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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: L Smith

Watford 2–1 Oxford

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.96 fair 2.51
Draw 3.25 fair 3.79
Away 3.90 fair 2.96
Under 2.5 1.80 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.09

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Watford Oxford
27 Shots 15
10 Shots on target 5
9 Corners 3
6 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (99 league matches this season so far).
Result Watford to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.91
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.23
Home / Draw / Away
WatfordDrawOxford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.2% 0–1 9.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Watford before this match, all matches
1.13points / match
1.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:10
Oxford before this match, all matches
0.75points / match
1.13scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:11
Watford all matches all matches Oxford

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded 1.38
2.38 Total goals 2.50
13.00 Shots 13.63
4.00 Shots on target 3.13
12.13 Shots faced 12.25
3.50 Corners 3.25
5.25 Corners against 6.13
12.38 Fouls 12.25
2.13 Yellow cards 0.88
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.88
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.88

How often Full Time

25% Wins 13%
38% Draws 38%
38% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
63% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 13%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 13%
38% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 38%
50% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
13% Over 1.5 goals 50%
13% Over 2.5 goals 38%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford all matches
Oxford all matches
Watford before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.50scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:5
Oxford before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Watford at home away Oxford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.25
1.25 Goals conceded 1.25
2.75 Total goals 2.50
15.50 Shots 11.00
4.25 Shots on target 3.25
12.50 Shots faced 15.00
4.25 Corners 2.75
5.50 Corners against 7.75
10.50 Fouls 12.50
1.25 Yellow cards 0.75
0.50 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

50% Wins 25%
25% Draws 25%
25% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
75% Over 2.5 goals 50%
25% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
25% Draws 50%
50% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
25% Over 1.5 goals 50%
25% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Watford at home
Oxford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 Portsmouth – Watford 2–2 (1–0) 2.103.403.25 2.10 1.73
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
22.09.25 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.013.203.80 2.30 1.62
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
23.08.25 Swansea – Watford 1–1 (0–1) 2.003.303.70 2.20 1.67
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
09.08.25 Charlton – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.302.88 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 1.67 2.20
26.04.25 Blackburn – Watford 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.00 2.00 1.85

Oxford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 QPR – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 2.00 1.80
27.09.25 Oxford – Sheffield United 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.202.25 2.10 1.73
21.09.25 Bristol City – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 1.564.205.25 1.93 1.93
13.09.25 Oxford – Leicester 2–2 (2–1) 4.203.501.81 2.10 1.73
30.08.25 Oxford – Coventry 2–2 (1–2) 4.503.601.71 2.00 1.85
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
17.08.25 Hull – Oxford 3–2 (2–2) 1.913.404.10 2.30 1.62
09.08.25 Oxford – Portsmouth 0–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 2.10 1.73
03.05.25 Swansea – Oxford 3–3 (1–1) 1.624.004.75 1.95 1.90
26.04.25 Oxford – Sunderland 2–0 (1–0) 3.103.252.38 2.20 1.67

Watford at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.09.25 Watford – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 2.203.403.10 1.95 1.90
13.09.25 Watford – Blackburn 0–1 (0–0) 2.153.503.10 2.20 1.67
30.08.25 Watford – Southampton 2–2 (0–1) 3.003.302.35 2.03 1.83
16.08.25 Watford – QPR 2–1 (2–1) 2.153.103.60 2.20 1.67
03.05.25 Watford – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (1–1) 2.753.502.40 1.67 2.20
18.04.25 Watford – Burnley 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.30 1.62
08.04.25 Watford – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.303.00 2.20 1.67
29.03.25 Watford – Plymouth 0–0 (0–0) 1.573.905.75 2.03 1.83
12.03.25 Watford – Swansea 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.05 1.68
08.03.25 Watford – Millwall 1–2 (1–0) 2.303.253.10 2.45 1.49

Oxford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.10.25 QPR – Oxford 0–0 (0–0) 2.013.403.50 2.00 1.80
21.09.25 Bristol City – Oxford 1–3 (0–2) 1.564.205.25 1.93 1.93
23.08.25 Birmingham – Oxford 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.93 1.93
17.08.25 Hull – Oxford 3–2 (2–2) 1.913.404.10 2.30 1.62
03.05.25 Swansea – Oxford 3–3 (1–1) 1.624.004.75 1.95 1.90
21.04.25 Cardiff – Oxford 1–1 (0–0) 1.853.254.50 2.20 1.67
12.04.25 Sheffield Weds – Oxford 0–1 (0–0) 1.623.755.50 2.03 1.83
29.03.25 Middlesbrough – Oxford 2–1 (0–1) 1.603.905.50 1.88 1.98
12.03.25 Hull – Oxford 2–1 (0–0) 1.703.605.00 2.10 1.73
07.03.25 Norwich – Oxford 1–1 (1–1) 1.544.005.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Watford winsDrawsOxford wins
2matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25E1 Oxford – Watford 1–0 (0–0) 2.753.252.55 2.20 1.67
08.11.24E1 Watford – Oxford 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.705.00 1.93 1.93

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 9 5 4 0 27 7 +20 19
2 Middlesbrough 8 5 3 0 12 5 +7 18
3 Stoke 9 4 3 2 11 6 +5 15
4 West Brom 8 4 2 2 9 7 +2 14
5 Bristol City 8 3 4 1 14 8 +6 13
6 Leicester 8 3 4 1 10 7 +3 13
7 Preston 8 3 4 1 9 7 +2 13
8 Swansea 8 3 3 2 9 7 +2 12
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 8 6 +2 12
10 Hull 9 3 3 3 14 16 -2 12
11 QPR 8 3 3 2 11 13 -2 12
12 Birmingham 9 3 3 3 8 11 -3 12
13 Millwall 8 3 2 3 6 12 -6 11
14 Ipswich 7 2 4 1 12 7 +5 10
15 Wrexham 9 2 4 3 14 15 -1 10
16 Southampton 8 2 4 2 10 11 -1 10
17 Watford 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9
18 Portsmouth 8 2 3 3 7 9 -2 9
19 Norwich 8 2 2 4 10 11 -1 8
20 Derby 8 1 4 3 10 14 -4 7
21 Blackburn 8 2 1 5 7 11 -4 7
22 Oxford 8 1 3 4 9 11 -2 6
23 Sheffield Weds 9 1 3 5 8 20 -12 6
24 Sheffield United 9 1 0 8 3 16 -13 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 4 1 +3 10
2 Hull 5 3 1 1 9 8 +1 10
3 Coventry 4 2 2 0 11 2 +9 8
4 Ipswich 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8
5 Leicester 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
6 QPR 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8
7 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Preston 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
9 Charlton 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7
10 Stoke 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
11 Watford 4 2 1 1 6 5 +1 7
12 Swansea 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6
13 Bristol City 4 1 2 1 6 6 0 5
14 Southampton 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
15 West Brom 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
16 Portsmouth 4 1 1 2 4 6 -2 4
17 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7 10 -3 3
18 Millwall 4 1 0 3 1 9 -8 3
19 Oxford 4 0 2 2 4 6 -2 2
20 Derby 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2
21 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3 7 -4 1
22 Sheffield Weds 5 0 1 4 1 14 -13 1
23 Norwich 4 0 0 4 4 8 -4 0
24 Sheffield United 4 0 0 4 2 8 -6 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Coventry 5 3 2 0 16 5 +11 11
2 West Brom 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
3 Bristol City 4 2 2 0 8 2 +6 8
4 Middlesbrough 4 2 2 0 8 4 +4 8
5 Norwich 4 2 2 0 6 3 +3 8
6 Stoke 5 2 2 1 6 3 +3 8
7 Millwall 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8
8 Wrexham 4 2 1 1 7 5 +2 7
9 Swansea 4 2 0 2 4 3 +1 6
10 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 4 4 0 6
11 Sheffield Weds 4 1 2 1 7 6 +1 5
12 Leicester 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5
13 Preston 4 1 2 1 4 4 0 5
14 Portsmouth 4 1 2 1 3 3 0 5
15 Southampton 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5
16 Derby 4 1 2 1 5 6 -1 5
17 Charlton 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5
18 Oxford 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4
19 QPR 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4
20 Birmingham 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
21 Sheffield United 5 1 0 4 1 8 -7 3
22 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
23 Watford 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
24 Hull 4 0 2 2 5 8 -3 2

Watford   Oxford

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 9 2 7 1.6 1.8 3 3 3 14 16 12
2 1 Coventry 9 3 6 3.0 0.8 5 4 0 27 7 19
3 23 Sheffield Weds 9 3 6 0.9 2.2 1 3 5 8 20 6
4 15 Wrexham 9 4 5 1.6 1.7 2 4 3 14 15 10
5 16 Southampton 8 3 5 1.2 1.4 2 4 2 10 11 10
6 2 Middlesbrough 8 4 4 1.5 0.6 5 3 0 12 5 18
7 5 Bristol City 8 4 4 1.8 1.0 3 4 1 14 8 13
8 11 QPR 8 4 4 1.4 1.6 3 3 2 11 13 12
9 17 Watford 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9
10 19 Norwich 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 2 2 4 10 11 8
11 21 Blackburn 8 4 4 0.9 1.4 2 1 5 7 11 7
12 22 Oxford 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 1 3 4 9 11 6
13 3 Stoke 9 6 3 1.2 0.7 4 3 2 11 6 15
14 6 Leicester 8 5 3 1.2 0.9 3 4 1 10 7 13
15 7 Preston 8 5 3 1.1 0.9 3 4 1 9 7 13
16 12 Birmingham 9 6 3 0.9 1.2 3 3 3 8 11 12
17 13 Millwall 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 3 2 3 6 12 11
18 14 Ipswich 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 2 4 1 12 7 10
19 18 Portsmouth 8 5 3 0.9 1.1 2 3 3 7 9 9
20 20 Derby 8 5 3 1.2 1.8 1 4 3 10 14 7
21 24 Sheffield United 9 6 3 0.3 1.8 1 0 8 3 16 3
22 4 West Brom 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 4 2 2 9 7 14
23 8 Swansea 8 6 2 1.1 0.9 3 3 2 9 7 12
24 9 Charlton 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 3 3 2 8 6 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Hull 5 1 4 1.8 1.6 3 1 1 9 8 10
2 14 Ipswich 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8
3 15 Wrexham 5 2 3 1.4 2.0 0 3 2 7 10 3
4 17 Watford 4 1 3 1.5 1.2 2 1 1 6 5 7
5 19 Norwich 4 1 3 1.0 2.0 0 0 4 4 8 0
6 23 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 0.2 2.8 0 1 4 1 14 1
7 1 Coventry 4 2 2 2.8 0.5 2 2 0 11 2 8
8 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 1.5 1.5 1 2 1 6 6 5
9 7 Preston 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
10 13 Millwall 4 2 2 0.2 2.2 1 0 3 1 9 3
11 16 Southampton 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
12 18 Portsmouth 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 1 1 2 4 6 4
13 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 1 3 3 7 1
14 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.0 1.5 0 2 2 4 6 2
15 24 Sheffield United 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 0 0 4 2 8 0
16 2 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 1.0 0.2 3 1 0 4 1 10
17 3 Stoke 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
18 6 Leicester 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
19 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.2 1.0 1 3 0 5 4 6
20 9 Charlton 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7
21 11 QPR 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8
22 12 Birmingham 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
23 20 Derby 4 3 1 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
24 4 West Brom 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Coventry 5 1 4 3.2 1.0 3 2 0 16 5 11
2 2 Middlesbrough 4 1 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 0 8 4 8
3 10 Hull 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 0 2 2 5 8 2
4 11 QPR 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4
5 16 Southampton 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5
6 23 Sheffield Weds 4 1 3 1.8 1.5 1 2 1 7 6 5
7 3 Stoke 5 3 2 1.2 0.6 2 2 1 6 3 8
8 4 West Brom 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
9 5 Bristol City 4 2 2 2.0 0.5 2 2 0 8 2 8
10 6 Leicester 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5
11 12 Birmingham 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
12 15 Wrexham 4 2 2 1.8 1.2 2 1 1 7 5 7
13 20 Derby 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 1 2 1 5 6 5
14 21 Blackburn 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 0 2 4 4 6
15 22 Oxford 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4
16 7 Preston 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 2 1 4 4 5
17 8 Swansea 4 3 1 1.0 0.8 2 0 2 4 3 6
18 9 Charlton 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5
19 13 Millwall 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8
20 17 Watford 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
21 18 Portsmouth 4 3 1 0.8 0.8 1 2 1 3 3 5
22 19 Norwich 4 3 1 1.5 0.8 2 2 0 6 3 8
23 24 Sheffield United 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 1 0 4 1 8 3
24 14 Ipswich 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51