0 (0–0) 3.753.302.05 1.95 1.90
24.04.23 Luton – Middlesbrough 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.503.10 2.05 1.80
10.04.23 Bristol City – Middlesbrough 2–2 (1–0) 3.603.502.05 1.90 1.95
01.04.23 Huddersfield – Middlesbrough 4–2 (0–1) 5.003.751.70 2.02 1.83
11.03.23 Swansea – Middlesbrough 1–3 (1–0) 3.253.602.15 1.98 1.88
25.02.23 West Brom – Middlesbrough 2–0 (2–0) 2.303.303.00 2.02 1.83

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsMiddlesbrough wins
2matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.01.23E1 Middlesbrough – Watford 2–0 (2–0) 1.913.404.33 2.10 1.73
30.08.22E1 Watford – Middlesbrough 2–1 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 8 7 0 1 14 5 +9 21
2 Ipswich 8 7 0 1 17 10 +7 21
3 Preston 8 6 2 0 13 6 +7 20
4 Sunderland 9 5 1 3 18 8 +10 16
5 Hull 8 4 3 1 13 8 +5 15
6 Leeds 9 3 4 2 14 10 +4 13
7 Cardiff 8 4 1 3 14 12 +2 13
8 Norwich 8 4 1 3 17 16 +1 13
9 Southampton 9 4 1 4 15 20 -5 13
10 Bristol City 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
11 Birmingham 8 3 3 2 8 7 +1 12
12 Millwall 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
13 Plymouth 8 3 1 4 16 13 +3 10
14 West Brom 8 2 4 2 12 11 +1 10
15 Blackburn 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 10
16 Watford 8 2 3 3 11 10 +1 9
17 Huddersfield 8 2 3 3 9 13 -4 9
18 Coventry 8 1 5 2 12 11 +1 8
19 QPR 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 8
20 Stoke 8 2 1 5 8 12 -4 7
21 Swansea 8 1 3 4 10 12 -2 6
22 Middlesbrough 8 1 2 5 7 15 -8 5
23 Rotherham 8 1 2 5 8 17 -9 5
24 Sheffield Weds 9 0 2 7 5 17 -12 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Preston 4 4 0 0 8 4 +4 12
2 Plymouth 4 3 0 1 13 5 +8 9
3 Ipswich 4 3 0 1 12 9 +3 9
4 Cardiff 4 3 0 1 8 5 +3 9
5 Norwich 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
6 Leicester 4 3 0 1 5 3 +2 9
7 Watford 5 2 2 1 8 3 +5 8
8 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 4 2 +2 8
9 West Brom 4 2 1 1 8 6 +2 7
10 Southampton 5 2 1 2 10 11 -1 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 0 2 8 4 +4 6
12 Coventry 4 1 3 0 7 4 +3 6
13 Leeds 4 1 3 0 6 3 +3 6
14 Hull 4 1 3 0 6 4 +2 6
15 Stoke 4 2 0 2 6 6 0 6
16 Millwall 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
17 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 6 7 -1 6
18 Swansea 4 1 2 1 6 4 +2 5
19 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 5 4 +1 5
20 Rotherham 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
21 Middlesbrough 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
22 Huddersfield 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
23 QPR 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1
24 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 2 8 -6 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Leicester 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12
2 Ipswich 4 4 0 0 5 1 +4 12
3 Sunderland 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10
4 Hull 4 3 0 1 7 4 +3 9
5 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 Leeds 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
7 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 4 3 +1 7
8 QPR 5 2 1 2 5 7 -2 7
9 Southampton 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6
10 Huddersfield 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
11 Millwall 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
12 Norwich 4 1 1 2 11 12 -1 4
13 Cardiff 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
14 Birmingham 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 4
15 Blackburn 4 1 1 2 6 9 -3 4
16 West Brom 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
17 Coventry 4 0 2 2 5 7 -2 2
18 Swansea 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1
19 Watford 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 1
20 Stoke 4 0 1 3 2 6 -4 1
21 Plymouth 4 0 1 3 3 8 -5 1
22 Middlesbrough 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1
23 Sheffield Weds 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
24 Rotherham 4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0

Watford   Middlesbrough

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Southampton 9 1 8 1.7 2.2 4 1 4 15 20 13
2 4 Sunderland 9 2 7 2.0 0.9 5 1 3 18 8 16
3 13 Plymouth 8 1 7 2.0 1.6 3 1 4 16 13 10
4 15 Blackburn 8 1 7 1.5 2.0 3 1 4 12 16 10
5 7 Cardiff 8 2 6 1.8 1.5 4 1 3 14 12 13
6 8 Norwich 8 2 6 2.1 2.0 4 1 3 17 16 13
7 23 Rotherham 8 2 6 1.0 2.1 1 2 5 8 17 5
8 6 Leeds 9 4 5 1.6 1.1 3 4 2 14 10 13
9 14 West Brom 8 3 5 1.5 1.4 2 4 2 12 11 10
10 24 Sheffield Weds 9 4 5 0.6 1.9 0 2 7 5 17 2
11 1 Leicester 8 4 4 1.8 0.6 7 0 1 14 5 21
12 2 Ipswich 8 4 4 2.1 1.2 7 0 1 17 10 21
13 3 Preston 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 6 2 0 13 6 20
14 5 Hull 8 4 4 1.6 1.0 4 3 1 13 8 15
15 16 Watford 8 4 4 1.4 1.2 2 3 3 11 10 9
16 17 Huddersfield 8 4 4 1.1 1.6 2 3 3 9 13 9
17 18 Coventry 8 4 4 1.5 1.4 1 5 2 12 11 8
18 19 QPR 8 4 4 0.9 1.5 2 2 4 7 12 8
19 21 Swansea 8 4 4 1.2 1.5 1 3 4 10 12 6
20 22 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 0.9 1.9 1 2 5 7 15 5
21 12 Millwall 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
22 20 Stoke 8 5 3 1.0 1.5 2 1 5 8 12 7
23 10 Bristol City 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 11 Birmingham 8 6 2 1.0 0.9 3 3 2 8 7 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Preston 4 0 4 2.0 1.0 4 0 0 8 4 12
2 9 Southampton 5 1 4 2.0 2.2 2 1 2 10 11 7
3 13 Plymouth 4 0 4 3.2 1.2 3 0 1 13 5 9
4 15 Blackburn 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 2 0 2 6 7 6
5 2 Ipswich 4 1 3 3.0 2.2 3 0 1 12 9 9
6 4 Sunderland 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 2 8 4 6
7 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 2.0 1.2 3 0 1 8 5 9
8 14 West Brom 4 1 3 2.0 1.5 2 1 1 8 6 7
9 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
10 1 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 3 0 1 5 3 9
11 6 Leeds 4 2 2 1.5 0.8 1 3 0 6 3 6
12 8 Norwich 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
13 12 Millwall 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
14 16 Watford 5 3 2 1.6 0.6 2 2 1 8 3 8
15 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
16 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 3 0 7 4 6
17 20 Stoke 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 2 0 2 6 6 6
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 1 2 1 6 4 5
19 24 Sheffield Weds 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 1 4 2 8 1
20 5 Hull 4 3 1 1.5 1.0 1 3 0 6 4 6
21 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 2 1 5 4 5
22 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 2 0 4 2 8
23 19 QPR 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1
24 22 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Sunderland 5 1 4 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10
2 8 Norwich 4 0 4 2.8 3.0 1 1 2 11 12 4
3 9 Southampton 4 0 4 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6
4 5 Hull 4 1 3 1.8 1.0 3 0 1 7 4 9
5 6 Leeds 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
6 7 Cardiff 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
7 13 Plymouth 4 1 3 0.8 2.0 0 1 3 3 8 1
8 15 Blackburn 4 1 3 1.5 2.2 1 1 2 6 9 4
9 19 QPR 5 2 3 1.0 1.4 2 1 2 5 7 7
10 22 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1
11 23 Rotherham 4 1 3 0.5 2.8 0 0 4 2 11 0
12 24 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
13 1 Leicester 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12
14 14 West Brom 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
15 16 Watford 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 0 1 2 3 7 1
16 17 Huddersfield 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
17 18 Coventry 4 2 2 1.2 1.8 0 2 2 5 7 2
18 21 Swansea 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1
19 2 Ipswich 4 3 1 1.2 0.2 4 0 0 5 1 12
20 10 Bristol City 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 1 1 4 3 7
21 11 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.0 1.2 1 1 2 4 5 4
22 12 Millwall 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
23 20 Stoke 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 0 1 3 2 6 1
24 3 Preston 4 4 0 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51